• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical variability

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Weibull Statistical Analysis of Elevated Temperature Tensile Strength and Creep Rupture Time in Stainless Steels (스테인리스 강의 고온 인장강도와 크리프 파단시간의 와이블 통계 해석)

  • Jung, W.T.;Kim, Y.S.;Kim, S.J.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.56-62
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    • 2010
  • This paper is concerned with the stochastic nature of elevated temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time in 18Cr-8Ni stainless steels. The Weibull statistical analysis using the NRIM data sheet has been performed to investigate the effects of variability of the elevated temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time on the testing temperature. From those investigations, the distributions of temperature tensile strength and creep rupture time were well followed in 2-parameter Weibull. The shape parameter and scale parameter for the Weibull distribution of tensile strength were decreased with increasing the testing temperature. For the creep rupture time, generally, the shape parameter were decreased with increasing the testing temperature.

Analysis of the variability of deflection of a prestressed composite bridge deck

  • Staquet, Stephanie;Detandt, Henri;Espion, Bernard
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.385-402
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    • 2004
  • Nearly 400 composite railway bridge decks of a new kind belonging to the trough type with U-shaped cross section have been constructed in Belgium over the last fifteen years. The construction of these bridge decks is rather complex with the preflexion of precambered steel girders, the prestressing of a concrete slab and the addition of a 2nd phase concrete. Until now, they have been designed with a classical computation method using a pseudo-elastic analysis with modular ratios. Globally, they perform according to the expectations but variability has been observed between the measured and the computed camber of these bridge decks just after the transfer of prestressing and also at long-term. A statistical analysis of the variability of the relative difference between the measured camber and the computed camber is made for a sample of 36 bridge decks using no less than 10 variables. The most significant variables to explain this variability at prestressing are the ratio between the maximum tensile stress reached in the steel girders during the preflexion and the yield strength and the type of steel girder. For the same sample, the long-term camber under permanent loading is computed by two methods and compared with measurements taken one or two years after the construction. The camber computed by the step-by-step method shows a better agreement with the measured camber than the camber computed by the classical method. The purpose of the paper is to report on the statistical analysis which was used to determine the most significant parameters to consider in the modeling in order to improve the prediction of the behaviour of these composite railway bridge decks.

Development of Statistical Process Control System for Tobacco Manufacturing Process (담배 제조 공정의 통계적 관리시스템 개발)

  • 김영호;송정호
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Tobacco Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2001
  • To decrease of deviations from target specifications and excessive variability around targe, we exclusively designed statistical process control system involving general manager and expert tool for cigarette manufacturing process. This system is a unique programming environment for the development of total process control software including various control charts according to data type and process capability analysis. Also this system includes the statistical analysis module to analyze defective causes immediately when inferior products are made and the module to offer regular reports. This system is customized considering the manufacture environment based on the opinions of workers.

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Some issues on the downscaling of global climate simulations to regional scales

  • Jang, Suhyung;Hwang, Manha;Hur, Youngteck;Kavvas, M. Levent
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.229-229
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    • 2015
  • Downscaling is a fundamental procedure in the assessment of the future climate change impact at regional and watershed scales. Hence, it is important to investigate the spatial variability of the climate conditions that are constructed by various downscaling methods in order to assess whether each method can model the climate conditions at various spatial scales properly. This study introduces a fundamental research from Jang and Kavvas(2015) that precipitation variability from a popular statistical downscaling method (BCSD) and a dynamical downscaling method (MM5) that is based on the NCAR/NCEP reanalysis data for a historical period and on the CCSM3 GCM A1B emission scenario simulations for a projection period, is investigated by means of some spatial characteristics: a) the normalized standard deviation (NSD), and b) the precipitation change over Northern California region. From the results of this study it is found that the BCSD method has limitations in projecting future precipitation values since the BCSD-projected precipitation, being based on the interpolated change factors from GCM projected precipitation, does not consider the interactions between GCM outputs and local geomorphological characteristics such as orographic effects and land use/cover patterns. As such, it is not clear whether the popular BCSD method is suitable for the assessment of the impact of future climate change at regional, watershed and local scales as the future climate will evolve in time and space as a nonlinear system with land-atmosphere feedbacks. However, it is noted that in this study only the BCSD procedure for the statistical downscaling method has been investigated, and the results by other statistical downscaling methods might be different.

