• Title/Summary/Keyword: spread of infectious diseases

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Relative Weight Evaluation for the Vulnerability Indicators of Infectious Disease Using Analytic Hierarchy Process in Local Governments (계층분석과정(AHP)을 이용한 지자체 감염병 취약지표의 가중치 평가)

  • Bae, Min-Ki;Oh, Hoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.704-713
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relative weight of infectious disease vulnerability indicators that affect the occurrence and spread of infectious diseases in local communities. For this, the infectious disease vulnerability indicators were classified as facilities vulnerable to spread, vulnerable groups of infections, social vulnerable conditions, and response capabilities based on literature and case review, and the relative weights among indicators were determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) by 22 experts. As a result of the analysis, the weight of each sector was found to be the highest in the facilities vulnerable to spread, and the overall weight was highest in the following order: sickbed securing rate(1st), density of religious facilities(2nd), medical personnel rate(3rd), elderly person ratio(4th), and entertainment establishment density(5th). These results can be used to prepare the supporting data necessary for the establishment of infectious disease response policies of local governments.

Implementation of Open Source SOLAP Decision-Making System for Livestock Epidemic Surveillance and Prevention (Open Source SOLAP기반의 가축전염병 예찰 및 방역 의사결정 지원시스템 구현)

  • Kyung, Min-Ju;Yom, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2012
  • The spread of infectious diseases in the event of livestock is getting faster and the route of spread gets more varied. It is important for the responsible agency to detect early and establish a prevention and surveillance system. If the spread cannot be contained effectively, great damage and loss will be inevitable in terms of social, environment and economic aspects as well as the welfare of the farmers. At present in Korea, a web-based Infectious Livestock Diseases Statistics System (AIMS: Animal Infectious Disease Data Management System) has been already implemented for this purpose and the service is available to the general public. But this system does not provide geospatial information and does not provide support for decision making and does not provide multi-dimensional information. In this study, an open source-based SOLAP (Spatial On-Line Analytical Processing) technology is applied to enable many diverse forms of data analysis from many aspects to support decision making. The SOLAP system was designed to integrate geospatial information and the analysis of information has been largely divided into map-based analysis and table-based analysis.

Intervention analysis for spread of COVID-19 in South Korea using SIR model (SIR 모형을 이용한 한국의 코로나19 확산에 대한 개입 효과 분석)

  • Cho, Sumin;Kim, Jaejik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.477-489
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    • 2021
  • COVID-19 has spread seriously around the world in 2020 and it is still significantly affecting our whole daily life. Currently, the whole world is still undergoing the pandemic and South Korea is no exception to it. During the pandemic, South Korea had several events that prevented or accelerated its spread. To establish the prevention policies for infectious diseases, it is very important to evaluate the intervention effect of such events. The susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is often used to describe the dynamic behavior of the spread of infectious diseases through ordinary differential equations. However, the SIR model is a deterministic model without considering the uncertainty of observed data. To consider the uncertainty in the SIR model, the Bayesian approach can be employed, and this approach allows us to evaluate the intervention effects by time-varying functions of the infection rate in the SIR model. In this study, we describe the time trend of the spread of COVID-19 in South Korea and investigate the intervention effects for the events using the stochastic SIR model based on the Bayesian approach.

Proposal of a Monitoring System to Determine the Possibility of Contact with Confirmed Infectious Diseases Using K-means Clustering Algorithm and Deep Learning Based Crowd Counting (K-평균 군집화 알고리즘 및 딥러닝 기반 군중 집계를 이용한 전염병 확진자 접촉 가능성 여부 판단 모니터링 시스템 제안)

  • Lee, Dongsu;ASHIQUZZAMAN, AKM;Kim, Yeonggwang;Sin, Hye-Ju;Kim, Jinsul
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.122-129
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    • 2020
  • The possibility that an asymptotic coronavirus-19 infected person around the world is not aware of his infection and can spread it to people around him is still a very important issue in that the public is not free from anxiety and fear over the spread of the epidemic. In this paper, the K-means clustering algorithm and deep learning-based crowd aggregation were proposed to determine the possibility of contact with confirmed cases of infectious diseases. As a result of 300 iterations of all input learning images, the PSNR value was 21.51, and the final MAE value for the entire data set was 67.984. This means the average absolute error between observations and the average absolute error of fewer than 4,000 people in each CCTV scene, including the calculation of the distance and infection rate from the confirmed patient and the surrounding persons, the net group of potential patient movements, and the prediction of the infection rate.

