• 제목/요약/키워드: several complex variables

검색결과 116건 처리시간 0.026초

Analysis of climate change mitigations by nuclear energy using nonlinear fuzzy set theory

  • Tae Ho Woo;Kyung Bae Jang;Chang Hyun Baek;Jong Du Choi
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • 제54권11호
    • /
    • pp.4095-4101
    • /
    • 2022
  • Following the climate-related disasters considered by several efforts, the nuclear capacity needs to double by 2050 compared to 2015. So, it is reasonable to investigate global warming incorporated with the fuzzy set theory for nuclear energy consumption in the aspect of fuzziness and nonlinearity of temperature variations. The complex modeling is proposed for the enhanced assessment of climate change where simulations indicate the degree of influence with the Boolean values between 0.0 and 1.0 in the designed variables. In the case of OIL, there are many 1.0 values between 20th and 60th months in the simulations where there are 10 times more for a 1.0 value in influence. Hence, the temperature variable can give the effective time using this study for 100 months. In the analysis, the 1.0 value in NUCLEAR means the highest influence of the modeling as the temperature increases resulting in global warming. In detail, the first influence happens near the 8th month and then there are four times more influences than effects in the early part of the temperature mitigation. Eventually, in the GLOBAL WARMING, the highest peak is around the 20th month, and then it is stabilized.

Analyzing Proportion and Susceptibility Markers of Sarcopenia In Korean Younger Female

  • Jongseok Hwang
    • 대한물리의학회지
    • /
    • 제18권4호
    • /
    • pp.19-27
    • /
    • 2023
  • PURPOSE: This investigation in the study aimed to assess to determine proportion and susceptibility makers of sarcopenia in Korean younger female aged 30 to 39 years. METHODS: To address the complex sampling design of Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, appropriate individual weights were incorporated into the analysis. The data employed a stratified, clustered, multistage probability sampling design. A total of 2,098 participants were enrolled and categorized into two groups based on their skeletal muscle mass index scores. One hundred and twenty-four individuals were placed in the sarcopenia group, while 2,024 were allocated to a normal group. The study examined various markers as variables, including age, height, weight, body mass index waist circumference, skeletal muscle mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, triglyceride, and total cholesterol levels, and smoking and drinking habits. RESULTS: The study found that proportion of sarcopenia in this population was 3.78% (CI: 2.89-4.94) in sarcopenia group and 96.22% (CI: 95.06-97.11) in normal with weighed values. Several susceptibilities including height, weight, BMI, waist circumference, diastolic blood pressure, and total cholesterol levels were risk factor for sarcopenia (p < .05), exhibited significant differences between the sarcopenia and normal groups. CONCLUSION: This investigation provides the proportion of sarcopenia and identifies relevant susceptibility markers among community dwelling younger women in Korea.

인공신경망을 이용한 데이터베이스 기반의 광역단지 에너지 수요예측 기법 개발 (A Methodology of Databased Energy Demand Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks for a Urban Community)

  • 공동석;곽영훈;이병정;허정호
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국태양에너지학회 2009년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.184-189
    • /
    • 2009
  • In order to improve the operation of energy systems, it is necessary for the urban communities to have reliable optimization routines, both computerized and manual, implemented in their organizations. However, before a production plan for the energy system units can be constructed, a prediction of the energy systems first needs to be determined. So, several methodologies have been proposed for energy demand prediction, but due to uncertainties in urban community, many of them will fail in practice. The main topic of this paper has been the development of a method for energy demand prediction at urban community. Energy demand prediction is important input parameters to plan for the energy planing. This paper presents a energy demand prediction method which estimates heat and electricity for various building categories. The method has been based on artificial neural networks(ANN). The advantage of ANN with respect to the other method is their ability of modeling a multivariable problem given by the complex relationships between the variables. Also, the ANN can extract the relationships among these variables by means of learning with training data. In this paper, the ANN have been applied in oder to correlate weather conditions, calendar data, schedules, etc. Space heating, cooling, hot water and HVAC electricity can be predicted using this method. This method can produce 10% of errors hourly load profile from individual building to urban community.

