• 제목/요약/키워드: the appraisal standard

검색결과 117건 처리시간 0.033초

Effectiveness of Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Techniques for Control of Pain in Lung Cancer Patients: An Integrated Review

  • Phianmongkhol, Yupin;Thongubon, Kannika;Woottiluk, Pakapan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권14호
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    • pp.6033-6038
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    • 2015
  • Background: Experience of lung cancer includes negative impacts on both physical and psychological health. Pain is one of the negative experiences of lung cancer. Cognitive behavioral therapy techniques are often recommended as treatments for lung cancer pain. The objective of this review was to synthesize the evidence on the effectiveness of cognitive behavioral therapy techniques in treating lung cancer pain. This review considered studies that included lung cancer patients who were required to 1) be at least 18 years old; 2) speak and read English or Thai; 3) have a life expectancy of at least two months; 4) experience daily cancer pain requiring an opioid medication; 5) have a positive response to opioid medication; 6) have "average or usual" pain between 4 and 7 on a scale of 0-10 for the day before the clinic visit or for a typical day; and 7) able to participate in a pain evaluation and treatment program. This review considered studies to examine interventions for use in treatment of pain in lung cancer patients, including: biofeedback, cognitive/attentional distraction, imagery, hypnosis, and meditation. Any randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that examined cognitive behavioral therapy techniques for pain specifically in lung cancer patients were included. In the absence of RCTs, quasi-experimental designs were reviewed for possible conclusion in a narrative summary. Outcome measures were pain intensity before and after cognitive behavioural therapy techniques. The search strategy aimed to find both published and unpublished literature. A three-step search was utilised by using identified keywords and text term. An initial limited search of MEDLINE and CINAHL was undertaken followed by analysis of the text words contained in the title and abstract, and of the index terms used to describe the article. A second search using all the identified keywords and index terms was then undertaken across all included databases. Thirdly, the reference list of all identified reports and articles were searched for additional studies. Searches were conducted during January 1991- March 2014 limited to English and Thai languages with no date restriction. Materials and Methods: All studies that met the inclusion criteria were assessed for methodological quality by three reviewers using a standardized critical appraisal tool from the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI). Three reviewers extracted data independently, using a standardized data extraction tool from the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI). Ideally for quantitative data meta-analysis was to be conducted where all results were subject to double data entry. Odds ratios (for categorical data) and weighted mean differences (for continuous data) and their 95% confidence intervals were to be calculated for analysis and heterogeneity was to be assessed using the standard Chi-square. Where statistical pooling was not possible the finding were be presented in narrative form. Results: There were no studies located that met the inclusion requirements of this review. There were also no text and opinion pieces that were specific to cognitive behavioral therapy techniques pain and lung cancer patients.Conclusions: There is currently no evidence available to determine the effectiveness of cognitive behavioural therapy techniques for pain in lung cancer patients.

댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제적 효과분석 (Analysis of Economic Effectiveness for Flood Control of Dam)

  • 최승안;이충성;심명필;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2007
  • 기존의 댐 계획이나 운영에서는 댐의 홍수조절 효과분석을 위해 댐 홍수조절 기여도 평가, 유황변화, 환경생태학적 변화 및 댐 하류의 수위저감효과를 사용하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 분석방법은 댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제석 효과를 명확하게 제시할 수 없기 때문에, 댐의 치수역할과 필요성에 대한 국민적 공감대 형성이나 댐 사업의 타당성을 정확하게 평가하고 알리기에는 한계가 있다고 판단된다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 댐의 홍수조절에 의한 효과를 보다 분명하고 정확하게 산정하기 위하여 기존의 수위저감효과와 더불어 홍수피해 절감량이 얼마나 발생하였는지를 정량화할 수 있는 방법론을 개발하였다. 제안된 방법론에서는 홍수위 조건에 따라 위험상태기준을 잠재안전, 상대위험, 절대위험의 세 가지 상태로 정의하여 이에 따라 홍수피해 절감량을 제시한다. 구축된 방법을 남한강 유역의 2006년 7월 집중호우를 대상으로 충주댐의 홍수조절에 의한 여주지점에서의 수위차감효과와 이에 따른 경제적 효과를 분석하였다. 적용결과 피해경감량은 4조 1,890억원으로 산정되었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 댐의 홍수조절에 대한 경제적 효과분석은 댐의 홍수조절 효과나 증요성을 이해하는데 큰 기여가 될 수 있을 것이다.

