• 제목/요약/키워드: seasonal Mann-Kendall

검색결과 30건 처리시간 0.024초

비모수 통계기법을 이용한 만경강 유역의 장기간 수질 경향 분석 (Long-Term Trend Analyses of Water Qualities in Mangyung Watershed)

  • 이혜원;박석순
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.480-487
    • /
    • 2008
  • Spatial and temporal analyses of water qualities were performed for 11 monitoring stations located in Mangyung watershed in order to analyze the trends of monthly water quality data of Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), Total Nitrogen (TN) and Total Phosphorus (TP) measured from 1995 to 2004. The long-term trends were analyzed utilizing Seasonal Mann-Kendall test, LOWESS and three-dimensional graphs were constructed with respect to distance and time. The graph can visualize spatial and temporal trend of the long-term water quality in a large river system. The results of trend analysis indicated that water quality of BOD and TN showed the downward trend. This quantitive and quantitative analysis is the useful tool to analyze and display the long-term trend of water quality in a large river system.

비모수 경향분석법 적용을 통한 금강수계 총량관리 단위유역의 수질변화 연구 (A Study on the Water Quality Changes of TMDL Unit Watershed in Guem River Basin Using a Nonparametric Trend Analysis)

  • 김은정;김용석;류덕희;류지철;박배경
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제30권2호
    • /
    • pp.148-158
    • /
    • 2014
  • In order to assess the effect of TMDLs management and improve that in the future, it is necessary to analyze long-term changes in water quality during management period. Therefore, long term trend analysis of BOD was performed on thirty monitoring stations in Geum River TMDL unit watersheds. Nonparametric trend analysis method was used for analysis as the water quality data are generally not in normal distribution. The monthly median values of BOD during 2004~2010 were analyzed by Seasonal Mann-Kendall test and LOWESS(LOcally WEighted Scatter plot Smoother). And the effect of Total Maximum Daily Loads(TMDLs) management on water quality changes at each unit watershed was analyzed with the result of trend analysis. The Seasonal Mann-Kendall test results showed that BOD concentrations had the downward trend at 10 unit watersheds, upward trend at 4 unit watersheds and no significant trend at 16 unit watersheds. And the LOWESS analysis showed that BOD concentration began to decrease after mid-2009 at almost all of unit watersheds having no trend in implementation plan watershed. It was estimated that TMDLs improved water quality in Geum River water system and the improvement of water quality was made mainly in implementation plan unit watershed and tributaries.

Evaluation of long-term water quality management policy effect using nonparametric statistical methods

  • Jung, Kang Young;Ahn, Jung Min;Cho, Sohyun;Lee, Yeong Jae;Han, Kun Yeun;Shin, Dongseok;Kim, Kyunghyun
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
    • /
    • 제10권5호
    • /
    • pp.339-352
    • /
    • 2019
  • Long term water quality change was analyzed to evaluate the effect of the Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) policy. A trend analysis was performed for biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) and total phosphorus (TP) concentrations data monitored at the outlets of the total 41 TMDL unit watersheds of the Nakdong River in the Republic of Korea. Because water quality data do not usually follow a normal distribution, a nonparametric statistical trend analysis method was used. The monthly mean values of BOD and TP for the period between 2004 and 2015 were analyzed by the seasonal Mann-Kendall test and the locally weighted scatterplot smoother (LOWESS). The TMDL policy effect on the water quality change of each unit watershed was analyzed together with the results of the trend analysis. From the seasonal Mann-Kendall test results, it was found that for BOD, 7.8 % of the 41 points showed downward trends, 26.8 % and the rest 65.9% showed upward and no trends. For TP, 51.2% showed no trends and the rest 48.8% showed downward trends. From the LOWESS analysis results, TP began to decrease in most of the unit watersheds from mid-2010s when intensive chemical treatment processes were introduced to existing wastewater treatment plants. Overall, for BOD, relatively more points were improved in the main stream compared to the points of the tributaries although overall trends were mostly no trend or upward. For TP, about half of the points were improved and the rest showed no trends.

Variation of Hydro-Meteorological Variables in Korea

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
    • /
    • 제32권3호
    • /
    • pp.135-143
    • /
    • 2014
  • The variability and temporal trends of the annual and seasonal minimum and maximum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine hours, and runoff were analyzed for 5 major rivers in Korea from 1960 to 2010. A simple regression and non-parametric methods (Mann-Kendall test and Sen's estimator) were used in this study. The analysis results show that the minimum temperature ($T_{min}$) had a higher increasing trend than the maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), and the average temperature increased by about $0.03^{\circ}C\;yr.^{-1}$. The relative humidity and wind speed decreased by $0.02%\;yr^{-1}$ and $0.01m\;s^{-1}yr^{-1}$, respectively. With the exception of the Han River basin, the regression analysis and Mann-Kendall and Sen results failed to detect trends for the runoff and rainfall over the study period. Rapid land use changes were linked to the increase in the runoff in the Han River basin. The sensitivity of the evapotranspiration and ultimately the runoff to the meteorological variables was in the order of relative humidity > sunshine duration > wind speed > $T_{max}$ > $T_{min}$. Future studies should investigate the interaction of the variables analyzed herein, and their relative contributions to the runoff trends.