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Recent Morphological Changes off the Shoreface of Jinwoodo and Sinjado in the Nakdong River Estuary: 2007-2012 (낙동강 하구역 진우도와 신자도 전면의 최근 지형 변화: 2007년-2012년)

  • Park, Jinku;Khim, Boo-Keun;Lee, Hee Jun;Lee, Sang Ryong
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.87-101
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    • 2014
  • Recently, more attention has been paid to the geomorphological changes in the Nakdong River Estuary, because those changes are caused by artificial activities including weirs, reclamation and construction. In order to analyze quantitatively the recent geomorphological variability in the Nakdong River Estuary, we surveyed the depth and elevation of submarine topography near Jinwoodo and Sinjado from March 2007 to February 2012. A statistical method (based on Digital Shoreline Analysis System) and an Empirical Orthogonal Functions method were used to evaluate the morphological changes. According to the statistical variables (DCE, NDC, EPR, LRR), the highest amount and rate of accumulation were recorded around the Gadeokdo whereas the greatest amount of erosion appeared around the coast off the eastern part of Sinjado. In particular, a dynamic variation of morphology was clearly observed in the vicinity of the sub-tidal channel located between Jinwoodo and Sinjado, which seems to be attributable to channel migration. As a result of the EOF method, the first mode (48.7%) is most closely related to the pattern of morphological variability that might be associated with the westerly movement of sediment by longshore current. The spatial variability of the second mode (16.6%) was high in the shoreface of Sinjado, showing a 4-year periodicity of temporal variability. The strong correlation (coefficient 0.73) between the time coefficient and suspended sediment discharge from Nakdong River emphasizes the role of sediment discharge to deposition in this area. The spatial variability of the third mode (11.3%) was distributed mainly around the coast off the eastern part of Sinjado, which is related to the movement of the coastline of Sinjado. Based on the last 5 year's data, our results suggest that the study area is characterized on the whole by a depositional pattern, but the extent of sedimentation is different locally.

Major Watershed Characteristics Influencing Spatial Variability of Stream TP Concentration in the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역에서 하천 TP 농도의 공간적 변동성에 영향을 미치는 주요 유역특성)

  • Seo, Jiyu;Won, Jeongeun;Choi, Jeonghyeon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.204-216
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    • 2021
  • It is important to understand the factors influencing the temporal and spatial variability of water quality in order to establish an effective customized management strategy for contaminated aquatic ecosystems. In this study, the spatial diversity of the 5-year (2015 - 2019) average total phosphorus (TP) concentration observed in 40 Total Maximum Daily Loads unit-basins in the Nakdong River watershed was analyzed using 50 predictive variables of watershed characteristics, climate characteristics, land use characteristics, and soil characteristics. Cross-correlation analysis, a two-stage exhaustive search approach, and Bayesian inference were applied to identify predictors that best matched the time-averaged TP. The predictors that were finally identified included watershed altitude, precipitation in fall, precipitation in winter, residential area, public facilities area, paddy field, soil available phosphate, soil magnesium, soil available silicic acid, and soil potassium. Among them, it was found that the most influential factors for the spatial difference of TP were watershed altitude in watershed characteristics, public facilities area in land use characteristics, and soil available silicic acid in soil characteristics. This means that artificial factors have a great influence on the spatial variability of TP. It is expected that the proposed statistical modeling approach can be applied to the identification of major factors affecting the spatial variability of the temporal average state of various water quality parameters.

Probabilistic Analysis of Liquefaction Cyclic Stress Ratio Considering Soil Variability (지반변동성을 고려한 액상화 진동전단응력비의 확률론적 해석)

  • Heo, Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.2
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the liquefaction cyclic shear stress ratio considering the soil uncertainty. In this study, the probabilistic ground response analysis and the cyclic shear stress ratio analysis for the liquefaction potential evaluation are performed considering the soil variability. The statistical properties of input ground parameters were analyzed to investigate the parameters affecting the seismic response analysis. The Probabilistic analysis was carried out by Monte Carlo Simulation method. The ground response analysis was performed considering the soil variability and the probability distribution characteristics of the ground acceleration. The probability distribution of the peak ground acceleration by seismic characteristics was presented. The differences of liquefaction shear stress ratio results according to soil variability were compared and analyzed. The maximum acceleration of the ground by the deterministic method was analyzed to be overestimation of the ground amplification phenomenon. Also, the shear stress ratio was overestimated.

