• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.432-442
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• 2011

Climatic variables such as temperature and precipitation tend to vary both in space and in time simultaneously. Thus, it is necessary to include space-time autocorrelation into conventional spatial interpolation methods for reliable time-series mapping. This paper introduces and applies space-time variogram modeling and space-time kriging to generate time-series temperature maps using hourly Automatic Weather System(AWS) temperature observation data for a one-month period. First, temperature observation data are decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. For trend component modeling, elevation data which have reasonable correlation with temperature are used as secondary information to generate trend component with topographic effects. Then, space-time variograms of residual components are estimated and modelled by using a product-sum space-time variogram model to account for not only autocorrelation both in space and in time, but also their interactions. From a case study, space-time kriging outperforms both conventional space only ordinary kriging and regression-kriging, which indicates the importance of using space-time autocorrelation information as well as elevation data. It is expected that space-time kriging would be a useful tool when a space-poor but time-rich dataset is analyzed.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.423-432
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• 2003

The data observed at different positions are called the estimate of interested variable at new observation point on the Kriging utilize the space estimate technique, in which case there is correlation spatially. In this paper we provide the estimate for Variogram and Kriging methods as a field of kriging theory and dealt with actually measured data. And at the same time we forecast the amount of ozone that was not measured at this point by Kriging method and compared Ordinary Kriging method with Inverse Distance Kriging method.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.1846-1851
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• 2003

Approximate optimization has become popular in engineering field such as MDO and Crash analysis which is time consuming. To accomplish efficient approximate optimization, accuracy of approximate model is very important. As surrogate model, Kriging have been widely used approximating highly nonlinear system . Because Kriging employs interpolation method, it is adequate for deterministic computer simulation. Because there are no random errors and measurement errors in deterministic computer simulation, instead of classical DOE ,space filling experiment design which fills uniformly design space should be applied. In this work, various space filling designs such as maximin distance design, maximum entropy design are reviewed. And new design improving maximum entropy design is suggested and compared.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.28-36
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• 2007

A multi-objective design exploration for a three-element airfoil consisted of a slat, a main wing, and a flap was carried out. The lift curve improvement is important to design high-lift system, thus design has to be performed with considered multi-angle. The objective functions considered here are to maximize the lift coefficient at landing and near stall conditions simultaneously. Kriging surrogate model which was constructed based on several sample designs is introduced. The solution space was explored based on the maximization of Expected Improvement (EI) value corresponding to objective functions on the Krigingmodels. The improvement of the model and the exploration of the optimum can be advanced at the same time by maximizing EI value. In this study, a total of 90 sample points are evaluated using the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes simulation(RANS) for the construction of the Kriging model. In order to obtain the information of the design space, two data mining techniques are applied to design result. One is functional Analysis of Variance(ANOVA) which can show quantitative information and the other is Self-Organizing Map(SOM) which can show qualitative information.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.249-264
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• 2011

A multi-Gaussian kriging approach extended to space-time domain is presented for uncertainty modeling as well as time-series mapping of environmental variables. Within a multi-Gaussian framework, normal score transformed environmental variables are first decomposed into deterministic trend and stochastic residual components. After local temporal trend models are constructed, the parameters of the models are estimated and interpolated in space. Space-time correlation structures of stationary residual components are quantified using a product-sum space-time variogram model. The ccdf is modeled at all grid locations using this space-time variogram model and space-time kriging. Finally, e-type estimates and conditional variances are computed from the ccdf models for spatial mapping and uncertainty analysis, respectively. The proposed approach is illustrated through a case of time-series Particulate Matter 10 ($PM_{10}$) concentration mapping in Incheon Metropolitan city using monthly $PM_{10}$ concentrations at 13 stations for 3 years. It is shown that the proposed approach would generate reliable time-series $PM_{10}$ concentration maps with less mean bias and better prediction capability, compared to conventional spatial-only ordinary kriging. It is also demonstrated that the conditional variances and the probability exceeding a certain thresholding value would be useful information sources for interpretation.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.48 no.1
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• pp.13-21
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• 2020

