• Title/Summary/Keyword: security event

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Modeling the Effect of a Climate Extreme on Maize Production in the USA and Its Related Effects on Food Security in the Developing World (미국 Corn Belt 폭염이 개발도상국의 식량안보에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Chung, Uran
    • Proceedings of The Korean Society of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2014
  • This study uses geo-spatial crop modeling to quantify the biophysical impact of weather extremes. More specifically, the study analyzes the weather extreme which affected maize production in the USA in 2012; it also estimates the effect of a similar weather extreme in 2050, using future climate scenarios. The secondary impact of the weather extreme on food security in the developing world is also assessed using trend analysis. Many studies have reported on the significant reduction in maize production in the USA due to the extreme weather event (combined heat wave and drought) that occurred in 2012. However, most of these studies focused on yield and did not assess the potential effect of weather extremes on food prices and security. The overall goal of this study was to use geo-spatial crop modeling and trend analysis to quantify the impact of weather extremes on both yield and, followed food security in the developing world. We used historical weather data for severe extreme events that have occurred in the USA. The data were obtained from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). In addition we used five climate scenarios: the baseline climate which is typical of the late 20th century (2000s) and four future climate scenarios which involve a combination of two emission scenarios (A1B and B1) and two global circulation models (CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC 3.2). DSSAT 4.5 was combined with GRASS GIS for geo-spatial crop modeling. Simulated maize grain yield across all affected regions in the USA indicates that average grain yield across the USA Corn Belt would decrease by 29% when the weather extremes occur using the baseline climate. If the weather extreme were to occur under the A1B emission scenario in the 2050s, average grain yields would decrease by 38% and 57%, under the CSIRO-Mk3.0 and MIROC 3.2 global climate models, respectively. The weather extremes that occurred in the USA in 2012 resulted in a sharp increase in the world maize price. In addition, it likely played a role in the reduction in world maize consumption and trade in 2012/13, compared to 2011/12. The most vulnerable countries to the weather extremes are poor countries with high maize import dependency ratios including those countries in the Caribbean, northern Africa and western Asia. Other vulnerable countries include low-income countries with low import dependency ratios but which cannot afford highly-priced maize. The study also highlighted the pathways through which a weather extreme would affect food security, were it to occur in 2050 under climate change. Some of the policies which could help vulnerable countries counter the negative effects of weather extremes consist of social protection and safety net programs. Medium- to long-term adaptation strategies include increasing world food reserves to a level where they can be used to cover the production losses brought by weather extremes.

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A Study of TOM(Turn-of-the-Month) Effect in KOSDAQ Market (코스닥시장의 월바뀜(TOM)효과에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Geon-Pyo;Im, In-Seob;Oh, Hyun-Tak
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.308-316
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to verify TOM(turn-of-the-month) effect in the Kosdaq market, and that to compare to TOM effect of KOSPI for supporting degree of identification and to find new features. For this study, as the study basis sample, we used the daily data of the KOSDAQ from January 1996 to December 2013 and verified the TOM effect through yearly, monthly, classification by event as financial crisis, different period of TOM in order to clarify the effect of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ. As a result, We find that the TOM effect in KOSDAQ is always present uniformly in yearly, monthly, event-specific, which unlike TOM period also in KOSPI and generally TOM effect in KOSDAQ market which has larger volatility was appeared more pronouncedly than KOSPI market, and particularly TOM effect of KOSDAQ was larger than that of KOSPI on financial crisis occasion. But TOM effect of KOSDAQ was less stable than KOSPI.

Comparison on the Time series of Housing Viewpoint of University Student (대학생 주거관의 시계열적 비교)

Exploring the organic harmony of the Modern Pentathlon of sports

  • Han, Doryung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.8
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2020
  • What sports have in common is that they must use their bodies to play and lead to victory. The use of the body differs in many ways depending on the event, which part should be used as the focus. The commonality of all sports is that sports can achieve the best results by using and using parts of the body in harmony. The use of strength or muscles varies depending on the type of sport or the type of sport, so the use of the body or the results of athletic events also varies. Sports are premised on the organic use of the body, but the implications of sports can be found in that the degree of organic use does not apply equally to all sports. Sports demand organic balance and flexibility. Depending on the type of sport, you can explore which organic harmony produces more effective effects and find out which events are more beneficial to the human body. This study aimed to find out whether the organic harmony of the body actively contributes to the development of sports and a healthy mental culture. In this study, we proposed the hypothesis that the modern Pentathlon will induce the most desirable organic harmony as a global Olympic sport, and tried to verify that the hypothesis is valid and verifiable. In order to do this study, I tried to find out the organic viewpoints centered on the Miletos school, re-examine the meaning of the modern Pentathlon of games as an Olympic event, and conduct organic harmony and exploration of the modern Pentathlon of games in terms of sports.

