• Title/Summary/Keyword: supply uncertainty

Search Result 226, Processing Time 0.051 seconds

Estimation of irrigation return flow from paddy fields based on the reservoir storage rate

  • An, Hyunuk;Kang, Hansol;Nam, Wonho;Lee, Kwangya
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.47 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-28
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study proposed a simple estimation method for irrigation return flow from paddy fields using the water balance model. The merit of this method is applicability to other paddy fields irrigated from agricultural reservoirs due to the simplicity compared with the previous monitoring based estimation method. It was assumed that the unused amount of irrigation water was the return flow which included the quick and delayed return flows. The amount of irrigation supply from a reservoir was estimated from the reservoir water balance with the storage rate and runoff model. It was also assumed that the infiltration was the main source of the delayed return flow and that the other delayed return flow was neglected. In this study, the amount of reservoir inflow and water demand from paddy field are calculated on a daily basis, and irrigation supply was calculated on 10-day basis, taking into account the uncertainty of the model and the reliability of the data. The regression rate was calculated on a yearly basis, and yearly data was computed by accumulating daily and 10-day data, considering that the recirculating water circulation cycle was relatively long. The proposed method was applied to the paddy blocks of the Jamhong and Seosan agricultural reservoirs and the results were acceptable.

Safety Stock Management Framework for Semiconductor Enterprises Under Demand and Lead Time Uncertainties (반도체부품 수요 및 납기 불확실성을 고려한 안전재고 설정 프레임워크)

  • Ho-Sin Hwang;Su-Yeong Kim;Jin-Woo Oh;Se-Jin Jung;In-Beom Park
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.104-111
    • /
    • 2023
  • The semiconductor industry, which relies on global supply chains, has recently been facing longer lead time for material procurement due to supply chain uncertainties. Moreover, since increasing customer satisfaction and reducing inventory costs are in a trade-off relationship, it is challenging to determine the appropriate safety stock level under demand and lead time uncertainties. In this paper, we propose a framework for determining safety stock levels by utilizing the optimization method to determine the optimal safety stock level. Additionally, we employ a linear regression method to analyze customer satisfaction scores and inventory costs based on variations in lead time and demand. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed framework, we compared safety stock levels obtained by the regression equations with those of the conventional method. The numerical experiments demonstrated that the proposed method successfully reduces inventory costs while maintaining the same level of customer satisfaction when lead time increases.

  • PDF

A $0.18{\mu}m$ CMOS 3.2-Gb/s 4-PAM Serial Link Receiver Using Current Mode Signaling (Current Mode Signaling 방법을 이용한 $0.18{\mu}m$ CMOS 3.2-Gb/s 4-PAM Serial Link Receiver)

  • Lee, Jeong-Jun;Jeong, Ji-Kyung;Burm, Jin-Wook;Jeong, Young-Han
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
    • /
    • v.46 no.10
    • /
    • pp.79-85
    • /
    • 2009
  • The design of a 3.2 Gb/s serial link receiver in $0.18{\mu}m$ CMOS process is presented. The major factors limiting the performance of high-speed links are transmission channel bandwidth, timing uncertainty. The design uses a multi-level signaling(4-PAM) to overcome these problems. Moreover, to increase data bit-rate and lower BER, we designed this circuit by using a current mode amplifier, Current-mode Logic(CML) sampling latches. The 4-PAM receiver achieves 3.2 Gb/s and BER is less than $1.0\;{\times}\;10^{-12}$. The $0.5\;{\times}\;0.6\;mm^2$ chip consumes 49 mA at 3.2 Gb/s from a 1.8-V supply.

An Analysis on the Optimal Level of Primary CER Price Regard as Economic Feasibility (경제성을 고려한 CER 적정 발행가격 분석)

  • Lim, Sung Soo;Yang, Seung Ryong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.829-852
    • /
    • 2010
  • The investment in Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects is increasing rapidly as the first implementation period began in 2008. This paper examines on the optimal level of primary Certified Emission Reduction (CER) price, subsidiary original projects investment cost and expected issues CER per year, using UNFCCC CDM Project Design Document (PDD) data. Real option model is developed to incorporate a case where the investment is irreversible and underlying asset price is uncertainty. This study employs Real option approach which allow the optimal level regard as economic feasibility of CER price has analyzed with NPV (Net Present Value) and Black-Scholes call option(Real option) value. Finally, CER supply curve and price elasticity of supply are estimated.

  • PDF

Applicability of Robust Decision Making for a Water Supply Planning under Climate Change Uncertainty (기후변화 불확실성하의 용수공급계획을 위한 로버스트 의사결정의 적용)

  • Kang, Noel;Kim, Young-Oh;Jung, Eun-Sung;Park, Junehyeong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-26
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study examined the applicability of robust decision making (RDM) over standard decision making (SDM) by comparing each result of water supply planning under climate change uncertainties for a Korean dam case. RDM determines the rank of alternatives using the regret criterion which derives less fluctuating alternatives under the risk level regardless of scenarios. RDM and SDM methods were applied to assess hypothetic scenarios of water supply planning for the Andong dam and Imha dam basins. After generating various climate change scenarios and six assumed alternatives, the rank of alternatives was estimated by RDM and SDM respectively. As a result, the average difference in the rank of alternatives between RDM and SDM methods is 0.33~1.33 even though the same scenarios and alternatives were used to be ranked by both of RDM and SDM. This study has significance in terms of an attempt to assess a new approach to decision making for responding to climate change uncertainties in Korea. The effectiveness of RDM under more various conditions should be verified in the future.

