• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk evaluation techniques

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Probability Based Risk Evaluation Techniques for the Small-Sized Sea Floater (소형 해상 부유체의 확률 기반 위기평가기법)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.10
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    • pp.795-801
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    • 2012
  • This paper describes theoretical approach methodology for the Probability based risk Evaluation Techniques (PET) to monitor the risk levels of small-sized sea floater as like a yacht pier. The risk decision-making process by risk criteria with five-step scales is the core concepts of PET. These five-step scales are calculated from cumulative probability distribution of response functions for the sea floater motions using closed-form expressions. In addition, The risk decision-making process of PET with the risk criteria is proposed in this work. To verify the usability of PET, simulation experiments are carried out using mimic signals with the electrical specifications of ADIS16405 sensor that is to be use as measurement tool for the floater motions. As results from experiments, the risk evaluation error by PET shows 0.38 levels in maximum 5.0 levels. These results clearly shown that the proposed PET can be use as the monitoring techniques.

A Study on the Risk Assessment System for Human Factors (휴먼에러를 중심으로 한 위험요인 도출 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Sang Kyo;Chang, Seong Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 2014
  • Human error is one of the major contributors to the accidents. A lot of risk assessment techniques have been developed for prevention of accidents. Nevertheless, most of them were interested in physical factors, because quantitative evaluation of human errors was difficult quantitatively. According to lack of risk assessment techniques about human errors, most of industrial risk assessment for human errors were based on data of accident analysis. In order to develop an effective countermeasure to reduce the risk caused by human errors, a systematic analysis is needed. Generally, risk assessment system is composed of 5 step(classification of work activity, identification of hazards, risk estimation, evaluation and improvement). This study aimed to develop a risk identification technique for human errors that could mainly be applied to industrial fields. In this study, Ergo-HAZOP and Comprehensive Human Error Analysis Technique were used for developing the risk identification technique. In the proposed risk identification technique, Ergo-HAZOP was used for broad-brush risk identification. More critical risks were analysed by Comprehensive Human Error Analysis Technique. In order to verify applicability, the proposed risk identification technique was applied to the work of pile head cutting. As a consequence, extensive hazards were identified and fundamental countermeasures were established. It is expected that much attention would be paid to prevent accidents by human error in industrial fields since safety personnel can easily fint out hazards of human factors if utilizing the proposed risk identification technique.

Application of Toxicogenomic Technology for the Improvement of Risk Assessment

  • Hwang, Myung-Sil;Yoon, Eun-Kyung;Kim, Ja-Young;Son, Bo-Kyung;Jang, Dong-Deuk;Yoo, Tae-Moo
    • Molecular & Cellular Toxicology
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.260-266
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    • 2008
  • Recently, there has been scientific discussion on the utility of -omics techniques such as genomics, proteomics, and metabolomics within toxicological research and mechanism-based risk assessment. Toxicogenomics is a novel approach integrating the expression analysis of genes (genomic) or proteins (proteomic) with traditional toxicological methods. Since 1999, the toxicogenomic approach has been extensively applied for regulatory purposes in order to understand the potential toxic mechanisms that result from chemical compound exposures. Therefore, this article's purpose was to consider the utility of toxicogenomic profiles for improved risk assessment, explore the current limitations in applying toxicogenomics to regulation, and finally, to rationalize possible avenues to resolve some of the major challenges. Based on many recent works, the significant impact toxicogenomic techniques would have on human health risk assessment is better identification of toxicity pathways or mode-of-actions (MOAs). In addition, the application of toxicogenomics in risk assessment and regulation has proven to be cost effective in terms of screening unknown toxicants prior to more extensive and costly experimental evaluation. However, to maximize the utility of these techniques in regulation, researchers and regulators must resolve many parallel challenges with regard to data collection, integration, and interpretation. Furthermore, standard guidance has to be prepared for researchers and assessors on the scientifically appropriate use of toxicogenomic profiles in risk assessment. The National Institute of Toxicological Research (NITR) looks forward to an ongoing role as leader in addressing the challenges associated with the scientifically sound use of toxicogenomics data in risk assessment.

A Basic Study on Assessment Criterion of the Risk Factor for the Marine Traffic Environment (해상교통환경 위험요소 평가기준 설정을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Chol-Seong;Lee, Hong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2012
  • The representative risk evaluation techniques of the marine traffic environment are the FSA, PAWSA, & IWRAP. For the development of these techniques, the risk factors suitable to the marine traffic environment should be selected & the assessment criterion of the risk factors should be provided. The risk factors were selected as the factors that relate both to the frequency of casualty & to the consequence of casualty because the risk was defined as the frequency of casualty times the consequence of that casualty on the existing techniques. But, the risk factors relate to the consequence of casualty are excluded because the risk is defined as the sum of the risk factors including the frequency and the consequence by factors on this study. The 20 kinds of risk factors to compose the risk are selected and classified into 5 categories according to similar nature through the analysis of preceding study on the classification of the risk factors. Finally, as the foundation of risk assessment model's development for domestic marine traffic environment, the practical assessment criterion of the risk factors are suggested.

