• 제목/요약/키워드: the increase in urbanization

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우리나라의 기온상승-도시효과인가 지구온난화인가 (Urbanization Effect on the Observed Warming in Korea during the Recent Half Century)

  • 윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2002
  • 1951-1980 평년기온 대비 1971-2000 평년기온 상승을 남한지역 14개 관측소 소재 시군의 1966년 대비 1990년의 인구증가 자연대수값에 회귀시켜 통계적으로 유의한 관계식을 얻었다. 이 관계식을 이용하여 도시화에 따른 승온효과를 제거할 경우, 순수한 지구 온난화 효과는 12월부터 4월 사이의 한후기에만 인정되며, 나머지 계절에는 나타나지 않았다. 남한지역의 한후기 일평균기온은 지구온난화에 의해 최대 0.6$^{\circ}C$까지 상승하였으며 일최저기온보다 일최고기온 상승폭이 컸다. 도시화에 따른 승온효과는 최대 0.3$^{\circ}C$에서 0.5$^{\circ}C$로 연 중(4월 제외) 고르게 나타났지만, 주로 일최저기온의 상승을 주도하였고 일최고기온 상승에는 거의 영향이 없었다.

최고, 최저기온을 이용한 우리나라 기온변화에서의 도시화효과 분석 (The Estimation of Urbanization Effect in Global Warming over Korea using Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperatures)

  • 구교숙;부경온;권원태
    • 대기
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2007
  • This study investigates urbanization effect in warming trend of surface air temperature over Korea. The data used in this study consist of the daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period of 32 years(1968-1999) from 16 stations of KMA. To calculate magnitude and trend of urbanization effect, stations were classified into urban and rural stations using population statistics. Urban stations were defined as those with population densities greater than 1000 persons per kilometer squared in 1995. The others were defined as rural stations. The urban stations were also subdivided into two groups according to their population totals. For estimates of urban effect magnitude, temperature change was calculated by comparing 16-year mean values between 1968-83 and 1984-99. Then, the difference between each urban station and every rural station was calculated. During the analysis period of 32 years, maximum temperature increase is $1.22^{\circ}C$. In the total temperature increase, urban effect is estimated by 28.7%. For minimum temperature, it becomes larger by about 10% than that in maximum temperature. Therefore, urban effect in an increasing trend of minimum temperature is 38.9% in the change of $1.13^{\circ}C$.

Analysis of the Urbanization Effect on Hydrologic Response

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Kang, Na-Rae;Lee, Seung-Oh;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.944-944
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    • 2012
  • Urbanization leads to a change of hydrologic responses because impervious area is increased by urbanization. Decrease of groundwater recharge and increase of overland flow are general hydrologic characteristics caused by urbanization. This can be a source of damages such as increased flooding and reduced groundwater levels. Daily streamflow in Gabcheon watershed, South Korea is simulated by ARCSWAT model, an extension of SWAT2005. After calibration and validation of model, the simulated daily streamflow from 1997 to 2001 are statistically analyzed. The phenomenon that $T_{Qmean}$ is inversly proportional to coefficient of variation for the simulated daily streamflow is demonstrated. Also, hydrologic response was more influenced by weather than land use for high flow. This study also examines the effect of land use change on daily streamflow with spatially and quantitatively different land use maps. The simulated stream flow is tested by Mann-Whitney method. The median between stream flows simulated for 1990 and 2000 land use maps is significantly different, but the simulated streamflow for spatially different land use maps is almost unchanged.

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수도권지역 도시화가 국지기상에 미치는 영향 모델링 (Modeling the Impacts of Increased Urbanization on Local Meteorology in the Greater Seoul Area)

  • 강윤희;김유근;오인보;황미경;송상근
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권12호
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    • pp.1361-1374
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    • 2010
  • The impact of urbanization on local meteorology (e.g., surface temperature, PBL height, wind speed, etc.) in the Greater Seoul Area (GSA) was quantitatively evaluated based on a numerical modeling approach during a 1-month period of 2001 (9 Sep. through 8 Oct. 2001). The analysis was carried out by two sets of simulation scenarios: (1) with the global land use and topographic data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) in 1990s (i.e., LU-USGS case) and (2) with the land use data from the Environmental Geographic Information System (EGIS) along with the 3 sec elevation data from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) in 2000s (i.e., LU-EGIS case). The extension of urban areas in the GSA (especially, the southern parts of Seoul) accounted for 1.8% in the LU-USGS case and 6.2% in the LU-EGIS case. For the simulations, the surface temperature and PBL height due to urbanization in the LU-EGIS case was higher (the differences of up to $0.1^{\circ}C$ and 36 m, respectively) than those in the LU-USGS case, whereas the wind speed (up to 0.3 $ms^{-1}$) in the former was lower than that in the latter at 1500 LST. The increase in surface temperature due to urbanization in the GSA (especially, the southern parts of Seoul) was led to the strong convergence of air masses, causing the early sea breeze and its rapid propagation to inland locations. In addition, the vertical mixing motion in the extended urban areas for the LU-EGIS case was predicted to be stronger than that for the LU-USGS case and vice versa for the original urban areas.