남강 수질측정망 자료를 이용한 비모수적 장기 수질 추세 분석 (A Nonparametric Long-Term Trend Analysis Using Water Quality Monitoring Data in Nam-River)

  • 정강영;김묘정;송광덕;서권옥;홍성조;조소현;이영재;김경현
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제27권11호
    • /
    • pp.1029-1048
    • /
    • 2018
  • In this study, seasonal Mann - Kendall test method was applied to 12 stations of the water quality measurement network of Nam-River based on data of BOD, COD, TN and TP for 11 years from January 2005 to December 2015 The changes of water quality at each station were examined through linear trends and the tendency of water quality change during the study period was analyzed by applying the locally weighted scatter plot smoother (LOWESS) method. In addition, spatial trends of the whole Nam-River were examined by items. The flow-adjusted seasonal Kendall test was performed to remove the flow at the water quality measurement station. As a result, BOD, COD concentration showed "no trand" and TN and TP concentration showed "down trand" in regional Kendall test throughout the study period. BOD and TP concentration in "no trand", COD, and TN concentration showed an "up trand" tendency in Nam-River dam. LOWESS analysis showed no significant water quality change in most of the analysis items and stations, but water quality fluctuation characteristics were shown at some stations such as NR1 (Kyungho-River 1), NR2 (Kyungho-River 2), NR3 (Nam-River), NR6 (Nam-River 2A). In addition, the flow-adjusted seasonal Kendall results showed that the BOD concentration was "up trand" due to the flow at the NR3 (Nam-River) station. The COD concentration was "up trand" due to the flow at NR1 (Kyungho-River 1) and NR2 (Kyungho-River 2) located upstream of the Nam-River. The effect of influent flow on water quality varies according to each site and analysis item. Therefore, for the effective water quality management in the Nam-River, it is necessary to take measures to improve the water quality at the point where the water quality is continuously "up trand" during the study period.

삽교천유역의 용존산소 추세 (Dissolved Oxygen Trend in Sapgyo Stream Watershed)

  • 임창수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제46권6호
    • /
    • pp.667-681
    • /
    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 삽교천유역에 위치한 19개 수질관측지점의 16년간(1995~2010) 월별 용존산소(dissolved oxygen: DO)자료를 이용하여 월별 및 계절별 용존산소 추세를 분석하였다. 추세분석을 위해 Mann-Kendall 추세분석과 Sen's slope 방법을 적용하였다. 또한 삽교천 유역을 4개 구역(삽교호, 삽교천본류, 무한천 및 곡교천)으로 구분하여 카이스퀘어 동질성 검정(chi-square homogeneity test)을 실시하여 각 구역의 월별, 그리고 계절별 용존산소추세의 동질성 유무를 분석하였다. 분석결과 대부분 수질관측지점의 월별, 계절별 용존산소는 증가추세를 보이거나 혹은 유의한 추세를 보이지 않았다. 또한 삽교천 유역 수질관측지점들의 계절별 용존산소추세는 서로 동질성을 보인 반면에 월별 용존산소추세는 수질관측지점이 저수지에 위치한 지점의 경우 동질성을 보이지 않았다. 전반적으로 삽교천 유역 수질관측지점의 용존산소 추세는 각 수질관측지점의 위치와 계절에 따라서 다른 양상을 보였다.

경포호에서 수질변수들의 장기적인 변화 (Long-term Variations of Water Quality Parameters in Lake Kyoungpo)

  • 곽성진;발데브;최광순;허우명
    • 생태와환경
    • /
    • 제48권2호
    • /
    • pp.95-107
    • /
    • 2015
  • 경포호에서 수질 변수들의 장기적인 경향을 파악하기 위하여 1998년부터 2013년까지 매년 3월부터 11월까지 2개월에 1회씩 3개 지점에서 조사된 15가지 수질변수들과 강우량자료를 이용하였으며, Mann-Kendall test, Sen's slope estimator 및 linear regression을 적용 분석하였다. 계절 변화 분석에는 Mann-Kendall test 및 Sen's slope estimator만 이용하였다. 분석결과 염분, 투명도 및 영양염류 (총인, 용존무기인, 총질소, 질산성 질소, 암모니아성 질소)의 변수들만 통계학적으로 유의적인 경향을 보였다. 선형회귀 분석에서는 염분 (표층과 심층의 전 지점)과 투명도 (지점 1)만이 통계학적으로 유의적인 증가 경향을 나타냈으나, 비모수법에 의한 분석에서는 염분과 투명도 모두 전 지점에서 통계학적으로 유의적인 증가 경향을 보였다. 통계학적으로 유의적인 감소 경향을 보인 수질변수들은 선형회귀분석에서는 용존산소 (표층 지점 1, 심층 지점 2와 3), 총인(지점 1과 2), 용존무기인, 총질소, 질산성 질소 및 암모니아성 질소, 비모수법에 의한 분석에서는 용존산소 (심층 전지점), 총인, 용존무기인, 총질소, 질산성 질소 및 암모니아성 질소였다. 계절적인 경향을 분석한 결과 봄에는 염분, 탁도, 투명도 및 부유물질 (SS), 여름에는 염분, 투명도, 질산성 질소 및 부유물질, 가을에는 수온, 염분, 투명도 및 부유물질 만이 증가하는 경향을 보였으며 이들 변수들이 계절에 따라 다소 차이를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 봄과 여름에 비해서 가을철에 Mann-Kendall test 및 Sen's Slope estimator에 의해 유의적인 경향을 나타낸 수질변수들이 많았다. 가장 강한 증가 경향을 보인 것은 염분이었으며 봄보다는 여름과 가을에 뚜렷하였다. 투명도도 염분과 유사한 특성을 보였다. 강우량은 조사기간 동안 전체적으로 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 경포호에서 영양염류의 유의적인 감소경향은 그동안 강릉시에서 추진해온 석호 복원사업 및 해수유통 (수중 보철거) 등과 관련이 있는 것으로 판단되나 정확한 원인 규명을 위해서는 보다 면밀한 조사가 수반되어야 할 것으로 사료된다.

