• Title/Summary/Keyword: river flow estimation

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Development of river discharge estimation scheme using Monte Carlo simulation and 1D numerical analysis model (Monte Carlo 모의 및 수치해석 모형을 활용한 하천 유량 추정기법의 개발)

  • Kang, Hansol;An, Hyunuk;Kim, Yeonsu;Hur, Youngteck;Noh, Joonwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2022
  • Since the frequency of heavy rainfall is increasing due to climate change, water levels in the river exceed past historical records. The rating-curve is to convert water level into flow dicscharge from the regression analysis of the water level and corresponding flow discharges. However, the rating-curve involves many uncertainties because of the limited data especially when observed water level exceed past historical water levels. In order to compensate for insufficient data and increase the accuracy of flow discharge data, this study estimates the flow discharge in the river computed mathematically using Monte Carlo simulation based on a 1D hydrodynamic numerical model. Based on the existing rating curve, a random combination of coefficients constituting the rating-curve creates a number of virtual rating curve. From the computed results of the hydrodynamic model, it is possible to estimate flow discharge which reproduces best fit to the observed water level. Based on the statistical evaluation of these samples, a method for mathematically estimating the water level and flow discharge of all cross sections is porposed. The proposed methodology is applied to the junction of Yochoen Stream in the Seomjin River. As a result, it is confirmed that the water level reproducibility was greatly improved. Also, the water level and flow discharge can be calculated mathematically when the proposed method is applied.

Base Flow Estimation in Uppermost Nakdong River Watersheds Using Chemical Hydrological Curve Separation Technique (화학적 수문곡선 분리기법을 이용한 낙동강 최상류 유역 기저유출량 산정)

  • Kim, Ryoungeun;Lee, Okjeong;Choi, Jeonghyeon;Won, Jeongeun;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2020
  • Effective science-based management of the basin water resources requires an understanding of the characteristics of the streams, such as the baseflow discharge. In this study, the base flow was estimated in the two watersheds with the least artificial factors among the Nakdong River watersheds, as determined using the chemical hydrograph separation technique. The 16-year (2004-2019) discontinuous observed stream flow and electrical conductivity data in the Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) monitoring network were extended to continuous daily data using the TANK model and the 7-parameter log-linear model combined with the minimum variance unbiased estimator. The annual base flows at the upper Namgang Dam basin and the upper Nakdong River basin were both analyzed to be about 56% of the total annual flow. The monthly base flow ratio showed a high monthly deviation, as it was found to be higher than 0.9 in the dry season and about 0.46 in the rainy season. This is in line with the prevailing common sense notion that in winter, most of the stream flow is base flow, due to the characteristics of the dry season winter in Korea. It is expected that the chemical-based hydrological separation technique involving TANK and the 7-parameter log-linear models used in this study can help quantify the base flow required for systematic watershed water environment management.

Future Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Low Flow on Climate Change in Dam Basins (기후변화에 따른 저유량 전망 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Moon Hwan;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.407-419
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    • 2016
  • The low flow is the necessary and important index to establish national water planning, however there are lots of uncertainty in the low flow estimation. Therefore, the objectives of this study are to assess the climate change uncertainty and the effects of hydrological models on low flow estimation. The 5 RCMs (HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4, MM5, WRF, and RSM), 5 statistical post-processing methods and 2 hydrological models were applied for evaluation. The study area were selected as Chungju dam and Soyang river dam basin, and the 30 days minimum flow is used for the low flow evaluation. The results of the uncertainty analysis showed that the hydrological model was the largest source of uncertainty about 41.5% in the low flow projection. The uncertainty of hydrological model is higher than the other steps (RCM, statistical post-processing). Also, VIC model is more sensitive for climate change compared to SWAT model. Therefore, the hydrological model should be thoroughly reviewed for the climate change impact assessment on low flow.

Estimation of river water depth using UAV-assisted RGB imagery and multiple linear regression analysis (무인기 지원 RGB 영상과 다중선형회귀분석을 이용한 하천 수심 추정)

  • Moon, Hyeon-Tae;Lee, Jung-Hwan;Yuk, Ji-Moon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1059-1070
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    • 2020
  • River cross-section measurement data is one of the most important input data in research related to hydraulic and hydrological modeling, such as flow calculation and flood forecasting warning methods for river management. However, the acquisition of accurate and continuous cross-section data of rivers leading to irregular geometric structure has significant limitations in terms of time and cost. In this regard, a primary objective of this study is to develop a methodology that is able to measure the spatial distribution of continuous river characteristics by minimizing the input of time, cost, and manpower. Therefore, in this study, we tried to examine the possibility and accuracy of continuous cross-section estimation by estimating the water depth for each cross-section through multiple linear regression analysis using RGB-based aerial images and actual data. As a result of comparing with the actual data, it was confirmed that the depth can be accurately estimated within about 2 m of water depth, which can capture spatially heterogeneous relationships, and this is expected to contribute to accurate and continuous river cross-section acquisition.

