• Title/Summary/Keyword: short term time series

Search Result 399, Processing Time 0.026 seconds

Short-term treatment effects produced by rapid maxillary expansion evaluated with computed tomography: A systematic review with meta-analysis

  • Giudice, Antonino Lo;Spinuzza, Paola;Rustico, Lorenzo;Messina, Gabriele;Nucera, Riccardo
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
    • /
    • v.50 no.5
    • /
    • pp.314-323
    • /
    • 2020
  • Objective: To identify the available evidence on the effects of rapid maxillary expansion (RME) with three-dimensional imaging and provide meta-analytic data from studies assessing the outcomes using computed tomography. Methods: Eleven electronic databases were searched, and prospective case series were selected. Two authors screened all titles and abstracts and assessed full texts of the remaining articles. Seventeen case series were included in the quantitative synthesis. Seven outcomes were investigated: nasal cavity width, maxillary basal bone width, alveolar buccal crest width, alveolar palatal crest width, inter-molar crown width, inter-molar root apex width, and buccopalatal molar inclination. The outcomes were investigated at two-time points: post-expansion (2-6 weeks) and post-retention (4-8 months). Mean differences and 95% confidence intervals were used to summarize and combine the data. Results: All the investigated outcomes showed significant differences post-expansion (maxillary basal bone width, +2.46 mm; nasal cavity width, +1.95 mm; alveolar buccal crest width, +3.90 mm; alveolar palatal crest width, +3.09 mm; intermolar crown width, +5.69 mm; inter-molar root apex width, +2.85 mm; and dental tipping, +3.75°) and post-retention (maxillary basal bone width, +2.21 mm; nasal cavity width, +1.55 mm; alveolar buccal crest width, +3.57 mm; alveolar palatal crest width, +3.32 mm; inter-molar crown width, +5.43 mm; inter-molar root apex width, +4.75 mm; and dental tipping, 2.22°) compared to pre-expansion. Conclusions: After RME, skeletal expansion of the nasomaxillary complex was greater in most caudal structures. Maxillary basal bone showed 10% post-retention relapse. During retention period, uprighting of maxillary molars occurred.

Anti-hypertensive effect by Single adminstration of Chunghyul-dan : A CASE SERIES (청혈단 단회 투여에 따른 혈압 강하 효과 : 증례 집적 연구)

  • Moon, Sang-Kwan;Kim, Su Bin;Kwon, Seungwon;Cho, Seung-Yeon;Park, Seong-Uk;Jung, Woo-sang;Park, Jung-Mi;Ko, Chang-Nam;Cho, Ki-Ho
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.95-103
    • /
    • 2018
  • Objectives: This study was designed to investigate antihypertensive effect by single adminstration of Chunghyul-dan in stroke patients. Methods: This is a 31-patient case series from retrospective chart review of inpatients who diagnosed with stroke at a Kyung Hee University Korean Medicine Hospital (Seoul) between October 2016 to October 2017. We reviewed patient's charts with transient and sudden increases in blood pressure who were treated with Chunghyul-dan and analyzed blood pressure over time. In addition we classified patients by using the standardized predictive models for Korean medical diagnostic pattern-identification to find out if there are some differences in responder ratios. Results: Thirty one patients who took Chunghyul-dan were identified. 60 minutes, 120 minutes after 1200mg administration, systolic and diastolic blood pressure decreased significantly compared to baseline. We could not identify the difference between the groups of each pattern-identification because of small number of some groups. Conclusions: Although limited by its retrospective nature, this study suggests that Chunghyul-dan may be effective as short term antihypertensive method for stroke patient.

A Search for New Variable Stars in the Open Cluster NGC 129 using a Small Telescope (소형망원경을 이용한 산개성단 NGC 129 영역의 변광성 탐사)

  • Lee, Eun-Jung;Jeon, Young-Beom;Lee, Ho;Park, Hong-Suh
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-104
    • /
    • 2007
  • As part of the SPVS (Short-Period Variability Survey) which is a wide-field $(90'{\times}60')$ photometric monitering program at Bohyunsan Optical Astronomy (BOAO), we performed V band time-series CCD photometric observations ofthe young open cluster NGC 129 for 11 nights between October 12, 2004 and November 3, 2005 using the 155mm refractor equipped with $3K{\times}2K$ CCD camera. From the observation we obtained 2400 V band CCD frames and color-magnitude diagram of the cluster. To transform instrumental magnitude to standard magnitude, we applied ensemble normalization technique to all observed time-series data. After the photometric reduction process, we examined variations of 9537 stars. As a result, sixty six of the new variable stars were discovered. To determine the periods of the sevariables, we used DFT(Discrete Fourier Transform) and phase-matching technique. According to light curve shape, period, amplitude and the position on a C-M diagram, we classified these variables as 9 SPB type, 9 ${\delta}$ Scuti type, 29 eclipsing, 17 long term variables. However, two of them were not classified. From this study, we learned that small telescopes could be a very useful tool to observe variable stars in the open cluster in survey program.

