• Title/Summary/Keyword: route prediction

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MOnCa2: High-Level Context Reasoning Framework based on User Travel Behavior Recognition and Route Prediction for Intelligent Smartphone Applications (MOnCa2: 지능형 스마트폰 어플리케이션을 위한 사용자 이동 행위 인지와 경로 예측 기반의 고수준 콘텍스트 추론 프레임워크)

  • Kim, Je-Min;Park, Young-Tack
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2015
  • MOnCa2 is a framework for building intelligent smartphone applications based on smartphone sensors and ontology reasoning. In previous studies, MOnCa determined and inferred user situations based on sensor values represented by ontology instances. When this approach is applied, recognizing user space information or objects in user surroundings is possible, whereas determining the user's physical context (travel behavior, travel destination) is impossible. In this paper, MOnCa2 is used to build recognition models for travel behavior and routes using smartphone sensors to analyze the user's physical context, infer basic context regarding the user's travel behavior and routes by adapting these models, and generate high-level context by applying ontology reasoning to the basic context for creating intelligent applications. This paper is focused on approaches that are able to recognize the user's travel behavior using smartphone accelerometers, predict personal routes and destinations using GPS signals, and infer high-level context by applying realization.

Prediction Method of the BOG for the Membrane Type LNGC in Middle East Route (중동항로 취항 멤브레인형 LNGC의 BOG 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 장은규;정연철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2004
  • LNGC suffers a great heat inflow during navigation and this heat inflow inevitably boils off the LNG. The boiled off gas(BOG) is normally consumed as a fuel for ship's engine. The boiled off LNG means a loss of cargo during transportation from the viewpoint of shipper. Therefore, a contract between shipper and ship operator is made on the limit of boiled off rate(BOR) under 0.15 %/day based on laden voyage. This contract on BOR limit requires that ship's officer has a correct knowledge on BOR for his ship. But, in most cases ship is operated based on only officer's experiences. In this study, author presented a simple model to predict the boiled off gas(BOG) during navigation based on the existing precision heat exchange design technology about the heat distribution on the hull and heat inflow from outside through the hull. The BOG is calculated for ballast and laden voyage based on the actual weather conditions and verified by comparing with the measured BOG for the study ship. The study ship is a membrane type LNGC which is now servicing in Middle east route. Thus, the BOG prediction method which is presented in this study is expected to be used for an useful tool to manage the BOG in now servicing LNGC.

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Prediction Method of the BOG for the Membrane Type LNGC in Middle East Route (중 항로 취항 멤브레인형 LNGC의 BOG 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Eun-Kyu;Jung, Yun-Chul
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.365-372
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    • 2004
  • LNGC suffers a great heat inflow during navigation and this heat inflow inevitably boils off the LNG. The boiled off gas(BOG) is normally consumed as a fuel for ship's engine. The boiled off LNG means a loss of cargo during transportation in the viewpoint of shipper. Therefore, a contract between shipper and ship operator is made for the limitation of BOR under 0.15 %/day based on laden voyage. This contract on BOR limit requires that ship's officer has a correct knowledge on BOR for his ship. nut, in most cases ship IS operated based on only officer's experiences. In this study, author presented a simple model to predict the BOG during navigation based on the existing precision heat exchange design technology about the heat distribution on the hull and heat inflow from outside through the hull. The BOG is calculated for ballast and laden voyage based on the actual weather conditions and verified by comparing with the measured BOG for the study ship. The study ship is a membrane type LNGC which is now servicing in Middle east route. Thus, the BOG prediction method which is presented in this study is expected to be used for an useful tool to manage the BOG in now servicing LNGC.

