• Title/Summary/Keyword: standard of estimate

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Analysis of Design Live Load of Railway Bridge Through Statistical Analysis of WIM Data for High-speed Rail (고속철도 WIM 데이터에 대한 통계분석을 통한 철도교량 설계활하중 분석)

  • Park, Sumin;Yeo, Inho;Paik, Inyeol
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the live load model for the design of high-speed railway bridge is analyzed by statistic and probabilistic methods and the safety level that is given by the load factors of the load combination is analyzed. This study is a part of the development of the limit state design method for the railway bridge, and the train data collected from the Gyeongbu high-speed railway for about one month are utilized. The four different statistical methods are applied to estimate the design load to match the bridge design life and the results are compared. In order to examine the safety level that the design load combination of the railway bridge gives, the reliability indexes are determined and the results are analyzed. The load effect from the current design live load for the high-speed rail bridge which is 0.75 times of the standard train load is came out greater than at least 30-22% that from the estimated load from the measured data. If it is judged based on the ultimate limit state, there is a possibility of additional reduction of the safety factors through the reliability analysis.

Analysis of Future Meteorological Drought Index Considering Climate Change in Han-River Basin (기후변화에 따른 한강유역의 기상학적 가뭄지수 분석)

  • Kim, Duckhwan;Hong, Seung Jin;Han, Daegun;Choi, Changhyeon;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.432-447
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    • 2016
  • The increased frequency of drought and flood due to climate change was a global problem. In particular, drought was recognized as a serious environmental, ecological, social, and economic disaster. Therefore, it is necessary to study the measures to prevent it. In this study, we will estimate the meteorological drought index in the Han River Basin and analyze the impact of climate change on drought. The change of the meteorological drought occurrence due to climate change in the Han River separated by the common drought and severe drought was analyzed using the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The years 1973 - 2010 were selected for analysis in the current period. Using the scenario, we separated the future period (Target I: 2011 - 2039, Target II: 2040 - 2069, Target III : 2070 - 2099). The number of occurrences of less than -1.0 and -1.5 standard precipitation index were analyzed by SPI 3, 6, 12. Looking at the results, trends in rainfall in the Han River was expected to increase from the current figures, the occurrence of drought is predicted to decline in the future. However, the number of drought occurrence was analyzed to increase toward long-term drought. The number of severe drought occurrences was usually larger than the common drought estimated. Additional studies may be considered in addition to the agricultural drought, hydrological drought, socio-economic drought. This will be done by using efficient water management. The results can be used as a basis for future drought analysis of the Han River.

METHYLMERCURY EXPOSURE IN CURRENT JAPANESE: ESTIMATION FROM HAIR ANALYSIS

  • Yasutake, Akira;Hachiya, Noriyuki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Health Society Conference
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    • 2005.12a
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    • pp.4-15
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    • 2005
  • Methylmercury (MeHg) is an environmental pollutant with neurotoxic effects on the central nervous system. The major exposure route of MeHg to humans is via consumption of fish and shellfish which accumulate the chemical through the food web in an aquatic environment. Hair mercury level is an excellent marker for MeHg exposure. We have been conducting a survey on hair mercury contents among general populations from 14 districts to estimate the current Japanese MeHg exposure level. Total mercury levels of all hair samples collected (12923 in total) were analyzed by the oxygen combustion-gold amalgamation method using an atomic absorption mercury detector. Multiple regression analysis revealed that mercury levels were significantly correlated with several covariates, such as sex, age, the amount of daily intake of total fish/shellfish, a preference for certain fish such as tuna or bonito, and artificial waving. The geometric means for the population without artificial waving were 2.47 and 1.65 ${\mu}g/g$ for males (n = 5623) and females (n = 3470), respectively. Hair mercury levels varied with age, and the variations were more significant in males. Since the difference between sexes was not evident at younger ages, some hormonal control might also be involved in the mercury uptake by human hair. The average mercury levels in our hair samples varied among the sampling districts. Tuna is a major carnivorous fish with high mercury accumulations that is often consumed in Japan. The amount of fish consumption and the preference rate far tuna would appear to be responsible far the regional variation in hair mercury levels in Japan. Recently, a provisional tolerable weekly intake (PTWI) of MeHg was revised by 61st JECFA to 1.6 ${\mu}g/kg/week$, which was about half that of the Japanese standard, and corresponded to a hair level of 2.2 ppm. The distribution of hair mercury levels in Japanese populations in the present study indicated that 25% of the Japanese females of child-bearing age were estimated to be exposed to MeHg over the PTWI level. This would reflect the high Japanese consumption of marine products. However, not only mercury contamination, but also the nutritional benefit may have to be considered when discussing the risk involved in the current level of fish and shellfish consumption in Japan.

