• Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• 제3권3_4호
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• pp.173-179
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• 2000

Recent changes in the coastal sea surface temperatures (SST) in Korea are studied by time series analysis of daily SST data during the last 60 years (1936-1995) at 18 coastal observation stations of the National Fisheries Research and Development Institute. The climate of coastal SST in Korea are rapidly changing in recent years. General trends of coast SST changes in Korea are as follows. The annual averages of SST are increasing. The annual ranges of SST variation are decreasing. The winter SST are increasing while the summer SST have a decreasing tendency. Climatic changes in coastal SST in recent 30 years (1965-1995) are more pronounced than those in the last 60 years (1936-1995). The observed trend of coast SST implies that the climate in Korea shows a tendency to shift from temperate zone to subtropical zone.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.600-614
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• 2013

이 연구는 PRIDE 모델에 기반하여 산출된 $1km{\times}1km$ 공간 해상도의 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 상세 기후변화 시나리오와 수정된 쾨펜-트레와다의 기후구분 기준을 이용하여 우리나라의 아열대 기후대와 극한기온지수의 변화와 전망을 분석하였다. 현재 일부 남부 해안에서 나타나는 아열대 기후대는 미래로 갈수록 서해안 및 동해안을 따라 북쪽으로 확장하며, 대도시 지역에서 나타날 것으로 전망되었다. 극한기온지수의 경우 미래로 갈수록 RCP 4.5와 RCP 8.5 두 시나리오 모두 우리나라 모든 곳에서 추위와 관련한 지수의 빈도는 감소하며, 더위와 관련된 지수의 빈도는 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 특히 RCP 8.5 시나리오의 경우 2071~2100년에는 해발고도가 높은 일부 산지를 제외한 우리나라의 대부분 지역에서 일최고기온 $33^{\circ}C$ 이상의 폭염이 30일 이상 발생할 것으로 전망되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 강화된 기후변화 대응 프로세스 구축에 중요한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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• pp.99-99
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• 2022

Jeju island has a humid subtropical climate and this climate zone is expected to migrate northward toward the main land, Korea Peninsula, as temperature increases are accelerated. Vegetation type has been inevitably shifted along with the climatic change, having more subtropical species native in southeast Asia or even in Africa. With the forest composition shift, it becomes more important than ever to analyze the water balance of the forest wihth the ongoing as well as upcoming climate change. Here, we implemented the Ecosystem Demography Biosphere Model (ED2) by initializing the key variables using forest inventory data (diameter at breast height in 2012). Out of 10,000 parameter sets randomly generated from prior distribution distributions of each parameter (i.e., Monte-Carlo Method), we selected four behavioral parameter sets using remote-sensing data (LAI-MOD15A2H, GPP-MOD17A2H, and ET-MOD16A2, 8-days at 500-m during 2001-2005), and evaluated the performances using eddy-covariance carbon flux data (2012 Mar.-Sep. 30-min) and remote sensing data between 2006-2020. We simulated each of the four RCP scenarios (2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) from four climate forcings (GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2-ES, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MIROC5 from ISIMIP2b). Based on those 64 simulation sets, we estimate the changes in water balance resulting from the forest composition shift, and also uncertainty in the estimates and the sensitivity of the estimates to the parameters, climate forcings, and RCP scenarios.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제28권7호
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• pp.943-950
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• 2015

Heat stress has adverse effects on fertility of dairy animals. Decline in fertility is linearly associated with an increase in combination of both temperature and humidity. The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between temperature humidity index (THI) and the pregnancy rate of Murrah buffaloes in a subtropical climate. The effects of genetic and non-genetic factors viz., sire, parity, period of calving and age group at first calving were found non-significant on pregnancy rate. The effect of THI was found significant (p<0.001) on pregnancy rate of Murrah buffaloes calved for first time and overall pregnancy rate. The threshold THI affecting the pregnancy rate was identified as THI 75. The months from October to March showed THI<75 and considered as non heat stress zone (NHSZ), while months from April to September were determined as heat stress zone (HSZ) with $THI{\geq}75$. The lowest overall pregnancy rate (0.25) was obtained in July with THI 80.9, while the highest overall pregnancy rate (0.59) was found in November with THI 66.1. May and June were identified as critical heat stress zone (CHSZ) within the HSZ with maximum decline (-7%) in pregnancy rate with per unit increase in THI. The highest overall pregnancy rate was estimated as 0.45 in NHSZ with THI value 56.7 to 73.2. The pregnancy rate was found to have declined to 0.28 in HSZ with THI 73.5 to 83.7. However, the lowest pregnancy rate was estimated as 0.27 in CHSZ with THI value 80.3 to 81.6.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.287-298
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• 2020

