• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario-based

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The COVID-19 and Stock Return Volatility: Evidence from South Korea

  • Pyo, Dong-Jin
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.205-230
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of the number of coronavirus cases on regime-switching in stock return volatility. This study documents the empirical evidence that the COVID-19 cases had an asymmetric effect on the regime of stock return volatility. When the stock return is in the low volatility regime, the probability of switching to the high volatility regime in the next trading day increases as the number of cumulative cases increases. In contrast, in the high volatility regime, the effect of cumulative cases on the transition probability is not statistically significant. This study also documents the evidence that the government measures against the pandemic contribute to promoting the high volatility regime of the KOSPI during the pandemic. Besides, this study projects future stock prices through the Monte Carlo simulation based on the estimated parameters and the predicted number of the COVID-19 new cases. Under a scenario where the number of new cases rapidly increases, stock price indices in Korea are expected to be in a downward trend over the next three months. On the other hand, under the moderate scenario and the best scenario, the stock indices are likely to continue to rise.

SECURITY FRAMEWORK FOR VANET: SURVEY AND EVALUATION

  • Felemban, Emad;Albogamind, Salem M.;Naseer, Atif;Sinky, Hassan H.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2021
  • In the last few years, the massive development in wireless networks, high internet speeds and improvement in car manufacturing has shifted research focus to Vehicular Ad-HOC Networks (VANETs). Consequently, many related frameworks are explored, and it is found that security is the primary issue for VANETs. Despite that, a small number of research studies have taken into consideration the identification of performance standards and parameters. In this paper, VANET security frameworks are explored, studied and analysed which resulted in the identification of a list of performance evaluation parameters. These parameters are defined and categorized based on the nature of parameter (security or general context). These parameters are identified to be used by future researchers to evaluate their proposed VANET security frameworks. The implementation paradigms of security frameworks are also identified, which revealed that almost all research studies used simulation for implementation and testing. The simulators used in the simulation processes are also analysed. The results of this study showed that most of the surveyed studies used NS-2 simulator with a percentage of 54.4%. The type of scenario (urban, highway, rural) is also evaluated and it is found that 50% studies used highway urban scenario in simulation.

Level of Complete Knowledge on Five Moments of Hand Hygiene among Nurses Working at Integrated Nursing Care Service Wards (간호간병통합서비스 병동 간호사의 손위생 시점에 대한 완전지식 수준)

  • Kim, Eunhee;Jeong, Ihn Sook
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.454-464
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study aimed to identify the level of complete knowledge about hand hygiene indications among nurses working at integrated nursing care service wards. Methods: A total of 127 nurses in eight integrated nursing care service wards completed structured sheets while observing a video based on six scenarios developed by the research team. Complete knowledge level was calculated as the percentage (%) of participants who responded correctly to all questions among participants. Complete knowledge levels according to the scenarios were calculated and compared according to general characteristics using the chi-squared test or Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Results: The complete knowledge level for each scenario ranged from 7.9% (scenario 6) to 42.5% (scenarios 4 and 5), and no one had complete knowledge of all scenarios. Only 3.1% of participants demonstrated complete knowledge in more than four scenarios, and 26.0% had complete knowledge of four or more hand hygiene moments. Complete knowledge level per scenario did not differ depending on work experience at hospitals and study wards, or prior hand hygiene training in the last year. Conclusion: As the complete knowledge level regarding hand hygiene moment is very low, it is suggested that regular hand hygiene training should be provided to nurses using video media that reflect real nursing tasks. Thus, they can acquire complete knowledge of when hand hygiene is needed or not during complex nursing work situations.

