• Title/Summary/Keyword: system dynamics

Search Result 5,550, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

경로분석과 시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 지식기반산업의 동태적 성장에 관한 연구

  • 문태훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
    • /
    • 2000.07a
    • /
    • pp.29-45
    • /
    • 2000
  • The purpose of this paper is understanding the dynamics of knowledge based industries in Korea and suggesting policy recommendations for supporting those industries. Following KIETs (1999) definition of knowledge intensity, this paper classified industries in Kyung Ki Province according to several knowledge indicators including R&D activity and human capital content. Having classified industries, this paper investigates growth dynamics of knowledge based industries in Kyung-Ki Province. Based on surveys on some 280 knowledge based industries in Kyung-Ki province, growth path of those industries were identified using path analysis. Using the growth path and coefficient identified by the analysis, system dynamics model was build to simulate dynamics of knowledge based industries in Kyung-Ki province. With the model, further analysis was made to investigate some policy measures that can promote knowledge based industries.

A Study on the Timeliness of Government Support Policy for Mid and Small-Size Companies Based on System Thinking (시스템 사고를 적용한 효과적인 정부의 중소기업지원 시점 연구)

  • Oh, Sang-Young
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.21-34
    • /
    • 2006
  • Korean Government has carried out various support policies for small and midium size enterprises(SMEs). However, effect of the policy might not be realized in short term or the policy has turned out in fail. We found out the time of support is also important. Thus we propose that government should figure out the proper time to support funds according to the companies status(Technology, Production, Marketing) based on System Thinking.

  • PDF

System Dynamics View on Korea's Social Conflict and Policy Direction for Conflict Resolution (시스템사고로 본 우리나라 사회갈등의 구조와 갈등해소를 위한 정책방향)

  • Moon, Tae-Hoon
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-62
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to examine Korea's social conflict structure from System Dynamics perspective and to suggest policy direction for conflict resolution. Unlike previous studies on Korea's social conflict, this study tries to find out core structure of Korea's social conflict with help of studies on system archetypes. As a result, Korea's social conflict structure was analyzed as a combined prototype of 'limit to the growth' archetype and 'success to the successful' archetype. Based on this combined system archetype, a simple conflict model was simulated to examine the magnitude of conflict and success that could be reached under different conditions. With simulation results, policy suggestions were made for conflict resolution.

  • PDF

Causal Loop-Based Structural Analyses of Marginal Ageing and Critical Mass Simulations for Demographic Extinction Scenarios in Eup and Myeon Regions (읍·면지역 한계고령화의 인과순환적 구조분석과 인구소멸 임계점에 대한 시뮬레이션)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.107-134
    • /
    • 2016
  • Accelerated ageing with low fertility is one of the most critical problems in Korea. Because of ageing via low fertility, Korea will face a serious demographic cliff. This research primarily focus on the analyzing the dynamics of the marginal ageing state and decreasing population especially in Eup and Myeon region. This study based on the system dynamics approaches for finding causal loop structure of marginal ageing and critical mass of population disappearing. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First, demographic marginalization trends have already begun in the Eups and Myons of Gun. Second, marginal aging speed in Eup/Myeon areas is causing an population disappearing in the near future. Third, critical mass of population disappearing will begin when the rate of marginal aging is exceed 82% after 2023.

Elastic Network Model for Nano and Bio System Analysis (나노 및 바이오 시스템 해석을 위한 탄성네트워크모델)

  • Kim, Moon-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
    • /
    • 2008.11a
    • /
    • pp.668-669
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this paper, we introduce various coarse-grained elastic network modeling (ENM) techniques as a novel computational method for simulating atomic scale dynamics in macromolecules including DNA, RNA, protein, and polymer. In ENM, a system is modeled as a spring network among representative atoms in which each linear elastic spring is well designed to replace both bonded and nonbonded interactions among atoms in the sense of quantum mechanics. Based on this simplified system, a harmonic Hookean potential is defined and used for not only calculating intrinsic vibration modes of a given system, but also predicting its anharmonic conformational change, both of which are strongly related with its functional features. Various nano and bio applications of ENM such as fracture mechanics of nanocomposite and protein dynamics show that ENM is one of promising tools for simulating atomic scale dynamics in a more effective and efficient way comparing to the traditional molecular dynamics simulation.