지구온난화로 기후변화 및 이상 기상현상이 증가함에 따라 전 세계적으로 미래 기후 전망에 대한 관심과 연구의 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 온난화로 인한 기온의 상승 경향은 미래에도 지속될 것으로 예상되며, 현재 남해안에 국한되는 아열대 기후구는 점차 북상할 것으로 전망된다. 기후대의 이동은 작물재배지의 변화를 의미하기 때문에 본 연구에서는 변화하는 농업기후 조건에서 작물 재배 적응 대책을 마련할 수 있도록 우리나라의 고해상도 기후 자료를 기반으로 현재-미래에 대한 기후대 전망을 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 평년 기간(1981-2010)에 대해 제작된 남한과 북한의 통합된 고해상도 월 최고기온 및 최저기온, 월 적산강수량을 확보 및 제작하였고, 쾨펜 기후대 구분 기준에 따라 한반도 기후대를 분류하였다. 동일한 방법으로 기상청의 RCP8.5 기후변화 시나리오를 기반으로 30-270m 격자 해상도로 상세화 된 한반도 지역의 월 단위 기후 자료를 확보하여, 미래에 예상되는 기후대 변화를 전망하였다. RCP8.5 시나리오를 바탕으로 같은 기후 구분 기준을 적용한 결과, 한반도의 기온과 강수량은 지속적으로 증가하여 기후가 점차 단순해지는 것으로 나타났다. 현재 남부지방에 나타나는 온대기후(C)는 점차 확대되어, 2071-2100년대에는 북한의 함경도와 평안도 일부 지역을 제외한 한반도의 대부분이 온대기후(C)가 될 것으로 예상되었다. 반면 냉대 기후(D)는 서서히 북쪽으로 후퇴하여 한반도가 점점 온난 습윤해질 것으로 예상되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2007년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.67-73
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• 2007

Anhui Province, with a total north-south length of 570km and an east-west width of 450km and a total area of 139.6 thousand km2, accounts for 1.45% of China's total area. The landform and land feature of Anhui Province is diverse, and generally it can be divided into 5 natural regions: (1) Huaibei Plain; (2) Jianghuai Hillocks; (3) Dabie Mountains in the West of Anhui Province; (4) Yanjiang Plain, (5) Mountain Area of southern Anhui Province. Anhui Province is located in the transitional zone of warm and humid zone and subtropical zone, and its mean annual precipitation is 800-1800mm. The province, which has diverse climate, multiple land forms and many rivers and lakes, passes three basins (Huaihe River, Yangtze River and Xin'an River) and has large differences in the time distribution and regional distribution of water resource. Therefore, the development and usage conditions of the water resource in different regions are different.

• 한국제4기학회지
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.9-27
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• 2006

이 연구는 동아시아 (중국, 한국, 그리고 일본) 여름몬순과 그 변동성을 MME (multi-model ensemble)을 이용하여 IPCC AR4 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report) 실험의22개 접합 기후모델 결과 자료로 분석하였다. 결과자료들은 사용 가능한 모든 모델의 평균값을 이용하였다. 여름 몬순 기간 동안 최대 강수를 가지는 연주기는 모델에 의해 모의되었으나 장마(Meiyu-Changma-Baiu) 강수밴드의 이동(북쪽)과 연관되어 7월에 나타나는 최소값은 모의하지 못했다. MME 강수 패턴은 북태평양아열대 고기압과 장마전선대의 위치와 연관된 강수의 공간적 분포를 잘 나타내었다. 그러나 중국, 한반도, 그리고 일본의 동해와 인근 해역의 강수는 과소 예측되었다. 마지막으로 $CO_2$ 농도 배증시나리오의 복사 강제에 대한 미래예측을 분석하였다. MME는 $CO_2$ 농도가 배증될 때 동아시아지역에서 강수는 평균 7.8%로 나타났고, $5{\sim}10%$의 변화폭을 보였다. 그러나 이러한 강수의 증가는 통계적으로 한반도와 일본, 그리고 인근 북중국 지역에서만 중요한 의미를 가진다. 강수 예측에서 나타난 변화는 아열대 고기압의 강도 변화에 비례하는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 봄에서 초가을까지 여름 몬순의 지속기간이 길어짐을 확인하였다.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.299-309
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• 2004

Conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) data obtained along a meridional section in the eastern tropical Pacific in July 2003 have been analyzed to identify various water masses, and to examine the hydrographic structure and zonal geostrophic currents in the upper 1000 m. Water mass analysis shows the existence of subtropical and intermediate waters, characterized by layers of subsurface salinity maximum and minimum, originating from both hemispheres of the Pacific. Vertical section of temperature in the upper 200 m shows the typical trough-ridge structure associated with the zonal current system for most of the tropical Pacific. Water with the lowest salinity of less than 33.6 was found in the upper 30 m between $8.5^{\circ}N$ and $10.5^{\circ}N$ in a boundary zone between the North Equatorial Current and North Equatorial Countercurrent. Temporal changes in water properties observed at $10.5^{\circ}N$ over a period of 9 days suggest both the local rainfall and horizontal advection is responsible for the presence of the low-salinity water. Development of a barrier layer was also observed at $10.5^{\circ}N$. In the North Equatorial Current region a local upwelling was observed at $15^{\circ}N$, which brings high salinity and cooler subtropical water to the sea surface. A band of countercurrent occurs in the upwelling region between $13^{\circ}N$ and $15^{\circ}N$.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제108권4호
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• pp.513-521
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• 2019

본 연구는 전국 난대상록활엽수종의 조림지에 대한 생육환경 및 입지환경 특성과 활착률간의 관계특성으로부터 조림적지 의사결정 기초자료를 제공하고자 하였다. 1997년부터 후박나무(Machilus thunbergii), 구실잣밤나무(Castanopsis sieboldii) 등 난대상록활엽수 10종의 신규 조림지 180ha의 148개 조사구에 대한 활착률을 모니터링 한 결과 평균 활착률은 67.0±26.9%이었다. 활착률 편차가 크게 나타난 원인은 조림 적지에 관한 실증적 현지 검증이 부족한 상황에서 다양한 입지를 대상으로 시험 조림이 이루어진 결과로 판단된다. 각 조사구별 11개 생육환경 및 입지환경 특성, 조림전후 강수 등의 정성적 설명요인과 활착률의 정량적 요인 간의 관계특성으로부터 수량화 이론 I에 따른 활착률에 대한 기여도를 분석한 결과, 조림지 상층임분 울폐도, 풍노출도, 조림 전 누적 강수량, 경사도 등의 순으로 높게 나타났다.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제44권4호
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• pp.275-285
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• 2020

Background: In Korea, Symplocos prunifolia Siebold. & Zucc. is only found on Jeju Island. Conservation of the species is difficult because little is known about its distribution and natural habitat. The lack of research and survey data on the characteristics of native vegetation and distribution of this species means that there is insufficient information to guide the management and conservation of this species and related vegetation. Therefore, this study aims to identify the distribution and vegetation associated with S. prunifolia. Results: As a result of field investigations, it was confirmed that the native S. prunifolia communities were distributed in 4 areas located on the southern side of Mt. Halla and within the evergreen broad-leaved forest zones. Furthermore, these evergreen broad-leaved forest zones are themselves located in the warm temperate zone which are distributed along the valley sides at elevations between 318 and 461 m. S. prunifolia was only found on the south side of Mt. Halla, and mainly on south-facing slopes; however, small communities were found to be growing on northwest-facing slopes. It has been confirmed that S. prunifolia trees are rare but an important constituent species in the evergreen broad-leaved forest of Jeju. The mean importance percentage of S. prunifolia community was 48.84 for Castanopsis sieboldii, 17.79 for Quercus acuta, and 12.12 for Pinus thunbergii; S. prunifolia was the ninth most important species (2.6). Conclusions: S. prunifolia can be found growing along the natural streams of Jeju, where there is little anthropogenic influence and where the streams have caused soil disturbance through natural processes of erosion and deposition of sediments. Currently, the native area of S. prunifolia is about 3300 ㎡, which contains a confirmed population of 180 individual plants. As a result of these low population sizes, it places it in the category of an extremely endangered plant in Korea. In some native sites, the canopy of evergreen broad-leaved forest formed, but the frequency and coverage of species were not high. Negative factors that contributed to the low distribution of this species were factors such as lacking in shade tolerance, low fruiting rates, small native areas, and special habitats as well as requiring adequate stream disturbance. Presently, due to changes in climate, it is unclear whether this species will see an increase in its population and habitat area or whether it will remain as an endangered species within Korea. What is clear, however, is that the preservation of the present native habitats and population is extremely important if the population is to be maintained and expanded. It is also meaningful in terms of the stable conservation of biodiversity in Korea. Therefore, based on the results of this study, it is judged that a systematic evaluation for the preservation and conservation of the habitat and vegetation management method of S. prunifolia should be conducted.