• 제목/요약/키워드: runoff simulation

검색결과 608건 처리시간 0.028초

강우의 공간분포를 고려한 SWAT 모형의 적용 (Application of SWAT Model considering Spatial Distribution of Rainfall)

  • 장대원;김덕길;김연수;최우일
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제20권1호
    • /
    • pp.94-104
    • /
    • 2018
  • 강우-유출 모의를 수행할 때 기상 및 강우관측소의 자료를 이용하는 것이 일반적이다. 그러나 유역면적이 클 경우 기상 및 강우관측소의 자료만으로 신뢰성 있는 유출량을 산정하기란 어렵다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이용되는 강우자료에 따라 준분포형 모형에 의해 산정되는 유출량에 미치는 영향을 검토하기 위해 대상유역에 위치하고 있는 기상관측소의 강우자료, 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우자료, 크리깅 기법에 의해 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우자료를 공간적으로 분포시켜 얻은 가상지점의 관측 강우자료를 이용해 각 소유역의 면적 강우량을 산정하였다. 또한 각각의 강우자료들을 비교하였으며, 분포형 모형인 SWAT모형을 이용하여 각각의 강우자료에 따른 유출량을 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구는 공간 분포된 면적강우량을 이용해 산정된 유출량의 정확성을 검토하기 위한 것으로써 분석 결과, 공간 분포된 면적 강우량을 이용한 유출량이 기상 및 강우관측소의 강우량을 이용한 유출량보다 실제 유출량을 보다 더 잘 모의하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 공간 분포된 강우가 실제 강우패턴을 가장 잘 반영한다고 할 수 있다.

지표면유출 해석방법이 도시 유역의 홍수량 산정에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Calculation Method of Surface Runoff on the Estimation of Flood in Urban Drainage Basin)

  • 이종태;윤세의;김정환
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제14권5호
    • /
    • pp.1167-1175
    • /
    • 1994
  • 본 연구는 도시 배수구역에서 지표면유출과 우수로의 홍수추적 과정을 통하여 홍수량을 산정하는데 있어서, 지표면유출 해석방법이 결과치에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 지표면유출 해석이론의 비교연구를 위해서는 RUNOFF, ILLUDAS, SBUH, RRL 등의 해석모형들을 사용하였으며, 배수관망내 흐름 해석에는 EXTRAN을 사용하였다. 가상 및 실측 강우, 유출량자료가 있는 유역에 대하여 각각 유출해석을 실시하였다. 각 도시 소배수구역의 유출모형에 의한 결과는 도시홍수량 산정에 상당한 영향을 미치고 있음을 보여주고 있다. 지표면유출 해석 결과치에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 인자는 도달시간으로 판단되었다. 적용 모형 중 RUN-EX(RUNOFF-EXTRAN) 법이 포장, 비포장유역의 해석에 모두 적합하였으며, 다른 모형들에 비해 실측치에 가장 근사하였다.

  • PDF

분포형 수문모형을 이용한 산림소유역의 홍수수문곡선의 추정 (Estimation of Storm Hydrographs in a Small Forest Watershed Using a Distributed Hydrological Model)

  • 이상호;우보명;임상준
    • 생태와환경
    • /
    • 제41권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-53
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 연구의 목적은 분포형 수문모형인 TOPMODEL을 이용하여 산림유역의 홍수수문곡선을 추정하는 것이다. 이를 위하여 유역면적 58.3ha의 명성유역을 선정하였으며, 대상유역에 대하여 강우량과 유출량을 측정하였다. Monte Carlo기법을 이용하여 강우사상별로 최적의 매개 변수 조합을 구하고, 매개변수별 모의기간에 대한 평균값을 적용하여 매개변수를 결정하였다. 1997년에 측정된 6개의 강우-유출량 자료를 이용하여 매개변수 보정을 실시하였으며, $1998\sim1999$년에 측정된 8개의 강우-유출량 자료를 이용하여 모형의 검증을 실시하였다. 보정기간에 대한 유출량 추정 오차는 $-2.74\sim1.81%$의 범위를 보였으며, 모형 효율(E)은 평균 0.92이었다. 6개의 강우사상에 대하여 실측된 평균 첨두유량은 $0.324m^3\;s^{-1}$이었으며, 이에 대한 추정치는 $0.295m^3\;s^{-1}$로 모의되었다. 강우 사상별 첨두유량의 오차범위는 $-27.65\sim-1.13%$로 나타났으며, 이는 강우특성 및 선행강우조건에 영향을 받은 것으로 판단된다. 검증기간에 대하여 각 강우사상별 모형효율(E)의 평균값은 0.92로 나타났다. 첨두유량의 실측값은 평균적으로 $0.087m^3\;s^{-1}$이었으며, 추정된 첨두유량의 평균은 $0.090m^3\;s^{-1}$로 나타났다. 첨두시간은 보정기간에 대하여는 관측값과 모의값의 평균이 각각 18.3 hrs와 11.0 hrs이었으며, 검증기간에 대하여는 각각 16.6hrs와 13.5 hrs이었다.