  • PDF

A study on the Dynamics of Mobile Internet Market via System Dynamics Approach (SD모형을 이용한 무선인터넷 시장 동태성 연구)

  • 박상현;연승준;김상욱
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.41-62
    • /
    • 2001
  • Perhaps, one of the typical emerging markets drawing tremendous attention from not only business professionals but also policy-makers would be the mobile Internet services. In recent years many research institutes reported their predictions on the growth of the mobile Internet services market, announcing that the market would show explosive growth and replace the wired Internet service market rapidly. Unfortunately, however, the reality we are facing at present is quite different from their expectations. The realized share of the mobile services in Korea last year has turned out remaining only about one percent of the total network service revenue. What are the reasons for the gap between the prospects and the reality? Starting from this question, this paper attempts to explore the generic pitfalls of the traditional number-crunching methods adopted thus far for the forecast of newly emerging market trends, and present an alternative by introducing systems thinking to the mobile Internet service market as an example, followed by its rationale as a new tool for forecasting and some reasoning about why traditional methods are no longer appropriate.

  • PDF

Methodological Challenges of Empirical Studies on Government-Nonprofit Service Delivery: Toward a Dynamic Approach

  • Cho, Sung-Sook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.199-218
    • /
    • 2008
  • Empirical studies have shown that government and human service nonprofit organizations have maintained active partnerships to deliver human services for the past several decades. However, the previous researches on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery have revealed serious methodological limitations to adequately demonstrate the dynamic relationship between both sectors over time. Since the dynamics underlying the government-nonprofit service delivery is a complex process, in which multiple factors dynamically interact over time, the assumptions of system dynamics can help improve these methodological drawbacks. This study aims to explore methodological issues and weaknesses observed in empirical studies on resource dependent government-nonprofit service delivery in the United States, and further attempts to provide insights on future research toward a dynamic approach, bringing the assumptions of system dynamics to the challenges of the previous researches.

  • PDF

Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.71-94
    • /
    • 2003
  • The purpose of this dissertation is to build a development density control model and estimate optimum developmental density level for a sustainable urban growth management. To develop the model, system dynamics modeling approach was used. The model was developed to analyze how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. The model was applied to Anyang city to estimate optimum density level. Extensive computer simulation was conducted to find out the maximum numbers of population, industry structure, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current Anyang city's infrastructure capacity. The computer simulation result shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. It nab analyzed that 20% increase of existing capacity of urban infrastructure is necessary to support current population of Anyang city. To reduce the population to the adequate level whereby the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio needs be strengthened at least 20% to 35%.

  • PDF

An Integrated Ecological-Economic System Dynamics Model Analysis on the Ecosystem Restoration Policy (II): Extensions and Relaxations of the Model of King Crabs in the Imjin River, Korea (생태계 복원사업의 생태.경제 통합체계 동태분석(II) -임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형-)

  • Jeong, Hoi-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-120
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

  • PDF

The Construction Cycle by Investors and DSM in the Electricity Wholesale Market (일반 투자가에 의한 발전소 건설 Cycle과 DSM)

  • 안남성;김현실
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-60
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper describes the forecast of wholesale price in competitive Korean electricity market using the system dynamics approach. The system dynamics concepts have been implemented with the Ithink software. This software facilitates the development of stock and flow model with information feedback. Using this model, the future wholesale electricity price can be computed hour by hour, quarterly, and yearly. This model also gives the energy planner the opportunity to create different scenarios for the future of deregulated wholesale markets in Korea. Also It will lead to increased understanding of competitive wholesale market as a complex, dynamic system. Research results show that the plant construction appeared in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market like real estate construction. That is, the Korea wholesale market's new power plants and the market price will appear the Boom and Bust cycle. It is very similar behavior as real estate industry. In case of consideration of DSM program, The DSM savings lead to a somewhat different timing of the booms in construction and of price spikes. But the DSM programs do not eliminated the fundamental dynamics of the boom and bust. And the wholesale price is maintained at the lower level compared to the case of without DSM program. However, the unexpected result is found that due to the lower market price, Investor make significantly less investment in new CCs, which leads to the higher wholesale price after 2010. It suggests that the DSM Policy must be implemented with the dynamics of competitive Electricity Market.

  • PDF