• Title/Summary/Keyword: seasonal wind

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Evaluation of Climatological Mean Surface Winds over Korean Waters Simulated by CORDEX-EA Regional Climate Models (CORDEX-EA 지역기후모형이 모사한 한반도 주변해 기후평균 표층 바람 평가)

  • Choi, Wonkeun;Shin, Ho-Jeong;Jang, Chan Joo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2019
  • Surface winds over the ocean influence not only the climate change through air-sea interactions but the coastal erosion through the changes in wave height and direction. Thus, demands on a reliable projection of future changes in surface winds have been increasing in various fields. For the future projections, climate models have been widely used and, as a priori, their simulations of surface wind are required to be evaluated. In this study, we evaluate the climatological mean surface winds over the Korean Waters simulated by five regional climate models participating in Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) for East Asia (EA), an international regional climate model inter-comparison project. Compared with the ERA-interim reanalysis data, the CORDEX-EA models, except for HadGEM3-RA, produce stronger wind both in summer and winter. The HadGEM3-RA underestimates the wind speed and inadequately simulate the spatial distribution especially in summer. This summer wind error appears to be coincident with mean sea-level pressure in the North Pacific. For wind direction, all of the CORDEX-EA models simulate the well-known seasonal reversal of surface wind similar to the ERA-interim. Our results suggest that especially in summer, large-scale atmospheric circulation, downscaled by regional models with spectral nudging, significantly affect the regional surface wind on its pattern and strength.

Evaluation of the Appropriateness of High Wind Wave Alert by Comparing the Marine Meteorological Observation Buoy Data (해양기상부이 관측자료를 이용한 풍랑특보의 적절성 평가)

  • Kang, Min-Kyoon;Seol, Dong-Il
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2022
  • The high wind wave alert has a great impact on ships and maritime service workers navigating in the vicinity of Korea. This study aims to evaluate the appropriateness of the high wind wave alert by comparing and analyzing the observation data of major marine meteorological buoys with the high wind wave alerts in the coastal sea and offshore of the West Sea, South Sea, and the East Sea announced by the Korea Meteorological Administration for the past 11 years(2010-2020). As a result of comparing the daily, monthly, and annual statistics of the high wind wave alert and marine meteorological buoy observation data for each sea area by annual, monthly, and seasonal average, the accuracy of high wind wave alerts was very low across the entire sea area. In particular, it was analyzed that the accuracy in the coastal sea of the South Sea and Jejudo was the lowest in winter. It was confirmed that the accuracy of marine weather forecasts and alerts needs to be improved when considering the effects of the high wind wave alerts on fishing vessels, passenger ships operations and tourism, and marine leisure activities.

Learning Wind Speed Forecast Model based on Numeric Prediction Algorithm (수치 예측 알고리즘 기반의 풍속 예보 모델 학습)

  • Kim, Se-Young;Kim, Jeong-Min;Ryu, Kwang-Ryel
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2015
  • Technologies of wind power generation for development of alternative energy technology have been accumulated over the past 20 years. Wind power generation is environmentally friendly and economical because it uses the wind blowing in nature as energy resource. In order to operate wind power generation efficiently, it is necessary to accurately predict wind speed changing every moment in nature. It is important not only averagely how well to predict wind speed but also to minimize the largest absolute error between real value and prediction value of wind speed. In terms of generation operating plan, minimizing the largest absolute error plays an important role for building flexible generation operating plan because the difference between predicting power and real power causes economic loss. In this paper, we propose a method of wind speed prediction using numeric prediction algorithm-based wind speed forecast model made to analyze the wind speed forecast given by the Meteorological Administration and pattern value for considering seasonal property of wind speed as well as changing trend of past wind speed. The wind speed forecast given by the Meteorological Administration is the forecast in respect to comparatively wide area including wind generation farm. But it contributes considerably to make accuracy of wind speed prediction high. Also, the experimental results demonstrate that as the rate of wind is analyzed in more detail, the greater accuracy will be obtained.

