• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk map

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A Web-based Information System for Plant Disease Forecast Based on Weather Data at High Spatial Resolution

  • Kang, Wee-Soo;Hong, Soon-Sung;Han, Yong-Kyu;Kim, Kyu-Rang;Kim, Sung-Gi;Park, Eun-Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2010
  • This paper describes a web-based information system for plant disease forecast that was developed for crop growers in Gyeonggi-do, Korea. The system generates hourly or daily warnings at the spatial resolution of $240\;m{\times}240\;m$ based on weather data. The system consists of four components including weather data acquisition system, job process system, data storage system, and web service system. The spatial resolution of disease forecast is high enough to estimate daily or hourly infection risks of individual farms, so that farmers can use the forecast information practically in determining if and when fungicides are to be sprayed to control diseases. Currently, forecasting models for blast, sheath blight, and grain rot of rice, and scab and rust of pear are available for the system. As for the spatial interpolation of weather data, the interpolated temperature and relative humidity showed high accuracy as compared with the observed data at the same locations. However, the spatial interpolation of rainfall and leaf wetness events needs to be improved. For rice blast forecasting, 44.5% of infection warnings based on the observed weather data were correctly estimated when the disease forecast was made based on the interpolated weather data. The low accuracy in disease forecast based on the interpolated weather data was mainly due to the failure in estimating leaf wetness events.

Uncertainty and Estimation of Health Burden from Particulate Matter in Seoul Metropolitan Region (수도권 대기 중 입자상 물질로 인한 건강부담 추정과 불확실성)

  • Ha, Jongsik;Moon, Nankyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2013
  • It is well known that exposure to high level of PM (particulate matter) can adversely affect human health. However, little is known about health burden of PM considering the relationship, exposed level of PM, and health level in local communities. And, there is scarcely methodical assessment of uncertainty for application to policies of these assessment results. The scope of this study is divided into two parts: firstly to estimate the death burden of PM10 (particulate matter less then $10{\mu}m$ in diameter) in Seoul metropolitan region, and secondly to evaluate potential uncertainties in these estimates. To estimate the death burden of PM10 in Seoul metropolitan region from 2005~2010, we firstly assessed the relationship between daily mean PM10 and daily death counts in Seoul from 2000~2010, and calculated the death burden of PM10 using BenMAP (Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program). After that, we identified and characterized uncertainties to substantially influence the results of death burden. The daily mortality risk was increased 1.000227 times (p-value/0.001) associated with $1{\mu}g/m^3$ increase of daily mean PM10 for all ages population, Seoul. And, death burdens of PM10 in Seoul metropolitan region were estimated from 5.51 in 2005 to 5.12 in 2010 per 100,000 people. Finally, we categorized context, model, and input uncertainty and characterized these uncertainties in three dimensions (i.e. location, level, and nature) using uncertainty typology. In our study, we argue that uncertainties need to be identified, assessed, reported and interpreted in order for assessment results to adequately support decision making, such as the establishment of air quality standards based on health burden of air quality.

Children's Mental Health in the Area Affected by the Hebei Spirit Oil Spill Accident

  • Ha, Mina;Jeong, Woo-Chul;Lim, Myungho;Kwon, Hojang;Choi, Yeyong;Yoo, Seung-Jin;Noh, Su Ryun;Cheong, Hae-Kwan
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.28
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    • pp.10.1-10.4
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    • 2013
  • Objectives Children are one of the most vulnerable populations to the impact of disasters. We aimed to examine children's mental health in the area affected by the Hebei Spirit oil spill accident on December 7, 2007. Methods A cross-sectional questionnaire survey was conducted using the Korean versions of the Children's Depression Inventory and State Anxiety Inventory for Children on 1,362 children attending elementary schools in the affected area. The information on distances between the nearest contaminated coastline to the child's residential house or attending school were obtained using a web-based map by inputting two address points. The symptom risks of depression and state anxiety were estimated by multiple logistic regression analyses adjusted for age, gender, and other covariates. Results Children with the closest distance (in the fourth quartile) to the school from the contaminated coastline showed a significantly higher symptom risk of depression compared to those with the farthest distance (first quartile)(odds ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.40-5.33), while there was no significant association between anxiety symptoms and distance. Conclusions Children, a vulnerable population for mental health impact by the oil spill accident, should be included in mental health programs in the community along with their family as victims of the disaster.

