• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제22권2호
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• pp.802-809
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• 2021

노후화로 인해 급증하는 유지관리 비용에 대응하기 위하여 자산관리적 관점에서 교량의 유지관리 비용 예측은 필수적이다. 교량의 유지관리 비용 예측은 교량 상태에 기반하여 생애주기비용을 지표로 수행되며, 일반적으로 교량 상태는 열화환경, 하중조건, 재료특성 등에 따라 상당히 넓은 분포특성을 가진다. 본 논문에서는 교량 상태에 영향을 주는 변수로 사용수명, 열화속도, 점검오차를 활용하는 상태예측모델을 활용하여 교량 상태가 생애주기비용 산정에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 검토된 변수 중에서 점검오차가 특히 생애주기비용 산정에 상당한 영향을 미치는 것을 확인하였다. 그리고 실제 고속도로 교량의 건전도지수 분포를 기반으로 상하한을 모사하는 상태예측모델을 구축하여 개별 교량에서 발생가능한 생애주기비용의 상하한 값을 추정하였다. 상태예측모델과 연계하여 생애주기동안 발생하는 비용을 예측하기 위해 교량 건전도지수에 따른 보수보강비용 산정식을 활용하였다. 분석을 통해 교량의 상태에 따라 생애주기비용의 차이가 상당히 크게 발생함을 확인하였다. 이에 따라 기존의 평균을 모사하는 단일모델로는 효율적 관리가 어려울 수 있으므로, 향후 다양한 종류의 상태예측모델을 구축하여 교량에 따라 적합한 모델을 적용하는 등 개별 교량의 유지관리 비용 예측신뢰도를 높이기 위한 연구가 필요하다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제33권8호
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• pp.739-744
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• 2009

Rail-pad is an important and readily replaceable component of a railway track, as it is the elastic layer between the rail and the sleeper. Characteristics and useful lifetime prediction of rail-pad was very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability. In this paper, the degradation of rail pad properties as a function of their in-service life is studied with a view of developing a technique for predicting the optimum period of track maintenance with regard to pad replacement. In order to investigate the useful lifetime, the accelerate test were carried out. Accelerated test results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot. By using the acceleration test, several useful lifetime prediction for rail-pads were proposed.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제15권10호
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• pp.88-95
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• 1998

The purpose of this study is to predict the life of a Lug under the real service load history. The techniques of predicting a fatigue life under load spectrum are discussed and some are developed. The stress is calculated by multiplying the stress under unit force with the Finite Element Analysis. The cycles are counted by the Rainflow counting method and then the mean stress effect is considered by the suggested conversion function. The Manson's Double Linear Damage Rule is used as the cummulative damage method.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.89-95
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• 1996

To predict the service life of an organic vapor respirator cartridge, the breakthrough curve of respirator was simulated using a fixed-bed adsorption model and compared with that of sampling tube. And the effects of bed porosity, length to diameter ratio and flow rate of the sampling tube were studied. The life time of respirator cartridge was increased with the decrease of particle size and bed porosity. And the breakthrough time of sampling tube was affected by the flow rate, however not by the length to diameter ratio. The 10% breakthrough time of the sampling tube was corresponded with that of cartridge.

• 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.119-127
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• 2010

본 논문에서는 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성을 예측하기 위한 새로운 접근 방법을 제시하였다. 제시된 예측 방법은, 새로운 계측 데이터가 있을 때 베이스 이론에 근거하여 지속적인 업데이팅이 가능하며 모델 매개변수의 확률론적인 특성이 고려된다. 탄산화 내구성 해석 모델의 절차는 라틴 하이퍼큐브 샘플 추출법(LHS)으로 간단하게 정리되고, 이를 통해 얻는 표본으로 결정된다. 이 방법은 콘크리트 구조물의 설계에 유용하게 사용될 수 있으며, 모니터링을 통한 콘크리트 구조물의 잔존수명을 예측할 수 있다. 본 논문에서 사전예측치는 탄산화에 노출된 국내 콘크리트 구조물 데이터(3700개 시편)를 이용하여 콘크리트 탄산계수의 확률 특성을 고려하여 나타내었으며, 우도함수는 현장 모니터링 데이터를 이용하였으며 사후예측치는 사전예측치와 우도함수를 조합하여 나타내었다. 또한, 몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션(MCS)과 LHS의 비교를 통하여 본 논문에서 수행된 LHS를 이용한 샘플링기법이 보다 효율적인 시뮬레이션 수행이 가능함을 확인하였다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제30권4A호
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• pp.343-352
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• 2010

