• 제목/요약/키워드: seismic risk assessment

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Applied methods for seismic assessment of scoured bridges: a review with case studies

  • Guo, Xuan;Badroddin, Mostafa;Chen, ZhiQiang
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.497-507
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    • 2017
  • Flooding induced scour has been long recognized as a major hazard to river-crossing bridges. Many studies in recent years have attempted to evaluate the effects of scour on the seismic performance of bridges, and probabilistic frameworks are usually adopted. However, direct and straightforward insight about how foundation scour affects bridges as a type of soil-foundation-structure system is usually understated. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive review of applied methods centering around seismic assessment of scoured bridges considering soil-foundation-structure interaction. When introducing these applied analysis and modeling methods, a simple bridge model is provided to demonstrate the use of these methods as a case study. Particularly, we propose the use of nonlinear modal pushover analysis as a rapid technique to model scoured bridge systems, and numerical validation and application of this procedure are given using the simple bridge model. All methods reviewed in this paper can serve as baseline components for performing probabilistic vulnerability or risk assessment for any river-crossing bridge system subject to flood-induced scour and earthquakes.

GIS 및 지진취약도 분석기법을 이용한 교통 네트워크의 방재 시스템 (Disaster-Prevention System of Transportation Network used by GIS and Seismic Fragility Analysis)

  • 이형진;박병희;장일영
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 GIS 및 지진취약도 분석기법이 결합된 방법에 의한 교통망 시스템의 방재 시스템 구축방안의 국내 적용성을 검토하였다. 연구대상으로는 경상남도 창원시의 교통망을 선택하였고, 지진취약도 분석을 위해 먼저 창원시에 위치한 교량 8개를 선택하고 기본 외관 조사를 수행하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 교량의 FE 모델을 만들었고, 국내 표준 설계 시방서에 의한 응답스펙트럼에 기준하여 인공지진을 생성하고 비선형 해석을 수행하였다. 또한, 각 결과를 500년, 1000년 및 2400년 재현주기를 가지는 지진위험도 곡선 (Seismic Hazard Curve)과 중첩하여 각 교량의 확률적 위험도 및 교통망의 확률적 위험도를 분석하였다. 본 논문에서는 지진 취약도 분석 기법을 활용하여 교량 구조물의 지진 안전도를 분석하였고 그 결과와 GIS를 이용한 네트워크의 지진에 의한 피해를 예측하였다.

모드기여도를 고려한 복수모드구조물의 지진취약도분석 (Seismic Fragility Analysis of Multi-Modes Structures Considering Modal Contribution Factor)

  • 조양희;조성국
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2002
  • 이 연구는 원자력발전소 구조물의 확률론적 내진성능을 평가하는 수단으로 이용되고 있는 지진취약도분석 기법에 대하여 소개하고, 지진취약도분석에 입력자료로 제공되는 기본변수의 특성에 대하여 논의하였다. 특히, 지진취약도 분석결과에 지대한 영향을 미칠 수 있는 입력변수의 하나인 응답스펙트럼형태계수의 정의 방법을 개선하였다. 새로운 응답스펙트럼형태계수는 구조물의 고유진동모드별 기여도가 전체 구조응답에 미치는 영향을 고려할 수 있도록 모드별 기여도를 이용하여 표현하였다. 대표적인 원자력발전소 구조물을 대상으로 예제분석을 수행하고, 제안된 응답스펙트럼형태계수의 유용성 및 적용성을 검증하였다. 특히, 이 논문의 방법은 복합모드감쇠특성을 갖는 구조물의 경우에도 효과적으로 적용될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

건축문화재 지진 위험도 평가를 위한 지반의 내진해석 : 서울지역을 중심으로 (Seismic Analysis of Ground for Seismic Risk Assessment of Architectural Heritage in Seoul)

