• Title/Summary/Keyword: spatial autoregressive models

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The Effects of Non-Preferred Facilities on Land Prices in Urban and Rural Areas using Spatial Econometrics (공간계량모형을 이용한 도시와 농촌의 비선호시설이 토지 가격에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Jeon, Jeongbae;Kwon, Sung Moon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2020
  • Land price can be affected by convenience or psychological repulsion like PIMFY (Please In My Front Yard) or NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) for various facilities. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether non-preferred facilities are related to NIMBY impact that negatively affect land prices using the spatial econometrics models which are spatial autoregressive models (SAR), spatial errors models (SEM), and general spatial model (SAC). The land price in urban area increases by 0.07-0.2% when the distance from aversion facilities increases by 1%. However, the land price in rural areas decreases when the distance from aversion or pollution facilities increase. Therefore, these facilities in rural areas located in the areas with higher land price because funeral homes located in center of rural administrative areas and charnel house or crematorium located in the fringe of urban areas. That is, this study explain the difference between land price and non-preferred facilities in urban and rural areas and why there are more N IMBY symptoms in urban areas.

Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application (공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to visualize the housing market dynamics with ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis) using MATLAB toolbox, in terms of the modeling housing market dynamics in the Busan Metropolitan City. The data are used the real housing price transaction records in Busan from the first quarter of 2006 to the second quarter of 2009. Hedonic house price model, which is not reflecting spatial autocorrelation, has been a powerful tool in understanding housing market dynamics in urban housing economics. This study considers spatial autocorrelation in order to improve the traditional hedonic model which is based on OLS(Ordinary Least Squares) method. The study is, also, investigated the comparison in terms of $R^2$, Sigma Square(${\sigma}^2$), Likelihood(LR) among spatial econometrics models such as SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models), SEM(Spatial Errors Models), and SAC(General Spatial Models). The major finding of the study is that the SAR, SEM, SAC are far better than the traditional OLS model, considering the various indicators. In addition, the SEM and the SAC are superior to the SAR.

A Spatial Autoregressive Analysis on the Indian Regional Disparity (인도경제의 지역불균형 성장과 공간적 요소의 효과에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Cheul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.275-301
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the regional disparity in India between 24 states over the period 1980 to 2009. The traditional regressive and spatial autoregressive models are used that includes measures of spatial effects. The results provide no evidence that convergence is valid in India. However, the results indicate that spatial interaction is an important element of state growth in India. The result of spatial analysis excluded two outliner states reveals more strong relationship between the weighted spatial income level and the state growth rates. Moreover, the results find that the coefficients of spatial lag of initial per capital and error terms are significantly negative. The coefficient of variation measures that the distribution of state income level has diverged over time. Therefore, this study concludes that the growth of regional state income does not have a tendency to converge rater than diverge. The results is rational because as the Indian economy is growing rapidly, some states grow faster than the others while initial poor states become the poorest ones, which increases regional disparity in India.

Analysis of Total Crime Count Data Based on Spatial Association Structure (공간적 연관구조를 고려한 총범죄 자료 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Soon;Park, Man-Sik;Won, Yu-Bok;Kim, Hag-Yeol;Heo, Tae-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2010
  • Reliability of the estimation is usually damaged in the situation where a linear regression model without spatial dependencies is employed to the spatial data analysis. In this study, we considered the conditional autoregressive model in order to construct spatial association structures and estimate the parameters via the Bayesian approaches. Finally, we compared the performances of the models with spatial effects and the ones without spatial effects. We analyzed the yearly total crime count data measured from each of 25 districts in Seoul, South Korea in 2007.

Enhancing Wind Speed and Wind Power Forecasting Using Shape-Wise Feature Engineering: A Novel Approach for Improved Accuracy and Robustness

  • Mulomba Mukendi Christian;Yun Seon Kim;Hyebong Choi;Jaeyoung Lee;SongHee You
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2023
  • Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is perceived as a revolutionary approach in the field. However, despite their effectiveness, the noise present in the collected data remains a significant challenge. This noise has the potential to diminish the performance of these algorithms, leading to inaccurate predictions. In response to this, this study explores a novel feature engineering approach. This approach involves altering the data input shape in both Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) and Autoregressive models for various forecasting horizons. The results reveal substantial enhancements in model resilience against noise resulting from step increases in data. The approach could achieve an impressive 83% accuracy in predicting unseen data up to the 24th steps. Furthermore, this method consistently provides high accuracy for short, mid, and long-term forecasts, outperforming the performance of individual models. These findings pave the way for further research on noise reduction strategies at different forecasting horizons through shape-wise feature engineering.