Sea Surface Cold Water near the Southeastern Coast of Korea: Wind Effect (한국(韓國) 남동해안(南東海岸)부근의 해표면(海表面) 냉수(冷水) : 바람의 영향(影響))

  • Byun, Sang-Kyung
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 1989
  • Cold water observed at sea surface near the southeastern coast of Korea in summers 1982 and 1983 was studied by using data of hydrography, sea level, wind and satellite image. In summer season when water column shows 3-layered structure a "full" upwelling occurs by southwesterly transient wind continuing for several days. During upwelling event, surface water of high temperature moved offshore, middle water of low temperature outcropped to the sea surface, and sea level was lowered, however, equilibrium depth of surface layer was not changed. It may be concluded that cold water at the surface originates from middle layer and strong surface front is a result of surfacing of seasonal thermocline. In order to see the relationship between position of surface front and wind input, a model of Csanady (1982) was applied in a rigid lid approximation. The results show that frontal position can be determined by wind input and water structure near the southeastern coast of Korea. Cold water in summer can appear at the sea surface only when there is wind larger than a minimum wind impulse of order $10m^2/sec$.

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An Attempt of Estimation of Annual Fog Frequency over Gyeongsangbuk-do of Korea Using Weather Generator MM5

  • Kim, Do-Yong;Oh, Jai-Ho;Kim, Jin-Young;Sen, Pumendranath;Kim, Tae-Kook
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.88-94
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    • 2009
  • In this study an attempt has been made to predict the annual foggy days over Gyeongsangbuk-do of Korea, using the regional mesoscale model (MM5). The annual meteorological conditions are simulated, and the annual and seasonal foggy days are predicted from the simulated results based on the seasonal and spatial information of the observed meteorological characteristics for fog occurrence such as wind speed, relative humidity, and temperature. Most of observed inland fog over Gyeongsangbuk-do occurs in autumn under the meteorological conditions such as a cairn, a high temperature range (above $10^{\circ}C$), and a high relative humidity (above 85%). The predicted results show the various foggy days, about 10${\sim}$60 days, depending on the season and the site locations. The predicted annual foggy days at inland sites are about 30${\sim}$60 days, but at coastal sites, about 10${\sim}$20 days. Also, a higher frequency of fog occurrence at inland sites is shown in autumn (about 60% of the annual foggy days). Otherwise, a higher frequency of fog occurrence at coastal sites is shown in summer (about 60% of the annual foggy days), unlike the inland. These annual foggy days and their seasonal variations agree reasonably well with the observed values. It can be concluded that it is possible to predict the occurrence of annual or seasonal foggy days by MM5.

The Change of Seasonal Trend Appeared in Wintertime Daily Mean Temperature of Seoul, Korea (서울의 겨울철 일평균 기온에 나타난 계절 추이와 변화)

  • Park, Byong-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.152-167
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to investigate the change of seasonal trend appeared in the daily normals of wintertime daily mean temperature of Seoul for 1941~1970 and 1971~2000 and the factors to affect it. The lowest temperature in wintertime is appeared in the period of the first and second ten-days of January in the daily normals for 1941~1970 and in the third ten-days of January and the first ten-days of February for 1971~2000. This means seasonal trend was changed. This change is due to the fact average temperature from 27 December to 20 January is rising much more than the wintertime mean temperature and average temperature from 21 January to 9 February less than that for two daily normals. This features are notable after 1971. The Siberian high and norther wind around the Korean Peninsula are weakened remarkably recently, so mean temperature of Seoul from 27 December to 20 January is warming much more. On the other hand, the Siberian high from 21 January to 9 February is weakened and the Aleutian low is strengthened recently and northerly is not change obviously, so temperature of Seoul is not warming so much.

Assessment of the Prediction Derived from Larger Ensemble Size and Different Initial Dates in GloSea6 Hindcast (기상청 기후예측시스템(GloSea6) 과거기후 예측장의 앙상블 확대와 초기시간 변화에 따른 예측 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Yeong;Park, Yeon-Hee;Ji, Heesook;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Lee, Johan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, the evaluation of the performance of Korea Meteorological Administratio (KMA) Global Seasonal forecasting system version 6 (GloSea6) is presented by assessing the effects of larger ensemble size and carrying out the test using different initial conditions for hindcast in sub-seasonal to seasonal scales. The number of ensemble members increases from 3 to 7. The Ratio of Predictable Components (RPC) approaches the appropriate signal magnitude with increase of ensemble size. The improvement of annual variability is shown for all basic variables mainly in mid-high latitude. Over the East Asia region, there are enhancements especially in 500 hPa geopotential height and 850 hPa wind fields. It reveals possibility to improve the performance of East Asian monsoon. Also, the reliability tends to become better as the ensemble size increases in summer than winter. To assess the effects of using different initial conditions, the area-mean values of normalized bias and correlation coefficients are compared for each basic variable for hindcast according to the four initial dates. The results have better performance when the initial date closest to the forecasting time is used in summer. On the seasonal scale, it is better to use four initial dates, where the maximum size of the ensemble increases to 672, mainly in winter. As the use of larger ensemble size, therefore, it is most efficient to use two initial dates for 60-days prediction and four initial dates for 6-months prediction, similar to the current Time-Lagged ensemble method.