  • PDF

헝거포드 접근법의 행동주의를 넘어서 (Beyond the Behaviorism Embedded in the Hungerford Approach)

  • 이재영
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
    • /
    • 제15권1호
    • /
    • pp.68-82
    • /
    • 2002
  • My responses to Kim Kyung-Ok's Critique on my critique on the Hungerford approach can be summarized as follows; First, it was argued that possible confusions and misunderstandings around the concept of behavior in REB were mainly caused by Hungerford himself who has used the word in several different ways, from a bunch of overt actions to almost all kinds of responses including cognitive skills, without any clear operational definition of it for more than 20 years. It seems to be needed for future users of the word, 'Behavior' to Prevent unnecessary confusions by providing their operational definition of it. Second, REB is too ambiguous to be a legitimate goal of environmental education and too outcome-oriented to be a meaningful measure for environmental education research. Anyone who accept REB as a goal of EE or a measure for research should clearly suggest procedures and criteria for judging the environmental responsibility of actions under consideration. Third, the Hungerford approach has begun by realizing the limit of a linear traditional behavior change system and has been evolving toward a complex model with dynamic interactions among/between cognitive variables and affective variables. However, it still has one-way structural orientation toward 'Behavior' with no feedbacks. Addition of some feedback processes would make the model more flexible and realistic. Finally, both the Hines model and the Hungeford model were established based on a series of behavioristic studies including three doctoral dissertations equiped with a list of actions which were prejudged to be environmentally responsible by the researchers, not by the learners. What they were primarily interested in was not how mind functions during the learning processes but how learners' behavior can be effectively changed. Considering uncertainty and complexity associated with environmental problems, a great deal of efforts ought to be made toward more context-based and less normative studies applying cognitive psychology and quantitative approaches.

  • PDF

파장별 지표 자외선 복사량을 이용한 SARS-CoV-2 바이러스 비활성화 시간 추정 연구 (Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus Inactivation Time Using Spectral Ultraviolet Radiation)

  • 박선주;이윤곤;박상서
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제32권1호
    • /
    • pp.51-60
    • /
    • 2022
  • Corona Virus Disease 19 pandemic (COVID-19) causes many deaths worldwide, and has enormous impacts on society and economy. The COVID-19 was caused by a new type of coronavirus (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Cornonavirus 2; SARS-CoV-2), which has been found that these viruses can be effectively inactivated by ultraviolet (UV) radiation of 290~315 nm. In this study, 90% inactivation time of the SARS-CoV-2 virus was analyzed using ground observation data from Brewer spectrophotometer at Yonsei University, Seoul and simulation data from UVSPEC for the period of 2015~2017 and 2020. Based on 12:00-13:00 noon time, the shortest virus inactivation time were estimated as 13.5 minutes in June and 4.8 minutes in July/August, respectively, under all sky and clear sky conditions. In the diurnal and seasonal variations, SARS-CoV-2 could be inactivated by 90% when exposed to UV radiation within 60 minutes from 10:00 to 14:00, for the period of spring to autumn. However, in winter season, the natural prevention effect was meaningless because the intensity of UV radiation weakened, and the time required for virus inactivation increased. The spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 is related to various and complex interactions of several variables, but the natural inactivation of viruses by UV radiation presented in this study, especially seasonal differences, need to be considered as major variables.

Framework for improving the prediction rate with respect to outdoor thermal comfort using machine learning

  • Jeong, Jaemin;Jeong, Jaewook;Lee, Minsu;Lee, Jaehyun
    • 국제학술발표논문집
    • /
    • The 9th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
    • /
    • pp.119-127
    • /
    • 2022
  • Most of the construction works are conducted outdoors, so the construction workers are affected by weather conditions such as temperature, humidity, and wind velocity which can be evaluated the thermal comfort as environmental factors. In our previous researches, it was found that construction accidents are usually occurred in the discomfort ranges. The safety management, therefore, should be planned in consideration of the thermal comfort and measured by a specialized simulation tool. However, it is very complex, time-consuming, and difficult to model. To address this issue, this study is aimed to develop a framework of a prediction model for improving the prediction accuracy about outdoor thermal comfort considering environmental factors using machine learning algorithms with hyperparameter tuning. This study is done in four steps: i) Establishment of database, ii) Selection of variables to develop prediction model, iii) Development of prediction model; iv) Conducting of hyperparameter tuning. The tree type algorithm is used to develop the prediction model. The results of this study are as follows. First, considering three variables related to environmental factor, the prediction accuracy was 85.74%. Second, the prediction accuracy was 86.55% when considering four environmental factors. Third, after conducting hyperparameter tuning, the prediction accuracy was increased up to 87.28%. This study has several contributions. First, using this prediction model, the thermal comfort can be calculated easily and quickly. Second, using this prediction model, the safety management can be utilized to manage the construction accident considering weather conditions.