Extraction of Crime Vulnerable Areas Using Crime Statistics and Spatial Big Data (공간 빅데이터와 범죄통계자료를 이용한 범죄취약지 추출)

  • Park, So-Rang;Park, Jae-Kook
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.161-171
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    • 2018
  • This study set out to identify crime vulnerable areas with the GIS spatial analysis technique for the prediction of crimes. Crime vulnerable areas were extracted from the statistics of crimes with the GIS hotspot analysis technique and the inverse distance weighted(IDW) method applied to different crimes according to places and use districts. The scope of surveillance and weight were calculated for each of CPTED surveillance elements including CCTV, streetlamp, patrol division, and police substation. Maps of crime vulnerable areas were overlapped one after another to make a CPTED-based one expressed in four grades(safety, attention, warning, and risk).

Development of Flood Risk Map Using Two-Dimensional Unstructured Grid-Based Analysis (2차원 비정형 격자기법을 통한 홍수위험지도의 개발)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong;Cho, Wan-Hee;Kim, Dong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.357-361
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    • 2008
  • 홍수는 인간이 지구상에 생존하기 전부터 발생하여왔다. 그러나 최근 들어 홍수 규모가 대형화되었고, 그 발생빈도도 증가하고 있다. 최근에는 지구온난화가 가속화 되면서 전 세계적으로 높은 강도의 기상이변들이 속출하고 있다. 우리나라도 예외는 아니어서 지난 100년 동안 기온이 약 $1.5^{\circ}C$ 가량 상승하였고, 집중호우나 태풍과 같은 극단적인 기상현상들로 인한 피해가 날이 갈수록 심해지고 있다. 이러한 이상기후에 따른 태풍, 집중호우 등의 대규모 호우로 인해 댐 및 제방 붕괴와 같은 비상상황이 초래될 수 있다. 잇따른 피해들을 통해 홍수침수 범위의 예측 분석을 통한 홍수위험 및 다양한 홍수위험지도 작성의 필요성이 대두되었다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 종류의 홍수위험지도의 개발을 위해 금호강과 태화강을 대상유역으로 선정하고, 1차원 분석(하천흐름)에는 미국 기상청의 FLDWAV 모형을 적용하였고 2차원 분석(범람흐름)에는 2차원 비정형 격자기법 침수해석 모형을 적용하였다. 1차원 및 2차원 수치해석 모형을 대상유역에 적용한 모의를 통하여 실제 홍수에 대한 제방의 붕괴 및 월류에 따른 유량을 산정하였고, '침수심 지도'와 '홍수유속 지도'를 작성하였으며, 또한 홍수위험 강도를 표현하기 위해 유속과 수심을 이용하여 홍수위험에 대한 '홍수위험강도 지도'를 작성하였다. 다양한 홍수위험지도는 홍수방어대책에 대한 평가와 개발, 또한 개발지역에 대한 선택에 이용될 수 있으며, 실제 홍수시 홍수위험지도에 나타난 긴급대피지역의 모든 주민들에 대해서 피난경고를 미리 발령하는 등의 방법으로 이용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Application Technique of Spatial Information for Disaster Areas Forecast (재해지역 예측에서의 공간정보의 활용 기법 연구개발)

  • Yeon, sang-ho;Kwon, kee-wook;Min, kwan-sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.277-280
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    • 2010
  • The prevention of disasters is important to prepare in advance through analysis and an estimate. But for all the efforts of the government to stave off disasters, the damage out of a guerilla localized heavy rain caused the global warming, a landslide and inundation is growing. To prevent these damages, the basic data and system through systematic research and analysis should be set up. But it is true that collecting of the basic data and the system for preventing disasters are either constructing or insufficient so far. In this research, by using topography spatial data including LiDAR data including the aerial photo and digital maps, and etc. the factor of a disaster, the disaster risk element was extracted. Moreover, the disaster region about the disaster generation available region was evaluated in advance using the easy disaster analysis of current situation photo map which made with the grid analysis method and weighted value estimate technique.

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The Setting of Restoration Priority and Assessment for Mountain Range Fragmented Points in Daegu : Focused on the Ecological Aspect (생태적 측면에서의 대구광역시 산줄기 단절지점 평가 및 복원우선순위 설정)

  • Kim, Jin-Hyo;Ra, Jung-Hwa;Kwon, Oh-Sung;Cho, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the fragmented points of mountain ranges in Daegu metropolitan city using New Sangyeongpyo (Chart of Mountain Ranges), road system map and GIS spatial analysis, and to prioritize the identified fragmented points for restoration based on quantitative assessment. Moreover, this study proposes restoration plans reflecting the assessment results and characteristics of each fragmented point. The results of this study are summarized as follows: First of all, analysis of the distribution of mountain ranges in Daegu metropolitan city showed that jimaek and semaek in Daegu account for 2% of all mountain ranges in the country, implying that the mountain ranges of Daegu do not hold significant ranking on a national level. However, it was found that numerous fragmented points are appearing due to roads. According to the analysis, 35 fragmented points were identified, of which 15 were found to be restorable. In terms of restoration potential and involved risks, assessment results of the 15 fragmented points indicated that 6 points are at Grade I, 3 points are at Grade II and 6 points are at Grade III. Therefore, a methodology of restoring fragmented mountain ranges was proposed through three suggestions of restoration plans that consider the characteristics of each fragmented points. The results of this study are expected to be highly useful as basic data for effective restoration of mountain ranges in connection with mountain range restorations and relevant projects implemented on a national level in the future.

