• 제목/요약/키워드: sampler model

검색결과 163건 처리시간 0.028초

수학적 모형을 이용한 저서성 대형무척추동물 군집지수-조사면적 관계 해석 (Analysis on the Relationship between Biological Indices and Survey Area of Benthic Macroinvertebrates Using Mathematical Model)

  • 공동수;김아름
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.610-618
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted to find out the influence of sample size (accumulated survey areas) on the seven biological indices of benthic macroinvertebrates. BMI, the index similar to Zeilika-Marvan’s saprobic index, tended to be independent on the variations of sample size. The other indices (Shannon-Weaver’s diversity, Margalef’s richness, Menhinick’s richness, Pielou’s evenness, and Lenat’s EPT index) showed the considerable variations along with the increase of sample size and environmental conditions. To get the appropriate index values, it should be sampled at least 6 replicates more based on 30×30cm Surber sampler. In addition, the habitat heterogeneity index of benthic macroinvertebrates suggested in this study, it will be able to be used for evaluating the heterogeneity of habitats.

Efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo for Bayesian Analysis of Neural Network Models

  • Paul E. Green;Changha Hwang;Lee, Sangbock
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.63-75
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    • 2002
  • Most attempts at Bayesian analysis of neural networks involve hierarchical modeling. We believe that similar results can be obtained with simpler models that require less computational effort, as long as appropriate restrictions are placed on parameters in order to ensure propriety of posterior distributions. In particular, we adopt a model first introduced by Lee (1999) that utilizes an improper prior for all parameters. Straightforward Gibbs sampling is possible, with the exception of the bias parameters, which are embedded in nonlinear sigmoidal functions. In addition to the problems posed by nonlinearity, direct sampling from the posterior distributions of the bias parameters is compounded due to the duplication of hidden nodes, which is a source of multimodality. In this regard, we focus on sampling from the marginal posterior distribution of the bias parameters with Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that combine traditional Metropolis sampling with a slice sampler described by Neal (1997, 2001). The methods are illustrated with data examples that are largely confined to the analysis of nonparametric regression models.

황사의 오염원분류포 개발을 위한 개별입자분석 (Individual Particle Analysis for Developing a Source Profile of Yellow Sands)

  • 강승우;김동술
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.565-572
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    • 2000
  • To quantitatively estimate mass contribution of long-range transported yellow sand, their sources should be separated independently from various local soil sources having similar elemental compositions. While it is difficult to estimate total mass loadings of pure yellow sand by traditional bulk analysis, it can be clearly solved by an particle-by-particle analysis. To perform this study, two yellow sand samples and three local soil samples were collected by a mini-volume sampler. These samples were three analyzed using a scanning electron microscope(SEM) equipped with an energy dispersive x-ray analyser (EDX) was used to obtain basic chemical information of individual yellow san particles. A total of 19 elements in a single particle were measured to develop a source profile with newly created homogeneous particle classes (HPCs) as chemical variables. The present study showed that the yellow sand samples as well as three local soil samples were characterized with reasonably well created HPCs. Finally the mass fraction of each HPC in each sample was calculated and then compared each other.

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부적합률의 다중변화점분석을 위한 베이지안절차 (Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Change Point Analysis of Fraction Nonconforming)

  • 김경숙;김희정;박정수;손영숙
    • 한국품질경영학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국품질경영학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose Bayesian procedure for the multiple change points analysis in a sequence of fractions nonconforming. We first compute the Bayes factor for detecting the existence of no change, a single change or multiple changes. The Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchain is run to estimate parameters of the change point model, once the number of change points is identified. Finally, we apply the results developed in this paper to both a real and simulated data.

