• Title/Summary/Keyword: the Future

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Factors to Influence Customer Satisfaction and Future Behavior Intention for LOHAS Exhibition (로하스박람회의 고객만족과 미래행동의도에 미치는 영향요인)

  • Ra, Jeung-Im;Kim, Hyoung-Gil;Yang, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.133-147
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The Purpose of this study is to observe the value of LOHAS as an exhibition that is perceived to be a specialized local exhibition with good fame and differentiated advantage as well as the spectators' will to visit the exhibition coming from the future behavior intention of visitors. Research design, data, and methodology - In order to achieve the purpose of this study, This study organized questionnaire after setting a hypothesis based on the theoretical background from the parameters. verification of the hypothesis by statistically analyzing the answers for questionnaire follows. Finally, the implication of this study is drawn through comprehensive discussion while This study indicated from the limits of the study and future direction for research. This study set up a model to research the influence on the structuring factors in LOHAS exhibition in forming perceived value, customer satisfaction and future behavior intention. Frequency analysis was used for getting demographic characteristics, verification of plausibility, reliability of measured parameters and factors analysis. This study have performed verification of difference at selection property level based on multiple regression analysis and demographic nature. Results - To summarize the study result, through the verification of hypothesis about meaningful influence among structuring factors in LOHAS exhibition, perceived value and customer satisfaction shows some noticeable points to focus on. That is, it is established things that partial adoption and meaning relationship of partial influence. The perceived value affected both customer satisfaction and future behavior intention meaningfully. Conclusions - This study could note that in the structuring factors of LOHAS exhibition, perceived value for visitors and customer satisfaction play their roles positively on the future behavior intention. In conclusion, this study implies that strategic measures are necessary to fulfill the structuring factors of LOHAS exhibition as they would make positive impact on acknowledged value, customer satisfaction and future behavior intention to contribute to the growth and development of LOHAS exhibition. Also it suggests that the method to join each other with activities is necessary to strengthen the properties of the exhibition and position well to be a solid local exhibition.

Future Climate Change Impact Assessment of Chungju Dam Inflow Considering Selection of GCMs and Downscaling Technique (GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정을 고려한 충주댐 유입량 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Chul Gyum;Park, Jihoon;Cho, Jaepil
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we evaluated the uncertainty in the process of selecting GCM and downscaling method for assessing the impact of climate change, and influence of user-centered climate change information on reproducibility of Chungju Dam inflow was analyzed. First, we selected the top 16 GCMs through the evaluation of spatio-temporal reproducibility of 29 raw GCMs using 30-year average of 10-day precipitation without any bias-correction. The climate extreme indices including annual total precipitation and annual maximum 1-day precipitation were selected as the relevant indices to the dam inflow. The Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) downscaling method was selected through the evaluation of reproducibility of selected indices and spatial correlation among weather stations. SWAT simulation results for the past 30 years period by considering limitations in weather input showed the satisfactory results with monthly model efficiency of 0.92. The error in average dam inflow according to selection of GCMs and downscaling method showed the bests result when 16 GCMs selected raw GCM analysi were used. It was found that selection of downscaling method rather than selection of GCM is more is important in overall uncertainties. The average inflow for the future period increased in all RCP scenarios as time goes on from near-future to far-future periods. Also, it was predicted that the inflow volume will be higher in the RCP 8.5 scenario than in the RCP 4.5 scenario in all future periods. Maximum daily inflow, which is important for flood control, showed a high changing rate more than twice as much as the average inflow amount. It is also important to understand the seasonal fluctuation of the inflow for the dam management purpose. Both average inflow and maximum inflow showed a tendency to increase mainly in July and August during near-future period while average and maximum inflows increased through the whole period of months in both mid-future and far-future periods.

Uncertainty of future runoff projection according to SSP scenarios and hydrologic model parameters (미래 기후변화 시나리오와 수문모형 매개변수에 따른 미래 유량예측 불확실성)

  • Kim, Jin Hyuck;Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2023
  • Future runoff analysis is influenced by climate change scenarios and hydrologic model parameters, with uncertainties. In this study, the uncertainty of future runoff analysis according to the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenario and hydrologic model parameters was analyzed. Among the SSP scenarios, the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios were used, and the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model was used as the hydrologic model. For the parameters of the SWAT model, a total of 11 parameter were optimized to the observed runoff data using SWAT-CUP. Then, uncertainty analysis of future estimated runoff compared to the observed runoff was performed using jensen-shannon divergence (JS-D), which can calculate the difference in distribution. As a result, uncertainty of future runoff was analyzed to be larger in SSP5-8.5 than in SSP2-4.5, and larger in the far future (2061-2100) than in the near future (2021-2060). In this study, the uncertainty of future runoff using future climate data according to the parameters of the hydrologic model is as follows. Uncertainty was greatly analyzed when parameters used observed runoff data in years with low flow rates compared to average years. In addition, the uncertainty of future runoff estimation was analyzed to be greater for the parameters of the period in which the change in runoff compared to the average year was greater.

