• Title/Summary/Keyword: the Change of the times

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Estimation on Hazard Rates Change-Point Model

  • Kwang Mo Jeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.327-336
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    • 2000
  • We are mainly interested in hazard rate changes which are usually occur in survival times of manufactured products or patients. We may expect early failures with one hazard rate and next another hazard rate. For this type of data we apply a hazard rate change-point model and estimate the unkown time point to improve the model adequacy. We introduce change-point logistic model to the discrete time hazard rates. The MLEs are obtained routinely and we also explain the suggested model through a dataset of survival times.

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A Study on the Volumetric Change of Sewage Dredged Soils (하수준설토의 체적변화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Song;Lee, Moo-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.1167-1174
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    • 2005
  • This paper describes on the volume change of Sewage Dredged Soils by using laboratory test and volumetric change test. The tremendous change of Moisture Content occured in the Sewage Dredged Soils during the Elapsed Time. The Unit Weight increases during the normally shrinkage limit void ratio and then the unit weight decrease. A volume of Sewage Dredged Soils according to the moisture content is a difference maximum 2.5 times. And there is the difference 3.5 times according to the change of unit weight. Therefore, the moisture content and unit weight computation are very important for the computation on the volume of Sewage Drdeged Soils.

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The Analysis of GOCI CDOM for Observation of Ocean Environment Change (해양환경변화관측을 위한 GOCI CDOM 자료 분석)

  • Jeong, Jong-Chul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.389-395
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    • 2013
  • Geostationary Ocean Color Imager(GOCI), the World's first spaceborne ocean color observation satellite operated in geostationary orbit, was successfully launched on May 2010. The main missions of GOCI is the coastal environment monitoring of GOCI in order to meet the necessity of long-term climate change monitoring and research. The GOCI have higher spatial resolution than MODIS, $500m{\times}500m$, and 8 spectral ocean color channels. GOCI have a capability for observation on the coastal environment change, GOCI perform the observation with 8 times a day. In this paper, we presented the more improved results for observation on the coastal environment change than MODIS ocean color sensor and detected the spatial difference of CDOM for monitoring coastal environment change.

The Characteristics of the Repair Cost Distribution in Apartment Housing

  • Lee, KangHee;Chae, ChangU
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The repair would require to conserve and improve the building function and performance since built. Each household is responsible for maintaining the public facilities and paying the required cost. Therefore, it needs to get the tool or method to forecast the required cost in the future. Before the repair cost is provided, it needs to catch the repair cost distribution and provide the unit cost for the repair cycle. In this study, it aimed at providing the repair cost unit and analyzing the repair cost distribution in a roof proofing work, elevator work and building painting, which are divided into a fully work and partly change. Results of this study are shown that first, the average repair cost for roof proofing work is provided with $166.59{\times}10^3won/household$ and $1.59{\times}10^3won/m^2$ of a full change, $33.22{\times}10^3won/household$ and $0.33{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a partly work. In addition, elevator work is $557.45{\times}10^3won/household$ and $5.38{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a full change, $32.92{\times}10^3won/household$ and $0.56{\times}10^3won/m^2$ for a partly repair. Painting has a $304.48{\times}10^3won/household$ and $2.94{\times}10^3won/m^2$. Second, the distribution pattern of repair unit cost has a weibull-typed distribution which has a long tail to the right.

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.327-327
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    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

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Rainfall Effects on Discharged Pollution Load in Unit Watershed Area for the Management of TMDLs (수질오염총량관리 배출부하량에 대한 강우영향 분석연구)

  • Park, Jun Dae;Oh, Seung Young
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.648-653
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    • 2010
  • Discharged pollution load for the management of Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs) is calculated on the basis of rainfall data for reference year. Rainfall has an influence on discharged pollution load in unit watershed with combined sewer system. This study reviewed the status of discharged pollution load and rainfall conditions. We also investigated rainfall effects on discharged pollution load by analyzing change of the load in accordance with increase of rainfall. The change ratio of discharged pollution load was 18.6% while inflow load only 5.8% for 5 years from 2004 to 2008 in Daejeon district. The greatest rainfall and rain days were over 2 times than the least during the period. This change in rainfall could have great effect on discharged pollution load. The analysis showed that discharged pollution load increased 2.1 times in case rainfall increased 2 times and 1.2 times in case rain days increased 2 times. Rainfall effects, therefore, should be considered to make resonable evaluation of discharged pollution load in the assessment of annual performances.

Influence of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Commercial Aircraft at Korean International Airports on Radiative Forcing and Temperature Change (국내 대규모 공항의 항공기 온실가스 배출에 따른 복사강제력 및 기온변화 영향 연구)

  • Song, Sang-Keun;Shon, Zang-Ho;Jeong, Ju-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.223-232
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    • 2014
  • Monthly variations of radiative forcing (RF) and mean temperature changes by greenhouse gases emitted from commercial aircraft were estimated based on the simplified expression at four international airports (Incheon, Gimpo, Jeju, and Gimhae Airports) during the years of 2009~2010. The highest RF and mean temperature change in the study area occurred at Incheon Airport, whereas the lowest RF and mean temperature change at Gimhae Airport. During 2009~2010, the mean RF and mean temperature change estimated from aircraft $CO_2$ emissions at Incheon Airport were approximately 30.0 $mW/m^2$ and $0.022^{\circ}K$, respectively. The mean RF and mean temperature changes caused by other greenhouse gas $N_2O$ was significantly small (<<0.1 $mW/m^2$ and << $1{\times}10^{-3}^{\circ}K$). Meanwhile, $CH_4$ emissions caused negative mean RF ($-4.45{\times}10^{-3}mW/m^2$ at Incheon Airport) and the decrease of mean temperature ($-3.83{\times}10^{-6}^{\circ}K$) due to consumption of atmospheric $CH_4$ in the aircraft engine.