  • 한중근;전성곤;홍기권
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 시울지역 내 분포하고 있는 15개 지역의 문화재 주변지반에 대하여 표면파탐사를 바탕으로 하는 지반조사결과를 이용하여 수치해석 기반의 3차원 내진해석을 수행하였으며, 해석결과를 기반으로 지반변위를 분석하였다. 해석결과, 지반의 변위는 (구)공업전습소 본관이 최대 약 9.7mm로 나타났다. 이와 같이 변위가 작게 나타난 원인은 문화재가 위치한 지역의 토층이 매우 단단하기 때문으로 표면파 탐사를 통해서 분석된 지반가속도를 비교해 보아도 하부에 매우 단단한 암층이 존재하는 것으로 확인되었다. 그러나 낙성대 삼층석탑에 있어서, 지반 자체의 변위는 다른 지역과 유사하게 나타났으나 화강암으로 구성된 석탑은 상부에서 최대 30mm의 변위를 나타냈다. 이는 낙성대 삼층석탑을 지지지하는 지반의 경우 지진파에 대한 상호 보완을 할 수 있는 구조, 즉 지반반력으로 인한 감쇠효과가 나타나기 때문에 지반의 변위 자체는 작게 해석되었으나 상부 구조물의 경우에는 지진파가 작용하였을 때 응력해방에 기인하여 변위가 가장 많이 발생한 것으로 판단된다.

A new methodology for modeling explicit seismic common cause failures for seismic multi-unit probabilistic safety assessment

  • Jung, Woo Sik;Hwang, Kevin;Park, Seong Kyu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제52권10호
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    • pp.2238-2249
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    • 2020
  • In a seismic PSA, dependency among seismic failures of components has not been explicitly modeled in the fault tree or event tree. This dependency is separately identified and assigned with numbers that range from zero to unity that reflect the level of the mutual correlation among seismic failures. Because of complexity and difficulty in calculating combination probabilities of correlated seismic failures in complex seismic event tree and fault tree, there has been a great need of development to explicitly model seismic correlation in terms of seismic common cause failures (CCFs). If seismic correlations are converted into seismic CCFs, it is possible to calculate an accurate value of a top event probability or frequency of a complex seismic fault tree by using the same procedure as for internal, fire, and flooding PSA. This study first proposes a methodology to explicitly model seismic dependency by converting correlated seismic failures into seismic CCFs. As a result, this methodology will allow systems analysts to quantify seismic risk as what they have done with the CCF method in internal, fire, and flooding PSA.

취약도 해석을 통한 빌딩구조물의 내진성능 비교 및 평가 (Fragility Analysis for Evaluation and Comparison of Seismic Performance of Building Structures)

  • 박주남;최은수
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2007
  • 지진하중에 의한 구조물의 손상 및 피해는 지진에 의한 동적 하중을 고려한 구조물의 내진설계의 도입을 통하여 저감시킬 수 있으며, 이 때 내진설계 도입으로 인한 구조물의 내진성능 향상 및 그에 필요한 비용을 동시에 고려하여 내진설계 도입의 적합성을 검증해야한다. 본 연구에서는 내진성능의 확률적 평가를 위해서 지진하중과 구조물 자체에 내재되어 있는 불확실성을 고려하여 빌딩구조물의 지진취약도를 작성하였으며 시뮬레이션의 효율성을 높이기 위한 Latin Hypercube 샘플링 기법을 도입하여 해석을 수행하였다. 내진 설계 도입의 필요성 검증을 위해서는 구조물의 물리적 내진성능 이외에도 구조물의 사회적, 경제적 기능 및 가치에 대한 고려가 필요하며 이러한 요소를 고려한 의사결정해석 절차를 등가비용모델의 예를 들어 제시하였다.

Assessment of seismic risk of a typical RC building for the 2016 Gyeongju and potential earthquakes

  • Jee, Hyun Woo;Han, Sang Whan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2021
  • On September 12, 2016, the Gyeongju earthquake occurred in the south-eastern region of the Korean peninsula. The event was ranked as the largest magnitude earthquake (=5.8) since instrumental recording was started by the Korean Metrological Administration (KMA) in 1978. The objective of this study is to provide information obtained from the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake and to propose a procedure estimating seismic risk of a typical old RC building for past and potential earthquakes. Ground motions are simulated using the point source model at 4941 grid locations in the Korean peninsula that resulted from the Gyeongju earthquake and from potential future earthquakes with the same hypocenter considering different soil conditions. Nonlinear response history analyses are conducted for each grid location using a three-story gravity-designed reinforced concrete (RC) frame that most closely represents conventional old school and public buildings. Then, contour maps are constructed to present the seismic risk associated with this building for the Gyeongju earthquake and potential future scenario earthquakes. These contour maps can be useful in the development of a mitigation plan for potential earthquake damage to school and public buildings at all grid locations on the Korean peninsula.

