• 제목/요약/키워드: time based risk level

검색결과 336건 처리시간 0.023초

Quantitative microbial risk assessment indicates very low risk for Vibrio parahaemolyticus foodborne illness from Jeotgal in South Korea

  • Choi, Yukyung;Kang, Joohyun;Lee, Yewon;Seo, Yeongeun;Kim, Sejeong;Ha, Jimyeong;Oh, Hyemin;Kim, Yujin;Park, Eunyoung;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Rhee, Min Suk;Yoon, Yohan
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.463-472
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a microbial risk assessment was performed for the bacteria Vibrio parahaemolyticus, which causes a foodborne illness following the consumption of Jeotgal, a fermented seafood in South Korea. The assessment comprised of six stages: product, market, home, consumption, dose-response, and risk. The initial contamination level (IC) was calculated based on the prevalence of V. parahaemolyticus in 90 Jeotgal samples. The kinetic behavior of V. parahaemolyticus was described using predictive models. The data on transportation conditions from manufacturer to market and home were collected through personal communication and from previous studies. Data for the Jeotgal consumption status were obtained, and an appropriate probability distribution was established. The simulation models responding to the scenario were analyzed using the @RISK program. The IC of V. parahaemolyticus was estimated using beta distribution [Beta (1, 91)]. The cell counts during transportation were estimated using Weibull and polynomial models [δ = 1 / (0.0718 - 0.0097 × T + 0.0005 × T2)], while the probability distributions for time and temperature were estimated using Pert, Weibull, Uniform, and LogLogistic distributions. Daily average consumption amounts were assessed using the Pareto distribution [0.60284,1.32,Risk Truncate(0,155)]. The results indicated that the risk of V. parahaemolyticus infection through Jeotgal consumption is low in South Korea.

Trend Analysis in the Prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes According to Risk Factors among Korean Adults: Based on the 2001~2009 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey Data

  • Kim, Young-Ju;Lim, Myoung-Nam;Lee, Dong-Suk
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.743-750
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The objective of this study was to provide a trend analysis of the prevalence of diabetes relative to the socioeconomic, lifestyle, and physiologic risk factors among Korean adults aged over 30 years for a 10-year period using data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Methods: Prevalence difference and the slope index of inequality were calculated for each risk factors using binomial regression by considering the repeated cross-sectional features of the data. The prevalence ratio and the relative index of inequality were calculated using log-binomial regression. Linear trend tests were performed using SAS 9.2. Results: Crude prevalence of diabetes increased over the 10-year period, and was higher for men than for women. It was very high for adults 60 years or over, consistently increasing over time. The prevalence among unemployed men, women with higher level of stress, women with hypertension, and adults with serum triglyceride levels over 135 mg/dL increased over the 10-year period in comparison with the respective control group. Conclusion: Considering the rapid economic development and associated lifestyle changes in Korea, action should be taken to control the prevalence of diabetes by both preventing and consistently monitoring these identified risk factors using a public-health approach.

근골격계질환 관련 유해요인조사자의 직무교육에 관한 연구 (A Study on Job Training for Risk Factors Analysts of Work-related Musculoskeletal Disorders)

  • 최인석;정병용
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2008
  • This study conducted two surveys to establish an educational system to prevent work-related musculoskeletal disorders. The first survey investigates the factors influencing the recognition of job specifications for risk factor analysts of work-related musculoskeletal disorders. The respondents of the first survey were selected from 173 different small-sized manufacturing enterprises having less than 300 workers and had experienced the inspection of risk factors. The results of the first survey shows that better recognition of job specifications are followed by the increase of education time, but regardless of the positions and periods of job experience. Among the respondents with a high level recognition, the second survey was conducted. According to the results, it is presented that 2, 8, 16 hours are the most suitable for educating workers, superintendents, and risk factors analysts. Based on the results of the second survey, educational contents have also been suggested. This research will provide the basic information when forming education systems to prevent musculoskeletal disorders.

