• Title/Summary/Keyword: the estimation of policy

Search Result 853, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

A Study on the Estimation of Chungbuk Quarterly GRDP by Using Small Area Estimation (충청북도 분기별 GRDP 추계방안 연구: 소지역 추정법의 적용)

  • 이계오;김윤수;유정빈
    • Survey Research
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.131-152
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this Era of Information and Localization. Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) is recognized as indispensable information to establish regional economic policy. Especially, to raise Chungbuk province's economical independence and to establish effectual regional economic development plans, Chungbuk province needs quarterly estimated GRDP for developing regional economic forecasting system. In this study. utilizing small area estimation is proposed to estimate the quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP. To estimate quarterly GRDP. this study assumes that the comovement between the annual Chungbuk-GRDP provided by the Bureau of Statistics and nation's GDP provided by the Bank of Korea exists. Moreover, from the nation's quarterly GDP in each section of economical activity, this study has presumed the quarterly comovement. applied ft to subdivide Chungbuk annual GRDP quarterly, and estimated quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP.

  • PDF

A Study of Development Gains Estimation in Building Land Development Projects (택지개발사업의 개발이익 추계에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.595-613
    • /
    • 2006
  • In the debates of development gains, the general rule is that it results from actions other than those of the landowner, most notably of the public sector as in granting of permissions for the development of specific land uses and densities or through infrastructure investments, or of socio-economic forces due to a general capital accumulation in space. A huge academic literature has investigated the development gains capture that refers to the process by which a portion of or all land value increments attributed to the community effort are recouped by the public sector. Policy instruments for applying development gains capture are based on deepening land value taxation, financing infrastructure, controling land use. But one of the most basic for the efficient policy implementation is the accurate estimation of development gains. This paper estimates the development gains generated by the total 204 building land projects of Korea Land Corporation and Korea National Housing Corporation since 1995.

  • PDF

A Panel Study on the Determinants of the Regional Variation in the Rate of Certification in Long-Term Care Insurance (노인장기요양보험 지역별 인정률 결정요인에 대한 패널분석)

  • Sakong, Jin;Song, Hyunjong
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.56-62
    • /
    • 2017
  • Background: There have been deviations in the regional rate of certification in Korean long-term care insurance (LTCI). This study aimed to explore the determinants of the rate of certification in LTCI. Methods: The panel data of the year 2010-2014 of the 227 National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) regional office were used. Making use of 26 explanatory variables (socio-demographic factors, access to the long-term care services, etc.), we estimated the random effects model using STATA SE ver. 13.0 program (Stata Corp., College Station, TX, USA) and tried to find out the determinants of the regional rate of certification. Results: Estimation results showed that the most important determinants of the regional rate of certification in LTCI are the long-term care infrastructure such as capacity or number of the homecare service institution, sanatorium, or convalescent hospital. The number of the elderly who lives alone and the dimentia patients were positively related to the regional rate of certification in LTCI. Conclusion: The estimation results implied that the regional variation in the rate of certification in LTCI has nothing to do with the NHIS regional offices or their employees. To alleviate the deviation in the regional rate of certification in LTCI, we suggested the analysis of the deviation in the survey checklist. We also proposed to found the regional comprehensive support center to prevent the geriatric illness and to improve the residents' health, etc.

Factors Influencing Readmission of Convalescent Rehabilitation Patients: Using Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service Claims Data (회복기 재활환자의 재입원에 영향을 미치는 요인: 건강보험 청구자료를 이용하여)

  • Shin, Yo Han;Jeong, Hyoung-Sun
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.451-461
    • /
    • 2021
  • Background: Readmissions related to lack of quality care harm both patients and health insurance finances. If the factors affecting readmission are identified, the readmission can be managed by controlling those factors. This paper aims to identify factors that affect readmissions of convalescent rehabilitation patients. Methods: Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service claims data were used to identify readmissions of convalescent patients who were admitted in hospitals and long-term care hospitals nationwide in 2018. Based on prior research, the socio-demographics, clinical, medical institution, and staffing levels characteristics were included in the research model as independent variables. Readmissions for convalescent rehabilitation treatment within 30 days after discharge were analyzed using logistic regression and generalization estimation equation. Results: The average readmission rate of the study subjects was 24.4%, and the risk of readmission decreases as age, length of stay, and the number of patients per physical therapist increase. In the patient group, the risk of readmission is lower in the spinal cord injury group and the musculoskeletal system group than in the brain injury group. The risk of readmission increases as the severity of patients and the number of patients per rehabilitation medicine specialist increases. Besides, the readmission risk is higher in men than women and long-term care hospitals than hospitals. Conclusion: "Reducing the readmission rate" is consistent with the ultimate goal of the convalescent rehabilitation system. Thus, it is necessary to prepare a mechanism for policy management of readmission.