A Development of Mechanism on Supply Chain Information Recognition among intelligent equipment for USN based construction supply chain management process (차세대 지능형 건설물류관리 프로세스 지원을 위한 지능형 장비 간 물류정보인식 메커니즘 개발)

  • Kwon, Sang-Hyuk;Shin, Tae-Hong;Chin, Sang-Yoon;Kim, Yea-Sang;Kwon, Soon-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • 2008.11a
    • /
    • pp.763-766
    • /
    • 2008
  • The success of a construction project depends on efficient construction supply chain and service informationalization as types and quantities of materials in construction industry geometrically increase because the size of the construction industry increasingly becomes huge, high-rise, and complex. However, the omission of data for each step and the lower effect occurs because of uncertainty and inaccuracy of information as compared to other industries. In addition, it takes many hours to manage the present material states. Currently, IT technology and various mobile devices are being developed through the automation system of next generation intelligent construction supply chain management for the effective supply chain information management but the confusion regarding the recognition and transmission of the supply chain information between the multiple materials and transportation equipment using the IT and wireless network technology occurred. Therefore, the objective of this study is to propose the recognition mechanism which can deduce processes which caused the confusion of the recognition and transmission with supply chain information and solve the problems originated from the processes so as to solve the problems related to the confirmation and the communication of the correct supply chain information.

  • PDF

A Study on Computing Stochastic Capacity of Energy Storage Systems using Monte Carlo Simulations (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션 기반 변동성을 고려한 에너지 저장 시스템 용량 계산에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Soowhan;Ryu, Jun-Hyung
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.58 no.3
    • /
    • pp.424-429
    • /
    • 2020
  • An Energy Storage System (ESS) is recently drawing an increasing attention as an efficient tool to cope with variation in the energy system. In order to take the best utilization of ESS, the inherent variation of energy supply and demand should be properly addressed. This paper is concerned with computing the stochastic capacity of ESS in the face of such variations by way of Monte Carlo simulation. The issue of uncertainty in energy systems will be given further focus. More works are expected to be followed to address the issues in academia and industry.

Robust Controls of a Galvanometer : A Feasibility Study

  • Park, Myoung-Soo;Kim, Young-Chol;Lee, Jae-Won
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.94-98
    • /
    • 1999
  • Optical scanning systems use glavanometers to point the laser beam to the desired position on the workpiece. The angular speed of a galvanometer is typically controlled using Proportional+Integral+Derivative(PID) control algorithms. However, natural variations in the dynamics of different galvanometers due to manufacturing, aging, and environmental factors(i.e., process uncertainty) impose a hard limit on the bandwidth of the galvanometer control system. In general, the control bandwidth translates directly into efficiency of the system response. Since the optical scanning system must have rapid response, the higher control bandwidth is required. Auto-tuning PID algorithms have been accepted in this area since they could overcome some of the problems related to process uncertainty. However, when the galvanometer is attached to a larger mechanical system, the combined dynamics often exhibit resonances. It is well understood that PId algorithms may not have the capacity to increase the control bandwidth in the face of such resonances. This paper compares the achieable performance and robustness of a galvanometer control system using a PID controller tuned by the Ziegler-Nichols method and a controller designed by the Quantitative Feedback Theory(QFT) method. The results clearly indicate that-in contrast to PID designs-QFT can deliver a single, fixed controller which will supply high bandwidth design even when the dynamics is uncertain and includes mechanical resonances.

  • PDF

Configuration Design, Hot-firing Test and Performance Evaluation of 200 N-Class GCH4/LOx Small Rocket Engine (Part II: Steady State-mode Ground Hot-firing Test) (200 N급 GCH4/LOx 소형로켓엔진의 형상설계와 성능시험평가 (Part II: 정상상태 지상연소시험))

  • Kim, Min Cheol;Kim, Young Jin;Kim, Jeong Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-16
    • /
    • 2020
  • A performance evaluation of the 200 N-class GCH4/LOx small rocket engine was performed through ground hot-firing test. As a result, the combustion pressure and thrust raised with the increase of the oxidizer supply pressure, and thus the specific impulse, characteristic velocity, and their efficiency increased. The characteristic velocity was measured at about 90% performance efficiency. The change of chamber aspect ratio did not affect the performance of the rocket engine in the test condition specified. In addition, uncertainty evaluation was conducted to ensure the reliability of the test results.

Factors Affecting Efficiency of Electronic Customs and Firm Performance in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Hang Thanh;GRANT, David Bruce;BOVIS, Christopher;NGUYEN, Thuy Thi Le;MAC, Yen Thi Hai
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.151-164
    • /
    • 2021
  • The paper identifies the enablers (drivers) and inhibitors (barriers) influencing e-customs implementation in Vietnam (known as a developing country with a lower technological environment) along with determining the impact of e-customs on firm performance. The survey was conducted with the representatives (managers) of firms in five cities and provinces dominating Vietnam's international trade. The data was analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM). The findings show two significant drivers (enablers) - relative advantages and national culture, while compatibility and ease of use are the barriers. Previous studies showed that cultural dimensions related to 'uncertainty acceptance' and 'individualism' encourage innovation; however, this paper demonstrates that 'uncertainty avoidance' and 'collectivism' promote e-customs deployment in Vietnam. Previously, Vietnamese culture was known for scoring high on cultural dimensions related to 'power distance' and 'short-term orientation'. However, today, as an emerging country, Vietnamese has switched to 'low distance' and 'long-term orientation', especially in terms of e-customs innovation. Additionally, the paper also emphasized that e-customs implementation had a positive influence on firm performance in Vietnam. Based on the results of the paper, policy-makers can devise essential solutions to enhance e-customs implementation as well as managers of firms can set-up strategies to adapt to the modernized environment.