• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic simulation.

검색결과 786건 처리시간 0.029초

확률적 전투모형과 분산 네트워크 적용 (Development of Distributed Interactive Stochastic Combat Simulation (DISCSIM) Model)

  • Hong, Yoon-Gee;Kwon, Soon-Jong
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.210-216
    • /
    • 1999
  • Todays computer communication technology let people to do many unrealistic things possible and the use of those technologies is becoming increasingly prevalent throughout the military operation. Both DIS and ADS are welled defined computer aided military simulations. This study discusses a simulation of stochastic combat network modeling through Internet. We have developed two separate simulation models, one for clients and another for server, and validated for conducting studies with these two models. The object-oriented design was necessary to define the system entities and their relationship, to partition functionality into system entities, and to transform functional metrics into realizations derived from system component behaviors. Heterogeneous forces for each side are assumed at any battle node. The time trajectories for mean number of survivors at each node, some important combat measures, and relative difference computations between models were made. We observe and may conclude that the differences exist and some fo these are significant based on a limited number of experiments.

  • PDF

추계학적 점지진원 모델을 사용한 한반도 지반 운동의 경로 감쇠 효과 평가 (Estimation of Path Attenuation Effect from Ground Motion in the Korean Peninsula using Stochastic Point-source Model)

  • 지현우;한상환
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.9-17
    • /
    • 2020
  • The stochastic point-source model has been widely used in generating artificial ground motions, which can be used to develop a ground motion prediction equation and to evaluate the seismic risk of structures. This model mainly consists of three different functions representing source, path, and site effects. The path effect is used to emulate decay in ground motion in accordance with distance from the source. In the stochastic point-source model, the path attenuation effect is taken into account by using the geometrical attenuation effect and the inelastic attenuation effect. The aim of this study is to develop accurate equations of ground motion attenuation in the Korean peninsula. In this study, attenuation was estimated and validated by using a stochastic point source model and observed ground motion recordings for the Korean peninsula.

Stochastic analysis of elastic wave and second sound propagation in media with Gaussian uncertainty in mechanical properties using a stochastic hybrid mesh-free method

  • Hosseini, Seyed Mahmoud;Shahabian, Farzad
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제49권1호
    • /
    • pp.41-64
    • /
    • 2014
  • The main objective of this article is the exploitation of a stochastic hybrid mesh-free method based on stochastic generalized finite difference (SGFD), Newmark finite difference (NFD) methods and Monte Carlo simulation for thermoelastic wave propagation and coupled thermoelasticity analysis based on GN theory (without energy dissipation). A thick hollow cylinder with Gaussian uncertainty in mechanical properties is considered as an analyzed domain for the problem. The effects of uncertainty in mechanical properties with various coefficients of variations on thermo-elastic wave propagation are studied in details. Also, the time histories and distribution on thickness of cylinder of maximum, mean and variance values of temperature and radial displacement are studied for various coefficients of variations (COVs).

Stochastic Petri Nets Reward Model을 이용한 통신 프로토콜의 성능평가 (Performance evaluation of telecommunication protocols using stochastic petri nets reward model)

  • 로철우;장직현
    • 전자공학회논문지A
    • /
    • 제32A권4호
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 1995
  • A new stochastic Petri nets model, called Stochastic Petri Nets Reward Model(SPNRM) is used for modeling and evaluating the performance of telecommunication protocols. We have developed a SPNRM of the TDX-10 Internal protocol, which has a packet data exchange facility between DCEs, Especially a timer and retransmission handling model is presented for error control of the data transmission phase. The stochastic Petri nets package(SPNP), a software package for SPNRM used in this paper, has been used to generate numerical results by analytical-numerical method rather than simulation. From the steady state solution of the net, it is possible to calculate automatically the performance measure of the protocol medeled with both end-to-end and link-by-link method, which are the mean response times and the throughputs.

  • PDF

Stochastic design charts for bearing capacity of strip footings

  • Shahin, Mohamed A.;Cheung, Eric M.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • 제3권2호
    • /
    • pp.153-167
    • /
    • 2011
  • Traditional design methods of bearing capacity of shallow foundations are deterministic in the sense that they do not explicitly consider the inherent uncertainty associated with the factors affecting bearing capacity. To account for such uncertainty, available deterministic methods rather employ a fixed global factor of safety that may lead to inappropriate bearing capacity predictions. An alternative stochastic approach is essential to provide a more rational estimation of bearing capacity. In this paper, the likely distribution of predicted bearing capacity of strip footings subjected to vertical loads is obtained using a stochastic approach based on the Monte Carlo simulation. The approach accounts for the uncertainty associated with the soil shear strength parameters: cohesion, c, and friction angle, ${\phi}$, and the cross correlation between c and ${\phi}$. A set of stochastic design charts that assure target reliability levels of 90% and 95%, are developed for routine use by practitioners. The charts negate the need for a factor of safety and provide a more reliable indication of what the actual bearing capacity might be.