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준모수적 계층적 선택모형에 대한 베이지안 방법 (A Bayesian Method to Semiparametric Hierarchical Selection Models)

  • 정윤식;장정훈
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.161-175
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    • 2001
  • 메타분석(Meta-analysis)은 서로 독립적으로 연구되어진 결과들을 전체적인 하나의 결과로 도출하기 위해 사용되어지는 통계적 방법이다. 이러한 통계적 방법을 설명할 모형으로는 선택모형(selection model)을 포함한 계층적 모형(hierarchical model)을 사용하며, 이러한 모형들은 베이지안 메타분석에 유용한 것으로 알려져 있다. 그러나, 메타분석의 자료들은 일반적으로 출판편의(publication bias)를 갖고 있으므로 이를 극복하고자 가중함수(weight function)를 이용하여 분포함수를 새롭게 정의하여 사용한다. 최근에 Silliman(1997)은 계층적 모형(hierarchical model)에 가중함수를 첨부한 계층적 선택모형(hierarchical selection model)을 정의하고 모수적 베이지안 방법을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서는 미관측된 연구효과에 디리슈레 과정 사전분포(Dirichlet process prior)를 적용한 준모수적 계층적 선택모형(semiparametric hierarchical selection models)을 소개한다. 여기서 제시된 준모수적 계층적 선택모형을 베이지안 방법으로 추정하기 위하여 마코프 연쇄 몬테칼로(Markov chain Monte Carlo)방법을 이용한다. 제시된 방법을 적용하기 위하여 실제 자료(Johnson, 1993)인 충치를 예방하기 위한 두 가지의 예방약의 효과에 대한 차이를 비교하기 위해 얻어진 12개의 연구를 이용하여 메타분석을 한다.

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Genetic Models for Carcass Traits with Different Slaughter Endpoints in Selected Hanwoo Herds I. Linear Covariance Models

  • Choy, Y.H.;Lee, C.W.;Kim, H.C.;Choi, S.B.;Choi, J.G.;Hwang, J.M.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.1227-1232
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    • 2008
  • Carcass characteristics data of Hanwoo (N = 1,084) were collected from two stations of the National Livestock Institute of Animal Science (NIAS), Korea and records from thirteen individual cow-calf operators were analyzed to estimate variance and covariance components and the effect of different slaughter endpoints. Carcass traits analyzed were cold carcass weight (CWT, kg), REA (rib eye area, cm2), back fat thickness (mm) and marbling score (1-7). Four different models were examined. All models included sex and contemporary group as fixed effects and the animal's direct genetic potential and environment as random effects. The first model fitted a linear covariate of age at slaughter. The second model fitted both linear and quadratic covariates of age at slaughter. The third model fitted a linear covariate of body weight at slaughter. The fourth model fitted both linear covariates of age at slaughter and body weight at slaughter. Variance components were estimated using the REML procedure with Gibb's sampler. Heritability estimate of CWT was in the range of 0.08-0.11 depending on the model applied. Heritability estimates of BF, REA and MS were in the ranges of 0.23-0.28, 0.19-0.26, and 0.44-0.45, respectively. Genetic correlations between CWT and BF, between CWT and REA, and between CWT and MS were in the ranges of -0.33 - -0.14, 0.73-0.84, and -0.01- 0.11, respectively. Genetic correlations between REA and BF, between MS and BF and between REA and MS were in the ranges of -0.82 ~ -0.72, 0.04~0.28 and -0.08 ~ -0.02, respectively. Variance and covariance components estimated varied by model with different slaughter endpoints. Body weight endpoint was more effective for direct selection in favor of yield traits and body weight endpoints affected more of the correlated response to selection for the traits of yield and quality of edible portion of beef.

일반 순서 통계량을 이용한 소프트웨어 신뢰확률 중첩모형에 관한 베이지안 접근에 관한 연구 (A Study on Bayesian Approach of Software Stochastic Reliability Superposition Model using General Order Statistics)

  • 이병수;김희철;백수기;정관희;윤주용
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
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    • 제6권8호
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    • pp.2060-2071
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    • 1999
  • 소프트웨어 시스템이 복잡해지면 고장의 원인이 하나의 강도함수에 의해서만 일어나지 않고 여러 원인이 중첩되어 발생할 수 있다. 이러한 복잡한 시스템에 의한 우도함수의 계산상의 어려움 때문에 반복표본을 이용하는 깁스 샘플링 기법이 고려되었다. 관찰된 고장시점은 중첩모형으로 표현이 가능한 잠재(latent)변수들을 이용하여 깁스 알고리즘을 적용하였다. 단순모형과 중첩모형의 비교를 위해 사후베이즈 요인과 상대오차의 합을 이용하여 모형선택을 시도하였다. 수치적인 예에서 GOS 속성을 가진 Goel-Okumoto 모형과 Weibull 모형을 선택하고 NHPP의 자료는 Lewis와 Shedler[25]에 의해 제시된 Thining 알고리즘을 이용하여 발생된 자료를 이용하고 사전분포는 상대적으로 확산분포(diffuse priors)를 이용한 모수추정과 사후베이즈요인과 상대오차를 이용한 모형선택을 한 결과 단순모형들 보다 중첩모형이 좋은 형으로 간주할 수 있음을 보여 주었다.

