• 호남수학학술지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.53-63
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• 1991

In this paper we first present the elements of the theory of families of distributions and corresponding estimators having structual properties which are preserved under certain groups of transformations, called "Invariance Principle". The invariance principle is an intuitively appealing decision principle which is frequently used, even in classical statistics. It is interesting not only in its own right, but also because of its strong relationship with several other proposal approaches to statistics, including the fiducial inference of Fisher [3, 4], the structural inference of Fraser [5], and the use of noninformative priors of Jeffreys [6]. Unfortunately, a space precludes the discussion of fiducial inference and structural inference. Many of the key ideas in these approaches will, however, be brought out in the discussion of invarience and its relationship to the use of noninformatives priors. This principle is also applied to the problem of finding the best scale invariant estimator in the scale parameter problem. Finally, several examples are subsequently given.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제63권1호
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• pp.47-53
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• 2017

The fundamental goal of this study is to minimize the uncertainty of the median fragility curve and to assess the structural vulnerability under earthquake excitation. Bayesian Inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation has been presented for efficient collapse response assessment of the independent intake water tower. The intake tower is significantly used as a diversion type of the hydropower station for maintaining power plant, reservoir and spillway tunnel. Therefore, the seismic fragility assessment of the intake tower is a pivotal component for estimating total system risk of the reservoir. In this investigation, an asymmetrical independent slender reinforced concrete structure is considered. The Bayesian Inference method provides the flexibility to integrate the prior information of collapse response data with the numerical analysis results. The preliminary information of risk data can be obtained from various sources like experiments, existing studies, and simplified linear dynamic analysis or nonlinear static analysis. The conventional lognormal model is used for plotting the fragility curve using the data from time history simulation and nonlinear static pushover analysis respectively. The Bayesian Inference approach is applied for integrating the data from both analyses with the help of MCMC simulation. The method achieves meaningful improvement of uncertainty associated with the fragility curve, and provides significant statistical and computational efficiency.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.735-749
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• 2015

The major difficulty of using Bayesian probabilistic inference for system identification is to obtain the posterior probability density of parameters conditioned by the measured response. The posterior density of structural parameters indicates how plausible each model is when considering the uncertainty of prediction errors. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a widespread medium for posterior inference but its convergence is often slow. The differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting (DREAM) algorithm boasts a population-based mechanism, which nms multiple different Markov chains simultaneously, and a global optimum exploration ability. This paper proposes an improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting algorithm (IDREAM) strategy to estimate the posterior density of structural parameters. The main benefit of IDREAM is its efficient MCMC simulation through its use of the adaptive Metropolis (AM) method with a mutation strategy for ensuring quick convergence and robust solutions. Its effectiveness was demonstrated in simulations on identifying the structural parameters with limited output data and noise polluted measurements.

• 전산구조공학
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.61-68
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• 2010

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.156-161
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• 1993

Limiting distributions of Studentized test statistics have been shown for testing the slope parameter in a simple linear structural model. Since the limiting distribution of Studentized one appears to yield inaccurate inference, this paper suggests adjustment of critical value and normalization of the Studentized one. As results, we can have procedures for refined inference based on our approximate distrbution instead of the limiting distribution.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.97-105
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• 2016

With the increasing demand for interoperability among existing learning resource systems in order to enable the sharing of learning resources, such resources need to be annotated with ontologies that use different metadata standards. These different ontologies must be reconciled through ontology mediation, so as to cope with information heterogeneity problems, such as semantic and structural conflicts. In this paper, we propose an ontology-mapping technique using Semantic Web Rule Language (SWRL) to generate semantic mapping rules that integrate learning resources from different systems and that cope with semantic and structural conflicts. Reasoning rules are defined to support a semantic search for heterogeneous learning resources, which are deduced by rule-based inference. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach enables the integration of learning resources originating from multiple sources and helps users to search across heterogeneous learning resource systems.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제6권3호
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• pp.185-192
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• 2002