Moment Lyapunov exponents of the Parametrical Hill's equation under the excitation of two correlated wideband noises

  • Janevski, Goran;Kozic, Predrag;Pavlovic, Ivan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제52권3호
    • /
    • pp.525-540
    • /
    • 2014
  • The Lyapunov exponent and moment Lyapunov exponents of Hill's equation with frequency and damping coefficient fluctuated by correlated wideband random processes are studied in this paper. The method of stochastic averaging, both the first-order and the second-order, is applied. The averaged $It\hat{o}$ differential equation governing the pth norm is established and the pth moment Lyapunov exponents and Lyapunov exponent are then obtained. This method is applied to the study of the almost-sure and the moment stability of the stationary solution of the thin simply supported beam subjected to time-varying axial compressions and damping which are small intensity correlated stochastic excitations. The validity of the approximate results is checked by the numerical Monte Carlo simulation method for this stochastic system.

A novel story on rock slope reliability, by an initiative model that incorporated the harmony of damage, probability and fuzziness

  • Wang, Yajun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.269-294
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study aimed to realize the creation of fuzzy stochastic damage to describe reliability more essentially with the analysis of harmony of damage conception, probability and fuzzy degree of membership in interval [0,1]. Two kinds of fuzzy behaviors of damage development were deduced. Fuzzy stochastic damage models were established based on the fuzzy memberships functional and equivalent normalization theory. Fuzzy stochastic damage finite element method was developed as the approach to reliability simulation. The three-dimensional fuzzy stochastic damage mechanical behaviors of Jianshan mine slope were analyzed and examined based on this approach. The comprehensive results, including the displacement, stress, damage and their stochastic characteristics, indicate consistently that the failure foci of Jianshan mine slope are the slope-cutting areas where, with the maximal failure probability 40%, the hazardous Domino effects will motivate the neighboring rock bodies' sliding activities.

INFERENCE AFTER STOCHASTIC REGRESSION IMPUTATION UNDER RESPONSE MODEL

  • Kim, Jae-Kwang;Kim, Yong-Dai
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • 제32권2호
    • /
    • pp.103-119
    • /
    • 2003
  • Properties of stochastic regression imputation are discussed under the uniform within-cell response model. Variance estimator is proposed and its asymptotic properties are discussed. A limited simulation is also presented.

한반도 동남부의 강진동 모사와 감쇠식 (Stochastic Prediction of Strong Ground Motions and Attenuation Equations in the Southeastern Korean peninsular)

  • 이정모
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
    • /
    • pp.70-80
    • /
    • 2000
  • In order to reduce seismic hazard the characteristics of strong earthquakes are required. In the region where strong earthquakes do not happen frequently the stochastic simulation of strong motion is an alternative way to predict strong motions. this simulation required input parameters such as the quality factor the corner frequency the moment magnitude the stress drop and so on which can be obtained from analyses of records of small and intermediate earthquakes. Using those parameters obtained in the previous work the strong ground motions are predicted employing the stochastic method, . The results are compared to the two observed earthquakes-the Ulsan Offshore Earthquake and the Kyungju Earthquake. Although some deviations are found the predictions are similar to the observed data. Finally we computed attenuation equations for PGA PGV and ground accelerations for some frequencies using the results of predictions. These results can be used for earthquake engineering and more reliable results will come out as earthquake observations continue.

  • PDF

강의 피로균열전파수명의 확률분포 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Estimation of the Probability Distribution of Fatigue Crack Growth Life for Steels)

  • 김선진;윤성환;전창환;정규연;안석환
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국해양공학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.40-45
    • /
    • 2000
  • Presented are the estimation of the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and reliability assessment of structures by simulating material resistance to fatigue crack growth along a crack path. The material resistance is treated as a Weibull stochastic process. A non-Gaussian stochastic fields simulation method proposed by Shimozuka, et al is applied with the statistical data obtained experimentally. Test results are obtained for $\Delta$K constant amplitude load in tension with stress ratio of R=0.2 and three specimen thicknesses of 6, 12 and 18mm. This simulation method is useful to estimate the probability distribution of fatigue crack growth life and the smallest life.

  • PDF