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Survey and method validation of simultaneous quantitative analysis of T-2 and HT-2 toxins in cereals (곡류 중 T-2 및 HT-2 독소 동시 정량분석의 유효성 검증 및 실태조사)

  • Paek, Ockjin;Kang, Teabeom
    • Food Science and Preservation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.559-566
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this study was to develop an analytical method for determination of T-2 toxin and HT-2 toxin level in cereals and to survey their levels using LC-MS/MS. The T-2 and HT-2 toxins were simultaneously analyzed by electrospray ionization with a positive ion mode and multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) after filteration and immuno-affinity column clean-up. A matrix-matched standard calibration used for quantification and recoveries of T-2 and HT-3 toxins were in the range of $100.6{\pm}7.2%$ and $96.8{\pm}9.4%$, respectively. Limits of detection and quantification of T-2 and HT-2 toxins were estimated to be 0.5 and $1.5{\mu}g/kg$, respectively. Each repeatability (RSRr) of T-2 and HT-2 toxins was determined to be 0.9~6.0%, and 4.9~6.1%, respectively. Total 115 samples cereals were collected from 9 types of cereals for analysis. The positive percentages of T-2 and HT-2 toxins obtained from collected samples were found to be 72% and 80%, respectively. The contamination level of T-2 toxin and HT-2 toxin in cereals were $37.1{\mu}g/kg$, and $5.4{\mu}g/kg$, respectively. Therefore, this study suggests that the developed method could be an useful analytical method to determine the T-2 and HT-2 toxin level in cereals and the present data could be used as a reference to estimate the risk assessment.

Evaluation of the Oxygen Transfer Parameters (α and F) of a Coarse Bubble Aeration System by Off-gas Column Test (Off-gas Column Test를 이용한 하수처리장 심층포기시스템의 산소전달 매개변수(α와 F)의 산정)

  • Kim, Chul Woong;Lee, Se Ho;Shin, Dong Rok;Lee, Ji Yong;Park, Jae Han;Ahn, Yoon Hee;Ko, Kwang Baik
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1119-1122
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    • 2006
  • Aeration by using diffusers usually requires approximately 50~90% of the total electricity needed to operate WWTP (WasteWater Treatment Plant)s. Accurate evaluation of the oxygen transfer efficiency for an aeration system, and recommendation of a better alternative may help saving WWTP operational costs. Appropriate techniques and methods to achieve this purpose have not been introduced in Korea. In this study, in-process analysis was performed for a coarse bubble aeration system by the off-gas method to evaluate its applicability in Korea. To accomplish this analysis, an off-gas test, unsteady-state clean water test and steady-state off-gas column test was conducted and comparisons to other aeration systems were made. The ${\alpha}$ and the F estimated from the results of the unsteady-state clean water test and the steady-state off-gas column test were 0.61 and 0.90 respectively in a coarse bubble aeration system. The comparison of P.E tube diffusers laid out single spiral roll and ceramic dome diffusers laid out full floor coverage showed that the oxygen transfer efficiency of the coarse bubble aeration system was less than or similar to other aeration systems. But, airflow rates per unit area were 4~5 times greater than other aeration systems. In regards to the oxygen transfer efficiency for airflow rates per unit area, a retrofit to higher efficiency diffusers was urgently needed. This study showed proved that off-gas methods can apply to evaluate diffuser performances to estimate operating factors and to compare other aeration systems in Korea.

