• 제목/요약/키워드: seismic risk assessment

검색결과 176건 처리시간 0.027초

Pre-earthquake fuzzy logic and neural network based rapid visual screening of buildings

  • Moseley, V.J.;Dritsos, S.E.;Kolaksis, D.L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.77-97
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    • 2007
  • When assessing buildings that may collapse during a large earthquake, conventional rapid visual screening procedures generally provide good results when identifying buildings for further investigation. Unfortunately, their accuracy at identify buildings at risk is not so good. In addition, there appears to be little room for improvement. This paper investigates an alternative screening procedure based on fuzzy logic and artificial neural networks. Two databases of buildings damaged during the Athens earthquake of 1999 are used for training purposes. Extremely good results are obtained from one database and not so good results are obtained from the second database. This finding illustrates the importance of specifically collecting data tailored to the requirements of the fuzzy logic based rapid visual screening procedure. In general, results demonstrate that the trained fuzzy logic based rapid visual screening procedure represents a marked improvement when identifying buildings at risk. In particular, when smaller percentages of the buildings with high damage scores are extracted for further investigation, the proposed fuzzy screening procedure becomes more efficient. This paper shows that the proposed procedure has a significant optimisation potential, is worth pursuing and, to this end, a strategy that outlines the future development of the fuzzy logic based rapid visual screening procedure is proposed.

Urban geology of Tabriz City: Environmental and geological constraints

  • Azarafza, Mohammad;Ghazifard, Akbar
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2016
  • Urban geology is the study of urban geologic environments to provide a scientific basis for rational land use planning and urban development and provides information on geologic environments as a basis for city planners. Based on AEG recommendations, urban geological studies covered the urbanism and historical backgrounds, geological setting, engineering geological constraints and environmental assessments of understudied cities. The aim of this study is to provide a good view of urban geology of Tabriz city the capital of East Azerbaijan province in Iran. The topics of discussions about Tabriz city urban geology are included geologic (geomorphology, geology, climatology and hydrogeology), engineering geological (earthquake, landslide and geotechnical hazards investigations) and environmental characteristics (air, soil and water hazards assessment).The results of the urban geologic studies indicated that Tabriz city in terms of engineering geological and environmental constraints is at high risk potential and in terms of seismic activity and landslide instability is highly potential. In terms of air, soil and water pollution there are many important environmental concern in this city.

추계론적 유한 요소법을 이용한 동하중을 받는 비선형 구조물의 안전성 평가 (Nonlinear Structural Safety Assessment under Dynamic Excitation Using SFEM)

  • Huh, Jungwon
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.373-384
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    • 2000
  • 단기 동 하중(특히 지진하중)을 받는 비선형 강 프레임 구조물의 안전성을 평가하기 위하여 추계론적 유한요소 개념에 근거한 비선형 시간영역 신뢰성 해석 기법을 제안하였다. 제안된 알고리즘에서는 유한요소 공식화가 응답 표면법, 1차 신뢰성 방법, 그리고 반복 선형보간 기법의 개념들과 결합되어 지는데, 이것이 추계론적 유한요소 개념으로 귀결된다. 실제 지진하중의 시간이력이 구조물의 진동을 위해 사용되므로 사실적인 하중조건의 재현이 가능하다. 가상 응력에 기초한 유한요소 기법이 본 알고리즘의 효율성을 증대하기 위해 사용된다. 본 알고리즘은 지진하중 또는 임의의 단기 동적하중을 받는 유한요소 기법으로 표현되는 어떠한 선형 및 비선형 구조물과 관련된 위험도를 평가할 수 있는 잠재성을 가지고 있다. 수치예제를 통하여 알고리즘을 설명하였으며, 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션 기법을 사용하여 본 알고리즘을 검증하였다.

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지상식 멤브레인 LNG저장탱크 안전성 향상을 위한 설계형식별 정량적 위험성 비교 평가 (The Comparative Quantitative Risk Assessment of LNG Tank Designs for the Safety Improvement of Above Ground Membrane Tank)

  • 이승림;권부길;이승현
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.57-61
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    • 2005
  • 이 연구는 결함수분석(FTA)를 이용해 완전방호 형식 및 멤브레인 형식의 KOGAS 탱크 설계에 대한 비교 정량적 위험성평가를 위해 수행하였다. 이 연구를 위해 표준 완전방호식 탱크와 초기 멤브레인 탱크 및 4가지의 개선된 멤브레인 탱크를 포함한 총 6개 모델에 대해 위험성을 평가하였다. 이 연구에서는 FTA를 이용해 누출빈도를 정량화 하였다. 분석의 명확성 및 일관성을 위해서 모든 경우는 동일한 고장수(fault tree)를 이용해 정량화하였다. 개선되지 않은 멤브레인 저장탱크(초기 모델)를 제외하고 예측된 위험도 수준은 매우 유사해서 각각의 탱크는 동일한 위험도 수준(the same level of risk)을 나타내는 것으로 평가되었다. 펌프 낙하에 의한 손상은 완전방호식 탱크에 비해서 박판으로 되어있는 멤브레인 탱크가 두드러지게 큰 것으로 예측되었다.