Estimation of Crop Water Requirement Changes Due to Future Land Use and Climate Changes in Lake Ganwol Watershed (간월호 유역의 토지이용 및 기후변화에 따른 논밭 필요수량 변화 추정)

  • Kim, Sinaee;Kim, Seokhyeon;Hwang, Soonho;Jun, Sang-Min;Song, Jung-Hun;Kang, Moon-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.61-75
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to assess the changes in crop water requirement of paddy and upland according to future climate and land use changes scenarios. Changes in the spatiotemporal distribution of temperature and precipitation are factors that lower the stability of agricultural water supply, and predicting the changes in crop water requirement in consideration of climate change can prevent the waste of limited water resources. Meanwhile, due to the recent changes in the agricultural product consumption structure, the area of paddy and upland has been changing, and it is necessary to consider future land use changes in establishing an appropriate water use plan. Climate change scenarios were derived from the four GCMs of the CMIP6, and climate data were extracted under two future scenarios, namely SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5. Future land use changes were predicted using the FLUS (Future Land Use Simulation) model. Crop water requirement in paddy was calculated as the sum of evapotranspiration and infiltration based on the water balance in a paddy field, and crop water requirement in upland was estimated as the evapotranspiration value by applying Penman-Monteith method. It was found that the crop water requirement for both paddy and upland increased as we go to the far future, and the degree of increase and variability by time showed different results for each GCM. The results derived from this study can be used as basic data to develop sustainable water resource management techniques considering future watershed environmental changes.

Future Changes of Wildfire Danger Variability and Their Relationship with Land and Atmospheric Interactions over East Asia Using Haines Index (Haines Index를 이용한 동아시아 지역 산불 확산 위험도 변화와 지표-대기 상호관계와의 연관성 연구)

  • Lee, Mina;Hong, Seungbum;Park, Seon Ki
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2013
  • Many studies have related the recent variations of wildfire regime such as the increasing number of occurrances, their patterns and timing changes, and the severity of their extreme cases with global warming. However, there are only a few numbers of wildfire studies to assess how the future wildfire regime will change in the interactions between land and atmosphere with climate change especially over East Asia. This study was performed to estimate the future changing aspect of wildfire danger with global warming, using Haines Index (HI). Calculated from atmospheric instability and dryness, HI is the potential of an existing fire to become a dangerous wildfire. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, two separated 5-year simulations of current (1995~1999) and far future (2095~2099) were performed and analyzed. Community Climate System Model 3 (CCSM3) model outputs were utilized for the model inputs for the past and future over East Asia; future prediction was driven under the IPCC A1B scenario. The results indicate changes of the wildfire danger regime, showing overall decreasing the wildfire danger in the future but intensified regional deviations between north and south. The overall changes of the wildfire regime seems to stem from atmospheric dryness which is sensitive to soil moisture variation. In some locations, the future wildfire danger overall decreases in summer but increases in winter or fall when the actual fire occurrence are generally peaked especially in South China.

A Study on the Architectural Design Feature for Future School - Focusing on the Space Composition of Educational Space - (사례분석을 통한 미래지향적 학교의 건축 계획적 특성 연구 - 교육공간구성을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Ji-You;Lee, Jong-Kuk
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.12-21
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    • 2019
  • In the wake of the fourth industrial revolution, the paradigm of human resources and education required by reality is changing. School buildings are also improving to accommodate changed education and with that move, school building reform policies have been established at home and abroad. The purpose of this study is to present the architectural planning characteristics of Future Schools related to space design. The research methods are as follows: First, the characteristics of Future School planning are compiled through prior research surveys in Korea. Second, the characteristics outlined earlier through advanced case analysis are examined of their application to architectural planning in order to establish the status of utilization factors, and the direction of planning is presented. This study names the school architecture as 'Future School' in reference to the use of the term in the preceding study. This study is meaningful in that it focuses on architectural planning characteristics in Future School planning and on actual application cases of theory.

E-learning Standardization Roadmap Based on the Future E-learning Scenarios (미래 e-러닝 시나리오에 기반을 둔 e-러닝 표준화 로드맵)

  • Choe, Hyunjong;Cho, Youngsang;Park, UngKyu;Kim, Taeyoung
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this research is to propose a e-learning standardization roadmap based on the future scenarios. First of all, a e-learning standardization committee was organized to collect ideas on the visions of the future e-learning, in which experts from the technological, educational, and standardization field were invited. They made a great contribution to the success of this research by furnishing us with valuable advices and feedbacks. The first step of the research was to survey the current e-learning standardization proposals suggested by some of standard organizations in and out of the country. We developed three 2015 scenarios for e-learning in elementary and secondary education, in university education, and in life-long education respectively by using a top-down roadmap development strategy. In the second step, we drew a new e-learning standardization roadmap v2 out of the future scenarios by gap analysis between the current and the future e-learning standardization elements. These future e-learning scenarios and e-learning standardization roadmap are very helpful to teachers or educational policy makers for understanding future e-learning and e-learning standardization.

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A Study on the Perception of Librarians and Library Users on the Future Direction of Public Library Development (미래 공공도서관 발전 방향에 대한 사서 및 이용자 인식 조사)

  • Kim, Seonghee;Lee, Seungmin
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.499-519
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    • 2022
  • This study empirically analyzed how users and librarians perceive the roles and functions of the future public library through a survey and suggested what should be considered in establishing the future direction of the development of future library. As a result of the analysis, both librarians and users aware that contents were the most important aspect in the operation of future public libraries. In addition, users perceive the importance of information services higher than librarians, which shows that future public libraries require to develop and offer various information services. In contrast, the adoption of the latest information technology showed relatively low awareness of its importance in future public libraries. Therefore, the use of content and the provision of various channels and tools to satisfy information needs were perceived as more important than the adoption of information technologies.