소셜 네트워크 사이트의 웹 접근성 평가 (Web Accessibility Evaluation of Social Network Sites)

  • 한혁수;김초이
    • 감성과학
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.481-488
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    • 2009
  • 웹 2.0이 등장하면서 나타난 개념인 SNS(Social Network Service 또는 Social Network Sites)는 오프라인에서 만 존재하던 사회적 관계망을 온라인에서 구축한 친목기반 인맥 형성 서비스이다. 페이스북(Facebook), 마이스페이스(Myspace), 트위터(Twiter)등과 같은 외국 SNS와 싸이월드(Cyworld), 미투데이(Me2Day)등과 같은 국내 SNS는 지속적인 인기를 누리며, 인터넷 환경의 주요한 응용 분야로 자리 잡고 있다. 이러한 SNS는 모든 사용자들이 타인과 협력하고 정보를 공유하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있기 때문에, 웹을 사용하는데 어려움을 가지고 있는 노인과 장애인들이 사용하기에 적절한 인터페이스를 제공하고 있는지 웹 접근성을 평가할 필요가 있다. 웹 접근성은 인지적, 신체적 특징에 상관없이 모든 사람에게 동등한 웹 기회를 제공하고 있는가를 나타내는 지표이다. 만약, SNS가 웹 접근성이 낮아 노인과 장애인이 사용하지 못한다면, 노인, 장애인과 일반사용자의 정보격차는 점점 늘어나서 사회적 문제가 될 것이다. 이에 본 논문에서는 웹 접근성 평가 도구인 KADO-WAH 2.0과 웹 접근성 표준 문서인 WCAG(Web Contents Accessibility Guideline) 2.0을 기반으로 SNS인 페이스북과 싸이월드의 웹 접근성을 평가하여, 웹 접근성 준수 현황을 파악하고, 개선방향을 제시하고자 한다.

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Clinical experience in managing temporomandibular joint ankylosis: five-year appraisal in a Nigerian subpopulation

  • Braimah, Ramat;Taiwo, Abdurrazaq;Ibikunle, Adebayo;Oladejo, Taoreed;Adeyemi, Mike;Adejobi, Francis;Abubakar, Siddiq
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제44권3호
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: Temporomandibular joint ankylosis (TMJA) is a joint pathology caused by bony and/or fibrous adhesion of the joint apparatus, resulting in partial or total loss of function. Materials and Methods: This is a retrospective study conducted between 2012 and 2016 in the northwest region of Nigeria. The data retrieved includes gender, age, etiology of ankylosis, duration of ankylosis, laterality of ankylosis, type of imaging technique, type of airway management, types of incision, surgical procedure, mouth opening, interpositional materials used, and complications. Results were presented as simple frequencies and descriptive statistics. Results: Thirty-six patients with TMJA were evaluated during the study period. There were 21 males (58.3%) and 15 females (41.7%), yielding a male:female ratio of 1.4:1. The patients' age ranged from 5 to 33 years with $mean{\pm}standard$ deviation ($13.8{\pm}6.6years$). Thirty-five cases (97.2%) were determined to be true/bony ankylosis, while only 1 case (2.8%) was false/fibrous ankylosis. Most of the TMJA cases (16 cases, 44.4%) were secondary to a fall. In our series, the most commonly utilized incision was the Bramley-Al-Kayat (15 cases, 41.7%). The mostly commonly performed procedures were condylectomies and upper ramus ostectomies (12 cases each, 33.3%), while the most commonly used interpositional material was temporalis fascia (14 cases, 38.9%). The complications that developed included 4 cases (11.1%) of severe hemorrhage, 1 case (2.8%) of facial nerve palsy, and 1 case (2.8%) of re-ankylosis. Conclusion: Plain radiographs, with their shortcomings, still have significant roles in investigating TMJA. Aggressive postoperative physiotherapy for a minimum of 6 months is paramount for successful treatment.