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지진에 의한 산사태 위험도 평가방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Risk Assessment Method for Earthquake-Induced Landslides)

  • 서준표;유송;이기환;이창우;우충식
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.694-709
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 지진에 의한 산사태 위험도 평가를 통하여 지진발생 전에는 산사태 예방사업, 지진발생 후에는 피해지 예측 및 복구 우선순위 선정으로 지진유발 산사태 피해저감을 효율적·선제적으로 하기 위한 기초자료를 제공하고자 수행하였다. 연구방법: 국외 선행연구를 분석하여 평가 방법론 검토와 평가 인자를 도출하고 국내 산사태 위험지도 활용성을 검토하였다. 또한 지진동 감쇠식을 이용하여 포항지역의 단층대 및 진앙지 기준으로 지진에 의한 산사태 위험지도를 시범 구축하였다. 연구결과: 지진에 의한 산사태 위험도 평가 연구는 중국이 전체의 44%, 이탈리아 16%, 미국 15%, 일본 10%, 대만 8% 순으로 나타났다. 평가 방법론으로 통계적 모형이 59%로 가장 많았고, 물리적 모형이 23%로 나타났다. 통계적 모형에 많이 사용된 인자는 고도, 단층대와의 거리, 경사도, 사면방향, 모암, 지형곡률로 나타났다. 현재 국내의 산사태 위험지도는 지형·지질·임상이 반영되는데 이를 활용한 지진에 의한 산사태 위험도 평가는 합리적인 것으로 나타났다. 포항지역에 단층대 및 진앙지 기준으로 산사태 위험도를 평가한 결과 기존의 낮은 등급이 높은 등급으로 변화하는 등 지진의 영향이 고려되었다. 결론: 광역 단위의 지진유발 산사태 위험도 평가를 위해서는 산사태 위험지도를 활용하는 것이 효율적이다. 단층대 기준의 위험지도는 지진에 의한 산사태 피해방지를 위한 예방사방사업 대상지 선정에 활용하고, 진앙지 기준의 위험지도는 지진이 발생한 이후 산사태 피해 현황을 조사하거나 피해지 복구 등 피해방지 대책 우선순위 선정의 효율적 사후관리에 활용할 수 있다.

Study on Quantification Method Based on Monte Carlo Sampling for Multiunit Probabilistic Safety Assessment Models

  • Oh, Kyemin;Han, Sang Hoon;Park, Jin Hee;Lim, Ho-Gon;Yang, Joon Eon;Heo, Gyunyoung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.710-720
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    • 2017
  • In Korea, many nuclear power plants operate at a single site based on geographical characteristics, but the population density near the sites is higher than that in other countries. Thus, multiunit accidents are a more important consideration than in other countries and should be addressed appropriately. Currently, there are many issues related to a multiunit probabilistic safety assessment (PSA). One of them is the quantification of a multiunit PSA model. A traditional PSA uses a Boolean manipulation of the fault tree in terms of the minimal cut set. However, such methods have some limitations when rare event approximations cannot be used effectively or a very small truncation limit should be applied to identify accident sequence combinations for a multiunit site. In particular, it is well known that seismic risk in terms of core damage frequency can be overestimated because there are many events that have a high failure probability. In this study, we propose a quantification method based on a Monte Carlo approach for a multiunit PSA model. This method can consider all possible accident sequence combinations in a multiunit site and calculate a more exact value for events that have a high failure probability. An example model for six identical units at a site was also developed and quantified to confirm the applicability of the proposed method.

A simplified method for estimating the fundamental period of masonry infilled reinforced concrete frames

  • Jiang, Rui;Jiang, Liqiang;Hu, Yi;Ye, Jihong;Zhou, Lingyu
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제74권6호
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    • pp.821-832
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    • 2020
  • The fundamental period is an important parameter for seismic design and seismic risk assessment of building structures. In this paper, a simplified theoretical method to predict the fundamental period of masonry infilled reinforced concrete (RC) frame is developed based on the basic theory of engineering mechanics. The different configurations of the RC frame as well as masonry walls were taken into account in the developed method. The fundamental period of the infilled structure is calculated according to the integration of the lateral stiffness of the RC frame and masonry walls along the height. A correction coefficient is considered to control the error for the period estimation, and it is determined according to the multiple linear regression analysis. The corrected formula is verified by shaking table tests on two masonry infilled RC frame models, and the errors between the estimated and test period are 2.3% and 23.2%. Finally, a probability-based method is proposed for the corrected formula, and it allows the structural engineers to select an appropriate fundamental period with a certain safety redundancy. The proposed method can be quickly and flexibly used for prediction, and it can be hand-calculated and easily understood. Thus it would be a good choice in determining the fundamental period of RC frames infilled with masonry wall structures in engineering practice instead of the existing methods.