공공 건설사업 CM at Risk 적용시 GMP 산출 프로세스 (GMP Calculation Process in CM at Risk for Public Construction Project)

  • 김건성;김정훈;현창택
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2020년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.48-49
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    • 2020
  • Recently the diversification of construction market and the continuous reduction of construction amount are raising the need of alternative delivery method in the construction industry. The foreign advanced companies actively adopted the CM at Risk delivery method where they perform the service of agent CM in the design phase, and agree GMP(Guaranteed Maximum Price) with the client at the time of 50~80% completion of design. Even in Korea they began to apply that method to pilot projects. In CM at Risk, through the early participation of builder, the level of design completion can be improved and the change order and construction period delay can be minimized. On the other hand, GMP is usually calculated when the design is about 80% complete, so there is uncertainty in the construction cost. Therefore, in this research, the increased amounts of construction cost are analyzed in a number of public construction projects, and GMP calculation process is proposed using the analysis results and CBR(Case-Based Reasoning) technique to reduce the construction cost increase in the construction phase.

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Exports of SMEs against Risk? Theory and Evidence from Foreign Exchange Risk Insurance Schemes in Korea

  • Lee, Seo-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper examines the effectiveness of the foreign exchange risk insurance system in the promotion of SME exports in Korea. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term responses of SME exports to foreign exchange risk insurance support policies. Based on these empirical studies, we would like to present some operational improvements to the operation of the foreign exchange risk insurance system. Design/methodology - In order to analyze the effect of exchange risk insurance on the exports of SMEs, a VAR model consisting of foreign exchange risk insurance underwriting values, export relative price, and domestic demand pressure, including export volume, was established. The study began with tests of the stationarity of time series data. The unit root tests showed that all concerned variables were non-stationary. Accordingly, the results of the cointegration test showed that the tested variables are not cointegrated. Finally, an impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis were conducted to analyze the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. Findings - As a result of estimating the VAR (1) model, foreign exchange risk insurance was found to be significant at a 1% significance level for SME' export promotion. In the impulse response analysis, SMEs' export response to the impulse of foreign exchange risk insurance showed that exports gradually increased until the third quarter, and then slowed down. However, the impulse did not disappear, and appeared continuously. Originality/value - This study analyzed the effect of foreign exchange insurance on exports of SMEs by applying the VAR model. In particular, this study is the first to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of foreign exchange risk insurance on exports of SMEs. The empirical evidence in the current study have a policy implication for the policy authority to support and promote the foreign exchange risk insurance in the effect of exchange rate volatility on Korea' export SMEs.

Dietary Risk Assessment of Snf7 dsRNA for Coccinella septempunctata

  • Jung, Young Jun;Seol, Min-A;Choi, Wonkyun;Lee, Jung Ro
    • Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.210-218
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    • 2021
  • Recently, pest-resistant living modified (LM) crops developed using RNA interference (RNAi) technology have been imported into South Korea. However, the potential adverse effects of unintentionally released RNAi-based LM crops on non-target species have not yet been reported. Coccinella septempunctata, which feeds on aphids, is an important natural enemy insect which can be exposed to the double-stranded RNA (dsRNA) produced by RNAi-based LM plants. To assess the risk of ingestion of Snf7 dsRNA by C. septempunctata, we first identified the species through morphological analysis of collected insects. A method for species identification at the gene level was developed using a specific C. septempunctata 12S rRNA. Furthermore, an experimental model was devised to assess the risk of Snf7 dsRNA ingestion in C. septempunctata. Snf7 dsRNA was mass-purified using an effective dsRNA synthesis method and its presence in C. septempunctata was confirmed after treatment with purified Snf7 dsRNA. Finally, the survival rate, development time, and dry weight of Snf7 dsRNA-treated C. septempunctata were compared with those of GFP and vATPase A dsRNA control treatments, and no risk was found. This study illustrates an effective Snf7 dsRNA synthesis method, as well as a high-concentration domestic insect risk assessment method which uses dsRNA to assess the risk of unintentional released of LM organisms against non-target species.

볼트풀림에 의한 터미널 블록의 접속부 발열 위험성 분석 (Analysis of the Risk of Heat Generation due to Bolt Loosening in Terminal Block Connector Parts)