악교정 수술을 위한 한국 성인 정상교합자의 연조직 기준치 (CEPHALOMETRIC NORMS OF THE SOFT TISSUES OF KOREAN FOR ORTHOGNATHIC SURGERY)

  • 김경호;최광철;김진갑;박광호
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.231-238
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    • 2001
  • This study was performed to evaluate soft tissue cephalometric norms for Korean adults which can be implemented in surgical orthodontic treatment planning using selected horizontal reference plane especially for Koreans (Male: $SN-7.5^{\circ}$, Female: $SN-9.0^{\circ}$) and a simplified analytical method. 70 males and 70 females consisting of freshmen of Yonsei University from 1996 to 1997 and students from the Dental College of Yonsei University were chosen according to clinical examination and cephalometric analysis. The samples had normal profiles, normal anteroposterior skeletal relationship(ANB angle of $0^{\circ}\;to\;4^{\circ}$ and Wits appraisal of -4.0mm to 0mm), and Class I molar and canine relationship. They had no missing or supernumerary teeth and had no experience of orthodontic or prosthetic treatment. After the selection of 15 soft tissue landmarks and the construction of horizontal and vertical reference lines, 25 measurements were taken. These consisted of vertical and horizontal linear measurements and angular measurements. The results were as follows. 1. Mean and standard deviation of the measurements were calculated in males and females. 2. Vertical measurements were comparably bigger in males than females whereas anterior facial height ratio(sN-Sn/Sn-sMe) and lower anterior facial height ratio(Sn-Stms/Stmi-sMe) showed no significant difference between sexes. 3. Most of the horizontal measurements in relation to the vertical reference line(G-perpendicular) showed no significant difference between sexes. 4. Nasofacial angle, columellar angle, nasolabial angle and facial contour angle showed no significant difference between sexes. 5. The upper and lower lip were positioned about $-1.0{\pm}2.0mm$ and $+1.0{\pm}2.0mm$ in relation to the Ricketts' esthetic line in both sexes. In this study, soft tissue cephalometric norms of Korean adults for orthognathic surgery were obtained.

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악교정 수술을 위한 한국 성인 정상교합자의 경조직 기준치 (CEPHALOMETRIC NORMS OF THE HARD TISSUES OF KOREAN FOR ORTHOGNATHIC SURGERY)

  • 김경호;최광철;김형곤;박광호
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2001
  • This study was performed to evaluate hard tissue cephalometric norms for Korean adults which can be implemented in surgical orthodontic treatment planning using selected horizontal reference plane especially for Koreans (Male: $SN-7.5^{\circ}$, Female: $SN-9.0^{\circ}$) and a simplified analytical method. 70 males and 70 females consisting of freshmen of Yonsei University from 1996 to 1997 and students from the Dental College of Yonsei University were chosen according to clinical examination and cephalometric analysis. The samples had normal profiles, normal anteroposterior skeletal relationship(ANB angle of $0^{\circ}$ to $4^{\circ}$ and Wits appraisal of -4.0mm to 0mm), and Class I molar and canine relationship. They had no missing or supernumerary teeth and had no experience of orthodontic or prosthetic treatment. After the selection of 23 landmarks and the construction of horizontal and vertical reference lines, 22 skeletal and 12 dental measurements were taken. These consisted of vertical and horizontal linear measurements and angular measurements. The results were as follows. 1. Mean and standard deviation of the measurements were calculated for males and females. 2. Most of the skeletal vertical measurements, and maxillary and mandibular length were bigger in males than females. Whereas anterior facial height ratio(N-ANS/ANS-Me) as well as maxillary and mandibular antero-posterior position in relation to the vertical reference line(N-perpendicular) showed no signigicant difference between sexes. 3. Maxillary and mandibular dental antero-posterior position in relation to the vertical reference line(N-perpendicular) showed no significant difference between sexes. 4. The upper incisor show(U1-Stms) was $2.1{\pm}1.7mm$ in males and $3.3{\pm}1.7mm$ in females. In this study, hard tissue cephalometric norms of Korean adults for orthognathic surgery were obtained.

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토지관리정보체계를 위한 공간자료관리 시스템 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of Spatial Database Management System for Land Management Information System(LMIS))

