• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk indicators

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Analysis of Farm Revenue Stabilization and Social Welfare Effects of Crop Yield Insurance (농작물재해보험의 농가 수입안정 및 사회적 후생 효과 분석)

  • Kang, Su-Jin;Chung, Won-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.369-383
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    • 2016
  • Crop yield insurance program in Korea has rapidly grown not only in quantity but in quality for 15 years since it was introduced in 2001. Despite growth of Crop insurance, performance evaluation for crop yield insurance has not fully been evaluated at the farm, consumer and national level. The purpose of this study is to conduct the performance evaluation for crop yield insurance through estimating the effects of farm revenue stabilization and social welfare increase with three popular insurance items: apple, pear and sweet persimmon. Based on the analysis of social welfare effect, cost-benefit analysis of operating crop yield insurance was conducted at the national level. We found that crop yield insurance stabilizes farm revenue based on the estimated four risk indicators: Coefficient of Variation, Value at Risk, Certainty Equivalence, and Risk Premium. The result of cost-benefit analysis shows that crop yield insurance increases social net benefit by 44.1 billion won for the three items. As a result, crop yield insurance program has contributed remarkably on social welfare as well as farm management and its role will be more important in the future.

Development of an Inspection Item and its Application for the Hygienic Improvement of Food service Establishments Using (식품접객 업소의 위생개선을 위한 검사항목 개발과 활용에 관한 연구 -HACCP 모델을 이용한 기여인자 분석방법으로)

  • 홍종해;이용욱
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 1992
  • The sanitation inspection is the most frequently used procedure to protect foods prepared in foodservice establishments. In order to enhance foodservice inspections and to improve post-inspection remedial measures, more practical evaluation methods for sanitation are required. The HACCP approach is based upon factors which contribute to foodborne disease rather than of factors which relate to aesthetics. Contributing factors for foodborne diseases from food service establishments reported in USA, Candada, and England were analyzed to identify potential hazards during practical foodservice operations. Hazards were classified at critical control points by risk ranking, Twenty-two observable practical indicators relating to each contributing factor were selected and adjusted to standardized procedures and hazard determiners at critical control points, The weights for each inspection item were ranked as 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 according to the risk level of contributing factors. And also application for the inspection item in different 6 types of work procedures were suggested for the use of specialized foodservice establishment and cafeteria, and of manager's self inspection in each establishment.

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Development of an Inspection Item and its Application for the Hygienic Improvement of Foodservice Establishments Using - Hazard Analysis Critical Control Point(HACCP) Model- (식품접객업소(食品接客業所)의 위생개선(衛生改善)을 위(爲)한 검사항목(檢査項目) 개발(開發)과 활용(活用)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) -HACCP 모델을 이용(利用)한 기여인자(寄與因子) 분석방법(分析方法)으로-)

  • Hong, Chong-Hae;Lee, Yong-Wook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Food Hygiene and Safety Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.33-45
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    • 1992
  • The sanitation inspection is the most frequently used procedure to protect foods prepared in foodservice establishments. In order to enhance foodservioe inspections and to improve post-inspection remedial measures, more practical evaluation methods for sanitation are required. The HACCP approach is based upon factors which contribute to foodborne disease rather than on factors which relate to aesthetics. Contributing factors for foodborne disease from foodservice establishments reported in USA, Canada, and England were analyzed to identify potential hazards during practical foodservioe operations. Hazards were classified at critical control points by risk ranking. Twenty-two observable practical indicators relating to each contributing factor were selected and adjusted to standardized procedures and hazard determiners at critical contral points. The weights for each inspection item were ranked as 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 according to the risk level of contributing factors. And also application for the inspection item in different 6 types of work procedures was suggested for the use of specialized foodservice establishment and cafeteria, and of manager's self inspection in each establishment.

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Relationship between Alcohol Drinking Patterns and Obesity and Abdominal Obesity in Korean Adult Men (한국 성인 남성의 음주패턴과 비만과의 관련성)

  • Kim, Bo Young;Lee, Eun Sook
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.478-491
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to determine whether alcohol drinking patterns (drinking frequency, drinking quantity, binge drinking frequency and risk drinking) were related to obesity and abdominal obesity. Methods: A total of 6,749 adult men from the sixth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to determine if obesity and abdominal obesity was associated with alcohol consumption patterns after adjusting for covariates. Results: No relationship was observed between drinking frequency and obesity. The odds ratio vs. nondrinkers for obesity was significantly low for individuals who consumed 5 to 6 drinks per typical occasion and monthly binge drinking. However ${\geq}7$ drinks per typical occasion resulted in a significantly higher odds for obesity relative to nondrinkers. The odds ratio vs. nondrinkers for abdominal obesity was significantly lower in response to monthly binge drinking, whereas ${\geq}10$ drinks per typical occasion and daily binge drinking resulted in significantly higher odds for abdominal obesity. Risk drinking had higher odds for abdominal obesity than non-risk drinking. Conclusion: Although moderate alcohol drinkers have a lower prevalence of obesity and abdominal obesity than nondrinkers, higher drinking quantity and frequent binge drinking are indicators of a higher prevalence of obesity and abdominal obesity in men.