Peripheral Blood Lymphocytes as In Vitro Model to Evaluate Genomic Instability Caused by Low Dose Radiation

  • Tewari, Shikha;Khan, Kainat;Husain, Nuzhat;Rastogi, Madhup;Mishra, Surendra P;Srivastav, Anoop K
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1773-1777
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    • 2016
  • Diagnostic and therapeutic radiation fields are planned so as to reduce side-effects while maximising the dose to site but effects on healthy tissues are inevitable. Radiation causes strand breaks in DNA of exposed cells which can lead to chromosomal aberrations and cause malfunction and cell death. Several researchers have highlighted the damaging effects of high dose radiation but still there is a lacuna in identifying damage due to low dose radiation used for diagnostic purposes. Blood is an easy resource to study genotoxicity and to estimate the effects of radiation. The micronucleus assay and chromosomal aberration can indicate genetic damage and our present aim was to establish these with lymphocytes in an in vitro model to predict the immediate effects low dose radiation. Blood was collected from healthy individuals and divided into 6 groups with increasing radiation dose i.e., 0Gy, 0.10Gy, 0.25Gy, 0.50Gy, 1Gy and 2Gy. The samples were irradiated in duplicates using a LINAC in the radiation oncology department. Standard protocols were applied for chromosomal aberration and micronucleus assays. Metaphases were stained in Giemsa and 200 were scored per sample for the detection of dicentric or acentric forms. For micronuclei detection, 200 metaphases. Giemsa stained binucleate cells per sample were analysed for any abnormality. The micronuclei (MN) frequency was increased in cells exposed to the entire range of doses (0.1-2Gy) delivered. Controls showed minimal MN formation ($2.0%{\pm}0.05$) with triple MN ($5.6%{\pm}2.0$) frequency at the lowest dose. MN formation increased exponentially with the radiation dose thereafter with a maximum at 2Gy. Significantly elevated numbers of dicentric chromosomes were also observed, even at doses of 0.1-0.5Gy, compared to controls, and acentric chromosomes were apparent at 2Gy. In conclusion we can state that lymphocytes can be effectively used to study direct effect of low dose radiation.

Prediction of Occupant Load Density using People Counting System in Discount Stores (무인계수시스템을 이용한 대형할인점의 재실자밀도 예측)

  • Seo, Dong-Goo;Hwang, Eun-Kyoung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the suitability of the current standards by predicting the density of the occupant load density for discount stores. An internal data survey as well as an actual survey using a People Counting System (PCS) were employed to ascertain the number of occupants and 95% confidence interval of nationwide discount stores. According to the results of the actual survey, the time and days on which the maximum number of occupants were reached was from 16:00 to 18:00 and Christmas Eve and the weekend before New Year's Day, respectively. From the results of the maximum number of occupants, a regression equation was derived from the relationship between the internal data and the amount of sales, and this equation was verified in a previous study. Thus, the internal data of 50 discount stores were analyzed using this process. As a result, the 95% confidence interval was determined to be $2.7{\sim}2.9m^2/pers.$ and the error level was not large compared to the domestic and foreign standards. Therefore, this study proposes that a conservative estimate of the standard occupant load density for discount stores is $2.7m^2/pers.$

Allometric Equations for Crown Fuel Biomass of Pinus koraiensis Stands in Korea (잣나무림의 수관연료량 추정을 위한 상대생장식 개발)

  • Kim, Sungyong;Jang, Mina;Lee, Byungdoo;Lee, Youngjin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to develop allometric equations for the estimation of crown fuel biomass of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. A total of twenty four representative sample trees were destructively sampled in Gapyeong, Hongcheon, and Jeongseon. Crown fuels were weighed separately for each fuel category by size class and by living and dead. The results of this study showed that the needles contributed the largest biomass (16.6 kg, 34.7%), followed by live branches with size ranging from 2~4 cm (9.0 kg, 18.9%), 1~2 cm (6.6 kg, 13.8%), <0.5 cm (5.1 kg, 10.6%), 0.5~1 cm (4.9 kg, 10.3%), and dead branches (3.2 kg, 6.8%), while the live branches with 4 cm (2.4 kg, 4.9%) as the lowest. The adjusted coefficient of determination values were the highest ($R^2_{adj}=0.6021{\sim}9742$) and standard error of estimate were the lowest (S.E.E.=0.2018~0.7271) in allometric equation $lnWt={\beta}_0+{\beta}_1lnD$. The available fuels that are consumed during crown fires (i.e., needles and twigs with diameter less than 1 cm) comprised 55.6% of the total crown fuel biomass.