  • 연영모;김승희
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 산업현장에서 사용되는 분전반 내 터미널 블록의 탄화 사고를 예방하기 위한 목적으로, 전선 접속부 볼트의 이상(Abnormal) 풀림 각도에 따라 변화하는 정상전류 및 과전류의 접속부 발열 위험성을 확인하고 열적 특성을 통해 위험성을 분석하였다. 이를 위하여 터미널 블록에 Resistance temperature detector (RTD) 센서 보드를 설치하여 실시간으로 터미널 블록의 발열 온도와 온도의 변화를 측정하는 새로운 기법을 적용하였다. 실험 결과 정격 전류가 작은 터미널 블록 모델의 발열 온도가 높게 나타남에 따라 부하전류에 따른 터미널 블록 용량 선정의 중요성을 확인하였다. 또한 정격전류가 높은 터미널 블록의 정격 전류가 높을수록, 이상 풀림 정도가 클수록 탄화점이 빨라짐을 확인하였다. 이러한 발열 온도 모니터링을 통해서 실시간 발열 온도를 측정할 수 있었고 열적 분석을 통해서 단계별 위험수위 설정이 가능함을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 탄화 위험성 측정 및 분석 결과는 탄화로 인한 화재 위험성에 대한 응용 연구의 이론적 기초를 제공할 수 있다. 또한 본 연구에서 새롭게 적용한 온도 센서 보드를 활용한 열화 측정 방법은 위험수준관리 및 전기적 접촉 불량으로 인한 화재 예방 활동에 광범위하게 적용 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

The Concept of Toxicants Rating in China

  • Zhau, Jiang-Liang
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.37-39
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    • 2001
  • As the preliminary data collection for further chemical risk assessment. toxicants rating works is now rather extensively implemented in China. It consists of two parts, ie., rating of the hazard level of the exposed toxicant and that of the toxicant's profession. In the first part, the rating are based on six criteria, ie., acute toxicity, incidence of acute poisoning, prevalence of chronic poisoning, consequence of chronic poisoning, carcinogenecity and MAC level. Four hazardous levels are to be classified as extreme, high, medium, mild. In the second part. three determinants as weighted coefficients are taken into account, ie., toxicant's hazard level. exposure time and folds of MAC surpassing. Eventually, the index of classification C by which the work with toxic hazard can be classified is able to be calculated and assessed. Several comments were discussed and new recommendations were demonstrated.

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고속철도의 예방적 안전관리를 위한 위험도 평가 기준의 이론적 고찰 (Theoretical Considerations on the Risk Assessment Criteria for Preventive Safety Management of High-Speed Railway)

  • 이병석;김현주;방명석;임광균
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.102-114
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    • 2018
  • The Railway Safety Management System is based on risk management and the basic purpose of risk management is safety management activities to prevent railway accidents and operational obstacles in advance. In order to manage risk, an acceptable risk standard must be established. This risk criterion is used to evaluate the railway risk with both frequency and severity. In the case of overseas railway or other industrial sectors, various factors are reflected in the main variables that constitute the occurrence frequency, but this is no the case in the domestic railway sector. In particular, the current risk assessment criteria in the railway sector remain at a level that exploits the incidents that have occurred in the past and the severity of the property damage and it dose not properly reflect complex and diverse environmental and situational changes in railway operations. Therefore, in this study, it is possible to calculate the potential occurrence of future events instead of occurrence frequency as a component of the risk assessment criteria, focusing on the High-Speed Railway. In addition to the property damage to the consequence, we suggest a rational methodology, development direction, and theoretical implications for constructing accurate and reasonable risk criteria including actual damage such as human injury and time loss.

Advanced Reactor Passive System Reliability Demonstration Analysis for an External Event

  • Bucknor, Matthew;Grabaskas, David;Brunett, Acacia J.;Grelle, Austin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.360-372
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    • 2017
  • Many advanced reactor designs rely on passive systems to fulfill safety functions during accident sequences. These systems depend heavily on boundary conditions to induce a motive force, meaning the system can fail to operate as intended because of deviations in boundary conditions, rather than as the result of physical failures. Furthermore, passive systems may operate in intermediate or degraded modes. These factors make passive system operation difficult to characterize within a traditional probabilistic framework that only recognizes discrete operating modes and does not allow for the explicit consideration of time-dependent boundary conditions. Argonne National Laboratory has been examining various methodologies for assessing passive system reliability within a probabilistic risk assessment for a station blackout event at an advanced small modular reactor. This paper provides an overview of a passive system reliability demonstration analysis for an external event. Considering an earthquake with the possibility of site flooding, the analysis focuses on the behavior of the passive Reactor Cavity Cooling System following potential physical damage and system flooding. The assessment approach seeks to combine mechanistic and simulation-based methods to leverage the benefits of the simulation-based approach without the need to substantially deviate from conventional probabilistic risk assessment techniques. Although this study is presented as only an example analysis, the results appear to demonstrate a high level of reliability of the Reactor Cavity Cooling System (and the reactor system in general) for the postulated transient event.