SWMM을 이용한 조만강 유역 강우-오염물 유출모델링시스템 구축 (Establishment of Rainfall and Contaminants Runoff Modeling System for the Joman River Watershed Using SWMM)

  • 이용진;윤영삼;이남주
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제18권9호
    • /
    • pp.983-992
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of the present study is to analyze pollutant runoff characteristics from non-point sources in Joman River basin. The present study contains analyzed results of rainfall and SS, BOD, COD, TN, TP runoff from Joman River basin. This study contains a sensitivity analysis of parameters that affect the simulation results of rainfall and pollutants runoff. Result of the sensitivity analysis shows that proportion of watershed and impervious areas is the most sensitive to peak discharge and total flowrate for rainfall runoff and that WASHPO is the most sensitive parameter for pollutants runoff. For parameter estimation and verification, flowrate and water quality is measured at the Kangdong Bridge in Haeban stream. A single rainfall event is use to perform parameter estimation and verification. Results of the present study show that total pollutant loads of Joman River basin is 11,600 ton of SS, 452 ton of BOD, 1,084 ton of COD, 515 ton of TN, and 49 ton of TP, respectively. In addition, it is found that contribution ratio of non point source and total source is 89% of SS, 63% of BOD, 61% of COD, 21% of TN, and 32% of TP, respectively.

인공강우기에 의한 밭에서의 영양물질 배출특성 모의 - 시비량 및 경사도 변화 - (Simulation of Generable Nutritive Salts by Artificial Rainfall Simulator in field - By Varying Amount of Fertilization and Slope -)

  • 신민환;원철희;최용훈;서지연;최중대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제52권3호
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 2010
  • Various fundamental and practical theories and technologies are needed for the development of Best Management Practices (BMPs) to manage the problems. The objectives of this paper was to investigate the effect of fertilizer and Non-point suource (NPS) pollution discharges from the field. The effect of fertilizer application was measured with respect to 10 % and 20 % slopes, respectively, using artificial rainfall simulator. The effect of fertilizer application on runoff was not significant because the effect of slope and rainfall intensity were overwhelmed. Runoff from 20 % plots was 21 % larger than that from 10 % plots. While groundwater discharge from 10 % plots was about 70 % larger than that from 20 % plots. It was concluded that runoff and groundwater discharge were largely affected by slope. T-N concentration in groundwater was much higher than that in runoff for both 10 % and 20 % plots. While T-P concentration in groundwater was lower than that in runoff. It explained that T-N moved well through soil pores without adsorption and other chemical reactions but T-P was well adsorbed on the surface of soil particles.

WEPP 모형을 이용한 밭포장과 밭유역의 토양 유실량 추정 (Applications of WEPP Model to a Plot and a Small Upland Watershed)

  • 강민구;박승우;손정호;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제46권1호
    • /
    • pp.87-97
    • /
    • 2004
  • The paper presents the results from the applications of the Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) model to a single plot, and also a small watershed in the Mid Korean Peninsula which is comprised of hillslopes and channels along the water courses. Field monitoring was carried out to obtain total runoff, peak runoff and sediment yield data from research sites. For the plot of 0.63 ha in size, cultivated with com, the relative error of the simulated total runoff, peak runoff rates, and sediment yields using WEPP ranged from -16.6 to 22%, from -15.6 to 6.0%, and from 23.9 to 356.4% compared to the observed data, respectively. The relative errors for the upland watershed of 5.1 ha ranged from -0.7 to 11.1 % for the total runoff, from -6.6 to 35.0 % for the sediment yields. The simulation results seem to justify that WEPP is applicable to the Korean dry croplands if the parameters are correctly defined. The results from WEPP applications showed that the major source areas contributing sediment yield most are downstream parts of the watershed where runoff concentrated. It was suggested that cultural practice be managed in such a way that the soil surface could be fully covered by crop during rainy season to minimize sediment yield. And also, best management practices were recommended based on WEPP simulations.