최근에 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 정량적인 사용수명과 장기적인 성능을 확보하고 예측하기 위해서 확률론적인 내구성 해석 및 설계를 수행하는 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 이와 관련하여 콘크리트 구조물에 확률론적 내구성 설계 개념을 도입되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 통계적인 자료를 이용하여 Fick의 첫 번째 법칙에 근거한 탄산화 예측 모델에 적용하였으며, 이를 이용하여 확률론적 내구성 해석을 수행하였다. 이 예측모델에 관련된 설계변수인 $CO_2$ 확산계수, 대기중의 $CO_2$ 농도, $CO_2$ 흡착량, 시멘트 수화도 등의 영향을 검토하였다. 확률론에 기초한 탄산화 예측모델은 여러 환경에 위치한 콘크리트 구조물에 모니터링 자료를 이용하여 탄산화 깊이와 잔존수명을 예측하였다. 그 결과로 본 연구에서 합리적인 탄산화 예측모델을 이용한 적용 방법은 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 확보 및 구조물의 손상 개시시기를 예측하고 구조물을 유지 관리하기 위한 유연한 의사결정을 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.261-267
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• 2010

Present maintenance of a high speed railway is after the fack maintenance that executes a task when measured value goes over threshold value except some planned maintenance. It is difficult from efficient management of maintenance human resource and equipment commitment because it is difficult to predict quantity of maintenance targets. Corrective maintenance is pushed back on the repair priority of other target to need repair and it is exceeded repair cost potentially. For safety and dependable track management because track deterioration prediction is linked directly with track's life and safety of train service, it is very important that track management be based on preventive maintenance. In this study, we propose statistics model of track quality to use track inspection data and forecast model for track deterioration prediction.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.11-19
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• 2016

PURPOSES : This study supports the evidence that it is possible to rehabilitate a damaged pavement with a lane closure specifically based on the Gimcheon~Sunsan project. METHODS : The prediction results from the simulation programs were compared with field monitoring, which focused on traffic management planning, congestion (length, time, and passing speed), bypass, and user cost, among others. RESULTS : The research results showed that lane closure application and pavement repair of the aged pavement in Korea were possible, even though the prediction results were minimally different from the field monitoring. The road agency contributes to service life extension of the rehabilitated pavement using this method. CONCLUSIONS : A marginal effect caused by the lane closure was observed on travelling users or vehicles, and the user cost of pavement repair decreased. Therefore, introducing the repair method or rehabilitation in Korea is possible. Information dissemination through various media was properly done to execute the project well. Moreover, the construction area traffic utilized nearby alternative roads. Therefore, improving the repaired pavemen's service life while ensuring that the pavement management agency can provide a road with comfortable user riding quality was possible.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제11권6호
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• pp.587-602
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• 2013

In the current study, a method for concrete compressive strength prediction (based on cement strength class), incorporated in a software package developed by the authors for the estimation of concrete service life under harmful environments, is presented and validated. Prediction of concrete compressive strength, prior to real experimentation, can be a very useful tool for a first mix screening. Given the fact that lower limitations in strength have been set in standards, to attain a minimum of service life, a strength approach is a necessity. Furthermore, considering the number of theoretical attempts on strength predictions so far, it can be seen that although they lack widespread accepted validity, certain empirical expressions are still widely used. The method elaborated in this study, it offers a simple and accurate, compressive strength estimation, in very good agreement with experimental results. A modified version of the Feret's formula is used, since it contains only one adjustable parameter, predicted by knowing the cement strength class. The approach presented in this study can be applied on any cement type, including active additions (fly ash, silica fume) and age.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.443-457
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• 2011

The loss of strength in a structure as a result of cyclic loads over a period of life time is an important phenomenon for the life-cycle analysis. Service loads are accentuated at the areas of stress concentration, mainly at the connection of components. Structural components unavoidably are affected by defects such as surface scratches, surface roughness and weld defects of random sizes, which usually occur during the manufacturing and handling process. These defects are shown to have an important effect on the fatigue life of the structural components by promoting crack initiation sites. The value of equivalent initial flaw size (EIFS) is calculated by using the back extrapolation technique and the Paris law of fatigue crack growth from results of fatigue tests. We try to analyze the effect of EIFS distribution in a multiple site damage (MSD) specimen by using the extended finite element method (XFEM). For the analysis, fatigue tests were conducted on the centrally-cracked specimens and MSD specimens.