• Title/Summary/Keyword: structural inference

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Best Invariant Estimators In the Scale Parameter Problem

  • Choi, Kuey-Chung
    • Honam Mathematical Journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1991
  • In this paper we first present the elements of the theory of families of distributions and corresponding estimators having structual properties which are preserved under certain groups of transformations, called "Invariance Principle". The invariance principle is an intuitively appealing decision principle which is frequently used, even in classical statistics. It is interesting not only in its own right, but also because of its strong relationship with several other proposal approaches to statistics, including the fiducial inference of Fisher [3, 4], the structural inference of Fraser [5], and the use of noninformative priors of Jeffreys [6]. Unfortunately, a space precludes the discussion of fiducial inference and structural inference. Many of the key ideas in these approaches will, however, be brought out in the discussion of invarience and its relationship to the use of noninformatives priors. This principle is also applied to the problem of finding the best scale invariant estimator in the scale parameter problem. Finally, several examples are subsequently given.

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Uncertainty reduction of seismic fragility of intake tower using Bayesian Inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation

  • Alam, Jahangir;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.63 no.1
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2017
  • The fundamental goal of this study is to minimize the uncertainty of the median fragility curve and to assess the structural vulnerability under earthquake excitation. Bayesian Inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation has been presented for efficient collapse response assessment of the independent intake water tower. The intake tower is significantly used as a diversion type of the hydropower station for maintaining power plant, reservoir and spillway tunnel. Therefore, the seismic fragility assessment of the intake tower is a pivotal component for estimating total system risk of the reservoir. In this investigation, an asymmetrical independent slender reinforced concrete structure is considered. The Bayesian Inference method provides the flexibility to integrate the prior information of collapse response data with the numerical analysis results. The preliminary information of risk data can be obtained from various sources like experiments, existing studies, and simplified linear dynamic analysis or nonlinear static analysis. The conventional lognormal model is used for plotting the fragility curve using the data from time history simulation and nonlinear static pushover analysis respectively. The Bayesian Inference approach is applied for integrating the data from both analyses with the help of MCMC simulation. The method achieves meaningful improvement of uncertainty associated with the fragility curve, and provides significant statistical and computational efficiency.

Posterior density estimation for structural parameters using improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis algorithm

  • Zhou, Jin;Mita, Akira;Mei, Liu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.735-749
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    • 2015
  • The major difficulty of using Bayesian probabilistic inference for system identification is to obtain the posterior probability density of parameters conditioned by the measured response. The posterior density of structural parameters indicates how plausible each model is when considering the uncertainty of prediction errors. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a widespread medium for posterior inference but its convergence is often slow. The differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting (DREAM) algorithm boasts a population-based mechanism, which nms multiple different Markov chains simultaneously, and a global optimum exploration ability. This paper proposes an improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting algorithm (IDREAM) strategy to estimate the posterior density of structural parameters. The main benefit of IDREAM is its efficient MCMC simulation through its use of the adaptive Metropolis (AM) method with a mutation strategy for ensuring quick convergence and robust solutions. Its effectiveness was demonstrated in simulations on identifying the structural parameters with limited output data and noise polluted measurements.

Adjustment of a Studentized Test Statistic and a Normalized Test Statistic in a Simple Linear Structural Relationship

  • Chang, Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.156-161
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    • 1993
  • Limiting distributions of Studentized test statistics have been shown for testing the slope parameter in a simple linear structural model. Since the limiting distribution of Studentized one appears to yield inaccurate inference, this paper suggests adjustment of critical value and normalization of the Studentized one. As results, we can have procedures for refined inference based on our approximate distrbution instead of the limiting distribution.

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Ontology Mapping and Rule-Based Inference for Learning Resource Integration

  • Jetinai, Kotchakorn;Arch-int, Ngamnij;Arch-int, Somjit
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2016
  • With the increasing demand for interoperability among existing learning resource systems in order to enable the sharing of learning resources, such resources need to be annotated with ontologies that use different metadata standards. These different ontologies must be reconciled through ontology mediation, so as to cope with information heterogeneity problems, such as semantic and structural conflicts. In this paper, we propose an ontology-mapping technique using Semantic Web Rule Language (SWRL) to generate semantic mapping rules that integrate learning resources from different systems and that cope with semantic and structural conflicts. Reasoning rules are defined to support a semantic search for heterogeneous learning resources, which are deduced by rule-based inference. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach enables the integration of learning resources originating from multiple sources and helps users to search across heterogeneous learning resource systems.