격자기반의 강우유출모형을 통한 한강수계 다목적댐의 홍수유출해석 (Flood Runoff Analysis of Multi-purpose Dam Watersheds in the Han River Basin using a Grid-based Rainfall-Runoff Model)

  • 박인혁;박진혁;허영택
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제27권5호
    • /
    • pp.587-596
    • /
    • 2011
  • The interest in hydrological modeling has increased significantly recently due to the necessity of watershed management, specifically in regards to lumped models, which are being prosperously utilized because of their relatively uncomplicated algorithms which require less simulation time. However, lumped models require empirical coefficients for hydrological analyses, which do not take into consideration the heterogeneity of site-specific characteristics. To overcome such obstacles, a distributed model was offered as an alternative and the number of researches related to watershed management and distributed models has been steadily increasing in the recent years. Thus, in this study, the feasibility of a grid-based rainfall-runoff model was reviewed using the flood runoff process in the Han River basin, including the ChungjuDam, HoengseongDam and SoyangDam watersheds. Hydrological parameters based on GIS/RS were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover, soil map and rainfall depth. The accuracy of the runoff analysis for the model application was evaluated using EFF, NRMSE and QER. The calculation results showed that there was a good agreement with the observed data. Besides the ungauged spatial characteristics in the SoyangDam watershed, EFF showed a good result of 0.859.

Low-flow simulation and forecasting for efficient water management: case-study of the Seolmacheon Catchment, Korea

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Jang, Cheol Hee;ParkYu, Sanghyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.243-243
    • /
    • 2015
  • Low-flow simulation and forecasting is one of the emerging issues in hydrology due to the increasing demand of water in dry periods. Even though low-flow simulation and forecasting remains a difficult issue for hydrologists better simulation and earlier prediction of low flows are crucial for efficient water management. The UN has never stated that South Korea is in a water shortage. However, a recent study by MOLIT indicates that Korea will probably lack water by 4.3 billion m3 in 2020 due to several factors, including land cover and climate change impacts. The two main situations that generate low-flow events are an extended dry period (summer low-flow) and an extended period of low temperature (winter low-flow). This situation demands the hydrologists to concentrate more on low-flow hydrology. Korea's annual average precipitation is about 127.6 billion m3 where runoff into rivers and losses accounts 57% and 43% respectively and from 57% runoff discharge to the ocean is accounts 31% and total water use is about 26%. So, saving 6% of the runoff will solve the water shortage problem mentioned above. The main objective of this study is to present the hydrological modelling approach for low-flow simulation and forecasting using a model that have a capacity to represent the real hydrological behavior of the catchment and to address the water management of summer as well as winter low-flow. Two lumped hydrological models (GR4J and CAT) will be applied to calibrate and simulate the streamflow. The models will be applied to Seolmacheon catchment using daily streamflow data at Jeonjeokbigyo station, and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies will be calculated to check the model performance. The expected result will be summarized in a different ways so as to provide decision makers with the probabilistic forecasts and the associated risks of low flows. Finally, the results will be presented and the capacity of the models to provide useful information for efficient water management practice will be discussed.