Surface Ozone in The Major Cities of Korea : Trends, Diurnal and Seasonal Variations, and Horizontal Distributions (한반도 주요 대도시지역의 지표오존 특성 : 추세, 일변화, 월변화, 수평분포)

  • 오인보;김유근
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 2002
  • Surface ozone concentrations measured at 40 monitoring sites in three major cities (Seoul, Busan, and Daegu) of Korea during 1993~2000 were analyzed to understand the characteristics of temporal and spatial distributions. Trends were analyzed for annual mean, 95th percentiles of daily 8-hour maximum and days exceeding 8-h ozone standard of 60 ppb. Three indicators exhibited increasing trends (+0.75 ppb yr$^{-1}$ , +2.20 ppb yr$_{-1}$ , and +5.35 days yr$_{-1}$ on average) throughout the study period at all cities. Diurnal and seasonal variations were the largest in Seoul followed by Daegue and Busan, due to the high photochemical production and titration of ozone (Seoul), strong wind and constant supply of background ozone from the ocean (Busan). In the urban centers and industrial areas at all cities, scavenging of ozone by NO reduces the daily 8-hour maximum ozone by 10 ppb on average. High concentrations of ozone have frequently occurred in downwind eastern (Seoul and Daegu) or northern (Busan) sides of the territory. In particular, the coastal area of Busan had relatively high ozone level due to the local sea land breeze circulation. The results indicated that the temporal and spatial variations of ozone concentration were non -uniform and were closely related to the local environments; emission levels, climates, and geographic locations.

SEASONAL AND INTER-ANNUAL VARIATION OF SEA SURFACE CURRENT IN THE GULF OF THAILAND

  • Sojisuporn, Pramot;Morimoto, Akihiko;Yanagi, Tetsuo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.352-355
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    • 2006
  • In this study, the seasonal and inter-annual variation of sea surface current in the Gulf of Thailand were revealed through the use of WOD temperature and salinity data and monthly sea surface dynamic heights (SSDH) from TOPEX/Poseidon and ERS-2 altimetry data during 1995-2001. The mean dynamic height and mean geostrohic current were derived from the climatological data while SSDH data gave monthly dynamic heights and their geopstrophic currents. The mean geostrophic current showed strong southward and westward flow of South China Sea water along the gulf entrance. Counterclockwise eddy in the inner gulf and the western side of the gulf entrance associated with upwelling in the area. Seasonal geostrophic currents show basin-wide counterclockwise circulation during the southwest monsoon season and clockwise circulation during the northeast monsoon season. Upwelling was enhanced during the southwest monsoon season. The circulation patterns varied seasonally and inter-annually probably due to the variation in wind regime. And finally we found that congregation, spawning, and migration routes of short-bodied mackerel conform well with coastal upwelling and surface circulation in the gulf.

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THE TATAR STRAIT SEA LEVEL SESONAL VARITIONS BY SAT-ELLITE ALTIMETRY DATA

  • Sedaeva, Olga;Romanov, Alexander;Vilyanskaya, Elena;Shevchenko, Georgy
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.844-847
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    • 2006
  • In this work Topex/Poseidon altimeter data 1993 - 2002 were used. There are three altimetry tracks (one ascending and two descending) that cross Tatar Strait. The data were collected in the points of sub-satellite tracks with the step 0.25 degree. 10-years average values were calculated for each month. The seasonal sea level variations were compared with tide gauges data. The well expressed annual cycle (with maximum at July-August and the minimum at February-March) prevails in the Tartar Strait. However, the seasonal variations expressed much weakly in both the altimetry track points and Kholmsk - Nevelsk tide-gauges that locate close to La Perouse Strait because of Okhotsk Sea influence. The sea level slopes between the Sakhalin Island and the continent coasts were analyzed in different seasons. We found that sea level increases near Sakhalin coast in spring and summer that corresponds to the northward flow. In autumn, otherwise, the sea level decreases near Sakhalin Island that corresponds to southward current. This result is verified by the CTD data gathered on the standard sections. Well-expressed upwelling is observed near coastline of Sakhalin Island in fall season. This phenomenon is caused by the northerly and the northwesterly wind which are typical for cold season.

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