Prototyping for field inspection safety assessment expert system of bridge structures is presented in this paper. Knowledgebase with production rules is constructed using the semiautomatic method on the basis of bridge inspection manuals and working reports of the related agency. Backward inference method is taken with the aids of external shells as a inference engine of knowledge-based systems. Implementation of the developed prototype system on MS Windows98 will shows inspiring aspects useful to guide and standardize the field works. In the case to be reinforced with abundant knowledge bases, this will be expected to be educate the practicing engineers.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제11권5호
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• pp.395-399
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• 2001

이 논문은 학습을 통해 관측 데이터로부터 퍼지 추론 모듈을 생성할 수 있는 적응 능력을 갖는 모듈화 퍼지추론 시스템을 제안한다. 제안한 시스템은 TS 퍼지모델과 모듈화 신경회로망의 구조적 유사성을 기초로 한다. 학습과정은 새로운 퍼지추론 모듈의 생성과 모듈 파라미터의 갱신으로 구성된다. 퍼지추론 모듈은 국부모델망과 퍼지 게이팅망으로 구성된다. 제안한 시스템의 파라미터들은 표준 LMS 알고리즘을 이용하여 최적화된다. 제안한 시스템의 성능은 비선형 동적 시스템 적응제어에의 응용을 통해서 입증된다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.173-185
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• 2019

과학적 연구에서 핵심적인 연구 주제 또는 가설은 대부분 인과적 질문(causal question)을 포함한다. 예를 들어, 전염병 예방을 위한 치료법의 효과 연구, 특정 정책의 시행으로 인한 효용(utility)의 평가에 대한 연구, 특정 사용자를 대상으로 노출된 광고의 종류에 따른 광고의 효과성에 대한 연구는 모두 인과 관계(causal relationship)의 추론이 요구된다. 이러한 인과 관계를 다루는 통계적 인과 추론(statistical causal inference)의 주요 관심사 중 하나는 모집단에 일종의 개입(정책 혹은 처치)을 적용한 후 개입의 효과를 정확하게 추정하는 것이다. 인과 추론은 임상실험과 정책결정에서 주로 이용되었으나, 이른바 빅데이터 시대의 도래로 가용한 관측자료가 폭발적으로 증가하였고 이로 인하여 인과 추론에 대한 잠재적 응용가치와 수요가 지속적으로 증가하고 있다. 하지만 가용한 대부분의 자료는 임의실험 기반의 자료와 달리 개입이 임의로 분배되지 않은 비실험 관측자료이다. 따라서, 본 논문은 비실험 관측자료로부터 개입의 효과를 추정하기 위한 인과 추론의 핵심 개념과 최근의 연구동향을 소개하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 본문에서는 먼저 개입의 효과를 Neyman-Rubin의 잠재 결과(potential outcome) 모형으로 나타내고, 개입의 효과를 추정하는 여러 접근법 중 특히 성향점수(propensity score) 기반 추정법과 회귀모형 기반 추정법을 중점적으로 소개한다. 최근 연구동향으로는 (1) 평균 효과 크기 추정을 넘어선 개인별 효과 크기의 추정, (2) 효과크기 추정에 있어서 자료 규모의 증대로 인한 차원의 저주가 야기하는 난제들과 이에 대한 해결방안들, (3) 복합적 인과관계를 반영하기 위한 Pearl의 구조적 인과 모형(structural causal model) 및 잠재 결과 모형과의 비교의 3가지 주제로 구분하여 소개한다.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2000년도 봄 학술발표회논문집
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• pp.449-457
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• 2000

The paper describes the study of global approximate optimization utilizing soft computing techniques such as genetic algorithms (GA's), neural networks (NN's), and fuzzy inference systems(FIS). GA's provide the increasing probability of locating a global optimum over the entire design space associated with multimodality and nonlinearity. NN's can be used as a tool for function approximations, a rapid reanalysis model for subsequent use in design optimization. FIS facilitates to handle the quantitative design information under the case where the training data samples are not sufficiently provided or uncertain information is included in design modeling. Properties of soft computing techniques affect the quality of global approximate model. Evolutionary fuzzy modeling (EFM) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) are briefly introduced for structural optimization problem in this context. The paper presents the success of EFM depends on how optimally the fuzzy membership parameters are selected and how fuzzy rules are generated.