  • PDF

선행토양함수조건(AMC)을 고려한 L-THIA WWW 직접유출 모의 정확성 평가 (Evaluation of L-THIA WWW Dimet Runoff Estimation with AMC Adjustment)

  • 김종건;박윤식;전지홍;;안재훈;박영곤;김기성;최중대;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제23권4호
    • /
    • pp.474-481
    • /
    • 2007
  • With population growth, industrialization, and urbanization within the watershed, the hydrologic response changed dramatically, resulting in increases in peak flow with lesser time to peak and total runoff with shortened time of concentration. Infiltration is directly affected by initial soil moisture condition, which is a key element to determine runoff. Influence of the initial soil moisture condition on hydrograph analysis should be evaluated to assess land use change impacts on runoff and non-point source pollution characteristics. The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model has been widely used for the estimation of the direct runoff worldwide. The L-THIA model was applied to the Little Eagle Creek (LEC) watershed and Its estimated direct runoff values were compared with the BFLOW filtered direct runoff values by other researchers. The $R^2$ value Was 0.68 and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value was 0.64. Also, the L-THIA estimates were compared with those separated using optimized $BFI_{max}$ value for the Eckhardt filter. The $R^2$ value and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value were 0.66 and 0.63, respectively. Although these higher statistics could indicate that the L-THIA model is good in estimating the direct runoff reasonably well, the Antecedent Moisture Condition (AMC) was not adjusted in that study, which might be responsible for mismatches in peak flow between the L-THIA estimated and the measured peak values. In this study, the L-THIA model was run with AMC adjustment for direct runoff estimation. The $R^2$ value was 0.80 and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value was 0.78 for the comparison of L-THIA simulated direct runoff with the filtered direct runoff. However there was 42.44% differences in the L-THIA estimated direct runoff and filtered direct runoff. This can be explained in that about 80% of the simulation period is classified as 'AMC I' condition, which caused lower CN values and lower direct runoff estimation. Thus, the coefficients of the equation to adjust CN II to CN I and CN III depending on AMC condition were modified to minimize adjustments impacts on runoff estimation. The $R^2$ and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient values increase, 0.80 and 0.80 respectively. The difference in the estimated and filtered direct runoff decreased from 42.44% to 7.99%. The results obtained in this study indicate the AMC needs to be considered for accurate direct runoff estimation using the L-THIA model. Also, more researches are needed for realistic adjustment of the AMC in the L-THIA model.

농업용수 이용량을 고려한 금강유역 장기유출모의 (Long-term Runoff Simulation Considering Water for Agricultural Use in Geum River Basin)

  • 우동현;이상진;김주철;안정민
    • 생태와환경
    • /
    • 제43권3호
    • /
    • pp.349-355
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 유역의 효율적인 물관리를 위해 이수적인 측면에서 입력되는 농업용수를 수요측면에서 산정된 계획량에서 실 이용량에 근사하게 보정하는 방법을 제시하고 장기유출모형을 활용하여 실용성이 높은 결과를 도출하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 내용을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1) 농업용 수리시설물들이 하천유량에 끼치는 영향을 분석하여 농업용수 이용량을 고려한 장기유출을 모의하였다. 그 결과 하천수 의존도가 낮은 지점에서 관측값과 차이가 큰 불량한 모의가 주로 발생하였다. 2) 연강우량과 유출오차와의 상관관계를 분석한 결과 2001년이나 2008년과 같은 가뭄년에 실제 용수이용을 충족시키지 못하여 유출모의시 오차가 커짐을 확인하였다. 3) 장기유출량 모의분석을 통해 논농사가 본격적으로 시작되는 5월부터 유출량이 음의 값으로 모의되고 있음을 확인하였다. 소규모 수리시설물을 고려하여 보정한 용수량을 이용한 결과 상관계수가 보정전 0.580에서 보정후 0.788로 보정전 모의보다 관측값과 상관성이 높아짐을 정량적으로 확인하였다. 4) 주요지점의 불일치율($R_D$) 분석결과 전반적으로 보정을 통한 모의가 적은 불일치 범위에 다수 포함됨을 정량적으로 확인하였다. 특히 대청지점의 불일치율 분석결과 -2에서 -2.5사이의 저유량 오차구간에 전체오차의 3% 차지하는 75개의 불일치율 나타났다. 이는 소규모수리시설물을 고려하지 못하고 용수량이 과다 산정되어 나타나는 오차로 본 연구에서 제시한 방법을 통해 모두 개선되었다. 5) 잔차분석을 통해 대청지점의 보정 전/후로 모의타당성 검정을 실시하였다. 잔차의 정규성 및 독립성을 분석한 결과 보정을 통해 모의의 타당성이 개선됨을 확인하였다.