A Study on the Improvement of Quarantine Act for Effective Quarantine System (효과적 검역체계를 위한 검역법 개선방안)

  • Lee, Yoon Hyeon;Kim, Myeong Seong;Lee, Jinhong
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2018
  • The development of transport is being easily shared with people all over the world. It is necessary to appropriately and effectively revise the domestic quarantine law because the fatal infectious diseases are at risk of being easily shared. Today, Korea has an advanced quarantine system approved by World Health Organization, but it maintains partnerships with related ministries (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Justice, local medical institutions) and to introduce new medical technology (electronic quarantine) is important. And since the prevention of quarantine infectious diseases and prevention of the spread, in order to maintain international cooperation with the International Health Regulations, the quarantine law and the system should be amended and improved effectively and it is also a way to prepare for the outbreak of new quarantine infectious diseases. In the past, Korea has experienced great confusion during the past outbreak of swine flu and Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus. To prevent similar cases from recurring in the past, the revision of the quarantine law and the improvement of the system should be done to cope with the changing environment (new infections, increased number of overseas travelers, etc.).

Implementation of integrated monitoring system for trace and path prediction of infectious disease (전염병의 경로 추적 및 예측을 위한 통합 정보 시스템 구현)

  • Kim, Eungyeong;Lee, Seok;Byun, Young Tae;Lee, Hyuk-Jae;Lee, Taikjin
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2013
  • The incidence of globally infectious and pathogenic diseases such as H1N1 (swine flu) and Avian Influenza (AI) has recently increased. An infectious disease is a pathogen-caused disease, which can be passed from the infected person to the susceptible host. Pathogens of infectious diseases, which are bacillus, spirochaeta, rickettsia, virus, fungus, and parasite, etc., cause various symptoms such as respiratory disease, gastrointestinal disease, liver disease, and acute febrile illness. They can be spread through various means such as food, water, insect, breathing and contact with other persons. Recently, most countries around the world use a mathematical model to predict and prepare for the spread of infectious diseases. In a modern society, however, infectious diseases are spread in a fast and complicated manner because of rapid development of transportation (both ground and underground). Therefore, we do not have enough time to predict the fast spreading and complicated infectious diseases. Therefore, new system, which can prevent the spread of infectious diseases by predicting its pathway, needs to be developed. In this study, to solve this kind of problem, an integrated monitoring system, which can track and predict the pathway of infectious diseases for its realtime monitoring and control, is developed. This system is implemented based on the conventional mathematical model called by 'Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) Model.' The proposed model has characteristics that both inter- and intra-city modes of transportation to express interpersonal contact (i.e., migration flow) are considered. They include the means of transportation such as bus, train, car and airplane. Also, modified real data according to the geographical characteristics of Korea are employed to reflect realistic circumstances of possible disease spreading in Korea. We can predict where and when vaccination needs to be performed by parameters control in this model. The simulation includes several assumptions and scenarios. Using the data of Statistics Korea, five major cities, which are assumed to have the most population migration have been chosen; Seoul, Incheon (Incheon International Airport), Gangneung, Pyeongchang and Wonju. It was assumed that the cities were connected in one network, and infectious disease was spread through denoted transportation methods only. In terms of traffic volume, daily traffic volume was obtained from Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS). In addition, the population of each city was acquired from Statistics Korea. Moreover, data on H1N1 (swine flu) were provided by Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and air transport statistics were obtained from Aeronautical Information Portal System. As mentioned above, daily traffic volume, population statistics, H1N1 (swine flu) and air transport statistics data have been adjusted in consideration of the current conditions in Korea and several realistic assumptions and scenarios. Three scenarios (occurrence of H1N1 in Incheon International Airport, not-vaccinated in all cities and vaccinated in Seoul and Pyeongchang respectively) were simulated, and the number of days taken for the number of the infected to reach its peak and proportion of Infectious (I) were compared. According to the simulation, the number of days was the fastest in Seoul with 37 days and the slowest in Pyeongchang with 43 days when vaccination was not considered. In terms of the proportion of I, Seoul was the highest while Pyeongchang was the lowest. When they were vaccinated in Seoul, the number of days taken for the number of the infected to reach at its peak was the fastest in Seoul with 37 days and the slowest in Pyeongchang with 43 days. In terms of the proportion of I, Gangneung was the highest while Pyeongchang was the lowest. When they were vaccinated in Pyeongchang, the number of days was the fastest in Seoul with 37 days and the slowest in Pyeongchang with 43 days. In terms of the proportion of I, Gangneung was the highest while Pyeongchang was the lowest. Based on the results above, it has been confirmed that H1N1, upon the first occurrence, is proportionally spread by the traffic volume in each city. Because the infection pathway is different by the traffic volume in each city, therefore, it is possible to come up with a preventive measurement against infectious disease by tracking and predicting its pathway through the analysis of traffic volume.

