• Title/Summary/Keyword: short-term

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인지 재활훈련 평가 시 단기 스트레스가 미치는 영향 연구 (The Evaluation of the Short-term Stress Effect on Cognitive Rehabilitation Training Assessment)

  • 장익제;윤종인
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.197-202
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    • 2014
  • The cognitive rehabilitation training is important for treating many cognitive impairment conditions, including Parkinson's disease, stroke, and ADHD. In this study, we developed a new evaluation system to improve the measurement of the conventional evaluation systems for cognitive rehabilitation training. The developed system measured the activity of dopamine(DA) and an autonomic nervous system(ANS) with photoplethysmography and electromyography. The results demonstrated that the cognitive capacity was increased but the activity of DA was decreased with unbalanced ANS by short-term stress. Based on the results, the effect of short-term stress should be recognized for the cognitive rehabilitation training.

취업자 변동 단기예측을 위한 고용선행지수 작성과 활용 (Make and Use of Leading Indicator for Short-term Forecasting Employment Fluctuations)

  • 박명수
    • 노동경제논집
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.87-116
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    • 2014
  • 노동시장 위기관리 시스템의 일환으로 국내외 경제상황 변동으로 야기되는 고용변화를 사전에 감지하는 단기고용변동의 상시적 예측이 요구된다. 이를 위해 본 논문은 경기선행지수 작성방식을 준용하여 비농림 민간부문 임금근로자 변동을 단기적으로 예측하는 고용선행지수를 개발하였다. 고용선행지수는 고용수준 그 자체보다 고용 동향의 국면 및 전환 시점, 변동 속도등 고용의 변화 방향을 조기 탐지하는 것에 중점을 두어 작성되었다. 개발된 지수에 대해 국면 전환 선행성 평가와 고용수준 변동 예측에 대한 모의실험을 통해 검증하고 활용방안을 제시한다.

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The Structure, Growth and Equilibrium of the Money Market in Korea

  • Oh, Kwan-Chi
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 1975
  • The money market has been existing in various forms for a long time. Until 1972, however, the market had supplied mainly short-term loans of commercial banks and loans of informal money lenders to business corporations. There was no market for notes and commercial papers of business corporations. Consequently, business corporations had to rely primarily upon commercial banks for short-term credit loans to supplement their working capital. The interest rate on loans of commercial banks had been set below a free market equilibrium rate and thereby, generated excess demands for the loans. Unsatisfied potential borrowers thus had to turn to informal money lenders for short-term cerdit loans of prohibitively high interest rate. Since 1972 investment and finance companies have been operating in the money market and their role in mobilizing short-term loans is increasing. This paper aims at estimating the equilibrium size of the money market.

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범용 Database를 이용한 단기전력수요예측 시스템 개발 (The Development of Short-term Load Forecasting System Using Ordinary Database)

  • 김병수;하성관;송결빈;박정도
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.683-685
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    • 2004
  • This paper introduces a basic design for the short-term load forecasting system using a commercial data base. The proposed system uses a hybrid load forecasting method using fuzzy linear regression for forecasting of weekends and Monday and general exponential smoothing for forecasting of weekdays. The temperature sensitive is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecasting during the summer season. MS-SQL Sever has been used a commercial data base for the proposed system and the database is operated by ADO(ActiveX Data Objects) and RDO(Remote Data Object). Database has been constructed by altering the historical load data for the past 38 years. The weather iDormation is included in the database. The developed short-term load forecasting system is developed as a user friendly system based on GUI(Graphical User interface) using MFC(Microsoft Foundation Class). Test results show that the developed system efficiently performs short-term load forecasting.

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단기 아동보호시설 연구 - 아동상담소와 청소년쉼터를 중심으로 - (A Study on Emergency Short Term Shelters)

  • 이옥
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.163-178
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    • 2000
  • Institutions included in this study of emergency short term shelters for children in crisis included 2 public counseling centers providing short term protection services for children and 12 emergency shelters for runaway children located in a metropolitan city in Korea. The institutions were examined with respect to their establishment, management, and programs. The researcher visited and interviewed workers employed in the institutions. In additions, 12 children who had been cared for emergency shelters were surveyed with open-ended questions. The data consisted of information on founders, locations, purpose, current management, personnel, length of care, and number and grouping of children. Programs and daily schedules were also examined. Effective models of emergency short term shelters were discussed on the basis of the collected data.