Prediction of multipurpose dam inflow using deep learning (딥러닝을 활용한 다목적댐 유입량 예측)

  • Mok, Ji-Yoon;Choi, Ji-Hyeok;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.2
    • /
    • pp.97-105
    • /
    • 2020
  • Recently, Artificial Neural Network receives attention as a data prediction method. Among these, a Long Shot-term Memory (LSTM) model specialized for time-series data prediction was utilized as a prediction method of hydrological time series data. In this study, the LSTM model was constructed utilizing deep running open source library TensorFlow which provided by Google, to predict inflows of multipurpose dams. We predicted the inflow of the Yongdam Multipurpose Dam which is located in the upper stream of the Geumgang. The hourly flow data of Yongdam Dam from 2006 to 2018 provided by WAMIS was used as the analysis data. Predictive analysis was performed under various of variable condition in order to compare and analyze the prediction accuracy according to four learning parameters of the LSTM model. Root mean square error (RMSE), Mean absolute error (MAE) and Volume error (VE) were calculated and evaluated its accuracy through comparing the predicted and observed inflows. We found that all the models had lower accuracy at high inflow rate and hourly precipitation data (2006~2018) of Yongdam Dam utilized as additional input variables to solve this problem. When the data of rainfall and inflow were utilized together, it was found that the accuracy of the prediction for the high flow rate is improved.

Development of Grid Based Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Model with Finite Volume Method (유한체적법을 이용한 격자기반의 분포형 강우-유출 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Yun-Seok;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Lee, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.41 no.9
    • /
    • pp.895-905
    • /
    • 2008
  • To analyze hydrologic processes in a watershed requires both various geographical data and hydrological time series data. Recently, not only geographical data such as DEM(Digital Elevation Model) and hydrologic thematic map but also hydrological time series from numerical weather prediction and rainfall radar have been provided as grid data, and there are studies on hydrologic analysis using these grid data. In this study, GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) which is physically-based distributed rainfall-runoff model has been developed to simulate short term rainfall-runoff process effectively using these grid data. Kinematic wave equation is used to simulate overland flow and channel flow, and Green-Ampt model is used to simulate infiltration process. Governing equation is discretized by finite volume method. TDMA(TriDiagonal Matrix Algorithm) is applied to solve systems of linear equations, and Newton-Raphson iteration method is applied to solve non-linear term. Developed model was applied to simplified hypothetical watersheds to examine model reasonability with the results from $Vflo^{TM}$. It was applied to Wicheon watershed for verification, and the applicability to real site was examined, and simulation results showed good agreement with measured hydrographs.

Time Series Analysis of the Relationship between Housing Consumer Sentiment and Regional Housing Prices in Seoul (서울시 주택소비심리와 권역별 주택가격의 시계열적 관계분석)

  • Yang, Hye-Seon;Seo, Won-Seok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
    • /
    • v.50 no.1
    • /
    • pp.125-141
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study investigated the time-series relationship between housing consumer sentiment and housing prices in the five major districts in Seoul and also analyzed the effect of the housing consumer sentiment on housing prices using Granger Causality and VEC (Vector Error Correction) models. To describe the key results, first of all, housing consumer sentiment and regional housing market prices were closely related to each other, and the consumer sentiment strongly affected the change of housing prices. Second, the housing consumer sentiment was confirmed to have a discriminatory effect on the housing prices among the districts in Seoul in the short term. Specifically, the housing price of the east southern district (ESD) was the main reason for the change in housing consumer sentiment in Seoul, and that the resulting impact was transferred to other districts. Third, it was analyzed that regions other than the ESD would increase the housing prices in the long term as the housing consumer sentiment turned positive, but that the ESD would see a steady tone. Fourth, in the case of relative influence by district, housing (apartment) price fluctuation in a district was generally found to be most affected by adjacent or competitive districts. Through these findings, this study confirmed that there is a clear causality between housing consumer sentiment and housing prices in each district of Seoul and that there is a discriminatory influence on housing consumer sentiment among the districts.

Stock Prediction Model based on Bidirectional LSTM Recurrent Neural Network (양방향 LSTM 순환신경망 기반 주가예측모델)

  • Joo, Il-Taeck;Choi, Seung-Ho
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.204-208
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this paper, we proposed and evaluated the time series deep learning prediction model for learning fluctuation pattern of stock price. Recurrent neural networks, which can store previous information in the hidden layer, are suitable for the stock price prediction model, which is time series data. In order to maintain the long - term dependency by solving the gradient vanish problem in the recurrent neural network, we use LSTM with small memory inside the recurrent neural network. Furthermore, we proposed the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network in which the hidden layer is added in the reverse direction of the data flow for solving the limitation of the tendency of learning only based on the immediately preceding pattern of the recurrent neural network. In this experiment, we used the Tensorflow to learn the proposed stock price prediction model with stock price and trading volume input. In order to evaluate the performance of the stock price prediction, the mean square root error between the real stock price and the predicted stock price was obtained. As a result, the stock price prediction model using bidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network has improved prediction accuracy compared with unidirectional LSTM recurrent neural network.