Study on the Prediction Model for Employment of University Graduates Using Machine Learning Classification (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 대졸 구직자 취업 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hun;Kim, Tae Hyung
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.287-306
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Youth unemployment is a social problem that continues to emerge in Korea. In this study, we create a model that predicts the employment of college graduates using decision tree, random forest and artificial neural network among machine learning techniques and compare the performance between each model through prediction results. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the data processing was performed, including the acquisition of the college graduates' vocational path survey data first, then the selection of independent variables and setting up dependent variables. We use R to create decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural network models and predicted whether college graduates were employed through each model. And at the end, the performance of each model was compared and evaluated. Findings The results showed that the random forest model had the highest performance, and the artificial neural network model had a narrow difference in performance than the decision tree model. In the decision-making tree model, key nodes were selected as to whether they receive economic support from their families, major affiliates, the route of obtaining information for jobs at universities, the importance of working income when choosing jobs and the location of graduation universities. Identifying the importance of variables in the random forest model, whether they receive economic support from their families as important variables, majors, the route to obtaining job information, the degree of irritating feelings for a month, and the location of the graduating university were selected.

Black Ice Formation Prediction Model Based on Public Data in Land, Infrastructure and Transport Domain (국토 교통 공공데이터 기반 블랙아이스 발생 구간 예측 모델)

  • Na, Jeong Ho;Yoon, Sung-Ho;Oh, Hyo-Jung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.7
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2021
  • Accidents caused by black ice occur frequently every winter, and the fatality rate is very high compared to other traffic accidents. Therefore, a systematic method is needed to predict the black ice formation before accidents. In this paper, we proposed a black ice prediction model based on heterogenous and multi-type data. To this end, 12,574,630 cases of 46 types of land, infrastructure, transport public data and meteorological public data were collected. Subsequently, the data cleansing process including missing value detection and normalization was followed by the establishment of approximately 600,000 refined datasets. We analyzed the correlation of 42 factors collected to predict the occurrence of black ice by selecting only 21 factors that have a valid effect on black ice prediction. The prediction model developed through this will eventually be used to derive the route-specific black ice risk index, which will be utilized as a preliminary study for black ice warning alart services.

Verification of Low-Level Wind Shear Prediction System Using Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) (항공기 기상관측자료(AMDAR)를 이용한 인천국제공항 저고도 급변풍 예측시스템 검증)

  • Jae-Hyeok Seok;Hee-Wook Choi;Geun-Hoi Kim;Sang-Sam Lee;Yong Hee Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 2023
  • In order to predict low-level wind shear at Incheon International Airport (RKSI), a Low-Level Wind Shear prediction system (KMAP-LLWS) along the runway take-off and landing route at RKSI was established using Korea Meteorological Administration Post-Processing (KMAP). For the performance evaluation, the case of low-level wind shear cases calculated from Aircraft Meteorological Data Relay (AMDAR) from July 2021 to June 2022 was used. As a result of verification using the performance evaluation index, POD, FAR, CSI, and TSS were 0.5, 0.85, 0.13, and 0.34, respectively, and the prediction performance was improved by POD, CSI, and TSS compared to the Low-Level Wind Shear prediction system (LDPS-LLWS) calculated using the Korea Meteorological Administration's Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS). This means that the use of high-resolution numerical models improves the predictability of wind changes. In addition, to improve the high FAR of KMAP-LLWS, the threshold for low-level wind shear strength was adjusted. As a result, the most effective low-level wind shear threshold at 8.5 knot/100 ft was derived. This study suggests that it is possible to predict and respond to low-level wind shear at RKSI. In addition, it will be possible to predict low-level wind shear at other airports without wind shear observation equipment by applying the KMAP-LLWS.

