• 대한간호학회지
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.48-55
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• 2012

Purpose: The aim of this study was to compare statistical methods to control response bias in nursing activity surveys. Methods: Data were collected at a medical unit of a general hospital. The number of nursing activities and consumed activity time were measured using self-report questionnaires. Descriptive statistics were used to identify general characteristics of the units. Average, Z-standardization, gamma regression, finite mixture model, and stochastic frontier model were adopted to estimate true activity time controlling for response bias. Results: The nursing activity time data were highly skewed and had non-normal distributions. Among the 4 different methods, only gamma regression and stochastic frontier model controlled response bias effectively and the estimated total nursing activity time did not exceeded total work time. However, in gamma regression, estimated total nursing activity time was too small to use in real clinical settings. Thus stochastic frontier model was the most appropriate method to control response bias when compared with the other methods. Conclusion: According to these results, we recommend the use of a stochastic frontier model to estimate true nursing activity time when using self-report surveys.

• 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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• 제13권8호
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• pp.583-590
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• 2003

For the preestimate of the vibration level of the ground next to a dwelling, a multivariate statistical analysis on the experiment data acquired from a variety of construction sites was performed, and then a new estimate model for the value of K and n that can be applied in the diagnosis of the damage was offered. The results maybe summarized as follows : First, the $K_{95}$ and n showed high correlation at P$\leq$0.05. Specially the correlation coefficient about $W_{max}$, S were higher in $K_{95}$ than in n. indicating that $K_{95}$ is generally associated with source conditions. Second, the factor analysis permitted to identify two major sources in each fraction. These sources accounted for at least 73 % of valiance of $K_{95}$. Third, the multiple regression model for the estimate of $K_{95}$ was developed from Fac1 which depend upon the source conditions and Fac2 which depend upon the transmission conditions. The n value is able to determine from the correlation relationship associated with $K_{95}$./.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.33-45
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• 2012

신약 개발 연구 또는 임상시험에서 개발된 약이 0용량 대조군과 비교해 효과 차이가 있는 가장 작은 용량을 최소 효과 용량(MED)이라 한다. 본 논문에서는 다중 그룹 상황에서 동시적(simultaneous)으로 각 각 그룹의 최소 효과 용량을 확인하기 위하여 위치(placement)에 기초한 비모수적 방법을 제시하였다. 또한 Monte Carlo 모의실험을 통하여 기존에 제시된 검정법과 본 논문에서 제안한 검정법의 검정력(power)과 FWE(Family-wise Error Rate)를비교하였다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.687-700
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• 2019

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to investigate the interaction effects between price determinants of artworks. We expand the methodology in art market by applying machine learning techniques to estimate the price of artworks and compare linear regression and machine learning in terms of prediction accuracy. Methods: Moderated regression analysis was performed to verify the interaction effects of artistic characteristics on price. The moderating effects were studied by confirming the significance level of the interaction terms of the derived regression equation. In order to derive price estimation model, we use multiple linear regression analysis, which is a parametric statistical technique, and k-nearest neighbor (kNN) regression, which is a nonparametric statistical technique in machine learning methods. Results: Mostly, the influences of the price determinants of art are different according to the auction types and the artist 's reputation. However, the auction type did not control the influence of the genre of the work on the price. As a result of the analysis, the kNN regression was superior to the linear regression analysis based on the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: It provides a theoretical basis for the complexity that exists between pricing determinant factors of artworks. In addition, the nonparametric models and machine learning techniques as well as existing parameter models are implemented to estimate the artworks' price.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.547-557
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 우리나라 지방국도의 특정지점에서 수집된 교통량 자료를 이용하여 일일 시간교통량 추정모형을 개발하였다. 본 연구의 특징은 일일 24시의 시간변수를 원형변수로 취급하고, 지방부 교통량 자료의 특성상 출퇴근 시간에 교통량이 집중되는 이봉형의 현상을 감안하여 원형분포의 혼합모형을 고려하였다. 또한 시간대별 교통량의 분포가 요일에 따라 유사한 패턴을 가지는 데 착안하여 요일별 모형을 제시하였다. 혼합원형분포의 모수추정에는 EM알고리즘이 사용되었으며, 모형의 성능비교를 위해 가변수 회귀모형과의 비교를 실시하였다. 제시된 요일별 지방국도의 시간교통량 적합모형은 계측기의 손상 등으로 인한 교통량 결측자료의 추정에 효과적으로 사용될 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.117-124
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• 2009

