• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.779-783
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• 2006

A The estimation of electrical power consumption is becoming more important to supply stabilized electrical power recently. In this paper, we propose a supplied forecasting system of electrical power using Fuzzy Compensative Algorithm to estimate electrical load accurately than the previous. We evaluate a time series of supplied electrical power have the chaotic character using quantitative and qualitative analysis, compose a forecasting system by the maximum change $rate(\alpha)$ of Fuzzy Algorithm and compensative parameter. Simulating it for obtained time series, we can obtain more accurate results than the previous proposed system.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.66-78
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• 2012

This paper proposes a computation model of the quantity supplied to optimize inventory costs for the fast fashion. The model is based on a forecasting, a store and production capacity, an assortment planning and quick response model for fast fashion retailers, respectively. It is critical to develop a standardized business process and mathematical model to respond market trends and customer requirements in the fast fashion industry. Thus, we define a product supply model that consists of forecasting, assortment plan, store capacity plan based on the visual merchandising, and production capacity plan considering quick response of the fast fashion retailers. For the forecasting, the decomposition method and multiple regression model are applied. In order to optimize inventory costs. A heuristic algorithm for the quantity supplied is designed based on the assortment plan, store capacity plan and production capacity plan. It is shown that the heuristic algorithm produces a feasible solution which outperforms the average inventory cost of a global fast fashion company.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.697-700
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• 2005

최근들어 전력의 안정적인 공급과 계통의 안정한 운용 등을 위해서 신뢰성 높은 전력수요예측의 필요성이 점차 증가하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 기존에 제시된 예측시스템보다 정확도가 높은 전력수요예측을 위해 카오스 이론과 퍼지 보산 알고리즘을 이용하여 전력수요량 예측시스템을 제안한다. 최대수요 전력 시계열 데이터를 수집하여 카오스 성질을 분석하여 이를 바탕으로 퍼지 알고리즘을 적용한 전력수요량 예측 시스템을 구성하고, 이 시스템을 통하여 얻어진 결과와 실제 데이터를 비교함으로서 시스템의 성능을 평가한다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2002.07a
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• pp.389-391
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• 2002

This paper presents the System Marginal Price(SMp) forecasting implementation using backpropagation Neural Networks in Competitive Electricity Market. SMP is very important term to seek the maximum profit to bidding participants. Demand and SMP that necessary data for training Neural Networks, supplied from Korea Power Exchange(KPX). Statistic analysis about predicted SMP presents a part of consideration in end of this paper.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.63 no.11
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• pp.1608-1614
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• 2014

Power demand forecasting is an important factor of the peak management. This paper deals with the 15 minutes ahead load forecasting problem in a DC urban railway system. Since supplied power lines to trains are connected with parallel, the load characteristics are too complex and highly non-linear. The main idea of the proposed method for the 15 minutes ahead prediction is to use the daily load similarity accounting for the load nonlinearity. An Euclidean norm with weighted factors including loads of the neighbor substation is used for the similar load selection. The prediction value is determinated by the sum of the similar load and the correction value. The correction has applied the neural network model. The feasibility of the proposed method is exemplified through some simulations applied to the actual load data of Incheon subway system.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2002.07a
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• pp.262-264
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• 2002

The characteristic features of Malaysia's climate is has stable temperature, with high humidity and copious rainfall. Weather forecasting is an important task in Malaysia as it could affetcs man irrespective of mans job, lifestyle and activities especially in the agriculture. In Malaysia, numerical method is the common used method to forecast weather which involves a complex of mathematical computing. The models used in forecasting are supplied by other counties such as Europe and Japan. The goal of this project is to forecast weather using another technology known as artificial neural network. This system is capable to learn the pattern of rainfall in order to produce a precise forecasting result. The supervised learning technique is used in the loaming process.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• summer
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• pp.698-700
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• 2004

Electric power restructuring offers a major change to the vertically integrated utility monopoly. Deregulation has had a great impact on the electric power industry in various countries. Bidding competition is one of the main transaction approaches after deregulation. The energy trading levels between market participants is largely dependent on the short-term price forecasts. This paper presents the short-term System Marginal Price (SMP) forecasting implementation using backpropagation Neural Network in competitive electricity market. Demand and SMP that supplied from Korea Power Exchange (KPX) are used by a input data and then predict SMP. It needs to analysis the input data for accurate prediction.

• Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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• 2007.10a
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• pp.591-593
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• 2007

This paper is to cluster the AMR (Automatic Meter Reading) data. The load survey system has been applied to record the power consumption of sampling the contract assortment in KEPRI AMR. The effect of the contract assortment change to the customer power consumption is determined by executing the clustering on the load survey results. We can supply the power to customer according to usage to the analysis cluster. The Korea a class of the electricity supply type is less than other country. Because of the Korea electricity markets exists one electricity provider. Need to further divide of electricity supply type for more efficient supply. We are found pattern that is different from supplied type to customer. Out experiment use the Clementine which data mining tools.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.93-101
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• 2008

The rare metals, used for semiconductors, PDP-LCS and other specialized metal areas necessarily, has been playing a key role for the Korean economic development. Rare metals are influenced by exogenous variables, such as production quantity, price and supplied areas. Nowadays the supply base of rare metals is threatened by the sudden increase in price. For the stable supply of rare metals, a rational demand outlook is needed. In this study, focusing on the domestic demand for chromium, the uncertainty and probability materializing from demand and price is analyzed, further, a demand forecast model, which takes into account various exogenous variables, is suggested, differing from the previously static model. Also, through the OOS(out-of-sampling) method, comparing to the preexistence ARIMA model, ARMAX model, multiple regression analysis model and ECM(Error Correction Mode) model, we will verify the superiority of suggested model in this study.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.64 no.2
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• pp.331-337
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• 2015

The power flow analysis of electrified railway is required complicated calculation, because of variable load. Train runs trough rail supplied by electric power therefore, the load value in electrified railway system fluctuates along time. The power flow algorithm in electrified railway system is different from general power system, and the power flow simulation is peformed by the particular simulation software. Powerail is simulation software for analysis of traction power supply system developed by KRRI, in 2008. This consists of load forecasting module, including TPS and time scheduling, and power flow module. This software was verified by measured current under normal feeding condition, however, has not been verified by voltage on the condition of extended feeding. This paper presents the verification of PowerRail based on voltage drop under extended feeding condition. This is performed by comparing simulation result with field test. Field test and simulation is done in commercial railway line.