Surrogate models have been used for the rapid estimation of six-DOF aerodynamic coefficients in the context of the design and control of a missile. For this end, we may generate highly accurate surrogate models with a multitude of aerodynamic data obtained from wind tunnel tests (WTTs); however, this approach is time-consuming and expensive. Thus, we aim to swiftly predict aerodynamic coefficients via co-Kriging using a few WTT data along with plenty of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data. To demonstrate the excellence of co-Kriging models based on both WTT and CFD data, we first generated two surrogate models: co-Kriging models with CFD data and Kriging models without the CFD data. Afterwards, we carried out numerical validation and examined predictive trends to compare the two different surrogate models. As a result, we found that the co-Kriging models produced more accurate aerodynamic coefficients than the Kriging models thanks to the assistance of CFD data.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.34 no.8
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• pp.989-996
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• 2010

Statistical regression and/or interpolation models have been used for data analysis and response prediction using the results of the physical experiments and/or computer simulations in structural engineering fields. These models have been employed during the last decade to develop a variety of design methodologies. However, these models only handled responses with respect to space variables such as size and shape of structures and cannot handle time-variant dynamic responses, i.e. response varying with time. In this research, statistical space-time metamodels based on multiple response approach that can handle responses with respect to both space variables and a time variable are proposed. Regression and interpolation models such as the response surface model (RSM) and kriging model were developed for handling time-variant dynamic responses of structural engineering. We evaluate the accuracies of the responses predicted by the two statistical space-time metamodels by comparing them with the responses obtained by the physical experiments and/or computer simulations.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.31-39
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• 2009

A lot of data which are used in environment analysis of air pollution have characteristics that are distributed continuously in space. In this point, the collected data value such as precipitation, temperature, altitude, pollution density, PM10 have spatial aspect. When geostatistical data analysis are needed, acquisition of the value in every point is the best way, however, it is impossible because of the costs and time. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the unknown values at unsampled locations based on observations. In this study, spatial interpolation method such as local trend surface model, IDW(inverse distance weighted), RBF(radial basis function), Kriging were applied to PM10 annual average concentration of Seoul in 2005 and the accuracy was evaluated. For evaluation of interpolation accuracy, range of estimated value, RMSE, average error were analyzed with observation data. The Kriging and RBF methods had the higher accuracy than others.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.45-67
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• 1991

An overview is given on stochastic techniques with which remotely sensed data may be used together with ground measurements for purposes of state estimation and prediction. They can explicitly account for spatiotemporal differences in measurement characteristics between ground measurements and remotely sensed data, and are suitable for highly variant space or space-time processes, such as atmosperic processes, which may be viewed as (containing) a random process. For state estimation of static ststems, optimal linear estimation is described. As alternatives, various co-kriging estimation techniques are also described, including simple, ordinary, universal, lognormal, disjunctive, indicator, and Bayesian extersion to simple and lognormal. For illustrative purposes, very simple examples of optimal linear estimation and simple co-kriging are given. For state estimation and prediction of dynamic system, distributed-parameter kalman filter is described. Issues concerning actual implemention are given, and with application potential are described.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.04a
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• pp.57-65
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• 2009

An efficient and high-fidelity design approach for wing-body shape optimization is presented. Depending on the size of design space and the number of design of variable, aerodynamic shape optimization process is carried out via different optimization strategies at each design stage. In the first stage, global optimization techniques are applied to planform design with a few geometric design variables. In the second stage, local optimization techniques are used for wing surface design with a lot of design variables to maintain a sufficient design space with a high DOF (Degree of Freedom) geometric change. For global optimization, Kriging method in conjunction with Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used. Asearching algorithm of EI (Expected Improvement) points is introduced to enhance the quality of global optimization for the wing-planform design. For local optimization, a discrete adjoint method is adopted. By the successive combination of global and local optimization techniques, drag minimization is performed for a multi-body aircraft configuration while maintaining the baseline lift and the wing weight at the same time. Through the design process, performances of the test models are remarkably improved in comparison with the single stage design approach. The performance of the proposed design framework including wing planform design variables can be efficiently evaluated by the drag decomposition method, which can examine the improvement of various drag components, such as induced drag, wave drag, viscous drag and profile drag.