Analyzing Season and Place of Mars Dust Storm (화성 먼지 폭풍의 공간적 분포와 발생시기 분석 연구)

  • Seo, Haingja;Kim, Eojin;Kim, Joo Hyeon;Lee, Joo Hee
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2013
  • Local dust storm and lifting to dust frequently occurs in Mars. But it is known to lift dust is associated with atmospheric circulation, the cause of dust lifting is not find yet. The height of dust storm is more than the Himalayas, and the large size dust storm covers half of hemisphere or hemisphere. The kind of dust storm is risk factor to land and to carry out a mission. In this paper, we carry out analysis on the season and place of dust storm, and construct a map with the place of dust storm. We expect that the season and place of dust storm are able to be predicted with being based on the results. And this paper can be utilized as preliminary for selection of landing site and time of launching and landing.

The Spatial Accessibility of Women in Childbearing Age for Delivery Services in Gangwon-do (강원도 지역 가임기 여성의 분만서비스 접근성 분석)

  • Choi, Soyoung;Lee, Kwang-Soo
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.229-240
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    • 2017
  • Background: This study purposed to analyze the spatial accessibility of women in childbearing age to the healthcare organizations (HCOs) providing delivery services in Gangwon-do. Methods: Network analysis was applied to assess the spatial accessibility based on the travel time and road travel distance. Travel time and travel distance were measured between the location of HCOs and the centroid of the smallest administrative areas, eup, myeon, and dong in Gangwon-do. Korean Transport Database Center provided road network GIS (Geographic Information System) Database in 2015 and it was used to build the network dataset. Two types of network analysis, service area analysis and origin-destination (OD)-cost matrix analysis, applied to the created network dataset. Service area analysis defined all-accessible areas that are within a specified time, and OD-cost matrix analysis measured the least-cost paths from the HCOs to the centroids. The visualization of the number of the HCOs and the number of women in childbearing age on the Ganwon-do map and network analysis were performed with ArcGIS ver. 10.0 (ESRI, Redlands, CA, USA). Results: Twenty HCOs were providing delivery services in Gangwon-do in 2016. Over 50% of the women in childbearing age were aged more than 35 years. Service area analysis found that 89.56% of Gangwon-do area took less than 60 minutes to reach any types of HCOs. For tertiary hospitals, about 74.37% of Gangwon-do area took more than 60 minutes. Except Wonju-si and Hoengseong-gun, other regions took more than 60 minutes to reach the tertiary hospital. Especially, Goseong-gun, Donghae-si, Samcheok-si, Sokcho-si, Yanggu-gun, Cheorwon-gun, and Taebaek-si took more than 100 minutes to the tertiary hospital. Conclusion: This study provided that the accessibility toward the tertiary hospital was limited and it may cause problems in high-risk delivery patients such as over 35 years. Health policy makers will need to handle the obstetric accessibility issues in Gangwon-do.

Agroclimatic Maps Augmented by a GIS Technology (디지털 농업기후도 해설)

  • Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2010
  • A comprehensive mapping project for agroclimatic zoning in South Korea will end by April 2010, which has required 4 years, a billion won (ca. 0.9 million US dollars) and 22 experts from 7 institutions to complete it. The map database from this project may be categorized into primary, secondary and analytical products. The primary products are called "high definition" digital climate maps (HD-DCMs) and available through the state of the art techniques in geospatial climatology. For example, daily minimum temperature surfaces were prepared by combining the climatic normals (1971-2000 and 1981-2008) of synoptic observations with the simulated thermodynamic nature of cold air by using the raster GIS and microwave temperature profiling which can quantify effects of cold air drainage on local temperature. The spatial resolution of the gridded climate data is 30m for temperature and solar irradiance, and 270m for precipitation. The secondary products are climatic indices produced by statistical analysis of the primary products and includes extremes, sums, and probabilities of climatic events relevant to farming activities at a given grid cell. The analytical products were prepared by driving agronomic models with the HD-DCMs and dates of full bloom, the risk of freezing damage, and the fruit quality are among the examples. Because the spatial resolution of local climate information for agronomic practices exceeds the current weather service scale, HD-DCMs and the value-added products are expected to supplement the insufficient spatial resolution of official climatology. In this lecture, state of the art techniques embedded in the products, how to combine the techniques with the existing geospatial information, and agroclimatic zoning for major crops and fruits in South Korea will be provided.