• Title/Summary/Keyword: stage prediction

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Comparison of various k-ε models and DSM applied to flow around a high-rise building - report on AIJ cooperative project for CFD prediction of wind environment -

  • Mochida, A.;Tominaga, Y.;Murakami, S.;Yoshie, R.;Ishihara, T.;Ooka, R.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.5 no.2_3_4
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    • pp.227-244
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    • 2002
  • Recently, the prediction of wind environment around a building using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) technique comes to be carried out at the practical design stage. However, there have been very few studies which examined the accuracy of CFD prediction of flow around a high-rise building including the velocity distribution at pedestrian level. The working group for CFD prediction of wind environment around building, which consists of researchers from several universities and private companies, was organized in the Architectural Institute of Japan (AIJ) considering such a background. At the first stage of the project, the working group planned to carry out the cross comparison of CFD results of flow around a high rise building by various numerical methods, in order to clarify the major factors which affect prediction accuracy. This paper presents the results of this comparison.

Evalustion and Prediction for the Fatigue crack Initiation and Growth Life by Reliability Approach (I) -Statistical Consideration for Fatigue Crack Growth Life- (신뢰성 공학적 피로 균열의 발생, 진전 수명 평가 및 예측에 관한 연구 ( I ) -피로 균열 진전 수명의 통계학적 분포 특성-)

  • 권재도;최선호;황재석;곽상국;전경옥;장재영
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1583-1591
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    • 1990
  • Life prediction and residual life prediction of structures of machines are one of the most strongly world wide needed problems as requirement in the stage of slowly developing economy which comes after rapidly and highly developing stage. For the purpose of statistical life prediction, fatigue test was conducted under the 4 stress levels, and for each stress level, about 20 specimens are used. The statistical properties of crack growth parameter m and C in the fatigue crack growth law of da/dN=C(.DELTA.K)sup m/, and the relationship between m and C, and the statistical distribution pattern of fatigue crack growth rate can be obtained by experimental results.

Prediction and Control of Welding Deformation for Panel Block Structure (평 블록 구조의 용접변형 예측 및 제어)

  • Kim, Sang-Il
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.95-99
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    • 2008
  • The block assembly of ship consists of a certain type of heat processes such as cutting, bending welding residual stress relaxation and fairing. The residual deformation due to welding is inevitable at each assembly stage. The geometric inaccuracy caused by the welding deformation tends to preclude the introduction of automation and mechanization and needs the additional man-hours for the adjusting work at the following assembly stage. To overcome this problem, a distortion control method should be applied. For this purpose, it is necessary to develop an accurate prediction method which can explicitly account for the influence of various factors on the welding deformation. The validity of the prediction method must be also clarified through experiments. This paper proposes a simplified analysis method to predict the welding deformation of panel block structure. For this purpose, a simple prediction model for fillet welding deformations has been derived based on numerical and experimental results through the regression analysis. On the basis of these results, the simplified analysis method has been applied to some examples to show its validity.

A Lifetime Prediction and Diagnosis of Partial Discharge Mechanism Using a Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 부분방전 메카니즘의 진단과 수명예측)

  • Lee, Young-Sang;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Kim, Sung-Hong;Lim, Yun-Suk;Jang, Jin-Kang;Park, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11c
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    • pp.910-912
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we purpose automatic diagnosis in online, as the fundamental study to diagnose the partial discharge mechanism and to predict the lifetime, by introduction a neural network. In the proposed method, Ire use acoustic emission sensing system and calculate a fixed quantity statistic operator by pulse number and amplitude. Using statically operators such as the center of gravity(G) and the gradient of the discharge distribute(C), we analyzed the early stage and the middle stage. the fixed quantity statistic operators are learned by a neural network. The diagnosis of insulation degradation and a lifetime prediction by the early stage time are achieved. On the basis of revealed excellent diagnosis ability through the neural network learning for the patterns during degradation, it was proved that the neural network is appropriate for degradation diagnosis and lifetime prediction in partial discharge.

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Traffic Prediction based Multi-Stage Virtual Topology Reconfiguration Policy in Multi-wavelength Routed Optical Networks (다중 파장 광 네트워크 상에서 트래픽 예상 기법 기반 다단계 가상망 재구성 정책)

  • Lin Zhang;Lee, Kyung-hee;Youn, Chan-Hyun;Shim, Eun-Bo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.8C
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    • pp.729-740
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    • 2002
  • This paper studies the issues arising in the virtual topology reconfiguration phase of Multi-wavelength Routed Optical Networks. This reconfiguration process means to change the virtual topology in response to the changing traffic patterns in the higher layer. We formulate the optimal reconfiguration policy as a multi-stage decision-making problem to maximize the expected reward and cost function over an infinite horizon. Then we propose a new heuristic algorithm based on node-exchange to reconfigure the virtual topology to meet the traffic requirement. To counter the continual approximation problem brought by heuristic approach, we take the traffic prediction into consideration. We further propose a new heuristic reconfiguration algorithm called Prediction based Multi-stage Reconfiguration approach to realize the optimal reconfiguration policy based on predicted traffic. Simulation results show that our reconfiguration policy significantly outperforms the conventional one, while the required physical resources are limited.