  • PDF

산욕초기 어머니 역할획득을 위한 신생아실 간호사 역할수행에 관한 연구 (Nursery Room Nurses′ Role Performance for Maternal Role Attainment of Mothers at Early Postpartum Period)

  • 이영은;박춘화;박금자;김영순;박봉임
    • Child Health Nursing Research
    • /
    • 제4권2호
    • /
    • pp.177-192
    • /
    • 1998
  • The early postpartum period is crucial toward in recovery from childbirth and attainment of the maternal role. Maternal role attainment is a complex social and cognitive process of stimulus-response accomplished by learning. Helping for maternal role attainment is one of nursing goals in the early postpartum period. Based on King's conceptual framework for nursing, this study was planned as descriptive correlation study to determine the significant differences of the degree of nursery room nurses' role performance according to several variables of personal, interpersonal, and working system of nurses in nursery room. The purpose of this study was to contribute to the planning of nursing care to help maternal role attainment of the early postpartum period of mothers and to the development of relevant nursing theory. The data were collected from Feb. 3 to 28 by questionnaires with 273 nurses in nursery room. The instruments for this study were consisted of four parts : 21 questions for rot performance of nurse. 37 questions for personal system of nurse including 31 questions for role perception of nurse : 65 questions for interpersonal system including 63 questions for job stress of nurses , 18 questions for working system of nurse. The toos to measure role performance and role perception, and job stress of nurse were tested for internal reliability. Cronbach's Alphas were 0.9612, 0.9058, and 0.9649. The data were analysed by using in S.A.S. computerized program and included percentage, t-test, ANOVA Pearson Correlation Coefficient, and Duncan multiple range test. The conclusions obtained from this study are summerized as follows : 1. The mean score of the items of role performance was 2.12(SD=0.55) in Likert's 4 points scale. 2. The degree of role performance was significantly different according to role perception(p=0.0001), age (p=0.006), educational background(p=0.002) , and certificate of midwife (p=0.03) among variables of personal system of subjects. 3. The degree of role performance was significantly different according to job stress (p=0.0001) and numbers of children(p=0.006) among variables of interpersonal system of subjects. 4. The degree of role performance was significantly different according to having opportunities for baby(p=0.03), the degree of flexibility to bring baby to mother's room(p=0.046), the scope of visitor for baby(p=0.016) , the degree of flexibility of visiting for baby (p=0.049) , the degree of participation of nurse in establishing visiting rules(p=0.017), existence and/or nonexistance of rules for breast feeding(p=0.010) , existence and/or nonexistance of education for breast feeding (p=0.009), existence and/or nonexistance of breast feeding room(p=0.013) , concert methods for breast feeding (p=0.003), working place (p=0.0001), and career(p=0.019) among variables of personal system of subjects.

  • PDF

A neural-based predictive model of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Kao, Chih-Han;Wang, Chien-Chih;Wang, Her-Yung
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • 제19권5호
    • /
    • pp.457-465
    • /
    • 2017
  • The Taiwanese liquid crystal display (LCD) industry has traditionally produced a huge amount of waste glass that is placed in landfills. Waste glass recycling can reduce the material costs of concrete and promote sustainable environmental protection activities. Concrete is always utilized as structural material; thus, the concrete compressive strength with a variety of mixtures must be studied using predictive models to achieve more precise results. To create an efficient waste LCD glass concrete (WLGC) design proportion, the related studies utilized a multivariable regression analysis to develop a compressive strength waste LCD glass concrete equation. The mix design proportion for waste LCD glass and the compressive strength relationship is complex and nonlinear. This results in a prediction weakness for the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete. Thus, the R ratio for the predictive multivariable regression model is 0.96. Neural networks (NN) have a superior ability to handle nonlinear relationships between multiple variables by incorporating supervised learning. This study developed a multivariable prediction model for the determination of waste LCD glass concrete compressive strength by analyzing a series of laboratory test results and utilizing a neural network algorithm that was obtained in a related prior study. The current study also trained the prediction model for the compressive strength of waste LCD glass by calculating the effects of several types of factor combinations, such as the different number of input variables and the relevant filter for input variables. These types of factor combinations have been adjusted to enhance the predictive ability based on the training mechanism of the NN and the characteristics of waste LCD glass concrete. The selection priority of the input variable strategy is that evaluating relevance is better than adding dimensions for the NN prediction of the compressive strength of WLGC. The prediction ability of the model is examined using test results from the same data pool. The R ratio was determined to be approximately 0.996. Using the appropriate input variables from neural networks, the model validation results indicated that the model prediction attains greater accuracy than the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of compressive strength. Therefore, the neural-based predictive model for compressive strength promotes the application of waste LCD glass concrete.

