• Title/Summary/Keyword: result predictions

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An Empirical Study on the Effects of the US-China Trade Disputes on Korean Business Performance (미국과 중국의 무역분쟁이 한국기업의 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 대한 실증연구)

  • Oh, Dae-Hyuck
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.183-195
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The study attempted to analyze how the U.S.-China trade dispute affects a highly trade-dependent South Korea. Currently, major domestic and international institutions have issued a number of conflicting predictions that the trade dispute between China and the United States will have a positive and negative impact on South Korea. Accordingly, the present study attempted to analyze using actual data. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis was conducted using actual import and export data from the United States and China and actual import and export data from the United States and China from South Korea. The analysis measured the number and amount of imports and exports by year and month, and the rate of increase and decrease. We also looked at trade dispute days, import and export outcomes and what the impact was. In addition, as a result of the US-China trade dispute, the amount of change in Korea's imports and exports was analyzed. Findings - Empirical analysis shows that South Korea's exports to the United States and China have increased. The analysis results are as follows. First, exports to the United States increased by 5.65% in 2018 and 6.45% in 2019 compared to 2017. Second, exports to China surged 12.34% in 2018 compared to 2017. This increase in South Korea's exports to the United States and its mass exports to the United States shows that South Korea has benefited from the trade dispute between the United States and China. Research implications or Originality - South Korea, which is highly trade-dependent, has been heavily affected by the U.S.-China trade dispute. Various predictions are made about this. The analysis showed that South Korea's export volume has increased. In the end, the effect of the trade transition to the 3rd country did not occur. Rather, the U.S.-China trade dispute appears to have helped South Korea.

Comparison of RANS, URANS, SAS and IDDES for the prediction of train crosswind characteristics

  • Xiao-Shuai Huo;Tang-Hong Liu;Zheng-Wei Chen;Wen-Hui Li;Hong-Rui Gao;Bin Xu
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2023
  • In this study, two steady RANS turbulence models (SST k-ω and Realizable k-ε) and four unsteady turbulence models (URANS SST k-ω and Realizable k-ε, SST-SAS, and SST-IDDES) are evaluated with respect to their capacity to predict crosswind characteristics on high-speed trains (HSTs). All of the numerical simulations are compared with the wind tunnel values and LES results to ensure the accuracy of each turbulence model. Specifically, the surface pressure distributions, time-averaged aerodynamic coefficients, flow fields, and computational cost are studied to determine the suitability of different models. Results suggest that the predictions of the pressure distributions and aerodynamic forces obtained from the steady and transient RANS models are almost the same. In particular, both SAS and IDDES exhibits similar predictions with wind tunnel test and LES, therefore, the SAS model is considered an attractive alternative for IDDES or LES in the crosswind study of trains. In addition, if the computational cost needs to be significantly reduced, the RANS SST k-ω model is shown to provide relatively reasonable results for the surface pressures and aerodynamic forces. As a result, the RANS SST k-ω model might be the most appropriate option for the expensive aerodynamic optimizations of trains using machine learning (ML) techniques because it balances solution accuracy and resource consumption.

Comparison Of CATHARE2 And RELAP5/MOD3 Predictions On The BETHSY 6.2% TC Small-Break Loss-Of-Coolant Experiment (CATHARE2와 RELAP5/MOD3를 이용한 BETHSY 6.2 TC 소형 냉각재상실사고 실험결과의 해석)

  • Chung, Young-Jong;Jeong, Jae-Jun;Chang, Won-Pyo;Kim, Dong-Su
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.126-139
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    • 1994
  • Best-estimate thermal-hydraulic codes, CATHARE2 V1.2 and RELAP5/MOD3, hate been assessed against the BETHSY 6.2 tc six-inch cold leg break loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) test. Main objective is to analyze the overall capabilities of the two codes on physical phenomena of concern during the small break LOCA i.e. two-phase critical flow, depressurization, core water level de-pression, loop seal clearing, liquid holdup, etc. The calculation results show that the too codes predict well both in the occurrences and trends of major two-phase flow phenomena observed. Especially, the CATHARE2 calculations show better agreements with the experimental data. However, the two codes, in common, show some deviations in the predictions of loop seal clearing, collapsed core water level after the loop seal clearing, and accumulator injection behaviors. The discrepancies found from the comprision with the experimental data are larger in the RELAP5 results than in the CATHARE2. To analyze the deviations of the two code predictions in detail, several sensitivity calculations have been performed. In addition to the change of two-phase discharge coefficients for the break junction, fine nodalization and some corrections of the interphase drag term are made. For CATHARE2, the change of interphase drag force improves the mass distribution in the primary side. And the prediction of SG pressure is improved by the modification of boundary conditions. For RELAP5, any single input change doesn't improve the whole result and it is found that the interphase drag model has still large uncertainties.

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Determination of the Depletion Depth of the Deep Depletion Charge-Coupled Devices

  • Kim Man-Ho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.233-236
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    • 2006
  • A 3-D numerical simulation of a buried-channel CCD (Charge Coupled Device) with a deep depletion has been performed to investigate its electrical and physical behaviors. Results are presented for a deep depletion CCD (EEV CCD12; JET-X CCD) fabricated on a high-resistivity $(1.5k\Omega-cm)\;65{\mu}m$ thick epi-layer, on a $550{\mu}m$ thick p+ substrate, which is optimized for X-ray detection. Accurate predictions of the Potential minimum and barrier height of a CCD Pixel as a function of mobile electrons are found to give good charge transfer. The depletion depth approximation as a function of gate and substrate bias voltage provided average errors of less than 6%, compared with the results estimated from X-ray detection efficiency measurements. The result obtained from the transient simulation of signal charge movement is also presented based on 3-Dimensional analysis.