  • 홍성학;김태현;조영동;장병진
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.107-124
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    • 2001
  • 중앙정부 및 지방자치단체들은 지리정보시스템을 본격적으로 도입함으로서, 방대한양의 공간데이터베이^스를 구축하고 있다. 그러나 여러 기관이 각자의 목적과 필요에 따라 개별적 기준에 의해 공간데이터베이스를 중복 구축하여 비용의 낭비가 발생하고 있다. 더욱이 중복관리로 인해 공간자료의 일관성이 결여되고, 이로 인해 업무의 효율성과 신뢰성이 저하되고 있다. 또한 각기 도입한 시스템의 특이성과 자료 형식의 차이로 인해 상호 공유가 어려운 실정이다. 이러한 상황에서 건설교통부는 토지관련 각종 법률·속성·공간자료 등을 통합데이터베이스로 구축하고 관련업무를 전산화하는 토지관리정보체계구축 사업을 수행하고 있다. 타 정보화사업의 기본 공간자료를 제공하는 토지이용규제제도(이하 토지주제도)이며, 이들 자료는 지자체 전 부서에 걸쳐 다양하게 활용되고 있는 자료로서 토지 및 일반 행정업무와 민원발급의 기반자료가 되고 있다. 그러나 지적도는 지적, 도시계획, 공시지가, 개발사업 관련 부서 등에서 각기 유지관리하기 때문에 도면간의 불일치가 발생하고, 신뢰도가 저하되어, 지적원도 이외에는 정확성을 보장하기 어렵다. 토지주제는 현행법상 최종 결정·고시를 필지조사나 다양한 축척의 지형도, 지적도, 지적과 지형이 표시된 지형·지적도면을 이용함으로서 일선 지자체에서 조차 토지이용규제의 총괄적인 현황 및 규제공간적 상관관계를 파악하기 어렵다. 더욱이 지적도와의 관계가 불분명 한 경우는 필지별 토지이용현황 정보의 추출 및 관리가 단순중첩으로는 불가능하며 토지이용계획확인서와 같은 민원발급이나 필지별 토지이용규제 정보를 필요로 하는 업무에는 심각한 문제를 야기한다. 본 연구는 목적은 지형도, 지적도, 토지주제도 등의 공간자료를 통합 유지관리 할 수 있는 방안을 모색하고, 지료의 일관성을 확보 할 수 있는 시스템을 개발하는데 있다. 시스템 설계와 개발은 분산환경 하에서 운영될 수 있는 OpenGIS의 CORBA(OGC 1998) 사양을 기반으로 개발하였다. 시스템 설계방법론은 RUP(Rational Unified Process), 설계 및 구현은 UML(Unified Modeling Language)를 활용하였다. 시스템 운영환경은 공간자료의 편집에 있어 가격대비 신뢰성이 높으며 지자체에 많이 보편화되어 있는 CAD시스템을 기반으로 하였다.

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WHICH INFORMATION MOVES PRICES: EVIDENCE FROM DAYS WITH DIVIDEND AND EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS AND INSIDER TRADING

  • Kim, Chan-Wung;Lee, Jae-Ha
    • 재무관리논총
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.233-265
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    • 1996
  • We examine the impact of public and private information on price movements using the thirty DJIA stocks and twenty-one NASDAQ stocks. We find that the standard deviation of daily returns on information days (dividend announcement, earnings announcement, insider purchase, or insider sale) is much higher than on no-information days. Both public information matters at the NYSE, probably due to masked identification of insiders. Earnings announcement has the greatest impact for both DJIA and NASDAQ stocks, and there is some evidence of positive impact of insider asle on return volatility of NASDAQ stocks. There has been considerable debate, e.g., French and Roll (1986), over whether market volatility is due to public information or private information-the latter gathered through costly search and only revealed through trading. Public information is composed of (1) marketwide public information such as regularly scheduled federal economic announcements (e.g., employment, GNP, leading indicators) and (2) company-specific public information such as dividend and earnings announcements. Policy makers and corporate insiders have a better access to marketwide private information (e.g., a new monetary policy decision made in the Federal Reserve Board meeting) and company-specific private information, respectively, compated to the general public. Ederington and Lee (1993) show that marketwide public information accounts for most of the observed volatility patterns in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets. Company-specific public information is explored by Patell and Wolfson (1984) and Jennings and Starks (1985). They show that dividend and earnings announcements induce higher than normal volatility in equity prices. Kyle (1985), Admati and Pfleiderer (1988), Barclay, Litzenberger and Warner (1990), Foster and Viswanathan (1990), Back (1992), and Barclay and Warner (1993) show that the private information help by informed traders and revealed through trading influences market volatility. Cornell and Sirri (1992)' and Meulbroek (1992) investigate the actual insider trading activities in a tender offer case and the prosecuted illegal trading cased, respectively. This paper examines the aggregate and individual impact of marketwide information, company-specific public information, and company-specific private information on equity prices. Specifically, we use the thirty common stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and twenty one National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) common stocks to examine how their prices react to information. Marketwide information (public and private) is estimated by the movement in the Standard and Poors (S & P) 500 Index price for the DJIA stocks and the movement in the NASDAQ Composite Index price for the NASDAQ stocks. Divedend and earnings announcements are used as a subset of company-specific public information. The trading activity of corporate insiders (major corporate officers, members of the board of directors, and owners of at least 10 percent of any equity class) with an access to private information can be cannot legally trade on private information. Therefore, most insider transactions are not necessarily based on private information. Nevertheless, we hypothesize that market participants observe how insiders trade in order to infer any information that they cannot possess because insiders tend to buy (sell) when they have good (bad) information about their company. For example, Damodaran and Liu (1993) show that insiders of real estate investment trusts buy (sell) after they receive favorable (unfavorable) appraisal news before the information in these appraisals is released to the public. Price discovery in a competitive multiple-dealership market (NASDAQ) would be different from that in a monopolistic specialist system (NYSE). Consequently, we hypothesize that NASDAQ stocks are affected more by private information (or more precisely, insider trading) than the DJIA stocks. In the next section, we describe our choices of the fifty-one stocks and the public and private information set. We also discuss institutional differences between the NYSE and the NASDAQ market. In Section II, we examine the implications of public and private information for the volatility of daily returns of each stock. In Section III, we turn to the question of the relative importance of individual elements of our information set. Further analysis of the five DJIA stocks and the four NASDAQ stocks that are most sensitive to earnings announcements is given in Section IV, and our results are summarized in Section V.