A Study on the Risk Management of Container Transport at Sea (컨테이너의 해상운송(海上運送)과 위험관리(危險管理)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Nam, Young-Eun;Park, Sang-Gap
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2001
  • This paper aims to select the appropriate risk management techniques on the risks of container transport at sea based on risk and risk management theory. Risk management can be defined as a systematic process for the identification and evaluation of pure loss exposure faced by an organization or individual, and for the selection and administration of the most appropriate techniques for treating such exposures. Risks of container at sea transport are widely divided into three categories, such as risk of container itself, risk of container cargo and liability to third party. This paper places emphasis on the risks of container transport at sea as well as limits its scope from container terminal to container terminal.

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A Study on the Evaluation Method of Hazardous Road Cut-Slopes for the Detailed Investigation (도로절개면 정밀조사를 위한 조사우선순위 결정법에 관한 연구)

  • 구호본;이종현;박혁진;백영식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2000.03b
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 2000
  • When a large number of hazardous road cut-slopes are spreaded in widely scattered areas, the effective investigation and evaluation method that is able to decide the risk of hazardous road cut-slopes, is required. Many different evaluation techniques were suggested by many different researchers based on their demands, but there are the limited researches on the experimental evaluation technique which can be utilized by personnel who does not have much experiences on the road cut-slopes. In this study, the appropriate and effective evaluation method of the dangerous slope is suggested and this method can be used by both inexperienced and experienced persons. Therefore, this is the one of the effective ways that can mitigate the possibility of landslides.

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A Study on Fire Risk Analysis & Indexing of Buildings (건축물의 화재위험의 분석과 지수화에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Eui-Soo;Yang, Kwang-Mo;Ha, Jeong-Ho;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2008
  • A successful fire risk assessment is depends on identification of risk, the analytical process of potential risk, on estimation of likelihood and the width and depth of consequence. Take the influence on enterprise into consideration, Fire risk assessment could carry out along the evaluation of the risk importance, the risk level and the risk acceptance. A large part of the limitation of choosing the risk assessment techniques impose restrictions on expense and time. If it is unnecessary high level risk assessment or Probabilistic Risk Assessment of buildings, in compliance with the Relative Ranking Method, Fire risk indexing and assessing is possible. As working-level technique, AHP method is useful with practical technique.

A Comparison of Excess Rates of Risk Factors among Ergonomic Assessment Tools for Automobile and Part Manufacturing Industry Workers (자동차 업종의 근골격계질환 발생 위험요인에 대한 인간공학적 평가도구간 초과율 비교)

  • Chung, Eun Kyo;Kim, Jung Man
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.88-95
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    • 2009
  • There are many assessment techniques used for occupational risk factors of MSDs in the workplaces. However, because all ergonomic assesment techniques or tools are based on theoretical background derived from workphysiology, biomechanics, psychophysics, industrial hygiene, work system, and etc, it is impossible to compare the assessment techniques. This study was conducted to compare the excess rates of risk factors among ergonomic assessment techniques and to make alternative methods. Site-visits to 6 automobile products and parts company provided data for process repeated work where the produced data was examined for evaluating the relationship between workplace lay-out and work posture by using ergonomic assessment techniques. We evaluated 157 jobs for simple repeated work and 37 jobs for manual materials handling (MMH). In simple repeated work, the exceeded rates of AC were 36.3% in OWAS method and 93.0% in RULA method. The exceeded rate for RULA method was significantly higher than those for OWAS method (p<0.05). In MMH, the exceeded rates of AC were 80.0% in NLE method and 76.5% in WAC method. Statistically significant differences were not identified in the exceeded rates for NLE and MAC methods (p<0.05). The analyzed results among ergonomic assessment techniques (OWAS, RULA, NLE/WAC) were applied to the same work places performing simple repeated work and manual materials handling simultaneously. The applied results showed statistically significant differences (p<0.05) among ergonomic assessment techniques (OWAS, RULA, NLE/WAC). Exceeded rates of four ergonomic assessment techniques in decreasing order was "RULA>NLE>WAC>OWAS". The RULA method was the strongest assessment technique for automobile products and parts company. We discovered that the results could easily be overestimated or underestimated when the ergonomic assessment techniques were not applied correctly during the evaluation process. Therefore, we recommend using at least 2 methods when evaluating and analysing the results.

Risk Analysis System in Fuzzy Set Theory (퍼지 집합론을 이용한 위험분석 시스템)

  • 홍상우
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.13 no.21
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 1990
  • An assessment of risk in industrial and urban environments is essential in the prevention of accident and in the analysis of situations which are hazardous to public health and safety. The risk imposed by a particular hazard increases with the likelihood of occurence of the event, the exposure and the possible consequence of that event. In a traditional approach, the calculation of a quantitative value of risk is usually based on an assignment of numerical values of each of the risk factors. Then the product of the values of likelihood, exposure and consequences called risk score is derived. However vagueness and imprecision in mathematical quantification of risk are equated with fuzziness rather than randomness. In this paper, a fuzzy set theoretic approach to risk analysis is proposed as an alternative to the techniques currently used in the area of systems safety. Then the concept of risk evaluation using linguistic representation of the likelihood, exposure and consequences is introduced. A risk assessment model using approximate reasoning technique based on fuzzy logic is presented to drive fuzzy values of risk and numerical example for risk analysis is also presented to illustrate the results.

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