• 제목/요약/키워드: temporal-spatial change

검색결과 502건 처리시간 0.034초

Errors in Estimated Temporal Tracer Trends Due to Changes in the Historical Observation Network: A Case Study of Oxygen Trends in the Southern Ocean

  • Min, Dong-Ha;Keller, Klaus
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2005
  • Several models predict large and potentially abrupt ocean circulation changes due to anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. These circulation changes drive-in the models-considerable oceanic oxygen trend. A sound estimate of the observed oxygen trends can hence be a powerful tool to constrain predictions of future changes in oceanic deepwater formation, heat and carbon dioxide uptake. Estimating decadal scale oxygen trends is, however, a nontrivial task and previous studies have come to contradicting conclusions. One key potential problem is that changes in the historical observation network might introduce considerable errors. Here we estimate the likely magnitude of these errors for a subset of the available observations in the Southern Ocean. We test three common data analysis methods south of Australia and focus on the decadal-scale trends between the 1970's and the 1990's. Specifically, we estimate errors due to sparsely sampled observations using a known signal (the time invariant, temporally averaged, World Ocean Atlas 2001) as a negative control. The crossover analysis and the objective analysis methods are for less prone to spatial sampling location biases than the area averaging method. Subject to numerous caveats, we find that errors due to sparse sampling for the area averaging method are on the order of several micro-moles $kg^{-1}$. for the crossover and the objective analysis method, these errors are much smaller. For the analyzed example, the biases due to changes in the spatial design of the historical observation network are relatively small compared to the tends predicted by many model simulations. This raises the possibility to use historic oxygen trends to constrain model simulations, even in sparsely sampled ocean basins.

홍수유출해석을 위한 운동파기반의 분포형모형 개발 및 적용 (Development of Kinematic Wave-based Distributed Model for Flood Discharge Analysis)

  • 박진혁;허영택
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 격자강우량과 격자기반의 수문정보와 연계하여 홍수기 유출량의 시공간적 분포를 파악할 수 있도록 물리적인 운동파(kinematic wave)이론에 근거한 분포형 강우-유출모형을 개발하였다. 이 모형은 홍수기동안의 지표흐름과 지표하 흐름의 시간적 변화와 공간적 분포를 모의할 수 있으며, 전처리과정으로서 ArcGIS 혹은 ArcView등의 GIS 프로그램을 이용하여 모형에 필요한 ASCII형태의 입력 매개변수 자료들을 가공하였다. 또한 후처리과정으로서 모형의 수행결과인 유역내의 유출량 분포 등을 GIS상에서 나타낼 수 있도록 ASCII형태로 출력하도록 구성하였다. 개발된 모형의 적용가능성을 검토하기 위하여 남강댐유역을 대상으로 유역을 500m의 정방형 격자로 분할하고 수계망을 통하여 유역 출구까지 운동파이론에 의해 추적 계산하였으며, 수문곡선 비교결과 재현성 높은 결과를 보여주었다.

한강수계 유기물의 시·공간적 분포 특성 비교 (Characteristics of Spatial and Temporal Organic Matter in the Han River Watershed)

  • 유순주;조항수;류인구;손주연;박민지;이보미
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.409-422
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to find the characteristics of organic matters based on the distribution and oxidation rates, as noted according to the spatial and temporal variations from 2008 to 2016. Generally speaking, the Han River system is separated into one lower course and two upper courses which are the Namhan River and Bukhan River. The seasonal factor is one of the most important causes of water quality changing in both of the upper courses as a result of a few pollution sources. The concentration of organic matter was measured as higher in the lower course into which great streams with point and non-point sources were identified. According to seasonal variations, however, the change of the organic matter in the lower course is comparatively slighter than that of organic matters in the upper courses. The oxidation rates related to the BOD were 15 %, 17 % and 26 % in the Bukhan River, Namhan River and the lower course, respectively. These results could be explained that more biodegradable organic matter were seen to have existed in the lower courses comparing to the activity in the upper course. The oxidation rates of the BOD were noted as relatively higher in the eutrophicated places with phytoplankton. Therefore the BOD is one of the good index models to find the characteristic of the eutrophicated water. On the other hand BOD would not be enough to estimate concentration of refractory organic matters in the Bukhan and Namhan river. Consequently, both of the TOC and BOD are necessary indices to understand the identified refractory and/or biodegradable characteristics of organic matter.