Development of Performance Analysis Program for an Axial Compressor with Meanline Analysis (평균반경해석법을 이용한 축류압축기 성능해석 프로그램 개발)

  • Park, Jun-Young;Park, Moo-Ryong;Choi, Bum-Suk;Song, Je-Wook
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2009
  • Axial-flow compressor is one of the most important parts of gas turbine units with axial turbine and combustor. Therefore, precise prediction of performance is very important for development of new compressor or modification of existing one. Meanline analysis is a simple, fast and powerful method for performance prediction of axial-flow compressors with different geometries. So, Meanline analysis is frequently used in preliminary design stage and performance analysis for given geometry data. Much correlations for meanline analysis have been developed theoretically and experimentally for estimating various types of losses and flow deviation angle for long time. In present study, meanline analysis program was developed to estimate compressor losses, incidence angles, deviation angles, stall and surge conditions with many correlations. Performance prediction of one stage axial compressors is conducted with this meanline analysis program. The comparison between experimental and numerical results show a good agreement. This meanline analysis program can be used for various types of single stage axial-flow compressors with different geometries, as well as multistage axial-flow compressors.

MOVEMENT CONTROL OF HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS DURING CONSTRUCTION

  • Taehun Ha;Sungho Lee;Bohwan Oh
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.46-51
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    • 2011
  • High-rise buildings are widely being constructed in the Middle-East, South-East, and East Asia. These buildings are usually willing to stand for the landmark of the region and, therefore, exhibit some extraordinary features such as super-tall height, elevation set-backs, overhangs, or free-form exterior surface, all of which makes the construction difficult, complex, and even unsafe at some construction stages. In addition to the elaborately planned construction sequence, prediction and monitoring of building's movement during construction and after completion are required for precise and safe construction. This is often called the Building Movement Control during construction. This study describes Building Movement Control of the KLCC Tower, a 58-story office building currently being built right next to the famous PETRONAS Twin Towers. The main items of the Building Movement Control for the KLCC Tower are axial shortening and verticality. Preliminary prediction of these items are already carried out by the structural design team but more accurate prediction based on construction stage analysis and combined with time-dependent material testing, field monitoring, and site survey is done by the main contractor. As of September 2010, the Tower is under construction at level 30, where the plan abruptly changes from rectangle to triangle. Findings and troubleshooting until the current construction stage are explained in detail and implementations are suggested for future applications.

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Thermal Stress Analysis for Life Prediction of Power Plant Turbine Rotor (발전용 터빈 로우터의 수명예측을 위한 열응력 해석)

  • 임종순;허승진;이규봉;유영면
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.276-287
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    • 1990
  • In this paper research result of transient thermal stress analysis of power plant turbine rotors for life prediction under severs operating conditions is presented. Galerkin's recurrence scheme is used for numerical solution of discretized FEM equation of transient heat conduction equation. Boundary conditions for the equation and operating conditions are intensively investigated for accurate life prediction of turbine rotors in operation. A computer program for on-site application is developed and tested. Distribution of thermal stress in turbine rotors during various operating condition is analyzed with the program and it is found that the peak thermal stress appears during cold stage conditions at the first stage of high pressure rotors.

On successive machine learning process for predicting strength and displacement of rectangular reinforced concrete columns subjected to cyclic loading

  • Bu-seog Ju;Shinyoung Kwag;Sangwoo Lee
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.513-525
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    • 2023
  • Recently, research on predicting the behavior of reinforced concrete (RC) columns using machine learning methods has been actively conducted. However, most studies have focused on predicting the ultimate strength of RC columns using a regression algorithm. Therefore, this study develops a successive machine learning process for predicting multiple nonlinear behaviors of rectangular RC columns. This process consists of three stages: single machine learning, bagging ensemble, and stacking ensemble. In the case of strength prediction, sufficient prediction accuracy is confirmed even in the first stage. In the case of displacement, although sufficient accuracy is not achieved in the first and second stages, the stacking ensemble model in the third stage performs better than the machine learning models in the first and second stages. In addition, the performance of the final prediction models is verified by comparing the backbone curves and hysteresis loops obtained from predicted outputs with actual experimental data.

Research on predicting changes in crop cultivation areas due to climate change: Focusing on Hallabong (기후변화에 따른 과수작물 재배지 변화 예측 연구: 한라봉을 중심으로)

  • Park, Hye Eun;Lee, Jong Tae
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2024
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to use climate data to find the algorithm with the highest Hallabong production prediction ability and to predict future Hallabong production in areas where Hallabong cultivation is expected to be possible. Design/methodology/approach The research is conducted in two stages. In the first step, find the algorithm with the highest predictive power among XGBoost, Random Forest, SVM, and LSTM methodologies. In the second stage, the algorithm found in the first stage is applied to predict future Hallabong production in three regions where Hallabong production is expected to be possible. Findings As with many prediction studies, we found that XGBoost showed the highest prediction power. Even in areas where Hallabong production is expected to be possible, Hallabong production was predicted to be highest in Hongcheon, Gangwon-do, which has the highest latitude.