Comparison of Shape Variability in Principal Component Biplot with Missing Values

  • Shin, Sang-Min;Choi, Yong-Seok;Lee, Nae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1109-1116
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    • 2008
  • Biplots are the multivariate analogue of scatter plots. They are useful for giving a graphical description of the data matrix, for detecting patterns and for displaying results found by more formal methods of analysis. Nevertheless, when some values are missing in data matrix, most biplots are not directly applicable. In particular, we are interested in the shape variability of principal component biplot which is the most popular in biplots with missing values. For this, we estimate the missing data using the EM algorithm and mean imputation according to missing rates. Even though we estimate missing values of biplot of incomplete data, we have different shapes of biplots according to the imputation methods and missing rates. Therefore we propose a RMS(root mean square) for measuring and comparing the shape variability between the original biplots and the estimated biplots.

Geo-statistical Analysis of Growth Variability in Rice Paddy Field (벼 재배 포장 생육변이의 공간통계학적 해석)

  • 이충근;성제훈;정인규;김상철;박우풍;이용범;박원규
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2004
  • To obtain basic information for precision agriculture, spatial variability of rice growth condition was evaluated in 100m ${\times}$100m paddy field. The rice growth condition of four hundred locations in the field were investigated to analyze the spatial variability of their properties ; SPAD, plant length and tiller number. Geostatistical analysis was carried out to examine within-field spatial variability using semivariograms and kriged maps as well as descriptive statistics. Descriptive statistics showed that the coefficient of variation for SPAD, plant length, and tiller number exceeded 5.70 %, suggesting a relatively high variability. Geostatistical analysis indicated a high spatial dependence for all the properties except for the second tiller number. The range of spatial dependence was about 20 m for SPAD, plant length, and tiller number. Based on the results of spatial dependence, kriged maps were prepared for the properties to analyse their spatial distribution in the field. The results reflected the history of field management. In conclusion, the need for site-specific field management and possibility of precision agriculture were demonstrated even in an almost flat paddy field.

A study on characteristics of the autonomic nervous system in students with Keongke - Using Heart Rate Variability and Pupil Size Variability - (경계(驚悸) 증상을 지닌 학생 집단의 자율 신경 기능 특성에 대한 연구 - 심박변이도와 동공크기 변이도를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Seung-Gi;Lee, Jeong-Chan;Kim, Ji-Eun;Park, Kyung-Mo;Kang, Hee-Chul
    • Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 2006
  • Objective : The purpose of this experimental-controlled study was to investigate the characteristics of the autonomic nervous system in students with Keongke by using HRV(Heart rate variability) and PSV(Pupil size variability). Method : The study group was consisted of 11 students with self recognition as the experimental group, and 25 normal students as the control group. Informations on gender and age were obtained by medical charts and personal interviews. By using heart rate variability and pupil size variability, we measured the value of HRT(Heart rate), SDNN(Standard deviation of NN intervals), LFnorm(Low frequency normalization), HFnorm(High frequency normalization), LF/HF ratio, Pupil area, B.S.(Basic size), C.R.(Max Constriction Rate) and 1s.d.(1sec Dilation Rate). I compared the degrees of the sympathetic and parasympathetic activity. Result : 1. In the result of heart rate variability between experimental and control group, none of the parameters of experimental group were significantly different from control group. And even though there were no statistical significance, there were some numerical differences in SDNN, LF norm, HF norm. 2. In pupil size variability, C.R. and 1s.d. of the experimental group were increased compared to control group. Conclusion : The study results suggest that the group with Keongke has differences of autonomic nervous system as compared to those in normal state. Measurement value of PSV is a new technical approach to estimate the autonomic nervous system.

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