• 제목/요약/키워드: survival probability

검색결과 249건 처리시간 0.027초

고립성 폐결절의 예후에 관여하는 인자 (The Prognostic Factors of Solitary Pulmonary Nodule)

  • 정윤섭;김주현
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.425-435
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    • 1989
  • The solitary pulmonary nodule is considered as a round or ovoid lesion with sharp, circumscribed borders, surrounded by normal appearing lung parenchyme on all sides, and found on a simple chest X-ray without any particular symptoms or signs. There is a wide spectrum of pathologic conditions in the solitary pulmonary nodules prove to be malignant tumors, either primary or metastatic. Most Benign granulomas and other benign conditions can also be seen as solitary nodules. The resection of solitary malignant nodules results in a surprisingly high 5-year survival rate. On the contrary, most benign nodules do not need to be resected and a period of prolonged observation and nonsurgical management is usually indicated. Therefore, the best approach to the controversial management of solitary pulmonary nodules depends on finding factors affecting the probability of malignancy. In this article, clinical records and chest roentgenographies of 60 patients operated on over the past 8 years at the Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital were reviewed. There were 15 malignant nodules and 45 benign nodules and the prevalence of malignancy was 25%. The most common pathologic entity was tuberculoma [21 cases]. The mean age was 55.5*9.6 years in the malignant group, 45.8>12.5 years in the benign group and there was a significant statistical difference between the two groups [P < 0.05]. The malignant ratio in each age group increased with advancing age. The average smoking amount was 35.6*12.9 cigarettes per day in malignant smokers, 20.9* 12.0 cigarettes per day in benign smokers, and there was a significant statistical difference between the two groups [p< 0.05]. The malignant ratio also increased with the increasing smoking amount. Comparing the appearance of the nodule on chest films, 6 calcifications and 7 cavitations were found only in benign nodules, not in malignant nodules. Therefore, calcification and cavitation can be considered as preferential findings for benignity. Previous cancer history was also a significant factor deciding the prognosis of the nodule [p< 0.05]. The average diameter on chest X-ray was 3.07*0.82 cm in malignant nodules, 3.25*1.04 cm in benign nodules and there was no significant statistical difference between the two groups [p< 0.05]. The author used Bayes theorem to develop a simple method for combining individual clinical or radiological factors of patients with solitary nodules into an overall estimate of the probability that the nodule is malignant. In conclusion, patient age, smoking amount, appearance of nodule on chest film such as calcification and cavitation, and previous cancer history were found to be strongly associated with malignancy, but size of nodule was not associated with malignancy. Since these prognostic factors have been found retrospectively, prospective controlled studies are needed to determine whether these factors have really prognostic significance.

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결핵전문병원에 입원한 결핵환자의 우울증위험인자 (Risk Factors for Depression of Patients with Tuberculosis in Tuberculosis Specialty Hospital)

  • 왕정현;박철수;김봉조;이철순;차보석;이소진;이동윤;서지영;안인영;백종철;강형석;문성호
    • 정신신체의학
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.114-120
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    • 2015
  • 연구목적 결핵환자 중 우울증 고위험 환자와 저위험 환자의 비교연구를 통해 결핵환자의 우울증 위험요인을 밝히고자 했다. 방 법 57명의 결핵환자를 대상으로 벡 우울 검사 2판을 이용하여 우울증상을 평가하였다. 우울증 고위험군과 저위험군으로 나누어 이분형로지스틱회귀분석 및 계산도표를 작성하였다. 결 과 신체비만지수가 낮아질수록 우울증 고위험군에 속할 위험은 높았다. 결핵치료 임의중단력이 있을 경우 우울증 고위험군에 속할 위험은 6배 높았다. 우울증 과거병력이 있는 경우 우울증 고위험군에 속할 위험은 25배 높았다. Original C-index는 0.789였고 bias corrected C-index는 0.754로 상당한 일치를 보였다. 결 론 낮은 신체비만지수, 결핵치료 임의중단력, 우울증 과거병력은 결핵환자의 우울증 위험요인임을 밝혔다. 이는 결핵환자에 대한 정신건강의학과적 개입 및 치료를 위한 근거자료가 될 것이다.

