• 천문학회보
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.87.2-87.2
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• 2011

Proper motion of sunspots in several active regions was studied to detect their indicator on flare onset, using data from the Solar Flare Telescope at Mitaka (four flaring active regions), TRACE (e.g. NOAA 0424, M1.7 flare on 5 Aug. 2003) and Hinode (e.g. NOAA 10930, X3.4 flare on 13 Dec. 2006). The proper motion of individual sunspots was derived using a local correlation tracking method. As a result, we found that the sunspots that are located under or close to a part of chromospheric flaring patches showed a change in their moving direction prior to the flare onset. The change in their movements took place a half to two hours before the flare onset. On the other hand, sunspots in non-flaring areas or non-flaring active regions did not show this kind of change. It is likely, therefore, that if a sunspot shows the particular movement, a chromospheric flare is to occur in its nearby region. In the most active regions, the part of flare ribbons was located on an emerging bipolar pair of sunspots. The disturbance in the usual motion of the bipolar sunspots and in other sunspots as well can be interpreted as a sign of magnetic shear development leading to final magnetic energy buildup before its sudden release. We suggest that the change in sunspot motion in a short time scale prior to the flare onset can be regarded as a good indicator in predicting the onset timing and location of chromospheric flares.

• 천문학논총
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.559-563
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• 2015

Monitor of All-sky X-ray Image (MAXI) is a Japanese X-ray all-sky surveyer mounted on the International Space Station (ISS). It has been scanning the whole sky since 2009 during every 92-minute ISS rotation. X-ray transients are quickly found by the real-time nova-search program. As a result, MAXI has issued 133 Astronomer's Telegrams and 44 Gamma-ray burst Coordinated Networks so far. MAXI has discovered six new black holes (BH) in 4.5 years. Long-term behaviors of the MAXI BHs can be classified into two types by their outbursts; a fast-rise exponential-decay type and a fast-rise flat-top one. The slit camera is suitable for accumulating data over a long time. MAXI issued a 37-month catalog containing 500 sources above a ~0.6 mCrab detection limit at 4-10 keV in the region ${\mid}{b}{\mid}$ > $10^{\circ}$. The SSC instrument utilizing an X-ray CCD has detected diffuse soft X-rays extending over a large solid angle, such as the Cygnus super bubble. MAXI/SSC has also detcted a Ne emission line from the rapid soft X-ray nova MAXI J0158-744. The overall shapes of outbursts in Be X-ray binaries (BeXRB) are precisely observed with MAXI/GSC. BeXRB have two kinds of outbursts, a normal outburst and a giant one. The peak dates of the subsequent giant outbursts of A0535+26 repeated with a different period than the orbital one. The Be stellar disk is considered to either have a precession motion or a distorted shape. The long-term behaviors of low-mass X-ray binaries (LMXB) containing weakly magnetized neutron stars are investigated. Transient LMXBs (Aql X-1 and 4U 1608-52) repeated outbursts every 200-1000 days, which is understood by the limit-cycle of hydrogen ionization states in the outer accretion disk. A third state (very dim state) in Aql X-1 and 4U 1608-52 was interpreted as the propeller effect in the unified picture of LMXB. Cir X-1 is a peculiar source in the sense that its long-term behavior is not like typical LMXBs. The luminosity sometimes decreases suddenly at periastron. It might be explained by the stripping of the outer accretion disk by a clumpy stellar wind. MAXI observed 64 large flares from 22 active stars (RS CVns, dMe stars, Argol types, young stellar objects) over 4 years. The total energies are $10^{34}-10^{36}$ erg $s^{-1}$. Since MAXI can measure the spectrum (temperature and emission measure), we can estimate the size of the plasma and the magnetic fields. The size sometimes exceeds the size of the star. The magnetic field is in the range of 10-100 gauss, which is a typical value for solar flares.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제32권5호
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• pp.469-479
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• 2014

