• Title/Summary/Keyword: time lagged correlation

Search Result 19, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Estimation of Time Difference Using Cross-Correlation in Underwater Environment (수중 환경에서 상호상관을 이용한 시간차이 추정)

  • Lee, Young-Pil;Moon, Yong Seon;Ko, Nak Yong;Choi, Hyun-Taek;Lee, Jeong-Gu;Bae, Young-Chul
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.155-160
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, underwater acoustic communication (UWAC) has been studied by many scholars and researchers. In order to use UWAC, we need to estimate time difference between the two signals in underwater environment. Typically, there are major three methods to estimate the time-difference between the two signals such as estimating the arrival time of the first non-background segment and calculate the temporal difference, calculating the cross-correlation between the two signal to infer the time-lagged, and estimating the phase delay to infer the time difference. In this paper, we present calculating the cross-correlation between the two signals to infer the time-lagged to apply UWAC. We also present the experimental result of estimating the arrival time by using cross-correlation. We get EXCORR = 0.003055 second as the estimation error in mean absolute difference.

A Prediction of Precipitation Over East Asia for June Using Simultaneous and Lagged Teleconnection (원격상관을 이용한 동아시아 6월 강수의 예측)

  • Lee, Kang-Jin;Kwon, MinHo
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.711-716
    • /
    • 2016
  • The dynamical model forecasts using state-of-art general circulation models (GCMs) have some limitations to simulate the real climate system since they do not depend on the past history. One of the alternative methods to correct model errors is to use the canonical correlation analysis (CCA) correction method. CCA forecasts at the present time show better skill than dynamical model forecasts especially over the midlatitudes. Model outputs are adjusted based on the CCA modes between the model forecasts and the observations. This study builds a canonical correlation prediction model for subseasonal (June) precipitation. The predictors are circulation fields over western North Pacific from the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5) and observed snow cover extent over Eurasia continent from Climate Data Record (CDR). The former is based on simultaneous teleconnection between the western North Pacific and the East Asia, and the latter on lagged teleconnection between the Eurasia continent and the East Asia. In addition, we suggest a technique for improving forecast skill by applying the ensemble canonical correlation (ECC) to individual canonical correlation predictions.

A Study on the Distributed Lag Model by Bayesian Decision Making Method (분포시차모형의 Bayesian 의사결정법에 관한 연구)

  • 이필령
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.8 no.11
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 1985
  • Recently the distributed lag models for time series data have been used in several quantitative analyses. But the analyses of time series which have the serial correlations in error terms and the lagged values of dependent variables violate the hypothesis of OLS method. This paper suggests that the approach technique of distributed lay model with serial correlation should be applied by the Bayesian inference to estimate the parameters. For the application of distributed lag model by Bayesian analysis, the data for monthly consumption expenditure per household by items of commodities from 1972 to 1981 are used in order to estimate the lagged coefficient of processed food and the regression coefficient of the food and beverage.

  • PDF

The Longitudinal Effect between Disability Acceptance and Job Satisfaction of Wage Working Disabled Persons: Adapting the Autoregressive Cross-Lagged Model and Multigroup Analysis

  • Lee, Hyoung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.27 no.9
    • /
    • pp.177-190
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, using data from the second wave of Panel Survey of Employment for The Disabled[PESD] (2016) to the sixth year (2021), the longitudinal changes between disability acceptance and job satisfaction of adult wage workers aged 20 or older with disabilities and the correlation An autoregressive cross-lagged model was applied to analyze the causal relationship. As a result of the analysis, first, the disability acceptance and job satisfaction at the previous time point of the disabled workers were stably significant to the disability acceptance(𝛽=.556~.610) and job satisfaction(𝛽=.554~.585) at the later time point. Second, disability acceptance at the previous point in time for wage workers with disabilities crosses the job satisfaction at the later time point(𝛽=.077~.090), and the job satisfaction at the previous point crosses the disability acceptance at the later time point(𝛽=.087~.092). Third, as a result of model fit analysis according to the gender group of wage workers with disabilities, the difference in the autoregressive effect between disability acceptance and job satisfaction and the cross-lagged effect between disability acceptance and job satisfaction according to the passage of time was not significant.

Estimation Technique of Time Difference of Acoustic Signal by phase delay in Underwater Environments (수중 환경에서의 위상 지연을 이용한 음향 신호의 시간 차이 추정 기법)

  • Lee, Young-Pil;Moon, Yong-Seon;Ko, Nak-Yong;Choi, Hyun-Taek;Lee, Jeong-Gu;Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.365-372
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, UWAC(: UnderWater Acoustic Communication) has been studied by many scholars and researchers. There are several method to estimate the time-difference between the two signals such estimating as the arrival time of the first non-background segment in both signals and calculate the temporal difference, calculating the cross-correlation between the two signal to infer the time-lagged, and estimating the phase delay to infer the time difference. In this paper, we present estimating method by the phase delay to infer the time difference in two signals.

Verification of the longitudinal relationship between mothers' cultural adaptation patterns, multicultural acceptability of multicultural adolescents, and national identity: Focusing on the mediating effect of the autoregressive cross-lagged model (어머니의 문화적응유형과 다문화청소년의 다문화수용성, 국가정체성 간 종단관계 검증: 자기회귀교차지연모형의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyoung-Ha;Yun, Jin-Mi;Han, Ji-Yun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.10
    • /
    • pp.453-467
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the autoregressive cross-lagged model was applied to verify the longitudinal correlation between the three factors and the pattern of changes over time in the mother's cultural adaptation type, the multicultural acceptability of multicultural adolescents, and national identity. For the study, longitudinal data from the 2nd, 4th, 6th, and 8th years of the MAPS tracked from the 5th grade of elementary school to the 2nd grade of high school were used for analysis. As a result of the analysis, all four types of mother's acculturation were analyzed to have a significant longitudinal effect over time. The four types of mothers' cultural adaptation were analyzed to have a longitudinal mediating effect on the relationship between the national identity of multicultural youth. Based on these analysis results, it is necessary to provide a continuous acculturation support program. In order to have a sense of belonging and solidarity with the country, it was suggested that education to increase multicultural receptivity should be carried out in parallel.