Preliminary strong ground motion simulation at seismic stations within nuclear power plant sites in South Korea by a scenario earthquake on the causative fault of 2016 Gyeongju earthquake

  • Choi, Hoseon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.7
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    • pp.2529-2539
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    • 2022
  • Stochastic and an empirical Green's function (EGF) methods are preliminarily applied to simulate strong ground motions (SGMs) at seismic stations within nuclear power plant (NPP) sites in South Korea by an assumed large earthquake with MW6.5 (scenario earthquake) on the causative fault of the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.5 (mainshock). In the stochastic method, a ratio of spectral amplitudes of observed and simulated waveforms for the mainshock is assumed to be an adjustment factor. In the EGF method, SGMs by the mainshock are simulated assuming SGMs by the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake with MW5.0 (foreshock) as the EGF. To simulate SGMs by the scenario earthquake, a ratio of fault length to width is assumed to be 2:1 in the stochastic method, and SGMs by the mainshock are assumed to be EGF in the EGF method. The results are similar based on a bias of the simulated response spectra by the two methods, and the simulated response spectra by the two methods exceeded commonly standard design response spectra anchored at 0.3 g of NPP sites slightly at a frequency band above 4 Hz, but considerable attention to interpretation is required since it is an indirect comparison.

A Study on the Electrical and Electronic Architecture of Electric Vehicle Powertrain Domain through Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 통한 전기차 파워트레인 도메인 전기전자 아키텍처 연구)

  • Kim, Do Kon;Kim, Woo Ju
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.47-73
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    • 2022
  • Purpose The purpose of this study is to select the electronic architecture concept of the powertrain domain of the electronic platform to be applied to electric vehicles after 2025. Previously, the automotive electrical and electronic architecture was determined only by trend analysis, but the purpose was to determine the scenario based on the data and select it with clear evaluation indicators. Design/methodology/approach This study identified the function to be applied to the powertrain domain of next-generation electric vehicle, estimated the controller, defined the function feature list, organized the scenario candidates with the controller list and function feature list, and selected the final architecture scenario. Findings According to the research results, the powertrain domain of electric vehicles was selected as the architectural concept to apply the DCU (Domain Control Unit) and VCU (Vehicle Control Unit) integrated architecture to next-generation electric vehicles. Although it is disadvantageous or equivalent in terms of cost, it was found to be excellent in most indicators such as stability, security, and hardware demand.

A Study on Prediction of Suspension Time of Unmanned Light Rail according to Safety Personal Deployment (안전요원 배치 여부에 따른 무인운전 경전철의 운행중단 시간예측 연구)

  • Sang Log Kwak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2023
  • The number of unmanned light rail train operators is continuously increasing in Korea. In a failure event during an operation due to the nature of the unmanned operation, recovery is performed based on the remote control. However, if remote recovery is not feasible, safety personnel arrive at the train to resume the train operation. There are regulations on safety personnel and the suspension time of the train operation. However, there is currently no rule for safety personnel deployment. Currently, railway operating organizations operate in three scenarios: safety personnel on board trains, stationed at stations, and deployed at major stations. Four major factors influence the downtime for each emergency response scenario. However, these four influencing factors vary too much to predict results with simple calculations. In this study, four influencing factors were considered as random variables with high uncertainty. In addition, the Monte Carlo method was applied to each scenario for the safety personnel deployment to predict train service downtime. This study found a 17% difference in train service suspension by safety personnel deployment scenario. The results of this study can be used in setting service goals, such as standards for future safety personnel placement and frequency of service interruptions.

Engineering Students' Ethical Sensitivity on Artificial Intelligence Robots (공학전공 대학생의 AI 로봇에 대한 윤리적 민감성)