무인기의 SEAD 임무 수행을 위한 임무 경로 생성 및 효과도 산출 기법 연구 (A Study on the Techniques of Path Planning and Measure of Effectiveness for the SEAD Mission of an UAV)

  • 우지원;박상윤;남경래;고정환;김재경
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2022
  • 적 방공망 제압 임무는 현대전에서 전략적으로 중요한 임무이지만 적 방공자산에 직접적으로 노출될 위험이 높아 위험 부담이 크다. 따라서, 무인기를 활용하여 임무를 수행하는 것이 하나의 대안으로 제시된다. 본 논문에서는 무인기의 적 방공망 제압 임무 수행을 위한 경로 생성 기법과 생성된 경로에 대한 임무 효과도 산출 기법을 제안한다. 먼저, RRT 기반의 경로 탐색 알고리즘을 기반으로 적의 단거리 대공 위협을 고려할 수 있는 저공 침투/이탈 비행 경로 기법을 다룬다. 또한, 최단의 경로이면서 동시에 적의 단거리 대공 위협을 최대한 회피하는 표적 타격 경로를 생성하기 위해 Dubins 경로 기반의 타격 경로 생성 기법이 사용된다. 이를 통해 생성된 침투/타격/이탈 경로를 순서에 따라 통합한다. 통합된 경로를 기반으로 연료소모량, 무인기의 생존 확률, 임무 수행 소요 시간, 그리고 표적 파괴 확률로 이루어진 임무 효과도를 산출한다. 마지막으로, 제안된 적 방공망 제압 임무 경로 생성 기법 및 임무 효과도 산출 기법을 가상 시나리오를 통해 검증한다.

개에서 컴퓨터단층촬영을 이용한 두부 외상의 평가 3례 (Computed Tomographic Evaluation of Three Canine Patients with Head Trauma)

  • 김태훈;김주형;조항묘;천행복;강지훈;나기정;모인필;이영원;최호정;김근형;장동우
    • 한국임상수의학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.667-672
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    • 2007
  • This report describes the use of conventional computed tomography(CT) for the diagnosis of head trauma in three canine patients. According to physical and neurologic examinations, survey radiography and computed tomography, these patients were diagnosed as traumatic brain injury. Especially, CT is the imaging modality of first choice for head trauma patients. It provides rapid acquisition of images, superior bone detail, and better visualization of acute hemorrhage than magnetic resonance imaging. It is also less expensive and more readily available. Pre-contrast computed tomography was used to image the head. Then, post-contrast CT was performed using the same technique. The Modified Glasgow Coma Scale(MGCS) score was used to predict their probability of survival rate after head trauma in these dogs. Computed tomogram showed fluid filled tympanic bulla, fracture of the left temporal bone and cerebral parenchymal hemorrhage with post contrast ring enhancement. However, in one case, computed tomographic examination didn't delineate cerebellar parenchymal hemorrhage, which was found at postmortem examination. Treatments for patients placed in intensive care were focused to maintain cerebral perfusion pressure and to normalize intracranial pressure. In these cases, diagnostic computed tomography was a useful procedure. It revealed accurate location of the hemorrhage lesion.

인공심장판막치환술의 임상적 고찰 (Clinical Review of Prosthetic Heart Valve Replacement)

  • 장기경;윤후식
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제29권9호
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    • pp.977-982
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    • 1996
  • 1989년 9월부터 1995년 5월까지 메리놀병원 흉부외과에서는 107례의 환자에서 인공심장판막치환술을 시행하였다. 환자의 연령분포는 19세부터 75세까지 였으며 평균 42.6$\pm$11.7세였고, 남녀비는 33:74였다. 승모판막치환술이 61례(57%)로 가장 많았으며, 중복판막치 환술 28례(26.2%), 대동맥 판막치 환술 18례 (16.8%)였다. 전체 사망율은 14.9%(16명)였으며, 조기사망율은 5.6%(6명), 만기 사망율은 9.3%(10명)이었다. 생존율은 술후 2년에 92.6$\pm$2.6 %, 술후 6년에 88.6$\pm$3.8%였다. 판막실패없는 빈도는 술후 6년에 88.6$\pm$3.8, 혈전전색증없는 빈도는 술후 6년에 88.3$\pm$3.9, 심내막염없는 빈도는 술후 6년에 89.5$\pm$ 3.7를 나타냈다.

