• Title/Summary/Keyword: theoretical probability

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A Study on Optimal Auditing Under the Living Wage System (생계급여하에서의 최적 소득조사)

  • Yoo, Hanwook
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.207-237
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    • 2009
  • One of the main problems in Korea's public assistance program, the NBLS (National Basic Livelihood Security), is that the loophole of welfare system is continuously growing. Living wage program is the largest sub-program of the NBLS, and the most important determinant of amount of living wage for each beneficiary is the level of reported income. Therefore, accurate and effective income detection is essential in improving policy effects and furthermore reducing the leakage of wage expenditure as beneficiaries always have an incentive to underreport their income. Since most of them do not pay income tax, the welfare authority should exert an independent effort to effectively detect their income. Considering that living wage is a special kind of income tax of which marginal tax rate is -1, one can apply a classical theory of tax evasion to understand illegal or excessive receipt of living wage caused by income underreporting. Utilizing a classical theory given by Alingham and Sandmo (1972), this paper provides a theoretical analysis of the optimal income reporting of the beneficiary. Then an optimization problem is constructed from the government's viewpoint to derive optimal income detecting device (auditing). This paper proves that cut-off discriminated auditing outperforms random auditing and cut-off auditing which implies if the government assigns a positive audit probability to every reported income less than a certain level and the probability is inversely proportional to the level of reported income, it can minimize underreporting and then gradually reduce the leakage of wage expenditure.

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CRARQ: A Cooperative Routing using ARQ-based Transmission in Mobile Ad-hoc Wireless Sensor Networks (CRARQ: 모바일 Ad-hoc 무선 센서 네트워크를 위한 ARQ 전송기반 협력도움 라우팅 프로토콜)

  • Duy, Tran-Trung;An, Beong-Ku;Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a Cooperative Routing using ARQ-based Transmission (CRARQ) in Mobile Ad-hoc Wireless Sensor Networks (MAWSN). The goals of the CRARQ are to improve both the efficiency of transmission and the reliability of transmission together. The main features and contributions of the proposed CRARQ for supporting these goals are as follows. First, CRARQ uses a reactive concept to construct a route from a source to a destination. Second, CRARQ chooses the most stable relay at each hop along the route by mobility-based strategy. Third, cooperative transmission using the ARQ technique which can improve reliability is used at each hop to send data packets from source to destination. Finally, we present a theoretical analysis model for the proposed CRARQ. The performance evaluation of our protocol is implemented via simulation using Optimized Network Engineering Tool (OPNET) and analysis. The results of both simulation and analysis show that CRARQ achieves the improved packet delivery ratio (PDR) and outage probability.

Optimal Utilization of a Cognitive Shared Channel with a Rechargeable Primary Source Node

  • Pappas, Nikolaos;Jeon, Jeong-Ho;Ephremides, Anthony;Traganitis, Apostolos
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2012
  • This paper considers the scenario in which a set of nodes share a common channel. Some nodes have a rechargeable battery and the others are plugged to a reliable power supply and, thus, have no energy limitations. We consider two source-destination pairs and apply the concept of cognitive radio communication in sharing the common channel. Specifically, we give high-priority to the energy-constrained source-destination pair, i.e., primary pair, and low-priority to the pair which is free from such constraint, i.e., secondary pair. In contrast to the traditional notion of cognitive radio, in which the secondary transmitter is required to relinquish the channel as soon as the primary is detected, the secondary transmitter not only utilizes the idle slots of primary pair but also transmits along with the primary transmitter with probability p. This is possible because we consider the general multi-packet reception model. Given the requirement on the primary pair's throughput, the probability p is chosen to maximize the secondary pair's throughput. To this end, we obtain two-dimensional maximum stable throughput region which describes the theoretical limit on rates that we can push into the network while maintaining the queues in the network to be stable. The result is obtained for both cases in which the capacity of the battery at the primary node is infinite and also finite.