  • Lee, Hyunok;Ko, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.23-37
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    • 2022
  • This study evaluated the engineering students' ethical sensitivity to an AI emotion recognition robot scenario and explored its characteristics. For data collection, 54 students (27 majoring in Convergence Electronic Engineering and 27 majoring in Computer Software) were asked to list five factors regarding the AI robot scenario. For the analysis of ethical sensitivity, it was checked whether the students acknowledged the AI ethical principles in the AI robot scenario, such as safety, controllability, fairness, accountability, and transparency. We also categorized students' levels as either informed or naive based on whether or not they infer specific situations and diverse outcomes and feel a responsibility to take action as engineers. As a result, 40.0% of students' responses contained the AI ethical principles. These include safety 57.1%, controllability 10.7%, fairness 20.5%, accountability 11.6%, and transparency 0.0%. More students demonstrated ethical sensitivity at a naive level (76.8%) rather than at the informed level (23.2%). This study has implications for presenting an ethical sensitivity evaluation tool that can be utilized professionally in educational fields and applying it to engineering students to illustrate specific cases with varying levels of ethical sensitivity.

A Study on Experiment Scenarios for Floor Noise Epicenter Recognition Systems (층간소음 진원지 인지 시스템을 위한 실험 시나리오에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jaehyeon;Kim, Neunghoe;Jeong, Dongwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.10a
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    • pp.9-11
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    • 2021
  • Currently, the occurrence of floor noise in Korea is gradually increasing, and for this reason, the problem of secondary conflict is also increasing. Various studies have been conducted to solve these problems, but the definition of floor noise is not clear, and data of floor noise in various situations cannot be obtained. Therefore, this paper defines various scenarios of floor noise for floor noise epicenter recognition system. For this, the experimental scenario is defined in consideration of environment required for the experiment, the type of floor noise generated in real life, the location of the collector, and the noise intensity. It is possible to increase the accuracy of the floor noise epicenter recognition system when performing data collection and learning operations based on the defined experimental scenario.

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Development of Maneuvering Scenario for Data-Driven Modeling of Ship Dynamics (선박 동역학의 데이터 기반 모델링을 위한 조종 시나리오 개발)

  • Dong-Hwan Kim;Minchang Kim;Seungbeom Lee;Jeonghwa Seo
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.61 no.4
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    • pp.226-235
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    • 2024
  • A method for quantifying the adaptability of ship maneuver scenarios for data-driven modeling of ship dynamics is developed based on the principal component analysis. A random maneuver scenario is suggested as a reference for ship dynamics, which can obtain the converged principal components of ship dynamics features by the Monte Carlo simulation. Principal components of conventional maneuver scenarios defined by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) are compared to that of the random maneuver. A conventional ship dynamics model for a container carrier vessel for four degrees of freedom dynamics is introduced to simulate the random and IMO maneuver scenarios. It is confirmed that the IMO tests follow the tendency of random maneuver scenario in terms of execution time and adaptability.

A Study on Evaluation Method of AEB Test (AEB 시험평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, BongJu;Lee, SeonBong
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.20-28
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    • 2018
  • Currently, sharp increase of car is on the rise as a serious social problem due to loss of lives from car accident and environmental pollution. There is a study on ITS (Intelligent Transportation System) to seek coping measures. As for the commercialization of ITS, we aim for occupancy of world market through ASV (Advanced Safety Vehicle) related system development and international standardization. However, the domestic environment is very insufficient. Core factor technologies of ITS are Adaptive Cruise Control, Lane Keeping Assist System, Forward Collision Warning System, AEB (Autonomous Emergency Braking) system etc. These technologies are applied to cars to support driving of a driver. AEB system is stop the car automatically based on the result decided by the relative speed and distance with obstacle detected through sensor attached on car rather than depending on the driver. The purpose of AEB system is to measure the distance and speed of car and to prevent accident. Thus, AEB will be a system useful for prevention of accident by decreasing car accident along with the development of automobile technology. This study suggests a scenario to suggest a test evaluation method that accords with domestic environment and active response of international standard regarding the test evaluation method of AEB. Also, by setting the goal with function for distance, it suggests theoretic model according to the result. And the study aims to verify the theoretic evaluation standard per proposed scenario using car which is installed with AEB device through field car driving test on test road. It will be useful to utilize the suggested scenario and theoretical model when conducting AEB test evaluation.