A new approach to quantify safety benefits of disaster robots

  • Kim, Inn Seock;Choi, Young;Jeong, Kyung Min
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권7호
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    • pp.1414-1422
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    • 2017
  • Remote response technology has advanced to the extent that a robot system, if properly designed and deployed, may greatly help respond to beyond-design-basis accidents at nuclear power plants. Particularly in the aftermath of the Fukushima accident, there is increasing interest in developing disaster robots that can be deployed in lieu of a human operator to the field to perform mitigating actions in the harsh environment caused by extreme natural hazards. The nuclear robotics team of the Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) is also endeavoring to construct disaster robots and, first of all, is interested in finding out to what extent safety benefits can be achieved by such a disaster robotic system. This paper discusses a new approach based on the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) technique, which can be used to quantify safety benefits associated with disaster robots, along with a case study for seismic-induced station blackout condition. The results indicate that to avoid core damage in this special case a robot system with reliability > 0.65 is needed because otherwise core damage is inevitable. Therefore, considerable efforts are needed to improve the reliability of disaster robots, because without assurance of high reliability, remote response techniques will not be practically used.

Earthquake risk assessment of concrete gravity dam by cumulative absolute velocity and response surface methodology

  • Cao, Anh-Tuan;Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Kim, Dookie;Choi, Byounghan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.511-519
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    • 2019
  • The concrete gravity dam is one of the most important parts of the nation's infrastructure. Besides the benefits, the dam also has some potentially catastrophic disasters related to the life of citizens directly. During the lifetime of service, some degradations in a dam may occur as consequences of operating conditions, environmental aspects and deterioration in materials from natural causes, especially from dynamic loads. Cumulative Absolute Velocity (CAV) plays a key role to assess the operational condition of a structure under seismic hazard. In previous researches, CAV is normally used in Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) fields, but there are no particular criteria or studies that have been made on dam structure. This paper presents a method to calculate the limitation of CAV for the Bohyeonsan Dam in Korea, where the critical Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) is estimated from twelve sets of selected earthquakes based on High Confidence of Low Probability of Failure (HCLPF). HCLPF point denotes 5% damage probability with 95% confidence level in the fragility curve, and the corresponding PGA expresses the crucial acceleration of this dam. For determining the status of the dam, a 2D finite element model is simulated by ABAQUS. At first, the dam's parameters are optimized by the Minitab tool using the method of Central Composite Design (CCD) for increasing model reliability. Then the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) is used for updating the model and the optimization is implemented from the selected model parameters. Finally, the recorded response of the concrete gravity dam is compared against the results obtained from solving the numerical model for identifying the physical condition of the structure.

Damage assessment of buildings after 24 January 2020 Elazığ-Sivrice earthquake

  • Nemutlu, Omer Faruk;Balun, Bilal;Sari, Ali
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.325-335
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    • 2021
  • The majority of Turkey's geography is at risk of earthquakes. Within the borders of Turkey, including the two major active faults contain the North-Eastern and Eastern Anatolia, earthquake, threatening the safety of life and property. On January 24, 2020, an earthquake of magnitude 6.8 occurred at 8:55 p.m. local time. According to the data obtained from the stations in the region, peak ground acceleration in the east-west direction was measured as 0.292 g from the 2308 coded station in Sivrice. It is thought that the earthquake with a magnitude of Mw 6.8 was developed on the Sivrice-Puturge segment of the Eastern Anatolian Fault, which is a left lateral strike slip fault, and the tear developed in an area of 50-55 km. Aftershocks ranging from 0.8 to 5.1 Mw occurred following the main shock on the Eastern Anatolian Fault. The earthquake caused severe structural damages in Elazığ and neighboring provinces. As a result of the field investigations carried out in this study, significant damage levels were observed in the buildings since it did not meet the criteria in the earthquake codes. Within the study's scope, the structural damage cases in reinforced concrete and masonry structures were investigated. Many structural deficiencies and mistakes such as non-ductile details, poor concrete quality, short columns, strong beams-weak columns mechanism, large and heavy overhangs, masonry building damages and inadequate reinforcement arrangements were observed. Requirements of seismic codes are discussed and compared with observed earthquake damage.