Performance Analysis on the Multiple Trellis Coded CPFSK for the Noncoherent Receiver without CSI (채널 상태 정보를 사용하지 않는 비동기식 복조기를 위한 다중 격자 부호화 연속 위상 주파수 변조 방식의 성능분석)

  • 김창중;이호경
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.28 no.10C
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    • pp.942-948
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we analyze the performance of multiple trellis coded modulation applied to continuous phase frequency shift keying (MTCM/CPFSK) for the noncoherent receiver without channel state information (CSI) on the interleaved Rician fading channel. In this system, the squared cross-correlation between the received signal and a candidate signal is used as the branch metric of the Viterbi decoder. To obtain the bit error performance of this system, we analyze the approximated pairwise error probability (PEP) and the exact PEP. We also derive the equivalent normalized squared distance (ENSD) and compare it with the ENSD of the noncoherent receiver with perfect CSI. Simulation results are also provided to verify the theoretical performance analysis.

A Lower Bound for Performance of Group Testing Problems (그룹검사 문제에 대한 성능 하한치)

  • Seong, Jin-Taek
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.572-578
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    • 2018
  • This paper considers Group Testing as one of combinatorial problems. The group testing first began to inspect soldier's syphilis infection during World War II and have long established an academic basis. Recently, there has been much interest in related areas because of the rediscovery of the value of the group testing. The group testing is the same as finding a few defect samples out of a large number of samples, which is similar to the inverse problem of Compressed Sensing. In this paper, we introduce the definition of the group testing, and specify the classes of the group testing and the bounds on performance of the group testing. In addition, we show a lower bound for the number of tests required to find defective samples using the theoretical theorem which is mainly used for relationship between conditional entropy and the probability of error in the information theory. We see how our result can be different from other related results.

Simple Forecasting of Surface Ozone through a Statistical Approach

  • Ma, Chang-Jin;Kang, Gong-Unn
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.539-547
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: Ozone ($O_3$) advisories are issued by provincial/prefectural and city governments in Korea and Japan when oxidant concentrations exceed the criteria of the related country. Advisories issued only after exposure to high $O_3$ concentrations cannot be considered ideal measures. Forecasts of $O_3$ would be more beneficial to citizens' health and daily life than real-time advisories. The present study was undertaken to present a simplified forecasting model that can predict surface $O_3$ concentrations for the afternoon of the day of the forecast. Methods: For the construction of a simple and practical model, a multivariate regression model was applied. The monitored data on gases and climate variables from Japan's air quality networks that were recorded over nearly one year starting from April 2016 were applied as the subject for our model. Results: A well-known inverse correlation between $NO_2$ and $O_3$ was confirmed by the monitored data for Iksan, Korea and Fukuoka, Japan. Typical time fluctuations for $O_3$ and $NO_x$ were also found. Our model suggests that insolation is the most influential factor in determining the concentration of $O_3$. $CH_4$ also plays a major role in our model. It was possible to visually check for the fit of a theoretical distribution to the observed data by examining the probability-probability (P-P) scatter plot. The goodness of fit of the model in this study was also successfully validated through a comparison (r=0.8, p<0.05) of the measured and predicted $O_3$ concentrations. Conclusions: The advantage of our model is that it is capable of immediate forecasting of surface $O_3$ for the afternoon of the day from the routinely measured values of the precursor and meteorological parameters. Although a comparison to other approaches for $O_3$ forecasting was not carried out, the model suggested in this study would be very helpful for the citizens of Korea and Japan, especially during the $O_3$ season from May to June.

Investigation of Live Load Deflection Limit for Steel Cable Stayed and Suspension Bridges

  • Park, Ki-Jung;Kim, Do-Young;Hwang, Eui-Seung
    • International journal of steel structures
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1252-1264
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    • 2018
  • Long span bridges such as steel cable stayed and suspension bridges are usually more flexible than short to medium span bridges and expected to have large deformations. Deflections due to live load for long span bridges are important since it controls the overall heights of the bridge for securing the clearance under the bridge and serviceability for securing the comfort of passengers or pedestrians. In case of sea-crossing bridges, the clearance of bridges is determined considering the height of the ship master from the surface of the water, the trim of the ship, the psychological free space, the tide height, and live load deflection. In the design of bridges, live load deflection is limited to a certain value to minimize the vibrations. However, there are not much studies that consider the live load deflection and its effects for long span bridges. The purpose of this study is to investigate the suitability of live load deflection limit and its actual effects on serviceability of bridges for steel cable-stayed and suspension bridges. Analytical study is performed to calculate the natural frequencies and deflections by design live load. Results are compared with various design limits and related studies by Barker et al. (2011) and Saadeghvaziri et al. (2012). Two long span bridges are selected for the case study, Yi Sun-Sin grand bridge (suspension bridge, main span length = 1545 m) and Young-Hung grand bridge (cable stayed bridge, main span length = 240 m). Long-term measured deflection data by GNSS system are collected from Yi Sun-Sin grand bridge and compared with the theoretical values. Probability of exceedance against various deflection limits are calculated from probability distribution of 10-min maximum deflection. The results of the study on the limitation of live load deflection are expected to be useful reference for the design, the proper planning and deflection review of the long span bridges around the world.