Analysis of drought in Northwestern Bangladesh using standardized precipitation index and its relation to Southern oscillation index

  • Nury, Ahmad Hasan;Hasan, Khairul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • 제21권1호
    • /
    • pp.58-68
    • /
    • 2016
  • The study explored droughts using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in the northwestern region of Bangladesh, which is the drought prone area. In order to assess the trend and variability of monthly rainfall, as well as 3-month scale SPI, non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) tests and continuous wavelet transform were used respectively. The effect of climatic parameters on the drought in this region was also evaluated using SPI, with the Southern Oscilation Index (SOI) by means of the wavelet coherence technique, a relatively new and powerful tool for describing processes. The MK test showed no statistically significant monthly rainfall trends in the selected stations, whereas the seasonal MK test showed a declining rainfall trend in Bogra, Ishurdi, Rangpur and Sayedpur stations respectively. Sen's slope of six stations also provided a decreasing rainfall trend. The trend of the SPI, as well as Sen's slope indicated an increasing dryness trend in this area. Dominant periodicity of 3-month scale SPI at 8 to 16 months, 16 to 32 months, and 32 to 64 months were observed in the study area. The outcomes from this study contribute to hydrologists to establish strategies, priorities and proper use of water resources.

수질오염총량관리 대상물질 확대를 위한 한강수계 하천수질 경향 및 수질특성 분석 (Analysis of Water Qulity changes & Characterization at the Watershed in Han River Basin for Target indicator in TMDLs)

  • 최옥연;김홍태;서희승;한인섭
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제33권1호
    • /
    • pp.15-33
    • /
    • 2017
  • Based on the existing pollutant emissin standards which are armed at the pollutant concentration of each pollution source, government formulated and implemented new management system of total water pollutant emission. By virtue of this new management system, pollution loading amount of individual watershed could be controlled, which achieved the requirement of water quality management such as TP and BOD. In initiate stage of it's implement, BOD was selected as object of water quality management, While it's necessary to consider the continuity of water quality data and established pollutant management laws and policy. During the ongoing management, TP management was added into the system while simply BOD management was not enough. However, the frequency of algae bloom in Han-river showed a trend of same, even though TP was treated as additional control target. Therefore, this paper will analyze different water quality parameters and characteristic of water quality, so that this study can be provide as reference for watershed management of water quality, by which the applicable management period and target pollutant can be selected in the future.

통계적 경향 분석을 통한 남한강 상류 수계 수질 변동 해석 (Analysis of Water Quality Fluctuations in Upstream Namhan River Watershed Using Long-term Statistical Analysis)

  • 변상돈;노연정;임경재;김종건;김동진;홍은미
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제62권5호
    • /
    • pp.15-26
    • /
    • 2020
  • There are fifteen non-point pollution management areas in Korea and three of them (Doam lake, Daegi district and Golji-cheon) are located in the upstream of the Namhan river watershed. Many efforts to reduce non-point sources (NPS) pollution have been conducted, however, water quality pollution in the watershed is still serious. To solve these problems, it is a priority to grasp water quality using statistical techniques. In this study, a trend analysis was conducted to evaluate the effect of NPS management in the watershed. The long-term trends from 1996 to 2018 of water quality properties were analyzed using data collected from the water environment information system. Seventeen monitoring stations were selected along the main stream in Namhan river basin. Monthly water quality properties (BOD, COD, TN, TP, TN/TP ratio, Conductivity, SS and Chlorophyll-a) were collected and analyzed by Mann-Kendall test and LOWESS. The results showed that the Conductivity tended to increase in all regions and was the highest level in Jijangcheon. Organic pollution such as BOD and COD tended to increase in the Jungseon area. SS did not show a large tendency, but it showed high concentration in the Doam watershed. In all regions, 40% of water quality properties showed a tendency to 'UP', 15% of water quality properties tended to 'DOWN', and 46% indicated no tendency. In order to determine the cause of this, additional research and measures for improvement are necessary. This study will be used for the establishment of water quality policy in the future.