• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistics of extremes

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A NOTE ON THE CONVERGENCE OF TRIVARIATE EXTREME ORDER STATISTICS AND EXTENSION

  • BARAKAT H. M.;NIGM E. M.;ASKAR M. M.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.18 no.1_2
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    • pp.247-259
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    • 2005
  • Necessary and sufficient conditions, under which there exists (at least) a sequence of vectors of real numbers for which the distribution function (d.f.) of any vector of extreme order statistics converges to a non-degenerate limit, are derived. The interesting thing is that these conditions solely depend on the univariate marginals. Moreover, the limit splits into the product of the limit univariate marginals if all the bivariate marginals of the trivariate d.f., from which the sample is drawn, is of negative quadrant dependent random variables (r.v.'s). Finally, all these results are stated for the multivariate extremes with arbitrary dimensions.

SPATIAL TRENDS AND SPATIAL EXTREMES IN SOUTH KOREAN OZONE

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon;Richard L. Smith
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.313-335
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    • 2003
  • Hourly ozone data are available for 73 stations in South Korea from January, 1988 to August, 1998. We are interested in detecting trends in both the mean levels and the extremes of ozone, and in determining how these trends vary over the country. The latter aspect means that we also have to understand the spatial dependence of ozone. In this connection, therefore, we examine in this paper the following features: determining trends in mean ozone levels at individual stations and combination across stations; determining trends in extreme ozone levels at individual stations and combination across stations; spatial modeling of trends in mean and extreme ozone levels.

CONVERGENCE RATES FOR THE MOMENTS OF EXTREMES

  • Peng, Zuoxiang;Nadarajah, Saralees
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.495-510
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    • 2012
  • Let $X_1$, $X_2$,${\ldots}$, $X_n$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables with common distribution function $F$. Convergence rates for the moments of extremes are studied by virtue of second order regularly conditions. A unified treatment is also considered under second order von Mises conditions. Some examples are given to illustrate the results.

Probability of exceeding the serviceability limit of antenna masts

  • Kammel, Christian
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.353-366
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    • 2001
  • With respect to serviceability, antenna masts should be designed so that wind-induced motion will not cause unacceptable lack of transmission for broadcasting users and wireless communication. For such antenna masts with directional radio transmission the serviceability limit state is predominantly governed by the tolerable change of the broadcasting angle of the mounted antenna assembly and therefore by the tip distortion of the mast. In this paper it will be shown that refinements of the present state of design of antenna masts are possible by using the statistics of extremes applied to extreme wind situations and by consideration of the statistical and reliability requirements given by the operator such as frequency and return period of passing the serviceability limit.

On Numerical Computation of Pickands Constants

  • Choi, Hyemi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.277-283
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    • 2015
  • Pickands constant $H_{\alpha}$ appears in the classical result about tail probabilities of the extremes of Gaussian processes and there exist several different representations of Pickands constant. However, the exact value of $H_{\alpha}$ is unknown except for two special Gaussian processes. Significant effort has been made to find numerical approximations of $H_{\alpha}$. In this paper, we attempt to compute numerically $H_{\alpha}$ based on its representation derived by $H{\ddot{u}}sler$ (1999) and Albin and Choi (2010). Our estimates are compared with the often quoted conjecture $H_{\alpha}=1/{\Gamma}(1/{\alpha})$ for 0 < ${\alpha}$ ${\leq}$ 2. This conjecture does not seem compatible with our simulation result for 1 < ${\alpha}$ < 2, which is also recently observed by Dieker and Yakir (2014) who devised a reliable algorithm to estimate these constants along with a detailed error analysis.

Threshold Modelling of Spatial Extremes - Summer Rainfall of Korea (공간 극단값의 분계점 모형 사례 연구 - 한국 여름철 강수량)

  • Hwang, Seungyong;Choi, Hyemi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.655-665
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    • 2014
  • An adequate understanding and response to natural hazards such as heat wave, heavy rainfall and severe drought is required. We apply extreme value theory to analyze these abnormal weather phenomena. It is common for extremes in climatic data to be nonstationary in space and time. In this paper, we analyze summer rainfall data in South Korea using exceedance values over thresholds estimated by quantile regression with location information and time as covariates. We group weather stations in South Korea into 5 clusters and t extreme value models to threshold exceedances for each cluster under the assumption of independence in space and time as well as estimates of uncertainty for spatial dependence as proposed in Northrop and Jonathan (2011).

CONVERGENCE RATE OF EXTREMES FOR THE GENERALIZED SHORT-TAILED SYMMETRIC DISTRIBUTION

  • Lin, Fuming;Peng, Zuoxiang;Yu, Kaizhi
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.1549-1566
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    • 2016
  • Denote $M_n$ the maximum of n independent and identically distributed variables from the generalized short-tailed symmetric distribution. This paper shows the pointwise convergence rate of the distribution of $M_n$ to exp($\exp(-e^{-x})$) and the supremum-metric-based convergence rate as well.

Robust extreme quantile estimation for Pareto-type tails through an exponential regression model

  • Richard Minkah;Tertius de Wet;Abhik Ghosh;Haitham M. Yousof
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.531-550
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    • 2023
  • The estimation of extreme quantiles is one of the main objectives of statistics of extremes (which deals with the estimation of rare events). In this paper, a robust estimator of extreme quantile of a heavy-tailed distribution is considered. The estimator is obtained through the minimum density power divergence criterion on an exponential regression model. The proposed estimator was compared with two estimators of extreme quantiles in the literature in a simulation study. The results show that the proposed estimator is stable to the choice of the number of top order statistics and show lesser bias and mean square error compared to the existing extreme quantile estimators. Practical application of the proposed estimator is illustrated with data from the pedochemical and insurance industries.

ON THE RESTRICTED CONVERGENCE OF GENERALIZED EXTREME ORDER STATISTICS

  • EL-SHANDIDY M. A.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.20 no.1_2
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    • pp.225-238
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    • 2006
  • Generalized order statistics (gos) introduced by Kamps [8] as a unified approach to several models of order random variables (rv's), e.g., (ordinary) order statistics (oos), records, sequential order statistics (sos). In a wide subclass of gos, included oos and sos, the possible limit distribution functions (df's) of the maximum gos are obtained in Nasri-Roudsari [10]. In this paper, for this subclass, as the df of the suitably normalized extreme gos converges on an interval [c, d] to one of possible limit df's of the extreme gos, the continuation of this (weak) convergence on the whole real line to this limit df is proved.

A class of CUSUM tests using empirical distributions for tail changes in weakly dependent processes

  • Kim, JunHyeong;Hwang, Eunju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.163-175
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    • 2020
  • We consider a wide class of general weakly-dependent processes, called ψ-weak dependence, which unify almost all weak dependence structures of interest found in statistics under natural conditions on process parameters, such as mixing, association, Bernoulli shifts, and Markovian sequences. For detecting the tail behavior of the weakly dependent processes, change point tests are developed by means of cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistics with the empirical distribution functions of sample extremes. The null limiting distribution is established as a Brownian bridge. Its proof is based on the ψ-weak dependence structure and the existence of the phantom distribution function of stationary weakly-dependent processes. A Monte-Carlo study is conducted to see the performance of sizes and powers of the CUSUM tests in GARCH(1, 1) models; in addition, real data applications are given with log-returns of financial data such as the Korean stock price index.