• Title/Summary/Keyword: spillover effects

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Spillover Effects of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Exchange Rates on the Banking Industry in China

  • Lee, Jung Wan;Wang, Zhen
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2018
  • The study examines the magnitude of economic spillover and the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows on the efficiency of the bank industry in China. This study employs unit root tests, cointegration tests and cointegrating regression analysis, including fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), canonical cointegrating regression (CCR) and dynamic OLS (DOLS) to test the proposed hypotheses. The sample is restricted to the period of time in which monthly data is available and comparable among variables for the period from January 2002 to October 2013 (142 observations). All of the time series data was collected and retrieved from the People's Bank of China, China Monthly Statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and International Financial Statistics database from International Monetary Fund. The results of the Johansen cointegration test suggest that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between FDI inflows, foreign exchange rate and banks performance in China. The results of cointegrating regression analysis using FMOLS, CCR and DOLS suggest that M2 supply and FDI inflows are significant at the 0.01 level. The results confirm that FDI inflows in the banking sector are positively related to the increase of banks productivity and performance and short-term loans in China. However, the results suggest that Chinese Yuan currency exchange rate to U.S. dollar is not significant in the banking and financial industry of China.

Analysis of Staple Food Price Behaviour: Multivariate BEKK-GARCH Model

  • Jati, Kumara;Premaratne, Gamini
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2017
  • This study examines the behaviour of staple food price using Multivariate BEKK-GARCH Model. Understanding of staple food price behaviour is important for determining the unpredictability of staple food market and also for policy making. In this paper, we focus on the commodity prices of sugar, rice, soybean and wheat to examine the volatility behaviour of those commodities. The empirical results show that the own-volatility spillover are relatively significant for all food prices. The own-volatility spillover effect for sugar price is relatively large compared with the volatility spillover of other staple food commodities. The findings also highlight that the price volatility of wheat increases during food crisis more than it does when the condition is stable. Also, the own-volatility of rice and wheat in the period of the food crisis is significant and higher compared to the period before food crisis indicates that the past own-volatility effects during food crisis are relatively more difficult to predict because of the uncertainty and high price volatility. Policy recommendations that can be proposed based on the findings are: (1) a better trade agreement in food commodity trade, (2) lower the dependence on wheat importation in Indonesia, and (3) reliable system to minimize food price volatility risks.

Does Inward Foreign Direct Investments Affect Export Performance of Micro Small and Medium Enterprises in India? An Empirical Analysis

  • SINGHA, Seema;KUMAR, Brajesh;CHOUDHURY, Soma Roy Dey
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 2022
  • This article examines the effect of inward foreign direct investments (FDI) on the export performance of micro, small & medium enterprises (MSMEs) in India, and investigates the spillover impact and absorption capacity of the MSMEs sector. For the first time, the researchers applied the intersectoral linkage approach to investigate the matter and used a panel dataset between 2006 and 2017. The coefficients of forward and backward linkages are estimated by using the Rasmussen method, the study employs a basic linear panel data model, followed by various diagnostic tests to identify the problem of heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation / serial correlation, cross-sectional dependencies, multicollinearity, time-individual specific tests, and unobserved effects. The PCSE model was applied for robust standard error and the Hausman-Taylor IV model to check the robustness of the result generated in the linear panel data model. Despite the high prevalence of forward and backward intersectoral connections and the Lack of absorption capacity of local firms, the results show that FDI has little of an impact on the export performance of micro, small, and medium-sized businesses in India. This study adds to the existing literature on determining local firms' spillover effect and absorption capacity in response to inward FDI.

Hydrogen Storage Capacities of MOF-5 and Microporous Carbon: Effects of Pt Loading and Hybridization (MOF-5 및 마이크로다공성 카본의 수소 저장 성능: Pt 첨가 및 하이브리드화의 영향)

  • Yunatri, Rika Tri;Suh, Dong-Jin;Suh, Young-Woong
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.377-385
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we demonstrated that, although hydrogen molecules can be adsorbed onto the adsorbent such as MOF and MC itself, the loading of noble metal such as Pt is necessary to enhance the $H_2$ storage capacity since $H_2$ molecules can be dissociatively adsorbed on Pt metal and migrated to high-surface-area adsorbent via the primary spillover. In addition, the hybrid material have been prepared coupling MOF-5 with Pt/MC through carbon bridges formed by sucrose polymerization/carbonization. That this material showed the highest $H_2$ uptake at room temperature and about 100 bar is believed to be associated with the secondary spillover effect. Thus, such a strategy is very promising in developing $H_2$ storage technology using porous adsorbents. However, further experiments should be carried out to explore the choice of bridge carbon, the hybridization method, the dispersion technique of noble metals, etc.

Analysis of Spatial Location Determinants on Motion Picture Theater in Various Regions within the City of Seoul (서울시 구(區)별 영상산업 입지의 공간적 결정요인 분석)

  • An, Kwang-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.165-177
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    • 2009
  • This study shed light on searching spatial location pattern of movie theaters by operating screens in theater as proxy variable to find spillover effects and spatial determinants. After taking procedure to find spatial spillover effect by GIS 3D analyst, movie theaters in Seoul metropolitan area are formed in four categorized regions, such as Kangbuk, Kangnam, Kangseo, and Kangdong. Regions which have larger number of screens than others show that they affect to relevant regions directly. In addition, this study analyzes that people have tendencies to visit movie theater while they use other similar facilities such as music, publishing, and public performance facilities. Therefore, trend of agglomeration of similar enterprise including motion picture industry has a spillover effect and economy of scale when they are gathered in specific regions which are specialized as certain usage.