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제품(製品) 수명(壽命) 시험(試驗)의 응용(應用)과 확장(擴張) (Expansions and Applications of Item Life-time Testing)

  • 이창호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 1983
  • 본 연구에서는 제품의 수명시험을 수행하는데 있어서 수명이 지수분포를 따를 때의 결과를 [1]제품의 MTBF가 $T_1$인 경우, 검사에 통과될 확률 $1-{\alpha}$(${\alpha}$는 생산자 위험), 제품의 MTBF가 $T_2$인 ($T_1$ > $T_2$) 경우, 검사에 통과될 확률 ${\beta}$(${\beta}$는 소비자 위험)로 하여 수명이 Weibull 분포(Shape Parameter를 알고 있을 때)를 따를 때에로 확장하였다. 또한, 수명시험과 관계있는 검사특성곡선(QC curve)과 평균수명시험시간(Average Life Testing Time)을 구해 보았다. 비용분석은 [1]의 과정을 그대로 활용하였다. 위의 전 과정은 Level II Basic Language로 Programming하여 Micro-Computer를 이용하여 계산하였다. 본 연구와는 다른 관점에서 Weibull 분포의 수명시험계획을 다루었던 [6]의 결과는 모두 같은 방향 - 지수분포에 비해 수명시험시간의 절감 - 으로 귀결되었음을 알 수 있다.

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원격전이의 증거가 없는 식도암의 방사선치료 성적 (Result of Radiotherapy in Non-metastatic Esophageal Cancer)

  • 채규영;장정순;이종석
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 1995
  • Purpose : This study was done to evaluate preliminarily the role of intraluminal brachytherapy in the radiation treatment of non-metastatic esophageal cancer, Materials and Methods: We analyzed follow-up result of 21 patients treated at the dept. of therapeutic radiology in Gyeongsang national university hospital between April, 1989 and August, 1992. All patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy(5-FU, Cispl-atin). Fifteen Patients were treated with external beam alone, and in remaining 6 patients, the external beam radiotherapy followed by intraluminal brachytherapy was done. Results : Among 21 patients, 7 patients showed complete tumor regression after completion of radiotherapy. But 2 of these complete responder recurred at the site of primary disease, so ultimate local control rate was $23.8\%$(5/21). Local control rate according to radiation treatment modality was $6.7\%$(1/15) in patients treaed with external irradiation only, and $66.7\%$ in patients treated with combined external irradiation and intraluminal brachytherapy. The 2 year NED survival rate was $6.6.\%$ in the former and $66.7\%$ in the latter. Conclusion: Although there should be consideration about case selection for addition of intraluminal brachytherapy intraluminal brachytherapy may be considerded as one of the method to enhance the local control probability of esophageal cancer.

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Clinical Pharmacology of Mycophenolic Acid as Immunosuppressant in Organ Transplaantation

  • Kang, Ju-Seop;Lee, Joo-Won;Jhee, Ok-Hwa;Om, Ae-Son;Lee, Min-Ho;Shaw, Leslie M.
    • Biomolecules & Therapeutics
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2005
  • Present article reviews about clinical pharmacology of mycophenolic acid (MPA), the active form of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), as widely used component of immunosuppressive regimens in the organ transplantation field. MMF, used alone or concomitantly with cyclosporine or tacrolimus, has approved in reducing the incidence of acute rejection and has gained widespread use in solid organ such as kidney, heart and liver transplantation. The application of MPA and development of MMF has shown a considerable impact on immunosuppressive therapy for organ transplantation as a new immunosuppressive agent with different mechanism of action from other drugs after early 1990s. In particular aspect, use of MMF, a morpholinoethyl ester of MPA, represented a significant advance in the prevention of organ allograft rejection as well as allograft and patient survival. In considering MMF clinical data, it is important to note that there is a strong correlation between high MPA area under curve(AUC) values and a low probability of acute allograft rejection. Individual trials have shown that MMF is generally well tolerated and revealed that MMF decreased the relative risk of developing chronic allograft rejection compared with azathioprine. Recent clinical investigations suggested that improved effectiveness and tolerability will results from the incorporation of MPA therapeutic drug monitoring into routine clinical practice, providing effective MMF dose individualization in renal and heart transplant patients. Therefore, MMF has a selective immunosuppressive effect with minimal toxicity and has shown to be more effective that other agents as next step of immunosuppressive agents and regimens that deliver effective graft protection and immunosuppression along with a more favorable side effect.