시계열자료에 계절효과가 존재할 때 성공적인 수요예측을 위해 Winters 방법과 같은 다양한 통계적 방법이 존재지만 신상품과 같이 과거 매출자료가 충분하지 않을 경우 통계적 방법 적용에 한계가 존재한다. 본 연구논문은 신제품과 같이 과거 매출자료가 충분하지 않아 계절효과 등을 추정하기 어려울 때 누적자료를 활용한 통계적 예측방법을 제안한다. 제안된 통계적 방법은 회귀모형이론에 기초하고 있으며 이 방법의 유효성을 최근 화장품 매출자료를 이용하여 검증하였다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.43-54
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• 2006

The National Wealth Survey Method has been used to estimate capital stocks in Korea by the Korea National Statistical Office in every 10 years. However, this method requires huge amount of time and money, Since the Benchmark Year Method also has similar problems of difficulties to estimate the annual retirement rate and depreciation, the Korea National Statistical Office is now considered to adapt the Perpetual Inventory Method being used by the most OECD countries as an alternative. Hence, in this paper, the concepts of the Perpetual Inventory Method are introduced and its formation plans for the National Wealth Survey are suggested.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.385-395
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• 2020

We present a new maximum likelihood approach to estimate demographic history using genomic data sampled from two populations. A demographic model such as an isolation-with-migration (IM) model explains the genetic divergence of two populations split away from their common ancestral population. The standard probability model for an IM model contains a latent variable called genealogy that represents gene-specific evolutionary paths and links the genetic data to the IM model. Under an IM model, a genealogy consists of two kinds of evolutionary paths of genetic data: vertical inheritance paths (coalescent events) through generations and horizontal paths (migration events) between populations. The computational complexity of the IM model inference is one of the major limitations to analyze genomic data. We propose a fast maximum likelihood approach to estimate IM models from genomic data. The first step analyzes genomic data and maximizes the likelihood of a coalescent tree that contains vertical paths of genealogy. The second step analyzes the estimated coalescent trees and finds the parameter values of an IM model, which maximizes the distribution of the coalescent trees after taking account of possible migration events. We evaluate the performance of the new method by analyses of simulated data and genomic data from two subspecies of common chimpanzees in Africa.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.205-216
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• 2019

Diagnostic tests in medical fields detect or diagnose a disease with results measured by continuous or discrete ordinal data. The performance of a diagnostic test is summarized using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC). The diagnostic test is considered clinically useful if the outcomes in actually-positive cases are higher than actually-negative cases and the ROC curve is concave. In this study, we apply the stochastic ordering method in a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate the proper ROC curve and AUC when the diagnostic test results are measured in discrete ordinal data. We compare the conventional binormal model and binormal model under stochastic ordering. The simulation results and real data analysis for breast cancer indicate that the binormal model under stochastic ordering can be used to estimate the proper ROC curve with a small bias even though the sample sizes were small or the sample size of actually-negative cases varied from actually-positive cases. Therefore, it is appropriate to consider the binormal model under stochastic ordering in the presence of large differences for a sample size between actually-negative and actually-positive groups.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.86-92
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• 2012

점추정법은 exact probabilistic method로 간주되는 Monte Carlo simulation에 비해 계산의 정확도는 다소 떨어지지만, 성능함수의 통계 모멘트를 분석하기 위한 샘플링 수를 크게 줄일 수 있는 해석 과정에서의 간편함과 비교적 정확한 통계 모멘트의 계산으로 인해 지반 및 암반공학에서의 확률론적 신뢰성 평가에 자주 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 Rosenblueth와 Zhou & Nowak의 점추정법과 Monte Carlo simulation의 계산 결과를 비교 분석하여 점추정법의 정확도와 적용성을 조사하였다. 비교 분석은 해석적 해가 주어진 탄성 지반내 원형터널의 라이닝 지보 문제를 대상으로 하였다. 분석 결과, 해석적 해가 비선형 함수임에도 불구하고, 점추정법과 Monte Carlo simulation에 의해 계산된 통계 모멘트가 평균 약 1-2%의 오차를 보여 수치해석과 연계한 지하구조물의 확률론적 신뢰성 평가를 위한 점추정법의 적용성을 확인하였다.