• Title/Summary/Keyword: semi-parametric model

Search Result 94, Processing Time 0.021 seconds

Practical Numerical Model for Wave Propagation and Fluid-Structure Interaction in Infinite Fluid (무한 유체 영역에서의 파전파 해석 및 유체-구조물 상호작용 해석을 위한 실용적 수치 모형)

  • Cho, Jeong-Rae;Han, Seong-Wook;Lee, Jin Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.427-435
    • /
    • 2021
  • An analysis considering the fluid-structure interaction is required to strictly evaluate the seismic behavior of facilities such as, environmental facilities and dams, that store fluids. Specifically, in the case of an infinite domain in the upstream direction, such as a dam-reservoir system, this should be carefully considered. In this study, we proposed a practical numerical model for both wave propagation and fluid-structure interaction analyses of an infinite domain, for a system with a semi-infinite domain such as a dam-reservoir system. This method was applicable to the time domain, and enabled accurate boundary analysis. For an infinite fluid domain, a small number of mid-point integrated acoustic finite elements were applied instead of a general acoustic finite element, and a viscous boundary was imposed on the outermost boundary. The validity and accuracy of the proposed method were secured by comparing analytic solutions of a reservoir having infinite domain, with the parametric analysis results, for the number of elements and the size of the modeling region. Furthermore, the proposed method was compared with other fluid-structure interaction methods using additional mass.

Duration to First Job of Korean Young Graduates: Before and After the Economic Crisis (청년층의 첫 일자리 진입 : 경제위기 전후의 비교)

  • Ahn, Joyup;Hong, Seo Yeon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-74
    • /
    • 2002
  • Since the Economic Crisis at the end of 1997, unemployment rate soared up to the record-high 8.6% (February 1999) and, for youth aged 15~29, it was 14.6% (27.8% for aged 15~19). In spite of economic recovery after the crisis, new participants in labor market at the school-to-work transition have faced with difficulties in finding their first jobs and, even further, the ratio of youth at out-of the labor force but not in school has remained at a higher level. It is important to calibrate the negative effects of nonemployment in the short-run as well as in the long-run, but there has been few study on the school-to-work transition in Korea. This study focus on the nonemployment duration to first job after formal education and comparison of its pattern before and after the crisis. A proportional hazard model, considering job prenaration before graduation (21.4% of the sample), with the semi-parametric baseline hazard is applied to the sample from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Survey(1998~2000) and its Youth Supplemental survey(2000). Interview of the Survey is conducted, by the Korea Labor Institute, to the same 5,000 household and 13,738 individual sample, guaranteeing nationwide representativeness. The Supplemental Survey consists of 3,302 young individuals aged 15 to 29 at the time of survey and 1,615 of them who are not in school and provide appropriate information is used for the analysis. The empirical results show that there exists negative duration dependence at the first three or for months at the transition period and no duration dependence since a turning point of the baseline hazard rate and that unemployment rate reflecting labor demand conditions has a positive effect on exiting the nonemployment state, which is inconsistent with a theoretical conclusion. Estimation with samples separated by the date of graduation before and after the crisis shows that the effect of unemployment rate on the hazard was negative for the pre-crisis sample but positive for the post-crisis sample.

  • PDF

Variable Selection in Frailty Models using FrailtyHL R Package: Breast Cancer Survival Data (frailtyHL 통계패키지를 이용한 프레일티 모형의 변수선택: 유방암 생존자료)

  • Kim, Bohyeon;Ha, Il Do;Noh, Maengseok;Na, Myung Hwan;Song, Ho-Chun;Kim, Jahae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.5
    • /
    • pp.965-976
    • /
    • 2015
  • Determining relevant variables for a regression model is important in regression analysis. Recently, a variable selection methods using a penalized likelihood with various penalty functions (e.g. LASSO and SCAD) have been widely studied in simple statistical models such as linear models and generalized linear models. The advantage of these methods is that they select important variables and estimate regression coefficients, simultaneously; therefore, they delete insignificant variables by estimating their coefficients as zero. We study how to select proper variables based on penalized hierarchical likelihood (HL) in semi-parametric frailty models that allow three penalty functions, LASSO, SCAD and HL. For the variable selection we develop a new function in the "frailtyHL" R package. Our methods are illustrated with breast cancer survival data from the Medical Center at Chonnam National University in Korea. We compare the results from three variable-selection methods and discuss advantages and disadvantages.

Longitudinal Dynamic Relationships of Delinquent Peers and Delinquency Trajectories (비행또래집단과 청소년비행 간의 종단적인 역동적 관계)

  • Chung, Ick-Joong;Lee, Eun-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
    • /
    • v.41 no.1
    • /
    • pp.119-144
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study advances the knowledge of developmental patterns in affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency during adolescence; data were obtained from waves 1-5 (2003-2007) of the Korea Youth Panel Survey. Semi-parametric group-based modeling (SGM) identified 3 affiliative trajectories of delinquent peers from age 13 to 16: rarely or never, persistently affiliative, and declining groups; and five developmental trajectories of delinquency: non-offending, late onset, low-level continuous, desisting, and chronic groups. A joint trajectory analysis predicted the membership of delinquency trajectories conditional on delinquent peer trajectories. Persistently affiliative group was more likely than others to follow chronic trajectory of delinquency; the rarely or never affiliative group was more likely to be non-offending. This study may help reconcile different theoretical models such as influence, selection, and enhancement models with respect to the role of delinquent peers in delinquency. The distinct theoretical models are equally valid, albeit each model pertains to a specific aspect of longitudinal patterns of affiliation with delinquent peers. Implications of this study for youth welfare were discussed to reduce increased risks for both affiliation with delinquent peers and delinquency.