• Title/Summary/Keyword: runoff modeling

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An Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on Nakdong River Environmental Flow (낙동강 유역 환경유량에 대한 기후변화의 영향 분석)

  • Lee, A Yeon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.273-285
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    • 2011
  • This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

Evaluation of conceptual rainfall-runoff models for different flow regimes and development of ensemble model (개념적 강우유출 모형의 유량구간별 적합성 평가 및 앙상블 모델 구축)

  • Yu, Jae-Ung;Park, Moon-Hyung;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.105-119
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    • 2021
  • An increase in the frequency and intensity of both floods and droughts has been recently observed due to an increase in climate variability. Especially, land-use change associated with industrial structure and urbanization has led to an imbalance between water supply and demand, acting as a constraint in water resource management. Accurate rainfall-runoff analysis plays a critical role in evaluating water availability in the water budget analysis. This study aimed to explore various continuous rainfall-runoff models over the Soyanggang dam watershed. Moreover, the ensemble modeling framework combining multiple models was introduced to present scenarios on streamflow considering uncertainties. In the ensemble modeling framework, rainfall-runoff models with fewer parameters are generally preferred for effective regionalization. In this study, more than 40 continuous rainfall-runoff models were applied to the Soyanggang dam watershed, and nine rainfall-runoff models were primarily selected using different goodness-of-fit measures. This study confirmed that the ensemble model showed better performance than the individual model over different flow regimes.

Improvement of the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction System Using Optimal Linear Correction (최적선형보정을 이용한 앙상블 유량예측 시스템의 개선)

  • Jeong, Dae-Il;Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.6 s.155
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    • pp.471-483
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    • 2005
  • A monthly Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) system was developed by applying a daily rainfall-runoff model known as the Streamflow Synthesis and Reservoir Regulation (SSARR) model to the Han, Nakdong, and Seomjin River basins in Korea. This study first assesses the accuracy of the averaged monthly runoffs simulated by SSARR for the 3 basins and proposes some improvements. The study found that the SSARR modeling of the Han and Nakdong River basins tended to significantly underestimate the actual runoff levels and the modeling of the Seomjin River basinshowed a large error variance. However, by implementing optimal linear correction (OLC), the accuracy of the SSARR model was considerably improved in predicting averaged monthly runoffs of the Han and Nakdong River basins. This improvement was not seen in the modeling of the Seomjin River basin. In addition, the ESP system was applied to forecast probabilistic runoff forecasts one month in advance for the 3 river basins from 1998 to 2003. Considerably improvement was also achieved with OLC in probabilistic forecasting accuracy for the Han and Nakdong River basins, but not in that of the Seomjin River basin.

Non-point Source Pollutants Runoft Modeling and its Management Using Quasi Distributed DEM -Focused on the Oshipchon of Samcheok (준 분포형 모형을 이용한 비점오염원 유출모델링 및 관리 -삼척 오십천을 중심으로-)

  • Kang Sang-Hyeok
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.13 no.1 s.32
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents tile modeling of non-point source pollutants runoff and its desirable water environmental management to closed waterbody. To obtain spatially distributed environmental information, fro have used contour data to extract stream channels automatically and to divide networks of watershed. A Quasi Digital Elevation Model (DEM) has been developed, validated, and adopted to estimate the runoff of total nitrogen pollutant from watershed. The GIS-linked model can be applied effectively to the non-point source pollutants from watersheds considering water conditions in receiving waters. It will be useful to manage water environment in receiving waters.

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Analysis of a Change in the Water-Balance after Application of Decentralized Rainwater Management Facilities - Based on the Results of the Hydrologic Modeling using the CAT - (분산식 빗물관리시설 적용에 따른 물수지 변화 분석 연구 - CAT을 이용한 수문모델링 결과를 토대로 -)

  • Lee, Tae-Goo;Han, Young-Hae
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2011
  • To analyze changes in the water-balance before and after using decentralized rainwater management facilities, this study carried out hydrologic modeling based on data including roof planting, rainwater use, infiltration and detention facilities applied to the sites. The results of the analysis are as follows: First, the total runoff quantity after facility installation was about 24% less than before. In particular, it showed that the surface runoff declined significantly. Second, the analysis of the effects of different decentralized rainwater management facilities revealed that the rooftop planting contributed to about a 3.5 times increase in actual evaporation than before. Third, the analysis of the effect of decentralized management facilities by different rainfall events showed that it turned to have about a 30% decreasing effect after facility installation for a monthly rainfall over 500mm or so and about 50% declining effect for a monthly rainfall about 200mm. As discussed above, the study confirmed that it is important to implement decentralized rainwater management facilities to improve inevitable changes in water-balance arising from development as it would be a significant alternative for sustainable urban development.

