• Title/Summary/Keyword: technical risk

Search Result 672, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

A Study on Performance Risk Measurement for the Defense R&D Program (국방연구개발사업 수행위험 측정방안 연구)

  • Choi, Myung-Jin;Na, Ho-Young;Lee, Sang-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.309-316
    • /
    • 2009
  • The risk management is a method to identify and to handle risk factors. In this paper, we introduce a methodology that can be used to measure of system's performance risk by combining system's TPM(technical performance measures) in the R&D(research and development) program for defense acquisition. By applying the suggested procedure, we can monitor risk trends in R&D program by calculation of system's overall TPM and find out where management should target to reduce or remove the system's performance risk.

THE IMPROVEMENT OF NUCLEAR SAFETY REGULATION: AMERICAN, EUROPEAN, JAPANESE, AND SOUTH KOREAN EXPERIENCES

  • CHO BYUNG-SUN
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.37 no.3
    • /
    • pp.273-278
    • /
    • 2005
  • Key concepts in South Korean nuclear safety regulation are safety and risk. Nuclear regulation in South Korea has required reactor designs and safeguards that reduce the risk of a major accident to less than one in a million reactor-years-a risk supposedly low enough to be acceptable. To date, in South Korean nuclear safety regulation has involved the establishment of many technical standards to enable administration enforcement. In scientific lawsuits in which the legal issue is the validity of specialized technical standards that are used for judge whether a particular nuclear power plant is to be licensed, the concept of uncertainty law is often raised with regard to what extent the examination and judgment by the judicial power affects a discretion made by the administrative office. In other words, the safety standards for nuclear power plants has been adapted as a form of the scientific technical standards widely under the idea of uncertainty law. Thus, the improvement of nuclear safety regulation in South Korea seems to depend on the rational lawmaking and a reasonable, judicial examination of the scientific standards on nuclear safety.

Analytical Insights far Improving Technical Specifications from a Risk Perspective

  • Kim, Inn-Seock;Ryu, Yong-Ho;Do, Kyu-Sik;Shin, Won-Ky
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
    • /
    • 1995.05a
    • /
    • pp.568-573
    • /
    • 1995
  • Technical Specifications (TSs) for a nuclear power plant is an important licensing document which defines various operational requirements or conditions. Recently, many researchers have evaluated the risk impacts associated with the TS requirements, using probabilistic safety assessments becoming widely available. This paper presents insights gained km our review of recent risk-based analyses of TSs, focussing on surveillance requirements and AOT (allowed outage time) requirements.

  • PDF

Analysis of Technical Review Entry Criteria and Application (기술검토회의 진입조건 분석 및 적용)

  • Jeong, Se Young;Lee, Hong Ki;Kim, Dong Won;Choi, Kwan Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper analyze technical review entry criteria and review process based on system property, and review checklist to conform technical review is also showed. The execution of review is determined according to the preparation of review item and identification for risk element. Risk level should be mitigated before technical review by appropriate plan. This paper described the entering condition of technical review for developmental phase, and tailoring consideration for technical review condition. Described technical review entry criteria, review process, and tailoring consideration is applied to development of test equipment for ground ant-air missile system. Applied system specific technical review process, tailored entry condition for test equipment for ground ant-air missile system and review check list is showed and the effectiveness of described system specific technical review process is presented.

  • PDF

Optimum Risk-Adjusted Islamic Stock Portfolio Using the Quadratic Programming Model: An Empirical Study in Indonesia

  • MUSSAFI, Noor Saif Muhammad;ISMAIL, Zuhaimy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.839-850
    • /
    • 2021
  • Risk-adjusted return is believed to be one of the optimal parameters to determine an optimum portfolio. A risk-adjusted return is a calculation of the profit or potential profit from an investment that takes into account the degree of risk that must be accepted to achieve it. This paper presents a new procedure in portfolio selection and utilizes these results to optimize the risk level of risk-adjusted Islamic stock portfolios. It deals with the weekly close price of active issuers listed on Jakarta Islamic Index Indonesia for a certain time interval. Overall, this paper highlights portfolio selection, which includes determining the number of stocks, grouping the issuers via technical analysis, and selecting the best risk-adjusted return of portfolios. The nominated portfolio is modeled using Quadratic Programming (QP). The result of this study shows that the portfolio built using the lowest Value at Risk (VaR) outperforms the market proxy on a risk-adjusted basis of M-squared and was chosen as the best portfolio that can be optimized using QP with a minimum risk of 2.86%. The portfolio with the lowest beta, on the other hand, will produce a minimum risk that is nearly 60% lower than the optimal risk-adjusted return portfolio. The results of QP are well verified by a heuristic optimizer of fmincon.

