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http://dx.doi.org/10.5532/KJAFM.2020.22.4.287

Future Projection of Climatic Zone Shifts over Korean Peninsula under the RCP8.5 Scenario using High-definition Digital Agro-climate Maps  

Yun, Eun-jeong (National Center for Agro-Meteorology, Seoul National University)
Kim, Jin-Hee (National Center for Agro-Meteorology, Seoul National University)
Moon, Kyung Hwan (Research Institute of Climate Change and Agriculture, National Institute of Horticultural and Herbal Science)
Publication Information
Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology / v.22, no.4, 2020 , pp. 287-298 More about this Journal
Abstract
It is predicted that future climate warming will occur, and the subtropical climate zone currently confined to the south coast of Korea will gradually rise north. The shift of climate zone implies a change in area for cultivating crops. This study aimed to evaluate the current and future status of climate zones based on the high-resolution climate data of South Korea to prepare adaptation measures for cultivating crops under changing agricultural climate conditions. First, the climatic maps of South and North Korea were produced by using the high-resolution monthly maximum and minimum daily temperature and monthly cumulative precipitation produced during the past 30 years (1981-2010) covering South and North Korea. Then the climate zones of the Korean Peninsula were classified based on the Köppen climate classification. Second, the changes in climate zones were predicted by using the corrected monthly climate data of the Korean Peninsula (grid resolution 30-270m) based on the RCP8.5 scenario of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Köppen climate classification was applied based on the RCP8.5 scenario, the temperature and precipitation of the Korean Peninsula would continue to increase and the climate would become simpler. It was predicted that the temperate climate, appearing in the southern region of Korea, would be gradually expanded and the most of the Korean Peninsula, excluding some areas of Hamgkyeong and Pyeongan provinces in North Korea, would be classified as a temperate climate zone between 2071 and 2100. The subarctic climate would retreat to the north and the Korean Peninsula would become warmer and wetter in general.
Keywords
$K{\ddot{o}}ppen$'s climate classification; RCP scenario; Climate zone;
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Times Cited By KSCI : 11  (Citation Analysis)
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