WRF-UCM을 활용한 수도권 지역의 열환경 변화 연구: 2000년과 2009년의 비교 (Study on Heat Environment Changes in Seoul Metropolitan Area Using WRF-UCM: A Comparison between 2000 and 2009)

  • 이보라;이대근;남경엽;이영곤;김백조
    • 대기
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.483-499
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the impact of change of land-use and meteorological condition due to urbanization on heat environment in Seoul metropolitan area over a decade (2000 and 2009) using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Urban Canopy Model (UCM). The numerical simulations consist of three sets: meteorological conditions of (1) October 2000 with land-use data in 2000 (base simulation), (2) October 2009 with land-use data in 2000 (meteorological condition change effect) and (3) October 2009 with land-use data in 2009 (both the effects of land-use and meteorological condition change). According to the experiment results, the change of land-use and meteorological condition by urbanization over a decade showed different contribution to the change of heat environment in Seoul metropolitan area. There was about $1^{\circ}C$ increase in near-surface (2 m) temperature over all of the analyzed stations due to meteorological condition change. In stations where the land-use type changed into urban, large temperature increase at nighttime was observed by combined effects of meteorological condition and land-use changes (maximum $4.23^{\circ}C$). Urban heat island (UHI) over $3^{\circ}C$ (temperature difference between Seoul and Okcheon) increased 5.24% due to the meteorological condition change and 26.61% due to the land-use change. That is, land-use change turned out to be contributing to the strengthening of UHI more than the meteorological condition change. Moreover, the land-use change plays a major role in the increase of sensible heat flux and decrease of latent heat flux.

봄철 강수량 및 강수효율의 지역적 특성별 변화분석 (Analyzing the Variability of Spring Precipitation and Rainfall Effectiveness According to the Regional Characteristics)

  • 김광섭;김종필;이기춘
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권3호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • The temporal variability of spring (March, April, May) monthly precipitation, precipitation effectiveness, monthly maximum precipitation, monthly precipitation of different durations, and the precipitation days over several threshold (i.e. 0, 10, 20, 30, 40, and 50 mm/day) of 59 weather stations between 1973 and 2009 were analyzed. Also to analyze the regional characteristics of temporal variability, 59 weather stations were classified by elevations, latitudes, longitudes, river basins, inland or shore (east sea, south sea, west sea) area and the level of urbanization. Results demonstrated that trends of variables increase in April and decrease in May except precipitation day. Overall trend of precipitation amount and precipitation effectiveness is same but precipitation effectiveness of several sites decrease despite the trend of precipitation amount increases which may be caused by the air temperature increase. Therefore more effective water supply strategy is essential for Spring season. Regional characteristics of Spring precipitation variability can be summarized that increase trend during May become stronger with the increase of latitude and elevation which is similar to that of Summer season. The temporal variability of variables showed different behaviors according to river basins, inland or shore (east sea, south sea, west sea) area and the level of urbanization.

도시화에 따른 수문기후변화 II (도시화가 기준 증발산량에 미치는 영향) (Urbanization Effects on Reference Evapotranspiration)

  • 임창수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제40권7호
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    • pp.571-583
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 도시화에 따른 기후변화가 FAO Penman-Monteith 기준증발산량에 미치는 영향을 파악하고자 한다. 또한 도시화에 따른 수문기후학적 변화는 다른 지형 및 지리적 조건과도 밀접한 연관성을 가지고 있다. 따라서 도시화가 수문기후에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해서는 이들 지형 및 지리적조건도 동시에 고려되어야 한다. 이러한 지형 및 지리적 조건이 도시화과정과 함께 수문기후변화에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 FAO Penman-Monteith 기준증발산량을 산정하고, 에너지항 및 공기동력항이 FAO Penman-Monteith 기준증발산량에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 본 연구를 위하여 적용된 연구지역은 서울을 비롯한 56개 수문기후관측지점으로써 도시화과정을 분석하기 위하여 반경 10km를 중심으로 $314\;km^2$당하는 면적을 연구지역으로 설정하였다. 연구 지역의 도시화정도를 판단하기 위하여 토지이용현황을 분석하였다. 연구결과에 의하면 대부분의 연구지역에서 기준증발산의 변화정도는 도시화율의 정도에 따라서 상관관계를 보이는 것으로 판단된다. 기준증발산량의 변화정도는 도시화율이 클수록 큰 변화를 보이는 것으로 판단된다. 분석결과에 의하면 기준증발산량의 변화정도는 도시화가 진행됨에 따라서 도시지역 내 열섬현상에 따른 기온상승과 도시치역의 주거지면적 증가에 따른 습도의 감소 그리고 풍속의 감소 영향인 것으로 보이며, 특히 습도의 감소가 기준증발산량에 가장 크게 영향을 미치는 것으로 판단된다. 또한 도시지역 내의 태양복사량 감소에 따른 순단파복사량의 감소나 기온상승에 따른 순장파복사량의 증가에 의해서 영향을 받는 것으로 보인다. 또한 연구지역의 지리 및 지형조건이 기준증발산량에 미치는 영향을 분석한 결과 56개 연구지역의 기준증발산량에 미치는 요인은 주로 도시화에 따른 기후변화와 해안 근접성인 것으로 판단된다.