네트워크 RTK 기술은 전리층 및 대류층 지연, 위성 궤도력 오차 등과 같은 거리에 종속된 오차의 보정모델링을 통해 GNSS 측위 정확도를 향상할 수 있는 기법이다. 본 연구에서는 전리층 교란의 극대화 시기인 Cycle24 기간 중, 인천지역 내 20점의 통합기준점을 대상으로 N-RTK (VRS 및 FKP) 측량을 실시하고 초기화시간, 성분별 측위정확도 및 좌표 교차를 비교 분석하였다. 연구결과, 측위정확도는 VRS가 FKP에 비해 우수하였고 두 기법 모두, 고도성분은 수평성분에 비해 2배 이상의 표준편차를 보였는데 이는 전자밀도 변동에 따른 전리층교란과 굴절지수의 변동으로 발생되는 대류층의 요동에 따른 것으로 보인다. 각 통합기준점에서 기법별 초기화는 VRS가 FKP에 비해 빠르게 수렴되었다. 이는 N-RTK를 위한 표준화된 고압축 전송형식의 활용과 국내 이동 통신 인프라에 의한 기준국 보정신호의 신호지연이 최소라는 고려 하에서 두 기법간의 기본원리의 차이, 서로 다른 보정 기준망에 따른 상이한 오차특성 및 FKP 보정값의 비선형 특성에 기인된 것으로 분석된다. 특히, 태양흑점폭발과 플레어로 인하여 우주전파환경의 변화가 발생되는 동안에 정확도의 저하, 초기화시간의 연장, 관측도중 재초기화, 심한 경우 초기화 실패 등의 현상이 발생됨을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 천문학회지
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.55-60
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• 2009

The properties of SOHO/LASCO CMEs are subjected to projection effects. Their dependence on the source position is important to be studied. Our main aim is to study the dependence of CME properties on helio-longitude and latitude using the CMEs associated with type IIs observed by Wind/WAVES spacecraft (Deca-hecta metric type IIs - DH type IIs). These CMEs were identified as a separate population of geo-effective CMEs. We considered the CMEs associated with the Wind/WAVE type IIs observed during the period January 1997 - December 2005. The source locations of these CMEs were identified using their associated GOES X-ray flares and listed online. Using their locations and the cataloged properties of CMEs, we carried out a study on the dependence of CME properties on source location. We studied the above for three groups of CMEs: (i) all CMEs, (ii) halo and non-halo CMEs, and (iii) limb and non-limb CMEs. Major results from this study can be summarized as follows. (i) There is a clear dependence of speed on both the longitude and latitude; while there is an increasing trend with respect to longitude, it is opposite in the case of latitude. Our investigations show that the longitudinal dependence is caused by the projection effect and the latitudinal effect by the solar cycle effect. (ii) In the case of width, the disc centered events are observed with more width than those occurred at higher longitudes, and this result seems to be the same for latitude. (iii) The dependency of speed is confirmed on the angular distance between the sun-center and source location determined using both the longitude and latitude. (iv) There is no dependency found in the case of acceleration. (v) Among all the three groups of CMEs, the speeds of halo CMEs show more dependency on longitude. The speed of non-halo and non-limb CMEs show more dependency on latitude. The above results may be taken into account in correcting the projection effects of geo-effective CMEs.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제33권4호
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• pp.279-285
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• 2016

The space radiation dose over air routes including polar routes should be carefully considered, especially when space weather shows sudden disturbances such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs), flares, and accompanying solar energetic particle events. We recently established a heliocentric potential (HCP) prediction model for real-time operation of the CARI-6 and CARI-6M programs. Specifically, the HCP value is used as a critical input value in the CARI-6/6M programs, which estimate the aviation route dose based on the effective dose rate. The CARI-6/6M approach is the most widely used technique, and the programs can be obtained from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). However, HCP values are given at a one month delay on the FAA official webpage, which makes it difficult to obtain real-time information on the aviation route dose. In order to overcome this critical limitation regarding the time delay for space weather customers, we developed a HCP prediction model based on sunspot number variations (Hwang et al. 2015). In this paper, we focus on improvements to our HCP prediction model and update it with neutron monitoring data. We found that the most accurate method to derive the HCP value involves (1) real-time daily sunspot assessments, (2) predictions of the daily HCP by our prediction algorithm, and (3) calculations of the resultant daily effective dose rate. Additionally, we also derived the HCP prediction algorithm in this paper by using ground neutron counts. With the compensation stemming from the use of ground neutron count data, the newly developed HCP prediction model was improved.