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폭소노미 사이트를 위한 랭킹 프레임워크 설계: 시맨틱 그래프기반 접근 (A Folksonomy Ranking Framework: A Semantic Graph-based Approach)

  • 박현정;노상규
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.89-116
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    • 2011
  • In collaborative tagging systems such as Delicious.com and Flickr.com, users assign keywords or tags to their uploaded resources, such as bookmarks and pictures, for their future use or sharing purposes. The collection of resources and tags generated by a user is called a personomy, and the collection of all personomies constitutes the folksonomy. The most significant need of the folksonomy users Is to efficiently find useful resources or experts on specific topics. An excellent ranking algorithm would assign higher ranking to more useful resources or experts. What resources are considered useful In a folksonomic system? Does a standard superior to frequency or freshness exist? The resource recommended by more users with mere expertise should be worthy of attention. This ranking paradigm can be implemented through a graph-based ranking algorithm. Two well-known representatives of such a paradigm are Page Rank by Google and HITS(Hypertext Induced Topic Selection) by Kleinberg. Both Page Rank and HITS assign a higher evaluation score to pages linked to more higher-scored pages. HITS differs from PageRank in that it utilizes two kinds of scores: authority and hub scores. The ranking objects of these pages are limited to Web pages, whereas the ranking objects of a folksonomic system are somewhat heterogeneous(i.e., users, resources, and tags). Therefore, uniform application of the voting notion of PageRank and HITS based on the links to a folksonomy would be unreasonable, In a folksonomic system, each link corresponding to a property can have an opposite direction, depending on whether the property is an active or a passive voice. The current research stems from the Idea that a graph-based ranking algorithm could be applied to the folksonomic system using the concept of mutual Interactions between entitles, rather than the voting notion of PageRank or HITS. The concept of mutual interactions, proposed for ranking the Semantic Web resources, enables the calculation of importance scores of various resources unaffected by link directions. The weights of a property representing the mutual interaction between classes are assigned depending on the relative significance of the property to the resource importance of each class. This class-oriented approach is based on the fact that, in the Semantic Web, there are many heterogeneous classes; thus, applying a different appraisal standard for each class is more reasonable. This is similar to the evaluation method of humans, where different items are assigned specific weights, which are then summed up to determine the weighted average. We can check for missing properties more easily with this approach than with other predicate-oriented approaches. A user of a tagging system usually assigns more than one tags to the same resource, and there can be more than one tags with the same subjectivity and objectivity. In the case that many users assign similar tags to the same resource, grading the users differently depending on the assignment order becomes necessary. This idea comes from the studies in psychology wherein expertise involves the ability to select the most relevant information for achieving a goal. An expert should be someone who not only has a large collection of documents annotated with a particular tag, but also tends to add documents of high quality to his/her collections. Such documents are identified by the number, as well as the expertise, of users who have the same documents in their collections. In other words, there is a relationship of mutual reinforcement between the expertise of a user and the quality of a document. In addition, there is a need to rank entities related more closely to a certain entity. Considering the property of social media that ensures the popularity of a topic is temporary, recent data should have more weight than old data. We propose a comprehensive folksonomy ranking framework in which all these considerations are dealt with and that can be easily customized to each folksonomy site for ranking purposes. To examine the validity of our ranking algorithm and show the mechanism of adjusting property, time, and expertise weights, we first use a dataset designed for analyzing the effect of each ranking factor independently. We then show the ranking results of a real folksonomy site, with the ranking factors combined. Because the ground truth of a given dataset is not known when it comes to ranking, we inject simulated data whose ranking results can be predicted into the real dataset and compare the ranking results of our algorithm with that of a previous HITS-based algorithm. Our semantic ranking algorithm based on the concept of mutual interaction seems to be preferable to the HITS-based algorithm as a flexible folksonomy ranking framework. Some concrete points of difference are as follows. First, with the time concept applied to the property weights, our algorithm shows superior performance in lowering the scores of older data and raising the scores of newer data. Second, applying the time concept to the expertise weights, as well as to the property weights, our algorithm controls the conflicting influence of expertise weights and enhances overall consistency of time-valued ranking. The expertise weights of the previous study can act as an obstacle to the time-valued ranking because the number of followers increases as time goes on. Third, many new properties and classes can be included in our framework. The previous HITS-based algorithm, based on the voting notion, loses ground in the situation where the domain consists of more than two classes, or where other important properties, such as "sent through twitter" or "registered as a friend," are added to the domain. Forth, there is a big difference in the calculation time and memory use between the two kinds of algorithms. While the matrix multiplication of two matrices, has to be executed twice for the previous HITS-based algorithm, this is unnecessary with our algorithm. In our ranking framework, various folksonomy ranking policies can be expressed with the ranking factors combined and our approach can work, even if the folksonomy site is not implemented with Semantic Web languages. Above all, the time weight proposed in this paper will be applicable to various domains, including social media, where time value is considered important.