Containing China versus Choking the Asian Economy

  • Inkyo Cheong;Byeongho Lim;Yeri Ryu
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Although many existing studies on the US-China hegemonic conflict and decoupling have been published, most of them are qualitative and use descriptive analysis methods. Papers that quantitatively analyzed decoupling mainly estimate the effect of a tariff increase. However, this paper quantitatively analyzed the ripple effect by focusing on decoupling technology spillover between the United States and China. And, for the first time, it was suggested that the blocking of technology spillover could give a fatal blow to the East Asian economy as well as China. Design/methodology - The United States is pursuing decoupling with China, primarily in goods trade and blocking technology transfer. This paper sets up various scenarios and uses three computational general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyze the overall ripple effects of decoupling. A paper using the three CGE models for decoupling ripple effect analysis has not yet been published. Findings - Decoupling will hit the economies of regions with close economic ties to China more than others. According to simulation results of this study, the Chinese economy may suffer severe damage that is difficult to recover from, and the economies of Asian countries are predicted to deteriorate to the point of being choked. Originality/value - Existing papers that assessed the effect of decoupling mostly focus on estimating the effect itself through tariff hikes. This paper is meaningful in that it comprehensively analyzed decoupling by adding the effect of technology spillover blockade. In addition, another meaning can be found in that it quantified for the first time that it will deal a huge blow to the extent of choking the East Asian economy as well as China.

Economic Spillover Effects of e-Receipts in South Korea (전자영수증 확산의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jun, Hyo-Jung;Kim, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2018
  • An electronic receipt (e-receipt) is a receipt issued electronically in place of a traditional paper receipt. This e-receipt, which can be accessed on a smartphone or online, allows for the exchange of goods, refunds, and other services without a paper receipt. The government is focusing on widespread dissemination of e-receipts to realize a society without paper by 2020. Introduction of the e-receipt has begun in mainly large marts and coffee shops, and recently, major franchise convenience stores. As a result, individual customer's transactions are being converted into electronic transactions, and the payment methods are changing to card-based electronic payment services or prepaid electronic payment services. The number of non-paper commercial transactions are also on the increase. In this paper, we try to identify the e-receipt industry ecosystem by analyzing the industries and markets participating in the process of receipt issuance from the perspectives of storage, management and disposal, and to analyze the domestic industrial and social economic effects expected from the spread of electronic receipts.

Reassessment of Volatility Transmission Among South Asian Equity Markets

  • AZIZ, Tariq;MARWAT, Jahanzeb;MUSTAFA, Sheraz;KUMAR, Vikesh;AL-HADDAD, Lara
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.587-597
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the nexus among the South Asian economies. Effects of shocks in the equity market of one country on the equity market of the other country are examined. For empirical analysis, the time series monthly data is used for the period from February 2013 to August 2019. The study focuses on the four larger economies of the region, namely, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. To investigate for asymmetric effects of positive and negative shocks, EGARCH model is used. The findings show the mix nature of the spillovers between the various pairs of countries. The equity market of Pakistan has two-way spillover effects with the equity market of Bangladesh, but has no association with the equity markets of India and Sri Lanka. The volatility in the equity market of India significantly influences the volatility of the financial markets of Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. Similarly, the capital market of Sri Lanka has a negative association with the equity market of India as well as Bangladesh, but does not affect the equity market of any other country. These findings validate the argument in the literature that geographic location influences the nexus among equity markets. The findings are important for policy-makers and investors.

An Empirical Study on the Asymmetric Correlation and Market Efficiency Between International Currency Futures and Spot Markets with Bivariate GJR-GARCH Model (이변량 GJR-GARCH모형을 이용한 국제통화선물시장과 통화현물시장간의 비대칭적 인과관계 및 시장효율성 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2010
  • This paper tested the lead-lag relationship as well as the symmetric and asymmetric volatility spillover effects between international currency futures markets and cash markets. We use five kinds of currency spot and futures markets such as British pound, Australian and Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures markets. daily closing prices covering from September 15, 2003 to July 30, 2009. For this purpose we employed dynamic time series models such as the Granger causality based on VAR and time-varying MA(1)-GJR-GARCH(1, 1)-M. The main empirical results are as follows; First, according to Granger causality test, we find that the bilateral lead-lag relationship between the five countries' currency spot and futures market. The price discover effect from currency futures markets to spot market is relatively stronger than that from currency spot to futures markets. Second, based on the time varying GARCH model, we find that there is a bilateral conditional mean spillover effects between the five currency spot and futures markets. Third, we also find that there is a bilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effects between British pound, Canadian dollar, Brasilian Real and won/dollar spot and futures market. However there is a unilateral asymmetric volatility spillover effect from Australian dollar futures to cash market, not vice versa. From these empirical results we infer that most of currency futures markets have a much better price discovery function than currency cash market and are inefficient to the information.

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Economic Spillover Effects of Airport Investment on Regional Production (공항투자의 지역경제 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Yeong-Hyeok;Yu, Gwang-Ui;Kim, Min-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 2005
  • This study analyzes the effect of airport investment on GRDP(Gross Regional Domestic Product) using Regional Production Function with public investment on social infrastructure. Particularly it includes the spillover effect of airport investment on the economies of neighbor regions beyond border. We estimate regional production function with the independent variable of airport investment stock using panel data with regional cross-section and time-series data. In the analysis with aggregate data of all industries, it shows the positive relationship between airport investment and GRDP which implies the affirmative effect of airport investment on regional economy in the aspects of direct and indirect spill-over effects. On the contrary, the research results of each industry do not appear to be the same. With the different characteristics of each industry, the direct and indirect effect may not be the same and the SOC investment contributes to the restructuring of regional economy by altering the industrial organizations of any specific region and its neighbors.