A Study on the Sensory Tests Correlated Objective Measurements for the Gloss and Gloss-lasting Capability of Lipstick (립스틱의 광택 및 광택 지속성에 대한 객관적인 측정법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Nam;Kim, Yoon-Jeong;Lee, Hwa-Young;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Cheon, Ji-Min;Kang, Hak-Hee;Lee, Ok-Sub
    • Journal of the Society of Cosmetic Scientists of Korea
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    • v.31 no.1 s.49
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    • pp.59-64
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    • 2005
  • In case of lipsticks, observer's subjective sensitivity has been the main index to estimate gloss and gloss-lasting capability. The glossmeter has been applied to measure the gloss of make-up cosmetics like nail enamel, however is not effective for lipstick because of uneven sampling. Also gloss-lasting capability couldn't have been measured. In this study, we optimized measurement methods of gloss and gloss-lasting capability of lipsticks, which are highly correlated to subjective sensory tests. We set up the standard methods of gloss measurement by changing application conditions, for example, materials, sizes and application number of times and so on. And we introduced optimizing measurement system, in which shaking speed and temperature were controlled to measure gloss-lasting capability. Applying our methods, the gloss values were very close to the results of sensory tests, and we could express the gloss and gloss-lasting capability of lipsticks numerically Repeatability and reproducibility of our methods were certified by six-sigma statistical tool.

Evaluation of the Accuracy and usability of Trigger mode in Respiratory Gated Radiation Therapy (호흡동조방사선치료를 위한 Trigger mode 투시영상 획득 시 호흡 속도에 따른 정확성 평가 - Phantom Study)

  • Park, je wan;Kim, min su;Um, ki cheon;Choi, seong hoon;Song, heung kwon;Yoon, in ha
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.33
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2021
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy and usefulness of the Trigger mode for the Respiratory Gated Radiation Therapy (RGRT) Materials and methods : A QUASAR respiratory phantom that inserted a 3 mm fiducial marker (a gold marker) was used to estimate the accuracy of the Trigger mode. And the 20 bpm was used as reference respiration rate in this study. The marker that placed at the center of the phantom was contoured, and the lower threshold of a gating window was fixed at 2.0 mm using an OBI with Truebeam STxTM. The upper threshold was measured every 0.5 mm from 1.0 mm to 3.0 mm. The respiration rates were changed every 10 bpm from 10 bpm to 60 bpm. We repeatedly measured five times to check the error rate of the trigger mode in the same condition. Result : The differences of a distance from a peak phase to upper threshold, 1.0 to 3.0 mm at a 20 bpm as a reference for 3 days in a row were 0.68±0.05 mm, 0.91±0.03 mm, 1.23±0.03 mm, 1.42±0.04 mm, and 1.66±0.06 mm, respectively. Measurement result of changes in respiratory rate compared to baseline respiratory rate in maximum absolute difference. The coefficient of determination (R2) to estimate the correlation between the respiration velocity and variation of absolute difference was on average 0.838, 0.887, 0.770, 0.850, and 0.906. The p-values of all the variables were below 0.05. Conclusion : Using Trigger mode during respiratory gated radiation therapy (RGRT), accuracy and usefulness of trigger mode at reference breathing rate were confirmed. However, inaccuracies depending on the rate of breathing it could be uncertain in case of respiration rate is faster than 20 bpm as a standard respiration rate compared to slower than 20 bpm. Consequently, when conducting a RGRT using the trigger mode, real time monitoring is required with well educated respiration.