Flow characteristics of axial fan with shroud (축류홴과 슈라우드의 유량 및 내부 유동 특성)

  • Lee, Kwang-Hee;Kim, Jae-Won
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2008
  • Axial fan without static blades requires the duct as a guidance for unskewed inflows. This work examined the geometric effects of a duct guided the in and out flows through an impeller. The present methodologies are computational predictions with parallel work by experimental validation. Several different positions of a rotor in a duct are proposed for plausible models of a rotor inside a duct. The optimum axial position of an impeller in a duct is found at the #4 model where the impeller lies on the inlet edge of a circular duct. The model shows a wider inlet area. The result of computational prediction is in good agreement with experiment measurement.

A Basis Study on Optimum Design of Air Turbine for Wind Power Generation (풍력발전용 공기터빈의 최적설계에 관한 기초 연구)

  • 김정환;김범석;김윤해;남청도;이영호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1091-1097
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    • 2001
  • A numerical investigation was performed to determine the effect of airfoil on the optimum flap height using NACA 00XX and 44XX airfoils. The six flaps which have 0.5% chord height difference were selected . A Navier-Stokes code, FLUENT, was used to calculate the flow field of the airfoil. The code was first tested as a benchmark by modelling flow around a NACA 4412 airfoil. Predictions of local pressure coefficients are found to be in good agreement with the result of the experimental results. For every NACA 00XX and 44XX airfoil, flap heights ranging from 0.0% to 2.5% chord were changed by 0.5% chord interval and their effects were also studied. Representative results from each case are presented graphically and discussed. It is conclued that this initial approach gives an idea for the future development of the wind turbine optimum design.

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A Particle Filtering Approach for On-Line Failure Prognosis in a Planetary Carrier Plate

  • Orchard, Marcos E.;Vachtsevanos, George J.
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces an on-line particle-filtering-based framework for failure prognosis in nonlinear, non-Gaussian systems. This framework uses a nonlinear state-space model of the plant(with unknown time-varying parameters) and a particle filtering(PF) algorithm to estimate the probability density function(pdf) of the state in real-time. The state pdf estimate is then used to predict the evolution in time of the fault indicator, obtaining as a result the pdf of the remaining useful life(RUL) for the faulty subsystem. This approach provides information about the precision and accuracy of long-term predictions, RUL expectations, and 95% confidence intervals for the condition under study. Data from a seeded fault test for a UH-60 planetary carrier plate are used to validate the proposed methodology.

NUMERICAL MODEL ON THE FUEL INJECTION CHARACTERISTICS FOR PREDICTING EXHAUST EMISSIONS FROM A MARINE DIESEL ENGINE

  • LEE S.-Y.;KIM G.-B.;JEON C.-H.;CHANG Y.-J.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.205-213
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    • 2005
  • This study deals with the result of exhaust emissions and performance calculated by simulation of the fuel injection characteristics of the inline injection system in a marine diesel engine. The emissions are calculated through non-equilibrium by using the extended Zel'dovich kinetic mechanism for NOx and equilibrium method for OH, CO, $H_2$, Hand soot concentrations. Comparisons of the model predictions with the experimental values show reasonable agreement. Detailed prediction results showing the sensitivity of the model by injection rates are presented and discussed.

Modeling of a Gasoline Spray Impinging on a Wall (벽면충돌 가솔린 분무 모델)

  • 김태완;원영호;박정규
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2001
  • Most gasoline engines employ a port injection system to achieve the better fuel-air mixing. A part of injected fuels adheres to the wall or intake valve and forms a film of liquid fuel. The other is secondarily atomized by the spray-wall interaction. A better understanding of this interaction will help in designing injection systems and controlling the strategies to improve engine performance and exhaust emissions. In the present research, the spray-wall interaction was investigated by a laser sheet visualization method. The shape of sprays was pictured at various impinging velocities and angles. The fuel dispersion was estimated by fluorescence light, and the atomization was evaluated by the enlarged images of droplets. The experimental results were compared with model predictions which are based on OPT method. The model has been modified to have the better agreement with the experimental result, and was implemented in the KIVA-II code.

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Vibration Analysis of a Rotating Cantilever Beam Having Tapered Cross Section (테이퍼진 단면을 가진 회전 외팔보의 진동해석)

  • Yoo, Hong-Hee;Lee, Jun-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.348-353
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    • 2008
  • A vibration analysis for a rotating cantilever beam with the tapered cross section is presented in this study. The stiffness changes due to the stretching caused by centrifugal inertia forces when a tapered cantilever beam rotates about the axis perpendicular to its longitudinal axis. When the cross section of cantilever beam are assumed to decrease constantly, the mass and stiffness also change according to the variation of the thickness and width ratio of a tapered cantilever beam. Such phenomena result in variations of natural frequencies and mode shapes. Therefore it is important to the equations of motion in order to be obtained accurate predictions of these variations. The equations of motion of a rotating tapered cantilever beam are derived by using hybrid deformation variable modeling method and numerical results are obtained along with the angular velocity and the thickness and width ratio.

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