The Influence of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies on Droughts in the East Asia Monsoon Region

  • Awan, Jehangir Ashraf;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.224-224
    • /
    • 2015
  • The East Asia monsoon is one of the most complex atmospheric phenomena caused by Land-Sea thermal contrast. It plays essential role in fulfilling the water needs of the region but also poses stern consequences in terms of flooding and droughts. This study analyzed the influence of Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTA) on occurrence of droughts in the East Asia monsoon region ($20^{\circ}N-50^{\circ}N$, $103^{\circ}E-149^{\circ}E$). Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was employed to characterize the droughts over the region using 30-year (1978-2007) gridded rainfall dataset at $0.5^{\circ}$ grid resolution. Due to high variability in intensity and spatial extent of monsoon rainfall the East Asia monsoon region was divided into the homogeneous rainfall zones using cluster analysis method. Seven zones were delineated that showed unique rainfall regimes over the region. The influence of SSTA was assessed by using lagged-correlation between global gridded SSTA ($0.2^{\circ}$ grid resolution) and SPI of each zone. Sea regions with potential influence on droughts in different zones were identified based on significant positive and negative correlation between SSTA and SPI with a lag period of 3-month. The results showed that SSTA have the potential to be used as predictor variables for prediction of droughts with a reasonable lead time. The findings of this study will assist to improve the drought prediction over the region.

  • PDF

Relations Between Paprika Consumption and Unstructured Big Data, and Paprika Consumption Prediction

  • Cho, Yongbeen;Oh, Eunhwa;Cho, Wan-Sup;Nasridinov, Aziz;Yoo, Kwan-Hee;Rah, HyungChul
    • International Journal of Contents
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.113-119
    • /
    • 2019
  • It has been reported that large amounts of information on agri-foods were delivered to consumers through television and social networks, and the information may influence consumers' behavior. The purpose of this paper was first to analyze relations of social network service and broadcasting program on paprika consumption in the aspect of amounts to purchase and identify potential factors that can promote paprika consumption; second, to develop prediction models of paprika consumption by using structured and unstructured big data. By using data 2010-2017, cross-correlation and time-series prediction algorithms (autoregressive exogenous model and vector error correction model), statistically significant correlations between paprika consumption and television programs/shows and blogs mentioning paprika and diet were identified with lagged times. When paprika and diet related data were added for prediction, these data improved the model predictability. This is the first report to predict paprika consumption by using structured and unstructured data.

The Relationship Between Despotic Leadership and Employee Outcomes: An Empirical Study from Pakistan

  • KHAN, Hafiz Ghufran Ali;AHMED, Irshad;Ul AIN, Qurat;MUMTAZ, Roohi;IKRAM, Memoona
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.6
    • /
    • pp.331-341
    • /
    • 2022
  • Through emotional exhaustion, this study empirically tests followers' behavioral responses to autocratic leaders. The current research focuses on effects caused by despotic leadership on followers' emotional exhaustion, which leads to employee outcomes such as interpersonal deviances and indirect aggression. The association between despotic leadership and results (employee interpersonal deviance and indirect violence) is investigated in this study. In this study, emotional exhaustion is used as a mediator. Furthermore, negative affectivity is used as a moderator between despotic leadership and emotional exhaustion. A time-lagged framework is employed with a sample of 255 respondents. Age, qualification, marital status, gender, grade, type of organization, department, and job experience are among the eight demographical questions in this study. After evaluating the data for normality, correlation analysis was performed, followed by moderation and mediation analysis. The current study explores the link between despotic leadership and emotional exhaustion among followers, arguing that a despotic leader will leave followers exhausted at work. Emotional exhaustion was also linked to interpersonal deviances, such as indirect aggression, in a significant and positive way. Employee outcomes, such as interpersonal deviances and indirect aggressiveness through emotional exhaustion, will be influenced by a despotic leader, according to the findings.

Drought Forecasting with Regionalization of Climate Variables and Generalized Linear Model

  • Yejin Kong;Taesam Lee;Joo-Heon Lee;Sejeong Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.249-249
    • /
    • 2023
  • Spring drought forecasting in South Korea is essential due to the sknewness of rainfall which could lead to water shortage especially in spring when managed without prediction. Therefore, drought forecasting over South Korea was performed in the current study by thoroughly searching appropriate predictors from the lagged global climate variable, mean sea level pressure(MSLP), specifically in winter season for forecasting time lag. The target predictand defined as accumulated spring precipitation(ASP) was driven by the median of 93 weather stations in South Korea. Then, it was found that a number of points of the MSLP data were significantly cross-correlated with the ASP, and the points with high correlation were regionally grouped. The grouped variables with three regions: the Arctic Ocean (R1), South Pacific (R2), and South Africa (R3) were determined. The generalized linear model(GLM) was further applied for skewed marginal distribution in drought prediction. It was shown that the applied GLM presents reasonable performance in forecasting ASP. The results concluded that the presented regionalization of the climate variable, MSLP can be a good alternative in forecasting spring drought.

  • PDF