통영 연안 가두리 양식용 그물에 가입되는 오손생물군집의 시·공간적 비교 (Spatial-temporal Variation of Fouling Organisms Recruited on a Fishing Net based on Community Structure, Tongyeong, Southern Coast of Korea)

  • 김혁진;윤건탁;박흥식
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.255-267
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    • 2021
  • To understand the composition and community changes of benthic species by water depth (5 m, 20 m, 30 m) in the cage facilities, net substrate made of fish cages were installed at intervals of 2 months from March to September 2019, which is the main period of sessile organism recruitment. Water temperature and salinity varied in the ranges of 1~5℃ and 1~4 mg/L at 5 m from June to August, respectively, and less difference was observed according to water depth in other investigation periods. A total of 37 benthic animals were recruited, and Kamptozoa unid., Caprella scaura and Jassa slatteryi were verified during the entire study period. Mytilus galloprovincialis, a Mediterranean mussel, showed seasonality dominant only from spring to early summer (March to July). The community structure classified by temporal and spatial factors, and Bugula neritina, Kamptozoa unid., and Sertularella sp. contributed to the formation of the community. The depth of 5 m was exposed to environmental changes in water temperature and salinity temporally, so there was a seasonal variation in the composition of the sessile organism, but at depths of 20 m and 30 m, there was less significant environmental change and it showed relatively stable than 5 m.

Projecting the spatial-temporal trends of extreme climatology in South Korea based on optimal multi-model ensemble members

  • Mirza Junaid Ahmad;Kyung-sook Choi
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.314-314
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    • 2023
  • Extreme climate events can have a large impact on human life by hampering social, environmental, and economic development. Global circulation models (GCMs) are the widely used numerical models to understand the anticipated future climate change. However, different GCMs can project different future climates due to structural differences, varying initial boundary conditions and assumptions about the physical phenomena. The multi-model ensemble (MME) approach can improve the uncertainties associated with the different GCM outcomes. In this study, a comprehensive rating metric was used to select the best-performing GCMs out of 11 CMIP5 and 13 CMIP6 GCMs, according to their skills in terms of four temporal and five spatial performance indices, in replicating the 21 extreme climate indices during the baseline (1975-2017) in South Korea. The MME data were derived by averaging the simulations from all selected GCMs and three top-ranked GCMs. The random forest (RF) algorithm was also used to derive the MME data from the three top-ranked GCMs. The RF-derived MME data of the three top-ranked GCMs showed the highest performance in simulating the baseline extreme climate which was subsequently used to project the future extreme climate indices under both the representative concentration pathway (RCP) and the socioeconomic concentration pathway scenarios (SSP). The extreme cold and warming indices had declining and increasing trends, respectively, and most extreme precipitation indices had increasing trends over the period 2031-2100. Compared to all scenarios, RCP8.5 showed drastic changes in future extreme climate indices. The coasts in the east, south and west had stronger warming than the rest of the country, while mountain areas in the north experienced more extreme cold. While extreme cold climatology gradually declined from north to south, extreme warming climatology continuously grew from coastal to inland and northern mountainous regions. The results showed that the socially, environmentally and agriculturally important regions of South Korea were at increased risk of facing the detrimental impacts of extreme climatology.

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서해안 군내간척지 담수호 및 농경지 염류의 시공간적 분포 특성 분석 (Spatio-Temporal Variations of Paddy and Water Salinity of Gunnae Reclaimed Tidelands in Western Coastal Area of Korea)

  • 범진아;정민혁;박현진;최우정;김영주;윤광식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권1호
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2023
  • To understand salinity status of fresh water and paddy soils and the susceptibility of rice to salinity stress of Gunnae reclaimed tidelands, salinity monitoring was conducted in rainy and dry seasons. For fresh water, a high salinity was observed at the sampling location near the sluice gate and decreased with distance from the gate. This spatial pattern of fresh water salinity indicates the necessity of spatial distribution of salinity in the assessment of salinity status of fresh water. Interestingly, there was significant correlation between rainfall amount and salinity, implying that salinity of fresh water varies with rainfall and thus it may be possible to predict salinity of water using rainfall. Soil salinity also higher near the gate, reflecting the influence of high saline water. In addition, the groundwater salinity also high to threat rice growth. Though soil salinity status indicated low possibility of sodium injury, there was changes in soil salinity status during the course of rice growth, suggesting that more intensive monitoring of soil salinity may be necessary for soil salinity assessment. Our study suggests the necessity of intensive salinity monitoring to understand the spatio-temporal variations of salinity of water and soil of reclaimed tideland areas.

천리안 위성 GOCI 영상을 이용한 남해안의 시공간적 적조변화 분석 (Analysis of Temporal and Spatial Red Tide Change in the South Sea of Korea Using the GOCI Images of COMS)

  • 김동규;유환희
    • 대한공간정보학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 세계 최초 정지궤도 해색위성인 GOCI 영상을 이용하여 최근 가장 심각한 적조피해가 발생한 남해안 해역을 대상으로 적조지역을 탐지하였다. 적조출현부터 소멸될 때까지의 구름이 없는 맑은 날의 GOCI 영상을 선정하여 적조지역을 탐지하였고, 시간적 변화에 따른 적조발생해역의 공간적 분석으로 적조 우심해역을 도출하였다. 본 연구 결과 남해안 해역에서 통영시 한산 욕지해역 일대가 적조 우심해역으로 나타났으며, 적조 우심해역에서 연안 해역인 통영시 산양읍 해역 일대로 적조 확산이 이루어지는 것으로 추정되었다. 또한, 시간적 경과에 따른 적조발생면적과 경상남도의 방제활동 및 적조피해 발생액의 변화를 비교 분석한 결과 상호 관련성이 있는 것으로 나타났으나, 적조활동은 다양한 인자에 의하여 이루어지기에 본 연구결과로 단정키는 어려우며 보다 많은 자료분석을 통하여 신뢰도를 높여야 할 것으로 판단된다.