A research on cyber target importance ranking using PageRank algorithm (PageRank 알고리즘을 활용한 사이버표적 중요성 순위 선정 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Kook-jin;Oh, Seung-hwan;Lee, Dong-hwan;Oh, Haeng-rok;Lee, Jung-sik;Shin, Dong-kyoo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2021
  • With the development of science and technology around the world, the realm of cyberspace, following land, sea, air, and space, is also recognized as a battlefield area. Accordingly, it is necessary to design and establish various elements such as definitions, systems, procedures, and plans for not only physical operations in land, sea, air, and space but also cyber operations in cyberspace. In this research, the importance of cyber targets that can be considered when prioritizing the list of cyber targets selected through intermediate target development in the target development and prioritization stage of targeting processing of cyber operations was selected as a factor to be considered. We propose a method to calculate the score for the cyber target and use it as a part of the cyber target prioritization score. Accordingly, in the cyber target prioritization process, the cyber target importance category is set, and the cyber target importance concept and reference item are derived. We propose a TIR (Target Importance Rank) algorithm that synthesizes parameters such as Event Prioritization Framework based on PageRank algorithm for score calculation and synthesis for each derived standard item. And, by constructing the Stuxnet case-based network topology and scenario data, a cyber target importance score is derived with the proposed algorithm, and the cyber target is prioritized to verify the proposed algorithm.

A Study on the Introduction of Business Continuity Management System for Ensuring Uninterrupted Service of Public Institution Based on a Bottom-up Method (공공기관이 재난으로부터 중단없는 대국민 서비스 확보를 위한 상향식 업무연속성관리체계 도입방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Deok Jae;Yang, Seung Weon;Kim, Gi Won;Kim, Dae Jin;Jang, Hyun Min;Kim, Dong Heon;Eun, Min Gyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.87-91
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    • 2016
  • In recent years, lots of damages appear frequently due to cyber terrorism and natural disasters such as typhoon 'Chaba', earthquake at Kyeongju. The damages lead to people's anxiety and public institutions connected directly with them also can't be free from the threat situation. In addition, public institutions must prepare business continuity issues with the highest priority in the event of disasters because they are closest with people's safety. However, preceding researches suggest needs of disaster mitigation activities management system or central office oriented top-down BCP establishing system. In this study, We grasp the current status of public institutions's business continuity plan(BCP) against disaster and we propose an efficient bottom-up method for structuring the BCP of public institutions.

Introducing Best Model of Global Terrorism Database: The Case of START Center in the U.S. (국제테러리즘데이터베이스 구축: 미국의 START 센터의 모범사례의 소개)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Park, Sun-Young
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.35
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    • pp.7-36
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    • 2013
  • Collecting international terrorism database is a challenging task not only for criminal justice personnel but also for criminologists in comparison to the case of common types of crime database. Yet, there has been growing interests and efforts in establishing a comprehensive terrorist events data base in the world. This current study has a goal to introduce an example world terrorism database case developed by START center in the United States. The START center developed the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) on the basis of by the Pinkerton Global Intelligence Service data (PGIS) originally collected by the Pinkerton. Furthermore, The START expended the GTD by collecting data from open source terrorist event data via internet and other resources. In this study, specifically, it describes the development and the nature of the GTD in general and the data collection efforts made by the STATA until today. Finally, this study provides a sketchy of the nature of the GTD data by showing the descriptive statistical analyses and time-series analyses result illustrating distribution of the world terrorism events. The limitation, policy implications and contribution of this study discussed in this paper.