Correlations Between the Incidence of National Notifiable Infectious Diseases and Public Open Data, Including Meteorological Factors and Medical Facility Resources

  • Jang, Jin-Hwa;Lee, Ji-Hae;Je, Mi-Kyung;Cho, Myeong-Ji;Bae, Young Mee;Son, Hyeon Seok;Ahn, Insung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This study was performed to investigate the relationship between the incidence of national notifiable infectious diseases (NNIDs) and meteorological factors, air pollution levels, and hospital resources in Korea. Methods: We collected and stored 660 000 pieces of publicly available data associated with infectious diseases from public data portals and the Diseases Web Statistics System of Korea. We analyzed correlations between the monthly incidence of these diseases and monthly average temperatures and monthly average relative humidity, as well as vaccination rates, number of hospitals, and number of hospital beds by district in Seoul. Results: Of the 34 NNIDs, malaria showed the most significant correlation with temperature (r=0.949, p<0.01) and concentration of nitrogen dioxide (r=-0.884, p<0.01). We also found a strong correlation between the incidence of NNIDs and the number of hospital beds in 25 districts in Seoul (r=0.606, p<0.01). In particular, Geumcheon-gu was found to have the lowest incidence rate of NNIDs and the highest number of hospital beds per patient. Conclusions: In this study, we conducted a correlational analysis of public data from Korean government portals that can be used as parameters to forecast the spread of outbreaks.

A Study on the Development of the Design of Industrial Animal Biodegradation Handler for Environmentally Friendly Use

  • Kim, Gokmi
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2021
  • Livestock farmers are using animal carcasses to dispose of the carcasses of livestock that have died of natural causes or disease. Most of the existing livestock carcass processors are mechanical in their structure without considering the environment. It has a function of sterilizing dead bodies at high pressure after processing them and causes environmental problems such as carbon monoxide emissions. If livestock carcasses occur, livestock farmers have to purchase their own livestock carcasses or entrust them to the outside world, which is costly. For this reason, the possibility of environmental pollution, infectious diseases, and spread has been increased recently by frequent dumping of dead bodies. The carcass of livestock mixed with manure not only serves as a medium for infectious diseases but also needsto be buried on a large scale as foot-and-mouth disease and avian influenza spread. As a result, the possibility of environmental pollution, such as contamination of groundwater, is increasing, so research is needed to protect and improve the environment. We aim to improve the process of processing livestock carcasses and purify the agricultural environment through development results on the form, structure and function of eco-friendly livestock carcasses. Its shape is applied with naturalshapessuch asstones and seeds. The material used in the dead body processis a brown beggar biocouple and is applied with an eco-friendly industrial animal recycling process. As a result of the study, it is expected to improve odors and the environment, and to be used as data to improve and help the livestock industry in the future.

Building a Emergency Response System for the Infectious Diseases Crisis Management (감염병 위기관리를 위한 긴급대응체계 구축)

  • Byun, Sung-Soo;Shin, Woo-Ri;Cho, Seong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.484-494
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    • 2018
  • Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), which occurred in the Middle East in 2015, is the most acute respiratory infectious disease in Korea. The limitations of the government's ability to respond to the spread of MERS and the inadequate communication of the government to the public have reduced the public's confidence in the government's infectious disease management policy. And it became an opportunity to raise awareness that infectious diseases could easily break down the national anti-virus system. Therefore, this study investigated the emergency response system of the infectious disease in the United States and sought to improve the infection control system in Korea. In order to achieve the purpose of the study, we analyzed the government's response to the MERS in 2015, analyzed the organization structure and role of the US CDC, and IMS.

A Study on Planning of Foreign Sailors' Temporary Living Facilities to Prevent the Spread of COVID-19 (COVID-19 확산 방지를 위한 외국인선원 임시생활시설 계획 연구)

  • Oh, Sang-baeg;Lee, Han-seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.194-203
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    • 2021
  • After the outbreak of COVID-19, local infections were spread by foreign sailors of foreign ships entering the ports. However, the government had difficulties in designating temporary living facilities around port areas due to the opposition from local residents. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to plan a floating temporary living facility for foreign sailors in the port area to prevent the spread of COVID-19 by foreign sailors. In this study, location selection, a facility volumetric plan, a unit facility plan, and a unit facility block plan are presented as results of facility planning. Floating temporary living facilities are expected to be used to prevent the spread of first-class infectious diseases in port areas in the future.