지속 가능한 도시경영을 위한 중국 후난성 주요 도시의 공간적 성장 특징분석 (Analysis of Spatial Growth Characteristics of Major Cities in Hunan Province, China for Sustainable Urban Management)

  • 양리쥔;김현철;안철옥
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2022
  • Urban space expansion is an important symbol of the urbanization process and has always been an important topic in urban studies. In addition, for sustainable city management, it is important to identify factors that can influence, such as the driving force and direction of urban space expansion, from the stage of establishing an urban development plan. To understand these factors, by observing the expansion process of a specific city, it is possible to sufficiently observe how the urban spatial dimension changes. Through a series of processes, the spatial growth characteristics of the city are analyzed, and the influence and results of important factors are analyzed. For this purpose, this paper examines the changes in the city's outer boundary and land use structure through monitoring data on urban areas of 14 cities in Hunan Province, China from 2000 to 2016. Temporal and spatial regularity according to the urban space expansion of these cities were analyzed, and a preliminary assessment was made on whether the urban space expansion is coordinated with the urban population growth. The assessment result showed: (1) The urban space of most cities has been extended rapidly in 2000-2015 however, the rate and the intensity of urban space expanding has been declining. (2) The construction of the industrial park is the core driving force of the urban space expanding, and the change of the urban space structure is manifested as enclave city expansion because that the industrial park is usually far away from the city center. (3) The population agglomeration is another driving force of the urban space expanding. At this time, the urban space expanding is like boundary extension. (4) Except Changsha city, all of the cities has a high urbanization-area-growth elastic coefficient. It means that most of the cities should enhance the land use degree.

만리포 사빈의 시계열 3차원 지형 변화 분석 (Spatial-temporal Analysis of Topographical Change at the Malipo Beach)

  • 박한산
    • 한국지형학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2013
  • 만리포 사빈에 대하여 지상라이다(Terrestrial LIDAR)로 2008년 12월부터 2010년 1월까지 6회 조사된 3차원 정밀 지형을 이용하여 정량적 지형특성과 변화량을 분석하였다. 만리포 사빈은 해발고도 0m에서 1.5m사이에 가장 넓게 분포하고 있으며, 평균고조위인 해발고도 2.25m 이상에서는 사빈의 면적이 급격이 줄어든다. 지형변화 특성으로는 침식과 퇴적이 해안선을 따라 선적으로 나타나고 있으며, 북쪽 지역이 남쪽 지역보다 그 경향이 강하게 나타난다. 계절적 변화 특성으로는 봄에서 가을까지는 전반적인 침식이, 겨울에는 상대적으로 많은 양의 침식과 퇴적이 발생하였으며, 조사 시작과 종료시점의 체적은 큰 차이가 없는 것으로 분석되었다.

원격탐사와 지리정보시스템의 산림분야 활용 (Application of Remote Sensing and Geographic Information System in Forest Sector)

  • 이우균;김문일;송철호;이슬기;차성은;김강선
    • 지적과 국토정보
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.27-42
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    • 2016
  • 산림은 우리나라 토지피복 면적의 64%에 해당하는 넓은 면적을 차지한다. 이와 같이 넓은 면적의 산림을 조사, 모니터링, 관리하기 위해서는 원격탐사 및 지리정보시스템 기술이 필수적이다. 위성영상의 분광반사 특성을 이용하여 임상 및 수종분류가 가능하며, 이를 통해 임상도를 제작할 수 있다. 3차원 자료인 LiDAR를 이용하여 개체목의 위치와 수고 측정, 이를 통해 바이오매스와 탄소량 추정이 가능하다. 그 외에도 대상물의 반사특성을 이용해서 각종 지수들이 추출될 수 있는데, 예를 들어 식생지수와 표면토양지수 등을 통해 식생의 활력도와 산림 황폐화 정도를 파악 할 수 있다. 이러한 식생지수들의 변이를 파악하여 소나무 재선충병, 참나무 시들음병 등의 조기탐지 및 관리도 가능하다. 또한 A/R CDM, REDD+ 등 최근 기후변화 대응 사업에 있어서 원격탐사는 사업성 판단과 이산화탄소 흡수 및 저장량을 산정하는데 중요한 역할을 하고 있다. 기후변화 취약성 평가에서는 지리정보시스템의 시공간자료를 이용하여 국가 및 지자체 단위의 취약성이 시공간적으로 평가되고 있다. 또한, 시공간자료를 영향변수로 추가시킨 각종 모델을 통해 산림생장, 입목고사, 산사태 및 산불 등의 예측이 시공간적으로 이루어 질 수 있다.