Grid Based Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Storage Function Method (저류함수기법을 이용한 격자기반의 강우-유출 모형 개발)

  • Shin, Cheol-Kyun;Cho, Hyo-Seob;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Kim, Jae-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.969-978
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    • 2004
  • According to the report of hydrologic modeling study, from a quantitative point of view, a lumped model is more efficient than a distributed model. A distributed model has to simplify geospatial characteristics for the shake of restricted application on computer calculation and field observation. In this reason, a distributed model can not help having some errors of water quantity modelling. However, considering a distribution of rainfall-runoff reflected spatial characteristics, a distributed model is more efficient to simulate a flow of surface water, The purpose of this study is modeling of spatial rainfall-runoff of surface water using grid based distributed model, which is consisted of storage function model and essential basin-channel parameters( slope, flow direction & accumulation), and that procedure is able to be executed at a personal computer. The prototype of this model is developed in Heongseong Multipunose Dam basin and adapted in Hapchon Multipurpose Dam basin, which is larger than the former about five times. The efficiency coefficients in result of two dam basin simulations are more than about 0.9, but ones at the upstream water level gauge station meet with bad result owing to overestimated rating curves in high water level. As a result of this study, it is easily implemented that spatially distributed rainfall-runoff model using GIS, and geophysical characteristics of the catchment, hereafter it is anticipated that this model is easily able to apply rainfall data by real time.

Evaluation of Modeling Approach for Suspended Sediment Yield Reduction by Surface Cover Material using Rice Straw at Upland Field (모델링 기법을 이용한 밭의 볏짚 지표피복의 부유사량 저감효과 평가 방법)

  • Park, Youn Shik;Kum, Donghyuk;Lee, Dong Jun;Choi, Joongdae;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Kim, Ki-sung
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.108-114
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    • 2016
  • Sediment-laden water leads to water quality degradation in streams; therefore, best management practices must be implemented in the source area to control nonpoint source pollution. Field monitoring was implemented to measure precipitation, direct runoff, and sediment concentrations at a control plot and straw-applied plot to examine the effect on sediment reduction in this study. A hydrology model, which employs Curve Number (CN) to estimate direct runoff and the Universal Soil Loss Equation to estimate soil loss, was selected. Twenty-five storm events from October 2010 to July 2012 were observed at the control plot, and 14 storm events from April 2011 to July 2011 at the straw-applied plot. CN was calibrated for direct runoff, and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency and coefficient of determination were 0.66 and 0.68 at the control plot. Direct runoff at the straw-applied plot was calibrated using the percentage direct runoff reduction. The estimated reduction in sediment load by direct runoff reduction calibration alone was acceptable. Therefore, direct runoff-sediment load behaviors in a hydrology model should be considered to estimate sediment load and the reduction thereof.

Long-term runoff characteristics on HRU variations of PRMS (PRMS의 HRU크기에 따른 장기유출특성)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Park, Sun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2005
  • In this study, the PRMS(Precipitation and Runoff Modeling System), developed by USGS(United States Geological Survey), was applied to the Yongdam dam watershed in the Geum River basin. The efficiency for runoff simulation and spatial characteristics of PRMS were evaluated. The runoff changes with the changes of subcatchments and HRUs were estimated. As results, the size of the subcatchment and HRV did not significantly affect the runoff at the exit of watershed. Consequently, the spatial characteristic of PRMS was shown as lumped type rather than semi-distributed. The geographical input data for Yongdam dam watershed were converted to the USGS Input type, and the parameters were calibrated using Rosenbrock optimization method, validated with the observed runoff data. The PRMS showed resonable agreements in the long-term continuous runoff simulation, if the accuracy of observed data is ensured.

Analysis of Sediment Discharge by Long-term Runoff in Nakdong River Watershed using SWAT Model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 장기 유출에 따른 유사량 분석)

  • Ji, Un;Kim, Tae-Geun;Lee, Eun-Jeong;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Hwang, Man-Ha;Jang, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.723-735
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    • 2014
  • Sediment discharge by long-term runoff in the Nakdong River watershed should be predicted for the maintenance and management of the Nakdong River newly changed by the four major river restoration project. The data establishment by the analysis of runoff and sediment discharge using the long-term watershed model is necessary to predict possible problems by incoming sediments and to prepare countermeasures for the maintenance and management. Therefore, sediment discharges by long-term runoff in the main points of the Nakdong River were calculated using SWAT(soil and water assessment tool) model and the relations and features between rainfall, runoff, and sediment discharge were analyzed in this study. As a result of sediment discharge calculation in the main points of the Nakdong River and tributaries, the sediment discharge at the outlet of the Naesung Stream was greater than the Jindong Station in the Lower Nakdong River from 1999 to 2008 except the years with low precipitation. The sediment discharge at the Nakdong River Estuary Barrage (NREB) was corresponding to 20% of the Jindong Station which is located about 80 km upstream from NREB.

Parameters Study of Linear Reservoir Models for Rainfall-Runoff Response (강우-유출에 대한 선형저수지 모형의 매개변수 연구)

  • Seo, Yeong-Je;Kim, Jin-Gyu;Park, Hyeon-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.711-720
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    • 1999
  • In this study, a various rainfall-runoff modelling approaches have been applied to the runoff response of flood hydrograph in three experimental watershed of the western part of korea. Mathematical models of runoff response also have been studied including linear system theory based on modeling techniques. Eight models were operated at the five water level gauging stations and the parameters of each model were computed by the Rosenbrock's hill climbing method to minimize the objective function. For the parameter verification of the models, a different complex rainfall-runoff event was selected in the same of the three river basins and derived IUH of the each model could be calibrated. Furthermore multiple regressions of the logarithmic transformation method between model parameters and catchment characteristics were studied in the selected five station.

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