Estimation of Productivity Losses due to Smoking (흡연으로 인한 생산성 손질 추정)

  • 김태현;문옥륜;김병익
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.169-187
    • /
    • 2000
  • Cigarette smoking has been identified as the most important source of preventable morbidity and premature mortality (WHO, 1995), The prevalence of smoking among men is very high in Korea. This study estimated productivity losses due to smoking in Korea, 1997. The derivation of cost estimates for mortality, disability, hospitalization and use of physician services related to cigarette smoking is bas 어 on the calculation of attributable fractions suggested by MacMahon and Cole and Smoking-Attributable Mortality, Morbidity, and Economic Cost(SAMMEC) software. To estimate the number of deaths from neoplastic, cardiovascular, respiratory diseases associated with cigarette smoking, estimates for adults(aged 20 years and over) were based on 1997 mortality data, 1995 data on smoking prevalence from Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs. Smoking-attributable indirect morbidity cost data were obtained from the National Federation of Medical Insurance. As the result of cost estimation, these productivity losses were 336-430 billion won. During 1997, 8,620-10,804 deaths were attributed to smoking. Cigarette smoking resulted in 133,991-169,422 Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL) to life expectancy. For smoking -attributable indirect mortality costs, the present value of future earnings(PVFE) for the age at death are 299-384 billion won. Smoking-attributable indirect morbidity costs, the costs of lost productivity for persons who are disabled by smoking-related chronic diseases are 37-46 billion won. In this study the productivity losses due to smoking were restricted to the health effects of smoking. It is possible that these costs were underestimated with the limitation of the data. Smoking is the leading preventable cause of illness and death. The results of this study can be used as elementary data for antismoking policy.

  • PDF

The Effect of Payment Method of Community Medical Provider on Medical Care Use of Community Residents (지역사회 의료공급자의 지불보상체계상의 특징이 지역사회 주민의 의료이용에 미치는 영향: 미국사례분석)

  • Lim, Jae-Young
    • Health Policy and Management
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.16-36
    • /
    • 2005
  • Due to the existence of asymmetry of information between doctor and patient, it has been believed that doctor might affect patient's decision making process of purchasing medical care. Based on this notion, doctor's reimbursement method has been suggested as an effective policy device of improving efficiency of patient's medical care use by way of its affecting doctor's practice pattern. By using the Community Tracking Study (CTS) household and physician data set, which includes not only various information on patient's medical care use, but doctor's practice arrangements and sources of practice revenue, this paper investigates the effect of community doctor's characteristics of reimbursement method on community patient's medical care use under the control of patient's socio-demographic characteristics and community doctor's practice type. In the process of estimating econometric model, the endogeneity problem of individual health insurance purchase was corrected by using 2818. And due to the existence of sample selection problem, Heckman's two-step estimation method was used for strengthen the robustness of estimation which was adversely affected by sample selection problem The empirical results show that as the average value of community doctor's portion of practice revenue determined by prospective method out of total revenue increases, the community patient's total out-of-pocket medical cost decreases. This results suggest, as doctor's practice revenues are mainly determined by prospective method, such as capitation, doctors would be more conscious about practice cost, which might affect doctor's practice pattern and by which his/her patient's use of medical care would decrease.

The Policy Effect of Minimum Housing Standards: Differences-in-Differences Estimation (최저주거기준 설정의 정책 효과: 이중차분법 추정)

  • Yi, Gunmin
    • 한국사회정책
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.25-59
    • /
    • 2016
  • This paper analyses the policy effect of minimum housing standards, using the fact that Seoul set the minimum housing standards in 1998. Because the whole country except Seoul did not set the minimum housing standards in 1998, we could find this situation as a quasi-experiment. In order to identify the policy effect of minimum housing standards, I compare decreasing amounts in the number of households below the threshold between Seoul and comparison regions from 1995 to 2000, using Differences-in-Differences method. I draw estimate of one-to-one comparison, using Gyeonggi province as a comparison region, and OLS estimate, utilizing the whole nation except Seoul as a comparison region, respectively, and compare two estimates. The former and the latter suggest that the setting of Seoul minimum housing standard in 1998 account for decreasing the number of households under the minimum housing standard, by about 216,638 and 325,149, respectively. The latter is statistically significant at the 0.001 level and the former is in the 95% confidence level of the latter. Therefore we could conclude that the setting of minimum housing standards contributes significantly to achieve the policy objectives, a decrease in the number of households, which are below the threshold.