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입경 분포 원인 분석 및 PM2.5 밀도 추정 -Part II (Source Analysis of Size Distribution and Density Estimation in PM2.5 -Part II)

  • 배민석;박다정;이정훈;안준영;이영재
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.158-166
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    • 2016
  • To characterize the features of particle apparent density, continuous measurements of particle number size distributions from optical particle sizer (OPS) and 24 hr integrated particle mass concentrations from filter based sampler were conducted at the National institute of environmental research NamBu Supersite (NNBS, $35.22^{\circ}N$, $126.84^{\circ}E$) in Gwangju for 16 days from Nov. 4 in 2014. Source apportionment model was carried out by applying Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) to particle size distribution data. Three different distributions related to primary and secondary sources were investigated by the diurnal patterns of identified factors. Density estimated by gaussian model has been calculated as $1.69g/cm^3$ with 95% confidence bounds ($1.57{\sim}1.81g/cm^3$).

가상질량과 저주파통과필터에 의한 햅틱 시스템의 안정성 영역에 관한 연구 (A Study for the Effect of a Virtual Mass with a Low-Pass Filter on a Stability of a Haptic System)

  • 이경노
    • 융복합기술연구소 논문집
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents the effects of a virtual mass with a low-pass filter on the stability boundary of a virtual spring in the haptic system. In general, a haptic system consists of a haptic device, a sampler, a virtual impedance model and zero-order-hold. The virtual impedance is modeled as a virtual spring and a virtual mass. However the high-frequency noise due to the sampling time and the quantization error of sampled data may be generated when an acceleration is measured to compute the inertia force of the virtual mass. So a low-pass filter is needed to prevent the unstable behavior due to the high-frequency noise. A finite impulse response (FIR) filter is added to the measurement process of the acceleration and the effects on the haptic stability are simulated. According to the virtual mass with the FIR filter and the sampling time, the stability boundary of the virtual spring is analyzed through the simulation. The maximum available stiffness to guarantee the stable behavior is reduced, but simulation results still show that the stability boundary of the haptic system with the virtual mass is larger than that of the haptic system without the virtual mass.

Model Evaluation based on a Relationship Analysis between the Emission and Concentration of Atmospheric Ammonia in the Kanto Region of Japan

  • SAKURAI, Tatsuya;SUZUKI, Takeru;YOSHIOKA, Misato
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to evaluate the performance of the Air Quality Model (AQM) for the seasonal and spatial distribution of the $NH_3$ concentration in the atmosphere. To obtain observational data for the model validation, observations based on biweekly sampling have been conducted using passive samplers since April 2015 at multiple monitoring sites in the Tokyo metropolitan area. AQM, built based on WRF/CMAQ, was applied to predict the $NH_3$ concentration observed from April 2015 to March 2016. The simulation domain includes the Kanto region, which is the most densely populated area in Japan. Because the area also contains large amount of livestock, especially in its northern part, the density of the $NH_3$ emissions derived from human activities and agriculture there are estimated to be the highest in Japan. In the model validation, the model overestimated the observed $NH_3$ concentration in the summer season and underestimated it in the winter season. In particular, the overestimation in the summer was remarkable at a rural site (Komae) in Tokyo. It was found that the overestimation at Komae was caused by the transportation of $NH_3$ emitted in the northern part of the Kanto region during the night. It is suggested that the emission input used in this study overestimated the $NH_3$ emission from human sources around the Tokyo suburbs and agricultural sources in the northern part of the Kanto region in the summer season. In addition, the current emission inventories might overestimate the difference of the agricultural $NH_3$ emissions among seasons. Because the overestimation of $NH_3$ in the summer causes an overestimation of $NO_3{^-}$ in $PM_{2.5}$ in the AQM simulation, further investigation is necessary for the seasonal variation in the $NH_3$ emissions.