Biomonitoring the Genotoxicity of Environmental Pollutants Using the Tradescantia Bioassay (환경 중 유전독성물질 검색을 위한 자주달개비 생물검정 기법의 적용연구)

  • 신해식
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Toocicology Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2004
  • Higher plants can be valuable genetic assay systems for monitoring environmental pollutants and evaluating their biological toxicity. Two assays are considered ideal for in situ monitoring and testing of soil, airborne and aqueous mutagenic agents; the Tradescantia stamen hair assay for somatic cell mutations and the Tradescantia micronucleus assay for chromosome aberrations. Both assays can be used for in vivo and in vitro testing of mutagens. Since higher plant systems are now recognized as excellent indicators and have unique advantages over in situ monitoring and screening, higher plant systems could be accepted by regulatory authorities as an alternative first-tier assay system for the detection of possible genetic damages resulting from the pollutants or chemicals used and produced by industrial sectors. It has been concluded that potential mutagen and carcinogen such as the heavy metals among indoor air particulates, volatile compounds in the working places, soil, and water pollutants contribute to the overall health risk. This contribution can be considerable under certain circumstances. It is therefore important to identify the level of genotoxic activity in the environment and to relate it to the biomarkers of a health risk in humans. The results from the higher plant bioassays could make a significant contribution to assessing the risks of pollutants and protecting the public from agents that can cause mutation and/or cancer. The plant bioassays, which are relatively inexpensive and easy to handle, are recommended for the scientists who are interested in monitoring pollutants and evaluating their environmental toxicity to living organisms.

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Assessment of Environmental Pollution with Tradescantia Bioassays (자주달개비 생물검정 기법을 이용한 환경오염 평가)

  • Kim Jin Gyu;Sin Hae Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Biology Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2004
  • Higher plants can be valuable genetic assay systems for monitoring environmental pollutants and evaluating their biological toxicity. Two assays are considered ideal for in situ monitoring and testing of soil, airborne and aqueous mutagenic agents; the Tradescantia stamen hair assay for somatic cell mutations and the Tradescantia micronucleus assay for chromosome aberrations. Both assays can be used for in vivo and in vitro testing of mutagens. Since higher plant systems are now recognized as excellent indicators and have unique advantages over in situ monitoring and screening, higher plant systems could be accepted by regulatory authorities as an alternative first-tier assay system for the detection of possible genetic damages resulting from the pollutants or chemicals used and produced by industrial sectors. It has been concluded that potential mutagen and carcinogen such as the heavy metals among indoor air particulates, volatile compounds in the working places, soil, and water pollutants contribute to the overall health risk. This contribution can be considerable under certain circumstances. It is therefore important to identify the level of genotoxic activity in the environment and to relate it to the biomarkers of a health risk in humans. The results from the higher plant bioassays could make a significant contribution to assessing the risks of pollutants and protecting the public firom agents that can cause mutation anuor cancer. The plant bioassays, which are relatively inexpensive and easy to handle, are recommended for the scientists who are interested in monitoring pollutants and evaluating their environmental toxicity to living organisms.

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An Evaluative Study of the Operational Safety of High-Speed Railway Stations Based on IEM-Fuzzy Comprehensive Assessment Theory

  • Wang, Li;Jin, Chunling;Xu, Chongqi
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1064-1073
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    • 2020
  • The general situation of system composition and safety management of high-speed railway terminal is investigated and a comprehensive evaluation index system of operational security is established on the basis of railway laws and regulations and previous research results to evaluate the operational security management of the high-speed railway terminal objectively and scientifically. Index weight is determined by introducing interval eigenvalue method (IEM), which aims to reduce the dependence of judgment matrix on consistency test and improve judgment accuracy. Operational security status of a high-speed railway terminal in northwest China is analyzed using the traditional model of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and a general technique idea and references for the operational security evaluation of the high-speed railway terminal are provided. IEM is introduced to determine the weight of each index, overcomes shortcomings of traditional analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method, and improves the accuracy and scientificity of the comprehensive evaluation. Risk factors, such as terrorist attacks, bad weather, and building fires, are intentionally avoided in the selection of evaluation indicators due to the complexity of risk factors in the operation of high-speed railway passenger stations and limitation of the length of the paper. However, such risk factors should be considered in the follow-up studies.