Relationship between Urbanization and Cancer Incidence in Iran Using Quantile Regression

  • Momenyan, Somayeh;Sadeghifar, Majid;Sarvi, Fatemeh;Khodadost, Mahmoud;Mosavi-Jarrahi, Alireza;Ghaffari, Mohammad Ebrahim;Sekhavati, Eghbal
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권sup3호
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    • pp.113-117
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    • 2016
  • Quantile regression is an efficient method for predicting and estimating the relationship between explanatory variables and percentile points of the response distribution, particularly for extreme percentiles of the distribution. To study the relationship between urbanization and cancer morbidity, we here applied quantile regression. This cross-sectional study was conducted for 9 cancers in 345 cities in 2007 in Iran. Data were obtained from the Ministry of Health and Medical Education and the relationship between urbanization and cancer morbidity was investigated using quantile regression and least square regression. Fitting models were compared using AIC criteria. R (3.0.1) software and the Quantreg package were used for statistical analysis. With the quantile regression model all percentiles for breast, colorectal, prostate, lung and pancreas cancers demonstrated increasing incidence rate with urbanization. The maximum increase for breast cancer was in the 90th percentile (${\beta}$=0.13, p-value<0.001), for colorectal cancer was in the 75th percentile (${\beta}$=0.048, p-value<0.001), for prostate cancer the 95th percentile (${\beta}$=0.55, p-value<0.001), for lung cancer was in 95th percentile (${\beta}$=0.52, p-value=0.006), for pancreas cancer was in 10th percentile (${\beta}$=0.011, p-value<0.001). For gastric, esophageal and skin cancers, with increasing urbanization, the incidence rate was decreased. The maximum decrease for gastric cancer was in the 90th percentile(${\beta}$=0.003, p-value<0.001), for esophageal cancer the 95th (${\beta}$=0.04, p-value=0.4) and for skin cancer also the 95th (${\beta}$=0.145, p-value=0.071). The AIC showed that for upper percentiles, the fitting of quantile regression was better than least square regression. According to the results of this study, the significant impact of urbanization on cancer morbidity requirs more effort and planning by policymakers and administrators in order to reduce risk factors such as pollution in urban areas and ensure proper nutrition recommendations are made.

Impact of urbanization on Nwaorie and Otamiri Rivers in Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria

  • Ogbomida, Emmanuel T.;Emeribe, Chukwudi N.
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2013
  • The study examined the effect of urbanization on the water quality of Nwaorie and Otamiri Rivers in Owerri metropolis, Imo State, South-East Nigeria. Water samples were collected from Nwaorie and Otamiri Rivers from four sampling stations up and down stream. Water parameters analyzed using standard procedures were: color, turbidity, temperature, pH, total hardness, total solids, metals (Iron and magnesium), anions (nitrate and ammonia) and Fecal coliform. Results showed increased levels of coloration, iron, ammonia, turbidity and fecal coliform which exceeded the World Health Organization (WHO) permissible limits for drinking water. Increase in these parameters indicated influx of industrial effluent from the nearby industries and indiscriminate disposal of wastes at the bank of the rivers. Application of ANOVA showed various degree of variation in pollutants levels between the two rivers and at different sampling points. River Nwaorie was observed to be more impacted than River Otamiri. High values of iron observed from the study could be deleterious to human health if the river water is consumed without treatment. The study, therefore, recommended proper waste management and disposal as well as effluent treatments in Owerri municipal against pollution of surface water.

Environmental Cooperation with the Distribution of Urbanization between South and North Korea

  • CHOI, Choongik
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study aims to lay the foundation for a desirable direction to solve future environmental problems through framework research on environmental cooperation according to distribution of urbanization between South and North Korea. The article also attempts to explore solution to two Koreas' environmental problems from the cooperative perspective between South and North Korea and draw future policy tasks. Research design, data, and methodology - For methodology, North Korea's legal system to cope with disasters is taken into consideration in terms of literature review. This study also analyzes a series of processes related to North Korea's disaster management through case study, and draws policy measures for North and South Korea's cooperation scope and methods. Result - The results support that North Korea is very vulnerable to environmental disasters due to food shortages, economic sanctions, and enormous natural disaster damages including flood damages occurring each year, because of the lack of disaster prevention infrastructure such as river maintenance. Conclusion - At the current time when North and South Koran exchange and cooperation increase, a disaster management cooperative system is needed for the areas where South and North Korea manage through division. It also suggests that there is a need to establish regulations and procedures for support items in advance for a quick response to disasters in North Korean region.