Computer modelling of fire consequences on road critical infrastructure - tunnels

  • Pribyl, Pavel;Pribyl, Ondrej;Michek, Jan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.363-377
    • /
    • 2018
  • The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

A Study on the Operational Risk Assessment of cargo transport Korean Urban Air Mobility(K-UAM) trial operation corridor applying SORA Model (SORA 모델을 적용한 화물운송 한국형 도심항공교통(K-UAM) 시범운용 회랑의 운용위험도 평가 연구)

  • Namgung, Pyeong;Eom, Jeongho;Lee, Seungkeun;Kwon, Thawha
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.125-135
    • /
    • 2022
  • UAM is emerging as the biggest issue in the aviation industry and which is attracting a lot of attention not only domestically but also internationally. In Korea, active research is being conducted centered on the government and industry-university research institutes, such as the establishment of a future K-UAM concept of operation. Therefore, in this study applies the SORA (Specific Operation Risk Assessment) model established by the European JARUS (Joint Authorities for Rulemaking on Unmanned Systems) to apply the K-UAM operation environment and specific corridor for the purpose of cargo transportation that will be operated in the future that the government is promoting. We intend to suggest policy and technical measures for risk mitigation in the initial operating environment by evaluating the level of risk and analyzing the results.

PRA RESEARCH AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF RISK-INFORMED REGULATION AT THE U.S. NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

  • Siu, Nathan;Collins, Dorothy
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.40 no.5
    • /
    • pp.349-364
    • /
    • 2008
  • Over the years, probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) research activities conducted at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) have played an essential role in support of the agency's move towards risk-informed regulation. These research activities have provided the technical basis for NRC's regulatory activities in key areas; provided PRA methods, tools, and data enabling the agency to meet future challenges; supported the implementation of NRC's 1995 PRA Policy Statement by assessing key sources of risk; and supported the development of necessary technical and human resources supporting NRC's risk-informed activities. PRA research aimed at improving the NRC's understanding of risk can positively affect the agency's regulatory activities, as evidenced by three case studies involving research on fire PRA, human reliability analysis (HRA), and pressurized thermal shock (PTS) PRA. These case studies also show that such research can take a considerable amount of time, and that the incorporation of research results into regulatory practice can take even longer. The need for sustained effort and appropriate lead time is an important consideration in the development of a PRA research program aimed at helping the agency address key sources of risk for current and potential future facilities.

Risk Assessment Program of underground buried Pipeline Development (지하매설배관의 위험성평가 프로그램 개발)

  • Kim Tae Wook;Sung Jun Sik;Cho Yong Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.4 no.2 s.10
    • /
    • pp.37-45
    • /
    • 2000
  • The underground buried pipelines of Natural gas are relatively safer than any other pipelines of chemical plants, because Natural gas is non-corrosive fluid. But Natural gas is supplied normally the downtown area. So, it may be a disaster because of corrosion which is caused interference facilities, environment and third party accident which is caused facilities construction. Especially, it is very difficult to find out and inspect damages of pipeline because of buried pipelines. Therefore this paper approached to select and manage risk region pipelines according to introduction of underground buried pipeline's risk concept. Risk was indicated three parts - corrosion factor, design and construction factor, maintence and management factor - in this paper, Therefore qualitive risk of pipelines showed score as quantitative number. Also it was thought to be helpful in confidence and safety management that the concept of key index and failure supplementation measures to cost introduces this program. We developed this risk assessment program using visual basic tool and interfaced GIS.

  • PDF