Prototyping of Knowledge-Based Systems for Field Inspection and Safety Assessment of RC Bridges (RC 교량의 현장 안전진단을 위한 지식기반시스템의 원형개발)

  • Hwang, Jin-Ha;Park, Jong-Hoi;An, Seoung-Su;Kim, Ki-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2002
  • Prototyping for field inspection safety assessment expert system of bridge structures is presented in this paper. Knowledgebase with production rules is constructed using the semiautomatic method on the basis of bridge inspection manuals and working reports of the related agency. Backward inference method is taken with the aids of external shells as a inference engine of knowledge-based systems. Implementation of the developed prototype system on MS Windows98 will shows inspiring aspects useful to guide and standardize the field works. In the case to be reinforced with abundant knowledge bases, this will be expected to be educate the practicing engineers.

Modular Fuzzy Inference Systems for Nonlinear System Control (비선형 시스템 제어를 위한 모듈화 피지추론 시스템)

  • 권오신
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.395-399
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes modular fuzzy inference systems(MFIS) with adaptive capability to extract fuzzy inference modules from observation data through the learning process. The proposed MFIS is based on the structural similarity to Tagaki-Sugeno fuzzy models and a modular neural architecture. The learning of MFIS is done by assigning new fuzzy inference modules and by updating the parameters of existing modules. The fuzzy inference modules consist of local model network and fuzzy gating network. The parameters of the MFIS are updated by the standard LMS algorithm. The performance of the MFIS is illustrated with adaptive control of a nonlinear dynamic system.

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Causal inference from nonrandomized data: key concepts and recent trends (비실험 자료로부터의 인과 추론: 핵심 개념과 최근 동향)

  • Choi, Young-Geun;Yu, Donghyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2019
  • Causal questions are prevalent in scientific research, for example, how effective a treatment was for preventing an infectious disease, how much a policy increased utility, or which advertisement would give the highest click rate for a given customer. Causal inference theory in statistics interprets those questions as inferring the effect of a given intervention (treatment or policy) in the data generating process. Causal inference has been used in medicine, public health, and economics; in addition, it has received recent attention as a tool for data-driven decision making processes. Many recent datasets are observational, rather than experimental, which makes the causal inference theory more complex. This review introduces key concepts and recent trends of statistical causal inference in observational studies. We first introduce the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome framework to formularize from causal questions to average treatment effects as well as discuss popular methods to estimate treatment effects such as propensity score approaches and regression approaches. For recent trends, we briefly discuss (1) conditional (heterogeneous) treatment effects and machine learning-based approaches, (2) curse of dimensionality on the estimation of treatment effect and its remedies, and (3) Pearl's structural causal model to deal with more complex causal relationships and its connection to the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome model.

Utilizing Soft Computing Techniques in Global Approximate Optimization (전역근사최적화를 위한 소프트컴퓨팅기술의 활용)

  • 이종수;장민성;김승진;김도영
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.449-457
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    • 2000
  • The paper describes the study of global approximate optimization utilizing soft computing techniques such as genetic algorithms (GA's), neural networks (NN's), and fuzzy inference systems(FIS). GA's provide the increasing probability of locating a global optimum over the entire design space associated with multimodality and nonlinearity. NN's can be used as a tool for function approximations, a rapid reanalysis model for subsequent use in design optimization. FIS facilitates to handle the quantitative design information under the case where the training data samples are not sufficiently provided or uncertain information is included in design modeling. Properties of soft computing techniques affect the quality of global approximate model. Evolutionary fuzzy modeling (EFM) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) are briefly introduced for structural optimization problem in this context. The paper presents the success of EFM depends on how optimally the fuzzy membership parameters are selected and how fuzzy rules are generated.

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