Analysis of the Influential Factors for Metabolic Syndrome on Stenosis after Coronary Angiography (심장동맥조영술 후 협착에 미치는 대사증후군의 영향인자 분석)

  • Kim, Gyu-Hee;Ji, Tae-Jeong
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2022
  • The study is conducted with the subjects who have under gone coronary angiography to examine the influential factors for the severity of coronary stenosis. Four indicators related to hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, obesity of metabolic syndrome were used as influential factors. As a result of the study, metabolic syndrome such as diabetes and dyslipidemia had 3.3 times and 7.7 times higher chance to lead to 1VD, respectively. In 2VD, diabetes showed 2.9 times higher risk, and dyslipidemia showed 8.5 times higher risk. In 3VD, diabetes was found to be 5 times higher and dyslipidemia was 17.5 times higher in risk. Therefore, it was confirmed that dyslipidemia showed the highest correlation among metabolic syndromes. According to this study, it was confirmed that dyslipidemia and diabetes were closely related to the influential factors for coronary artery stenosis.

Flood Risk Management for Weirs: Integrated Application of Artificial Intelligence and RESCON Modelling for Maintaining Reservoir Safety

  • Idrees, Muhammad Bilal;Kim, Dongwook;Lee, Jin-Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.167-167
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    • 2020
  • Annual sediment deposition in reservoirs behind weirs poses flood risk, while its accurate prediction remains a challenge. Sediment management by hydraulic flushing is an effective method to maintain reservoir storage. In this study, an integrated approach to predict sediment inflow and sediment flushing simulation in reservoirs is presented. The annual sediment inflow prediction was carried out with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) modelling. RESCON model was applied for quantification of sediment flushing feasibility criteria. The integrated approach was applied on Sangju Weir and also on estuary of Nakdong River (NREB). The mean annual sediment inflow predicted at Sangju Weir and NREB was 400,000 ㎥ and 170,000 ㎥, respectively. The sediment characteristics gathered were used to setup RESCON model and sediment balance ratio (SBR) and long term capacity ratio (LTCR) were used as flushing efficiency indicators. For Sangju Weir, the flushing discharge, Qf = 140 ㎥/s with a drawdown of 5 m, and flushing duration, Tf = 10 days was necessary for efficient flushing. At NREB site, the parameters for efficient flushing were Qf = 80 ㎥/s, Tf = 5 days, N = 1, Elf = 2.24 m. The hydraulic flushing was concluded feasible for sediment management at both Sangju Weir and NREB.

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Estimation of the Liability Risk for Release of Chemicals at Chemical Plant (화학플랜트에서의 화학물질 누출사고에 대한 배상책임 위험도 산정)

  • Moon, Jung Man;Park, Dal Jae
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.58 no.3
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    • pp.438-449
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    • 2020
  • This study is to improve the method of calculating the risk of liability that arise from release and dispersion of chemicals outside the plant in process industries such as chemical and petrochemical plants. To achieve this goal, the correlation factors with the risk of chemical release accident is derived by simulating release and dispersion of substances (14 types) designated by Ministry of Environment as preparation for accident, analyzing the cases of chemical release and effects of plant life damage. The method of calculating chemical liability risk was modified and supplemented based on the results obtained from the study. The correlation coefficient between the probit value of 14 chemical types and the liability risk by EURAM (European Union Risk Ranking Method) was -0.526, while the correlation coefficient with the modified chemical release accident risk was 0.319. Thus, the value from modified method shows that they appear to be correlated. According to modified calculating methodology, the correlation between ERPG-2 value and liability risk of 97 chemical types was -0.494 which is 19 times higher than existing liability risk correlation as absolute value. And the correlation coefficient of corrosion risk was 0.91. The standardized regression coefficients (β) value of correlation factors that affected the increase and decrease of risk were derived in order of Corrosion Index(0.713), ERPG-2 (0.400) and NFPA Health Index (0.0680) by values. It is expected that these findings this study result will also enable the calculation of reasonable chemical release liability risk for existing and new chemical, and will help use them as quantitative liability risk management indicators for chemical plant site.