Bayesian Analysis and Mapping of Elderly Korean Suicide Rates (베이지안 모형을 활용한 국내 노인 자살률 질병지도)

  • Lee, Jayoun;Kim, Dal Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.325-334
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    • 2015
  • Elderly suicide rates tend to be high in Korea. Suicide by the elderly is no longer a personal problem; consequently, further research on risk and regional factors is necessary. Disease mapping in epidemiology estimates spatial patterns for disease risk over a geographical region. In this study, we use a simultaneous conditional autoregressive model for spatial correlations between neighboring areas to estimate standard mortality ratios and mapping. The method is illustrated with cause of death data from 2006 and 2010 to analyze regional patterns of elderly suicide in Korea. By considering spatial correlations, the Bayesian spatial models, mean educational attainment and percentage of the elderly who live alone was the significant regional characteristic for elderly suicide. Gibbs sampling and grid method are used for computation.

A Space-Time Model with Application to Annual Temperature Anomalies;

  • Lee, Eui-Kyoo;Moon, Myung-Sang;Gunst, Richard F.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2003
  • Spatiotemporal statistical models are used for analyzing space-time data in many fields, such as environmental sciences, meteorology, geology, epidemiology, forestry, hydrology, fishery, and so on. It is well known that classical spatiotemporal process modeling requires the estimation of space-time variogram or covariance functions. In practice, the estimation of such variogram or covariance functions are computationally difficult and highly sensitive to data structures. We investigate a Bayesian hierarchical model which allows the specification of a more realistic series of conditional distributions instead of computationally difficult and less realistic joint covariance functions. The spatiotemporal model investigated in this study allows both spatial component and autoregressive temporal component. These two features overcome the inability of pure time series models to adequately predict changes in trends in individual sites.

Road Traffic Noise Simulation for Small-scale Urban Form Alteration Using Spatial Statistical Model (공간통계모형을 이용한 소규모 도시 형태 변경에 따른 소음도 예측)

  • Ryu, Hunjae;Chun, Bum Seok;Park, In Kwon;Chang, Seo Il
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.284-290
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    • 2015
  • Road traffic noise is closely related with urban forms and urban components, such as population, building, traffic and land-use, etc. Hence, it is possible to minimize the noise exposure problem depending on how to plan new town or urban planning alteration. This paper provides ways to apply for urban planning in consideration of noise exposure through road traffic noise estimation for alteration of small-scale urban form. Spatial autoregressive model from the former study is used as statistical model for noise simulation. The simulation results by the spatial statistical model are compared with those by the engineering program-based modeling for 5 scenarios of small-scale urban form alteration. The error from the limitation of containing informations inside the grid cell and the difficulties of reflecting acoustic phenomena exists. Nevertheless, in the stage of preliminary design, the use of the statistical models that have been estimated well could be useful in time and economically.

Space Time Data Analysis for Greenhouse Whitefly (온실가루이의 공간시계열 분석)

  • 박진모;신기일
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.403-418
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    • 2004
  • Recently space-time model in spatial data analysis is widly used. In this paper we applied this model to analysis of greenhouse whitefly. For handling time component, we used ARMA model and autoregressive error model and for outliers, we adapted Mugglestone's method. We compared space-time models and geostatistic model with MSE and MAPE.

Application of Generalized Maximum Entropy Estimator to the Two-way Nested Error Component Model with III-Posed Data

  • Cheon, Soo-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.659-667
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    • 2009
  • Recently Song and Cheon (2006) and Cheon and Lim (2009) developed the generalized maximum entropy(GME) estimator to solve ill-posed problems for the regression coefficients in the simple panel model. The models discussed consider the individual and a spatial autoregressive disturbance effects. However, in many application in economics the data may contain nested groupings. This paper considers a two-way error component model with nested groupings for the ill-posed data and proposes the GME estimator of the unknown parameters. The performance of this estimator is compared with the existing methods on the simulated dataset. The results indicate that the GME method performs the best in estimating the unknown parameters in terms of its quality when the data are ill-posed.