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액체 질소에서의 반합성지 AC 파괴 강도에 미치는 부분 방전의 영향 (Study of Partial Discharge Influence on AC Breakdown Strength of Laminated Ploypropylene Paper(PPLP) at Liquid Nitrogen)

  • 안드레프;김수연;이인호;김도운;신두성;김상현
    • 한국초전도ㆍ저온공학회논문지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2002
  • The short-term AC breakdown strength of laminated polypropylene insulating Paper (PPLP) has been studied for cold dielectric of high temperature superconductivity power cables. The design and operating conditions of the electrode system for studying of short-term breakdown strength of one-layer and multi-layer PPLP samples are discussed in liquid nitrogen(LN2) state. The influence of various operating factors (geometry and dimension of electrodes, speed of tested voltage, thickness of test sample) on the value of short-term AC breakdown strength at cryogenic temperature has been established.

온도특성에 대한 데이터 정제를 이용한 제주도의 단기 전력수요 예측 (Short-term Load Forecasting of Using Data refine for Temperature Characteristics at Jeju Island)

  • 김기수;송경빈
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.225-228
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    • 2008
  • The electricity supply and demand to be stable to a system link increase of the variance power supply and operation are requested in jeju Island electricity system. A short-term Load forecasting which uses the characteristic of the Load is essential consequently. We use the interrelationship of the electricity Load and change of a summertime temperature and data refining in the paper. We presented a short-term Load forecasting algorithm of jeju Island and used the correlation coefficient to the criteria of the refining. We used each temperature area data to be refined and forecasted a short-term Load to an exponential smoothing method.

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특수일 전력수요예측을 위한 신경회로망 시스템의 개발 (Development of Neural Network System for Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Special Day)

  • 김광호;윤형선;이철희
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제18권
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 1998
  • Conventional short-term load forecasting techniques have limitation in their use on holidays due to dissimilar load behaviors of holidays and insufficiency of pattern data. Thus, a new short-term load forecasting method for special days in anomalous load conditions is proposed in this paper. The proposed method uses two Artificial Neural Networks(ANN); one is for the estimation of load curve, and the other is for the estimation of minimum and maximum value of load. The forecasting procedure is as follows. First, the normalized load curve is estimated by ANN. At next step, minimum and maximum values of load in a special day are estimated by another ANN. Finally, the estimate of load in a whole special day is obtained by combining these two outputs of ANNs. The proposed method shows a good performance, and it may be effectively applied to the practical situations.

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Very Short-term Electric Load Forecasting for Real-time Power System Operation

  • Jung, Hyun-Woo;Song, Kyung-Bin;Park, Jeong-Do;Park, Rae-Jun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1419-1424
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    • 2018
  • Very short-term electric load forecasting is essential for real-time power system operation. In this paper, a very short-term electric load forecasting technique applying the Kalman filter algorithm is proposed. In order to apply the Kalman filter algorithm to electric load forecasting, an electrical load forecasting algorithm is defined as an observation model and a state space model in a time domain. In addition, in order to precisely reflect the noise characteristics of the Kalman filter algorithm, the optimal error covariance matrixes Q and R are selected from several experiments. The proposed algorithm is expected to contribute to stable real-time power system operation by providing a precise electric load forecasting result in the next six hours.

6-Parametric factor model with long short-term memory

  • Choi, Janghoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.521-536
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    • 2021
  • As life expectancies increase continuously over the world, the accuracy of forecasting mortality is more and more important to maintain social systems in the aging era. Currently, the most popular model used is the Lee-Carter model but various studies have been conducted to improve this model with one of them being 6-parametric factor model (6-PFM) which is introduced in this paper. To this new model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and regularized LSTM are applied in addition to vector autoregression (VAR), which is a traditional time-series method. Forecasting accuracies of several models, including the LC model, 4-PFM, 5-PFM, and 3 6-PFM's, are compared by using the U.S. and Korea life-tables. The results show that 6-PFM forecasts better than the other models (LC model, 4-PFM, and 5-PFM). Among the three 6-PFMs studied, regularized LSTM performs better than the other two methods for most of the tests.