한국 NPL시장 수익률 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on the prediction of korean NPL market return)

  • 이현수;정승환;오경주
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.123-139
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    • 2019
  • 국내 NPL (Non performing loan) 시장은 1998년에 형성되었지만, 본격적으로 활성화 된 시기는 2009년으로 역사가 짧은 시장이다. 이로 인해 NPL 시장에 대한 연구도 아직까지는 활발히 진행되지 않고 있는 상황이다. 본 연구는 NPL 시장의 각 물건 별 기준 수익률 달성 유무를 예측할 수 있는 모델을 제안한다. 모델 구축에 사용되는 종속변수는 물건 별 최종 수익률이 기준 수익률 수치 도달 여부를 나타내는 이항변수를 사용하였고, 독립변수로는 물건의 특성을 나타내는 11개의 변수를 대상으로 one to one t-test와 logistic regression stepwise, decision tree를 수행하여 의미있는 7개의 독립변수를 선별하였다. 그리고 통상적으로 사용되는 기준 수익률 수치(12%)가 의미있는 기준 수치인지 확인하기 위해 수치 값을 조절해가며 종속변수를 산출하여 예측모델을 구축해보았다. 그 결과 12%의 기준 수익률 수치로 산출한 종속변수를 이용하여 구축한 예측모델의 평균 Hit ratio가 64.60%로 가장 우수하다는 결과를 얻었다. 다음으로 선별된 7개의 독립변수들과 12%를 기준으로한 수익률 달성유무 종속변수를 이용하여 판별분석, 로지스틱 회귀분석, 의사결정나무, 인공신경망, 유전자알고리즘 선형 모델의 5가지 방법론을 적용해 예측모델을 구축해보았다. 5가지 방법론으로 도출한 예측 모델 간 Hit ratio를 비교한 결과 인공신경망을 이용하여 구축한 예측모델의 Hit ratio가 67.4%로 가장 우수한 결과를 도출해내었다. 본 연구를 통해 추후 NPL시장 신규 물건 매매에 있어서 7가지의 독립변수들과 인공신경망 예측 모델을 활용하는 것이 효과적임을 증명하였다. 물건의 12% 수익률 달성 여부를 사전에 예측해봄으로써 유동화회사가 투자 의사결정을 하는 데에 도움을 줄 것으로 예상하며, 나아가 NPL 시장의 거래가 적정한 가격 선에서 진행됨으로 인해 유동성이 더욱 높아질 것이라 기대한다.