Estimation of Movement Amount of River Floating Debris Based on Effective Rainfall and Flow Rate (유효강우량과 유량에 따른 하천 부유쓰레기 이동량 산출)

  • Jang, Seon-Woong;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.237-242
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    • 2017
  • Along with effluence of non-point pollution source, continuous precipitation due to rainy season or localized heavy rain can also be a good reason for increase of flow rate. And if the water level is going up due to the increase, floating debris around rivers and streams will move because of increased flow velocity. However, currently, there are no studies which perform quantitative calculation on movement of floating debris by analyzing amount of rainfall and flow rate in both domestic and abroad. Thus, the present study calculated amount of movement of floating debris based on moving route monitoring results according to changes of effective rainfall and flow rate that are obtained by using SCS-CN method.

A Study on the Improvement Scheme of the Total Water Pollution Load Management Plan (수질오염총량관리 계획수립의 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Yi, Sang-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.977-981
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    • 2006
  • In order to improve water quality in drinking water sources, Ministry of Environment (MOE) was implemented total water pollution load management (TWPLM) in all the major river basins. From the experience of the application of TWPLM, we could find some problems relating the target watershed, standard operating procedure (SOP) of establishment and implementation plan, water quality and flow rate, design flow, water quality model, margin of safety (MOS), and estimation of wasteload were found. The authors were reviewed ongoing TWPLM and presented the improvement schemes for a successful TWPLM. For the application of these suggestions, further detailed studies should be done to implement TWPLM in the future.

Computational Model for Flow in River Systems Including Storage Pockets with Side Weirs (횡월류형 강변저류지를 포함하는 하천수계에 대한 수리학적 계산모형)

  • Jun, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Jin-Soo;Kim, Won;Yoon, Byung-Man
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.139-151
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    • 2010
  • A quasi-two-dimensional unsteady flow model was developed for simulating the flow in a river system including artificial storage pockets with side weirs. It is a multiply-connected network which combines channels and storage pockets. The channel flow is described by the one-dimensional Saint Venant equations, and the weir overflow flow by the cell continuity and stage-discharge relations. The model was applied to the Imjin river system including six artificial storage pockets. Design flood peak reduction due to storage pockets is not sensitive to the side weir discharge coefficient. Storage pockets downstream are less effective than upstream ones in reducing peak stage as the backwater effect becomes more dominant. Simulated flood control effect is highly sensitive to the roughness coefficient. The uncertainty due to the roughness coefficient increases as the weir crest elevation gets higher. Because the best design alternative varies with the roughness coefficient, proper estimation of it is essential to the design of side weirs. Moreover, uncertainty of the estimation needs to be considered in the design process.

Stochastic Forecasting of Monthly River Flwos by Multiplicative ARIMA Model (Multiplicative ARIMA 모형에 의한 월유량의 추계학적 모의 예측)

  • 박무종;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.331-339
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    • 1989
  • The monthly flows with periodicity and trend were forecasted by multiplicative ARIMA model and then the applicability of the model was tested based on 23 years of the historical monthly flow data at Jindong river stage gauging station in the Nakdong River Basin. The parameter estimation was made with 21 years of data and the remaining two years of monthly data were used to compare the forecasted flows by ARIMA (2,0,0)$\times$$(0,1,1)_{12}$ with the observed. The results of forecast showed a good agreement with the observed, implying the applicability of multiplicative ARIMA model for forecasting monthly river flows at the Jindong site.

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Rainfall Estimation for Hydrologic Applications

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Georgakakos, K.P.;Rajagopal, R.
    • Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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    • v.7
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 1996
  • The subject of the paper is the selection of the number and location of raingauge stations among existing ones for the computation of mean areal precipitation and for use as input of real-time flow prediction models. The weighted average method developed by National Weather Service was used to compute MAP over the Boone River basin in Iowa with a 40 year daily data set. Two different searching methods were used to find local optimal solutions. An operational rainfall-runoff model was used to determine the optimal location and number of stations for flow prediction.

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Estimation of stream flow discharge using the satellite synthetic aperture radar images at the mid to small size streams (합성개구레이더 인공위성 영상을 활용한 중소규모 하천에서의 유량 추정)

  • Seo, Minji;Kim, Dongkyun;Ahmad, Waqas;Cha, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1181-1194
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    • 2018
  • This study suggests a novel approach of estimating stream flow discharge using the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images taken from 2015 to 2017 by European Space Agency Sentinel-1 satellite. Fifteen small to medium sized rivers in the Han River basin were selected as study area, and the SAR satellite images and flow data from water level and flow observation system operated by the Korea Institute of Hydrological Survey were used for model construction. First, we apply the histogram matching technique to 12 SAR images that have undergone various preprocessing processes for error correction to make the brightness distribution of the images the same. Then, the flow estimation model was constructed by deriving the relationship between the area of the stream water body extracted using the threshold classification method and the in-situ flow data. As a result, we could construct a power function type flow estimation model at the fourteen study areas except for one station. The minimum, the mean, and the maximum coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of the models of at fourteen study areas were 0.30, 0.80, and 0.99, respectively.