Probabilistic earthquake risk consideration of existing precast industrial buildings through loss curves

  • Ali Yesilyurt;Seyhan O. Akcan;Oguzhan Cetindemir;A. Can Zulfikar
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.565-576
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the earthquake risk assessment of single-story RC precast buildings in Turkey was carried out using loss curves. In this regard, Kocaeli, a seismically active city in the Marmara region, and this building class, which is preferred intensively, were considered. Quality and period parameters were defined based on structural and geometric properties. Depending on these parameters, nine main sub-classes were defined to represent the building stock in the region. First, considering the mean fragility curves and four different central damage ratio models, vulnerability curves for each sub-class were computed as a function of spectral acceleration. Then, probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed for stiff and soft soil conditions for different earthquake probabilities of exceedance in 50 years. In the last step, 90 loss curves were derived based on vulnerability and hazard results. Within the scope of the study, the comparative parametric evaluations for three different earthquake intensity levels showed that the structural damage ratio values for nine sub-classes changed significantly. In addition, the quality parameter was found to be more effective on a structure's damage state than the period parameter. It is evident that since loss curves allow direct loss ratio calculation for any hazard level without needing seismic hazard and damage analysis, they are considered essential tools in rapid earthquake risk estimation and mitigation initiatives.

Deformation-based vulnerability functions for RC bridges

  • Elnashai, A.S.;Borzi, B.;Vlachos, S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.215-244
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    • 2004
  • There is an ever-increasing demand for assessment of earthquake effects on transportation structures, emphasised by the crippling consequences of recent earthquakes hitting developed countries reliant on road transportation. In this work, vulnerability functions for RC bridges are derived analytically using advanced material characterisation, high quality earthquake records and adaptive inelastic dynamic analysis techniques. Four limit states are employed, all based on deformational quantities, in line with recent development of deformation-based seismic assessment. The analytically-derived vulnerability functions are then compared to a data set comprising observational damage data from the Northridge (California 1994) and Hyogo-ken Nanbu (Kobe 1995) earthquakes. The good agreement gives some confidence in the derived formulation that is recommended for use in seismic risk assessment. Furthermore, by varying the dimensions of the prototype bridge used in the study, and the span lengths supported by piers, three more bridges are obtained with different overstrength ratios (ratio of design-to-available base shear). The process of derivation of vulnerability functions is repeated and the ensuing relationships compared. The results point towards the feasibility of deriving scaling factors that may be used to obtain the set of vulnerability functions for a bridge with the knowledge of a 'generic' function and the overstrength ratio. It is demonstrated that this simple procedure gives satisfactory results for the case considered and may be used in the future to facilitate the process of deriving analytical vulnerability functions for classes of bridges once a generic relationship is established.

지반공학적 재해 및 산사태 위험도 분석에 관한 연구 (International Research on Geotechnical Risk & Landslide Hazards)

  • 윤길림;윤여원;김홍연
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술발표회
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    • pp.444-455
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    • 2009
  • Great concerns on geotechnical risk & hazard assessment have been increased due to human and economic damage by natural disasters with recent global climate changes. In this paper, geotechnical problems in particular, landslides which is interested in European countries and North America, were mainly discussed. For these, 18 key topics on geotechnical risk and hazards which had been discussed at the LARAM 2008 workshop in Italy were analyzed after grouping by subjects. Main topic contents consisted of applications such as field measurement, early warning systems, uncertainty analysis of parameters using radar, optical data and statistical theory and so on. And the problems related to analysis of vulnerability and deformation due to earthquakes, investigation of gas zone using seismic reflection data in a landslide area, risk quantification and hazard assessment of landslide movements and multi-dimensional analysis for stability of complex slopes were attracted. Also, there were studies on risk matters of cultural heritage, the blockglide of clayey ground, simulations of debris flows based on GIS, quantification of the failure processes of rock slopes, a meshless method for 3D crack modelling, and finally risk assessment for cryological processes due to global warming.

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