구조방정식모형을 이용한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 분석 (Analysis of Traffic Accident Severity for Korean Highway Using Structural Equations Model)

  • 이주연;정진혁;손봉수
    • 대한교통학회지
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.17-24
    • /
    • 2008
  • 교통사고를 감소시키고 안전성을 향상시키기 위해, 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 분석하여 교통사고를 예측하는 모형은 지속적으로 개발되어 왔다. 우리나라의 고속국도 총연장은 약 3,000km에 이르며, 이는 전 세계에서 10위 안에 드는 수치이다. 그러나 고속국도 1km당 사고 건수는 다른 나라들에 비하여 현격히 높은 실정인데, 1980년대 이래로 빠르게 증가한 교통수요와 교통관련 인프라의 규모가 이러한 높은 사고율에 영향을 미친 것으로 보인다. 사고율과 함께 중요하게 인식되는 지표는 사고의 심각도이며, 사고 심각도는 도로의 기하구조나 운전자 행태, 차종, 날씨 등 많은 요인들에 의해 직 간접적인 영향을 받을 것으로 판단된다. 이 밖에도 여러 요인들이 복합적으로 작용하여 사고를 일으키고, 사고의 심각도에 영향을 미칠 것으로 보인다. 구조방정식(Structural Equations Model)은 이처럼 여러 가지 변수들 간의 복잡한 관계를 규명하는데 적합한 모형으로, 본 연구에서는 사고 심각도에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 크게 '도로 요인' 및 '운전자 요인', '환경 요인' 등으로 구분하고, 총 2,880개의 사고데이터를 이용하여 구조방정식 모형을 구축, 각각의 변수들이 사고 심각도에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 도로 및 환경 요인은 통계적으로 유의한 수준에서 사고심각도와 강한 관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다.

미계측유역의 수문모형 매개변수 추정을 위한 하이브리드 지역화모형의 개발 (Development of a hybrid regionalization model for estimation of hydrological model parameters for ungauged watersheds)

  • 김영일;서승범;김영오
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제51권8호
    • /
    • pp.677-686
    • /
    • 2018
  • 수문모형의 매개변수 추정에 필요한 유량 관측 자료의 수집은 시 공간적으로 제한이 있어 우리나라도 아직 상당수의 미계측유역이 존재하며, 이를 보완하고자 주변 유역의 정보를 활용하는 지역화 방법들이 연구되어 왔다. 그러나 지역적 특성이나 기후 조건에 따라 지역화 방법의 결과가 상이하여 어느 지역에 어떠한 지역화 방법이 가장 우수하다고 판단하기 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 보편적으로 사용되는 지역화 방법인 지역회귀모형의 설명변수에 공간근접모형으로 추정한 수문모형의 매개변수를 추가하여 회귀모형의 적합성을 향상시켰으며, 이를 하이브리드 지역화모형이라 정의하고 기존 방법들과 비교하였다. 계측유역으로는 관측 자료가 충분한 남한의 37개 유역을 선정하였고, 수문모형은 개념적 수문모형인 GR4J를 사용하였으며, 계측유역에 대한 수문모형의 매개변수 산정은 Shuffled complex evolution 알고리즘을 사용하였다. 유역 특성변수들 간 다중공선성을 고려하기 위해 Variation inflation factor를 사용하였고, Stepwise regression을 통해 회귀모형의 최적 설명변수를 선택하였다. 통계 값을 통해 모형의 적합성을 비교한 결과, 하이브리드 지역화모형에서 가장 작은 RMSE 값을 나타내었으며, 유역별 모의 값의 변동성이 줄어들어 결과의 불확실성 또한 낮아짐을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 하이브리드 모형이 미계측유역의 유출량 산정을 위한 하나의 대안이 될 수 있음을 확인하였다.