Development of Return flow rate Prediction Algorithm with Data Variation based on LSTM (LSTM기반의 자료 변동성을 고려한 하천수 회귀수량 예측 알고리즘 개발연구)

  • Lee, Seung Yeon;Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2022
  • The countermeasure for the shortage of water during dry season and drought period has not been considered with return flowrate in detail. In this study, the outflow of STP was predicted through a data-based machine learning model, LSTM. As the first step, outflow, inflow, precipitation and water elevation were utilized as input data, and the distribution of variance was additionally considered to improve the accuracy of the prediction. When considering the variability of the outflow data, the residual between the observed value and the distribution was assumed to be in the form of a complex trigonometric function and presented in the form of the optimal distribution of the outflow along with the theoretical probability distribution. It was apparently found that the degree of error was reduced when compared to the case not considering where the variance distribution. Therefore, it is expected that the outflow prediction model constructed in this study can be used as basic data for establishing an efficient river management system as more accurate prediction is possible.

An optimized deployment strategy of smart smoke sensors in a large space

  • Liu, Pingshan;Fang, Junli;Huang, Hongjun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.3544-3564
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    • 2022
  • With the development of the NB-IoT (Narrow band Internet of Things) and smart cities, coupled with the emergence of smart smoke sensors, new requirements and issues have been introduced to study on the deployment of sensors in large spaces. Previous research mainly focuses on the optimization of wireless sensors in some monitoring environments, including three-dimensional terrain or underwater space. There are relatively few studies on the optimization deployment problem of smart smoke sensors, and leaving large spaces with obstacles such as libraries out of consideration. This paper mainly studies the deployment issue of smart smoke sensors in large spaces by considering the fire probability of fire areas and the obstacles in a monitoring area. To cope with the problems of coverage blind areas and coverage redundancy when sensors are deployed randomly in large spaces, we proposed an optimized deployment strategy of smart smoke sensors based on the PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization) algorithm. The deployment problem is transformed into a multi-objective optimization problem with many constraints of fire probability and barriers, while minimizing the deployment cost and maximizing the coverage accuracy. In this regard, we describe the structure model in large space and a coverage model firstly, then a mathematical model containing two objective functions is established. Finally, a deployment strategy based on PSO algorithm is designed, and the performance of the deployment strategy is verified by a number of simulation experiments. The obtained experimental and numerical results demonstrates that our proposed strategy can obtain better performance than uniform deployment strategies in terms of all the objectives concerned, further demonstrates the effectiveness of our strategy. Additionally, the strategy we proposed also provides theoretical guidance and a practical basis for fire emergency management and other departments to better deploy smart smoke sensors in a large space.

Experimental Study on Tensile Fatigue Strength of the High Strength Bolts (고장력볼트의 인장피로강도에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Han, Jong Wook;Park, Young Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2A
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2008
  • New high strength bolts are required due to the development of the high strength steel, the ultra-thick steel plates, and the long-span bridge, though high strength bolts with tensile strength of 1,000 MPa are mainly used in construction site of every country. The high strength bolts are often subjected to a repeated tension-type of loading in which the fatigue failure is a major mode of failure. However, the theoretical and experimental study for the fatigue failure of tension bolt has not been well established in Korea. In this study, we performed a tensile fatigue test of F8T, F10T and F13T, F13T-N high strength bolts under tension. We proposed three fatigue strength specifications by performing 95% survival probability analysis for F8T, F10T, F13T, and F13T-N bolt under the $2{\times}10^6$ cycles of repeated loading. And the fatigue strength for the advanced screw thread shape bolt developed in this study are compared with the previous KS screw thread shape bolt.