A Study on Predicting the demand for Public Shared Bikes using linear Regression

  • HAN, Dong Hun;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2022
  • As the need for eco-friendly transportation increases due to the deepening climate crisis, many local governments in Korea are introducing shared bicycles. Due to anxiety about public transportation after COVID-19, bicycles have firmly established themselves as the axis of daily transportation. The use of shared bicycles is spread, and the demand for bicycles is increasing by rental offices, but there are operational and management difficulties because the demand is managed under a limited budget. And unfortunately, user behavior results in a spatial imbalance of the bike inventory over time. So, in order to easily operate the maintenance of shared bicycles in Seoul, bicycles should be prepared in large quantities at a time of high demand and withdrawn at a low time. Therefore, in this study, by using machine learning, the linear regression algorithm and MS Azure ML are used to predict and analyze when demand is high. As a result of the analysis, the demand for bicycles in 2018 is on the rise compared to 2017, and the demand is lower in winter than in spring, summer, and fall. It can be judged that this linear regression-based prediction can reduce maintenance and management costs in a shared society and increase user convenience. In a further study, we will focus on shared bike routes by using GPS tracking systems. Through the data found, the route used by most people will be analyzed to derive the optimal route when installing a bicycle-only road.

Wi-Fi Fingerprint-based Indoor Movement Route Data Generation Method (Wi-Fi 핑거프린트 기반 실내 이동 경로 데이터 생성 방법)

  • Yoon, Chang-Pyo;Hwang, Chi-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.458-459
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    • 2021
  • Recently, researches using deep learning technology based on Wi-Fi fingerprints have been conducted for accurate services in indoor location-based services. Among the deep learning models, an RNN model that can store information from the past can store continuous movements in indoor positioning, thereby reducing positioning errors. At this time, continuous sequential data is required as training data. However, since Wi-Fi fingerprint data is generally managed only with signals for a specific location, it is inappropriate to use it as training data for an RNN model. This paper proposes a path generation method through prediction of a moving path based on Wi-Fi fingerprint data extended to region data through clustering to generate sequential input data of the RNN model.

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Analysis of vessel traffic patterns near Busan Port using AIS data (AIS 데이터를 활용한 부산항 인근 선박통항패턴 분석)

  • Hyeong-Tak Lee;Hey-Min Choi;Jeong-Seok Lee;Hyun Yang;Ik-Soon Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.155-156
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    • 2022
  • Efficient operation of ships can transport cargo to ports safer and faster, and reduce fuel costs. Therefore, in this study, the pattern was analyzed using AIS data of ships passing near Busan Port, a representative port in Korea. The analysis of vessel traffic patterns was approached with a grid-based node generation method, which can be used for research such as optimal route and route prediction.

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Performance Assessment of Two-stream Convolutional Long- and Short-term Memory Model for September Arctic Sea Ice Prediction from 2001 to 2021 (Two-stream Convolutional Long- and Short-term Memory 모델의 2001-2021년 9월 북극 해빙 예측 성능 평가)

  • Chi, Junhwa
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.6_1
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    • pp.1047-1056
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    • 2022
  • Sea ice, frozen sea water, in the Artic is a primary indicator of global warming. Due to its importance to the climate system, shipping-route navigation, and fisheries, Arctic sea ice prediction has gained increased attention in various disciplines. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), motivated by a desire to develop more autonomous and efficient future predictions, have led to the development of new sea ice prediction models as alternatives to conventional numerical and statistical prediction models. This study aims to evaluate the performance of the two-stream convolutional long-and short-term memory (TS-ConvLSTM) AI model, which is designed for learning both global and local characteristics of the Arctic sea ice changes, for the minimum September Arctic sea ice from 2001 to 2021, and to show the possibility for an operational prediction system. Although the TS-ConvLSTM model generally increased the prediction performance as training data increased, predictability for the marginal ice zone, 5-50% concentration, showed a negative trend due to increasing first-year sea ice and warming. Additionally, a comparison of sea ice extent predicted by the TS-ConvLSTM with the median Sea Ice Outlooks (SIOs) submitted to the Sea Ice Prediction Network has been carried out. Unlike the TS-ConvLSTM, the median SIOs did not show notable improvements as time passed (i.e., the amount of training data increased). Although the TS-ConvLSTM model has shown the potential for the operational sea ice prediction system, learning more spatio-temporal patterns in the difficult-to-predict natural environment for the robust prediction system should be considered in future work.