Malaria transmission potential by Anopheles sinensis in the Republic of Korea

  • Lee, Hee-Il;Lee, Jong-Soo;Shin, E-Hyun;Lee, Won-Ja;Kim, Yoon-Young;Lee, Kyung-Ro
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2001
  • To evaluate the factors that determine the transmission level of vivax malaria using vectorial capacity, entomological surveys were conducted from .lune to August, 2000. From 6 nights of human-bait collection in Paju, the human biting rate (ma) was counted as 87.5 bites/man/night. The parity of Anopheles sinensis from human baiting collections fluctuated from 41% to 71% (average 48.8%) of which the rate gradually increased as time passed on: 35.2% in Jun. ; 55.0% in July; 66.2% in Aug. From this proportion of parous, we could estimate the probability of daily survival rate of An. sinensis to be 0.79 assumed with 3 days gonotrophic cycle and the expectancy of infective life through 11 days could be defined as 0.073. Blood meal analysis was performed using ELISA to determine the blood meal source. Only 0.8% of blood meals were from human hosts. We could conclude that An. sinensis is highly zoophilic (cow 61.8%) Malaria is highly unstable (stability index < 0.5) in this area. From these data, vectorial capacity VC) was determined to be 0.081. In spite of a high human biting rate (ma), malaria transmission potential is very low due to a low human blood index. Therefore, we could conclude that malaria transmission by An. sinensis is resulted by high population density, not by high transmission potential. For this reason, we need more effort to decrease vector population and vector-human contact to eradicate malaria in Korea.

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승모판과 대동맥판 중복치환환자의 장기임상성적 (Long-Term Results of Double Mitral and Aortic Valve Replacement)

  • 김종환
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.541-546
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    • 1991
  • The Ionescu-Shiley bovine pericardial xenograft valve was the most common cardiac substitute valve at Seoul National University Hospital. Since the follow-up extended for longer than 10 years, a total of and consecutive 107 patients with double mitral and aortic valve replacement using this valve from May 1979 to June 1984 were studied for the long-term clinical results. Their ages were 34.0$\pm$11.9 years at surgery, and eight patients died within 30 days of surgery with operative mortality rate of 7.5%. Ninety-nine early survivors were followed up for a total of 488.1 patient-years[Mean$\pm$SD, 4.9$\pm$2.7 years], and nine died with the linearlized late mortality rate of 1.84% /patient-year[pt-yr]. They experienced major complications: thromboembolism, 0.615% /pt-yr bleeding, 0.205% /pt-yr; endocarditis, l. 639%/pt-yr; overall valve failure, 6.146% /pt-yr; and primary tissue failure, 1.639%/ pt-yr. The actuarial survival rates were 91.4$\pm$2.9% and 89.6$\pm$3.4% at postoperative 5 and 10 years, and the probability of freedom from thromboembolism was 95.8$\pm$2.5% at 10 years. The primary tissue failure began to occur from postoperative 6 years and the probabilities of freedom from structural valve failure were 80.2$\pm$7.9% and 62.3$\pm$12.7% at 8 and 10 years after surgery respectively. Although there was increasing number of patients with valve tissue failure after 6 years, the evidence of expected premature and accelerated valve degeneration among young population was not clear on the age-related analysis. And, no definite cumulative patient groups beyond the various age limits could be suggested for or against the use of this valve.

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