Estimation and utilization of transport LPG demand function (수송용 LPG 수요함수의 추정 및 활용)

  • Lee, Seung-Jae;Han, Jong-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.301-308
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper attempts to estimate the demand function for the transport LPG and to analyze long-run and short-run price and income elasticities. In addition, the paper measures consumer surplus and economic value ensuing from the transport LPG consumption by utilizing the estimated long-run price elasticity. The price and the income data are the monthly real transport LPG price and the monthly composite index adjusted by real transport LPG price from 2003 to 2012. Unit root test, co-integration test and error correction model are to take the procedure of estimation of demand curve. The demand for transport LPG is considered to be inelastic and the long-run demand is more elasticity than that of short-run. Price elasticity of demand estimate here is -0.422, and the estimated consumer surplus and economic value in 2010/03 are 966 and 1,781 billion won, respectively.

An Empirical Study on the Effects of Public Procurement on the Productivity and Survivability of SMEs: Case of the Korean Mining and Manufacturing Sectors

  • CHANG, WOO HYUN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-18
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper empirically studies the effect of public procurement on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the Republic of Korea using firm-level data. Public procurement, the purchase of goods and services from private firms by the public sector, is regarded as an important policy measure for providing support to firms, particularly SMEs. This study uses establishment-level panel data of the mining and manufacturing sectors from the Korean National Bureau of Statistics (Statistics Korea) and procurement history from the Korean Public Procurement Service to empirically estimate the effects of public procurement on firms' productivity (total factor productivity) and survivability. Using a propensity score matching estimation method, we find that participating firms showed higher productivity than non-participating ones in the control group only for the year of participation, that is, 2009. After two years, in 2011, they exhibited significantly lower productivity. In contrast, establishments that participated in public procurement for SMEs in 2009 were more likely to survive than those that did not do so in 2011. These results can be interpreted as the negative consequences of government intervention. The market's efficiency enhancement is hindered if underserving companies survive owing to government intervention but fail to improve efficiency.

Estimation of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Reductions from Bioenergy (Biogas, Biomass): A Case Study of South Korea (바이오에너지 (바이오가스, 바이오매스) 기술의 온실가스 감축산정: 국내를 대상으로)

  • Jung, Jaehyung;Kim, Kiman
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.33 no.4
    • /
    • pp.393-402
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions from bioenergy (biogas, biomass) have been estimated in Korea, 2015. This study for construction of reduction inventories as direct and indirect reduction sources was derived from IPCC 2006 guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, guidelines for local government greenhouse inventories published in 2016, also purchased electricity and steam indirect emission factors obtained from KPX, GIR respectively. As a result, the annual GHG reductions were estimated as $1,860,000tonCO_{2eq}$ accounting for 76.8% of direct reduction (scope 1) and 23.2% of indirect reduction (scope 2). Estimation of individual greenhouse gases (GHGs) from biogas appeared that $CO_2$, $CH_4$, $N_2O$ were $90,000tonCO_2$ (5.5%), $55,000tonCH_4$ (94.5%), $0.3tonN_2O$ (0.004%), respectively. In addition, biomass was $250,000tonCO_2$ (107%), $-300tonCH_4$ (-3.2%), $-33tonN_2O$ (-3.9%). For understanding the values of estimation method levels, field data (this study) appeared to be approximately 85.47% compared to installed capacity. In details, biogas and biomass resulting from field data showed to be 76%, 74% compared to installed capacity, respectively. In the comparison of this study and CDM project with GHG reduction unit per year installed capacity, this study showed as 42% level versus CDM project. Scenario analysis of GHG reductions potential from bioenergy was analyzed that generation efficiency, availability and cumulative distribution were significantly effective on reducing GHG.