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A study on possibility of soft target terrorism by ISIS in South Korea (자국내 IS테러단체에 의한 소프트타깃 테러발생 가능성에 대한 연구)

  • Oh, Sei-Youen;Yun, Gyeong-Hui
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.47
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    • pp.85-117
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    • 2016
  • These days, ISIS terrorists have been expanding not only to european countries, but also to asian countries so South Korea is no longer safe from terrorists' attacks. Especially, 'soft target terrorism' makes many people maximizing fear of terrorism because it is caused by small groups - those who are armed with small arms and light weapons - and they are able to carry out hit and run attacks on civilian targets. It poses even more dangerous to kill massively. That is why November 2015 Paris attacks and January 2016 Jakarta attacks killed and injured many people because of 'soft target terrorism.' Therefore, the South Korea has also recognized the seriousness of terrorism by ISIS. The study has shown the precautionary measures about 'soft target terrorism' and how to defend against 'soft target terrorism' by looking through overseas examples. It is for the possibilities of 'soft terrorism' in South Korea because of the expansion of ISIS. As a result, 'soft target terrorism', caused by ISIS, could happen in South Korea. The counterplan is as in the following. First of all, 'soft target terrorism', which is collaborated with ISIS and domestic terrorists, could be caused by negative awareness of foreign residents and xenophobia so the public should change stereotypes about the foreign residents and there should be legislation about racial discrimination enacted by parliament and the government must practice the law. Second, the Korean anti-terrorism laws should be modified to minimize violations of human rights, related to the Korean citizens' personal information, and to stop the concentration of power into the hands of one law enforcement. Third, the government has to develop and to initiate the refuge&evacuation simulation, which prepares for 'soft target terrorism' and minimizes the damages if terrorists attack hot spots like central commercial areas or event halls.

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Direction of Development of Reaction to Bio-terrorism (생물테러리즘 대응을 위한 기술적 측면의 발전방향)

  • Lee, Kwang-Iyeol;Kim, Chang-Ho
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.14
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    • pp.311-336
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    • 2007
  • This study examines the concepts of counter-act against the Bio-terrorism and the reaction system in advanced countries, thereby to find out reaction system necessary to Korea. Acts on anti-Bio-terrorism is divided to detection stage, protection stage, diagnosis stage and detoxication and neutralization stage according to flow of event occurrence. As for detection stage, Korea is developing it as contact type, while advanced countries are under development of the devices that may detect the terrorism from the remote distance. It is necessary for Korea to develop the remote-distant detection system as well as the contact type of device that may promptly operate. Among the protection gears, the quality of Korea's gas mask is recognized worldwide, but that of other outfits should be improved by applying the state-of-art science technology. The diagnosis device also should be developed to the extent that the dispatched initial action team may make immediate decisions necessary in the field. As the current trends for detoxication materials worldwide require the improvement to new materials harmless to human body and equipment, Korea is also required to acquire those materials. The technology for neutralization means the development of vaccine and antibiotics and it requires the development made by shared efforts worldwide. For this purpose, it is necessary to further develop Korea's medical technology. In addition, the further efforts are required in terms of reaction manual, training model, public communication efforts and preparation for trauma syndrome.

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A Study on the Signal Progression System for the Disaster Prevention of Traffic Facilities - A case study of Dong Moon Ro in Kwangju City - (교통시설 재해방지를 위한 신호체계 연동화에 관한 연구 - 광주시 동문로를 중심으로 -)

  • Hwang, Eui Jin;Ryu, Ji Hyeob;Lim, Ik Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2008
  • The most influential facility causing traffic disaster on the urban road is intersection. Accordingly, this study elected a region for case study from seabang three-way junction, partial section of Dongmoon Ro in Kwang-Ju city, to the intersection of Mudeung Library Entrance. It is believed that the signal progression is very effective on the basis of short interval of intersection and massive traffic volume. The signal progression was simulated by using TRANSYT-7F model. The following is summary of the simulation: According to the change of cycle length, P.I. delay and fuel consumption showed the tendency of being increased in case that cycle length becomes long or short, centering around the best cycle length. In the event of progressing the cycle length, the average speed per vehicle is increased by 11.39Km per hour and P.I value is improved by 40.65% so that it resulted in 42.86% improvement in the total travel time. Moreover, the fuel consumption in line with the progression practice produced fuel saving of 31.04%.

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