• 천문학회지
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• 제56권2호
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• pp.213-224
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• 2023

Type II solar radio bursts show frequency drifts from high to low over time. They have been known as a signature of coronal shock associated with Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) and/or flares, which cause an abrupt change in the space environment near the Earth (space weather). Therefore, early detection of type II bursts is important for forecasting of space weather. In this study, we develop a deep-learning (DL) model for the automatic detection of type II bursts. For this purpose, we adopted a 1-D Convolution Neutral Network (CNN) as it is well-suited for processing spatiotemporal information within the applied data set. We utilized a total of 286 radio burst spectrum images obtained by Hiraiso Radio Spectrograph (HiRAS) from 1991 and 2012, along with 231 spectrum images without the bursts from 2009 to 2015, to recognizes type II bursts. The burst types were labeled manually according to their spectra features in an answer table. Subsequently, we applied the 1-D CNN technique to the spectrum images using two filter windows with different size along time axis. To develop the DL model, we randomly selected 412 spectrum images (80%) for training and validation. The train history shows that both train and validation losses drop rapidly, while train and validation accuracies increased within approximately 100 epoches. For evaluation of the model's performance, we used 105 test images (20%) and employed a contingence table. It is found that false alarm ratio (FAR) and critical success index (CSI) were 0.14 and 0.83, respectively. Furthermore, we confirmed above result by adopting five-fold cross-validation method, in which we re-sampled five groups randomly. The estimated mean FAR and CSI of the five groups were 0.05 and 0.87, respectively. For experimental purposes, we applied our proposed model to 85 HiRAS type II radio bursts listed in the NGDC catalogue from 2009 to 2016 and 184 quiet (no bursts) spectrum images before and after the type II bursts. As a result, our model successfully detected 79 events (93%) of type II events. This results demonstrates, for the first time, that the 1-D CNN algorithm is useful for detecting type II bursts.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.467-478
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• 2009

2003년 10월 28일에 X18 급의 태양 플레어가 발생한 다음날인 10월 29일부터 10월 31일까지 할로윈 이벤트로 불리는 초대형 지자기 폭풍이 전 지구적으로 발생하였다. 할로윈 이벤트 기간 동안 한반도 상공 전리권 양상을 살펴보기 위해서 GPS 신틸레이션 S4 지수와 GPS 토모그래피 기법을 사용한 최대 전자밀도($NmF_2$)의 변화를 날짜별로 분석하였다. GPS 신호손실과 신틸레이션의 총 발생 횟수는 10월 28일과 29일이 각각 1,094회와 1,387회로 30일과 31일의 604회와 897회에 비해 높게 나타났다. 이는 지자기 폭풍이 반드시 전리권 교란을 발생하지 않음을 의미 한다. 그러므로 지자기 폭풍이 아닌 전리권 교란을 감시하기 위해서는 지자기 교란 지수보다 S4 지수가 유용할 것이다. 전리권 전자밀도 변화 양상은 GPS 토모그래피 기법으로 산출된 전리권 최대전자밀도($NmF_2$) 값을 날짜별로 분석하였다. 10월 28일에 가장 높은 $NmF_2$ 값을 보이고 있다. 이는 안양 이온존데에서 관측된 $NmF_2$ 값의 변화와 일치되는 경향을 보이며, 전자밀도가 낮은 30일과 31일에 GPS 신틸레이션과 신호손실 총 발생회수가 낮게 나타나는 양상을 보이고 있다. 결론적으로 지자기 폭풍과 GPS 신호 품절의 상관성은 나타나지 않고 있으나 전자멸도가 감 소할수록 GPS 신호품질은 양호한 것으로 나타나고 있다. 향후 장기관측 자료 분석을 통해 평상시와 지자기 폭풍 기간 동안의 GPS 신호품질과 전자멸도 변화에 대해 연구가 진행될 것이다.