A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR) (VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화)

  • Kim, Hyun-woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.16 no.9
    • /
    • pp.6315-6324
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study analyses the effects of household finances on rental price of apartment in Seoul which play a major role in real estate policy. We estimate VAR models using time series data. Economy variables such as sales price of apartment in Seoul, consumer price index, hiring rate, real GNI and loan amount of housing mortgage, which relate to household finances and influence the rental price of apartment, are used for estimation. The main findings are as follows. In the short term, the rental price of apartment is impacted by economy variables. Specifically, Relative contributions of variation in rental price of apartment through structural shock of economy variables are most influenced by their own. However, in the long term, household variables are more influential to the rental price of apartment. These results are expected to contribute to establish housing price stabilization policies through understanding the relationship between economy variables and rental price of apartment.

Selection of a Mother Wavelet Using Wavelet Analysis of Time Series Data (시계열 자료의 웨이블릿 분석을 위한 모 웨이블릿의 선정문제)

  • Lee, Hyunwook;Song, Sunguk;Zhu, Ju Hua;Lee, Munseok;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2019.05a
    • /
    • pp.259-259
    • /
    • 2019
  • 시계열 자료들을 분석하고자 하는 경우 자료가 정상성(stationarity)을 만족하는 경우는 드물다. 특히 계절성을 제거한 자료들에서는 정량화하기 어려운 주기성이 많이 관찰된다. 즉, 어떤 특정지역에서 나타나는 현상이 다른 기상 현상에 영향을 미칠 것은 자명한 일이나 그 관련성이 선형(linearity)일 가능성은 극히 드물다. 따라서 그들 사이의 관련성이 선형성에 근거한 지표들로 정량화되어야 한다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해서 다양한 방법이 사용되며 그중에서 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 본 연구를 진행하였다. 웨이블릿 변환(wavelet transforms)은 특수한 함수의 집합으로 구성되어 기존 웨이블릿 신호의 분석을 위해 사용되는 방법이다. 이 변환은 푸리에 변환에서 변형된 방법으로 특정한 기저 함수(base function)를 이용하여 기존의 시계열 자료를 주파수로 바꾸는 변환이다. 웨이블릿 변환에서 기저 함수를 모 웨이블릿이라고 하며 이를 천이, 확대 및 축소 과정을 통해 주파수를 구성한다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿을 분해하고 재결합하여 시계열 분석을 할 수 있다. 모 웨이블릿 함수에는 Haar, Daubechies, Coiflets, Symlets, Morlet, Mexican Hat, Meyer 등의 여러 가지 종류의 모 웨이블릿 함수가 있으며 모 웨이블릿이 달라지면 결과가 다르게 나타난다. 기존에는 Morlet 웨이블릿을 주로 이용하여 주파수분석에 사용하여 결과를 도출하였다. 그리고 시계열 자료는 크게 백색잡음(White Noise), 장기기억(Long Term Memory), 단기기억(Short Term Memory)으로 나뉜다. 각 시계열 자료의 종류에 따라 임의의 시계열 자료를 산정하여 그에 따른 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 모 웨이블릿의 특성을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 웨이블릿 분석을 통해 시계열 자료의 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 남방진동지수(SOI), 북극진동지수(AOI)의 자료를 이용하여 웨이블릿 분석을 시도하였다. 웨이블릿 분석은 모 웨이블릿에 따라 달라지는 결과를 토대로 분석하였으며 이를 정상성과 지속성에 따라 분류된 시계열에 적용하여 최적 모 웨이블릿을 결정하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서는 임의의 시계열 자료에서 설정한 최적의 모 웨이블릿을 AOI와 SOI와 같은 실제 시계열 자료에 대입하여 분석을 진행하였다. 본 연구에서는 시계열 자료의 종류를 구분하고 자료의 특성에 따라 가장 적합한 모 웨이블릿을 구하고자 하였다.

  • PDF

Time Series Analysis and Forecast for Labor Cost of Actual Cost Data (시계열분석을 통한 실적공사비의 노무비 분석 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyun-Seok;Lee, Eun-Young;Kim, Yea-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.24-34
    • /
    • 2013
  • Since 2004, the government decided to gradually introduce Actual Cost Data into cost estimate for improving problems of below-cost tendering and to reflect fair market price through competition and carry contract efficiently. However, there are many concerns that Actual Cost Data has not reflected real market price, even that has contributed to reduce the government's budget. General construction firm's burden for labor cost is imputed to specialty contractors and eventually it becomes construction worker's burden. Therefore, realization of Actual Cost Data is very important factor to settle this system. To understand realization level and make short term forecast, this paper drew construction group of which labor cost constitutes more than 95% of direct cost, and compares their Actual Cost Data with relevant skilled workers's unit wage and predicts using time series analysis. The bid price which is not be reflected market price accelerates work environment changes and leads to directly affect such as late disbursement of wages, bankruptcy to workers. Therefore this paper is expected to be used to the preliminary data for solving the problem and establishing improvement of Actual Cost Data.