Performance analysis of an experimental plant factory

  • Ryu, Dong-Ki;Kang, Sin-Woo;Chung, Sun-Ok;Hong, Soon-Jung
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.395-403
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    • 2013
  • Plant factory has drawn attention in many countries in the world due to capability of environmental control not only for better yield and quality, but also for increase in functional and medicinal components of the products. In this paper, an experimental plant factory was constructed for various tests under different environmental conditions, and the operations were evaluated. A production room was constructed with adiabatic materials with dimensions of $6,900{\times}3,000{\times}2,500$ mm ($L{\times}W{\times}H$). Four sets of $2,890{\times}600{\times}2,320$ mm ($L{\times}W{\times}H$) production frame unit, each with 9 light-installed beds and an aeroponic fertigation system, resulting in 36 beds, were prepared. Accuracy and response were evaluated for each environmental control component with and without crops. Air temperature, humidity, $CO_2$ concentration, light intensity, frequency, and duty ratio, fertigation rate and scheduling were controllable from a main control computer through wireless communication devices. When the plant factory was operated without crop condition, the response times were 8 minutes for change in temperature from 20 to $15^{\circ}C$ and 20 minutes from 15 to $20^{\circ}C$; 7 minutes for change in humidity from 40 to 65%; and 4 minutes for change in $CO_2$ concentration from 450 to 1000 ppm. When operated for 24 hours with crop cultivation; average, maximum, and minimum values of temperatures were 20.06, 20.8, and $18.8^{\circ}C$; humidity were 66.72, 69.37, and 63.73%; $CO_2$ concentrations were 1017, 1168, and 911 ppm, respectively. Photosynthetic Photon Flux Density was increased as the distance from the light source decreased, but variability was greater at shorter distances. Results of the study would provide useful information for efficient application of the plant factory and to investigate the optimum environment for crop growth through various experiments.

Thermodynamic Characteris tics of Surface Activities of N-Alkyl Pyridinium Bromide (N-Alkyl Pyridinium Bromide류의 계면활성에 대한 열역학적 특성)

  • Kim, Yeoung-Chan;Kim, Dong-Sik;Jeong, Soon-Wook;Shon, Byoung-Chung
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 1991
  • In relation to the preparation of Langmuir-Blodgett thin film, four kinds of N-alkylpyridiniurn bromide were synthesized. The values of surface tensions of these materials, measured with a Traube stalagmometer, gave the relationship between the critical micells hydrophobic radical and between CMC and temperature. Values of thermodynamic properties(${\Delta}H^0_m,\;{\Delta}S^0_m,\;{\Delta}G^0_m,$) for the formatoin of micelle were also obtained. Experiments gave the following results; at the temperature range between 40 and 60$^{\circ}C, CMC of Hexadecyl-, Octadecyl-, Eicosyl-, and Docosyl-Pyridinium Bromide were $7.64{\times}10^{-4}{\sim}9.13{\times}10^{-4},\;3.85{\times}10^{-4}{\sim}4.60{\times}10^{-4},\;2.00{\times}10^{-4}{\sim}2.39{\times}10^{-4},\;and\;1.07{\times}10^{-4}{\sim}1.28{\times}10^{-4}$ mol/l, respectively. Surface tension, ${\Gamma}_{CMC}$, of those were 33.49${\sim}$36.00, 34.78${\sim}$37.61, 35.49${\sim}$37.61 and 38.76${\sim}$55.80 dyne/cm, respectively, The relationship between CMC and the mumber of carbon atoms in the hydrophobic radical, N was expressed as follows : Log(CMC)=A-BN where A and B are constants. At the temperature range between 40 and 60$^{\circ}C$, the change of Gibbs evergy (${\Delta}G_m$) for one methylene group ($-CH_2-$) were -0.65RT, respectively, The minus values of enthalpy change (${\Delta}H_m$) suggest that the formation of micelle is exothermic. Additionally, the overall increase in the entropy change (${\Delta}S_m$) with respect to the temperature increase suggests that the formation of micelle is attained by a exothermic enthalpy directed process.

Review on Impacts and Possible Adaptation Strategies for Climate Change (기후변화 영향과 향후 적응대책방향에 대한 소고)

  • Choi, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2008
  • According to IPCC fourth assessment report in 2007, global mean temperatures have risen by 0.74 degrees Celsius over the past 100 years. Moreover, in the recent 25 years, global mean temperatures have risen by 0.45 degrees Celsius, which is 2.4-times larger than those in the past 100 years. The evidences for climate change, such as sea level rise, arctic glacier melt, and desertification in Asia, have occurred and increased over the globe. In Korea, because regional climate has been changed, types of agriculture and fishery should be replaced. And as precipitation pattern behave differently from the past decades, water management would be more difficult, furthermore, atmospheric environment, related to concentrations for ozone, sulfate, etc., could be worse. Nevertheless, we have only focused on greenhouse gas reduction duty for the Convention of Climate Change. Fortunately, in the fourth plan on climate change, we have planned to manage climate change more actively since 2007. In Korea, the emission of carbon dioxide has increased about 1.9-times more, from 311million ton in 1990 to 591million ton in 2004. And also about 2 ppm rise every year for concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. As a result, ecosystem, quality of water and atmosphere would be affected. Here, the emission of greenhouse gases over the globe is examined, and the effect of greenhouse gases for climate change is reviewed from the results of previous studies. In addition, the countermeasures of mitigation and adaptation on climate change were discussed for the understanding.