• 제목/요약/키워드: reserve service

검색결과 108건 처리시간 0.023초

부채변화에 대한 순서이론 예측력 검정 및 유통기업의 함의 (Pecking Order Prediction of Debt Changes and Its Implication for the Retail Firm)

  • 이정환;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This paper aims to investigate whether information asymmetry could explain capital structures in Korean corporations. According to Myers (1984), firms prefer internal funding to external financing due to the costs associated with information asymmetry. When external financing is necessary, firms prefer to issue debt rather than equity by the same reasoning. Since Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), numerous studies continue to debate the validity of the theory. In this paper, we show how the theory depends on assumptions and incorporated variables. We hope our investigation can provide helpful implications regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics. Specifically, our empirical results are complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee's (2015), a recent study that examines the pecking order theory prediction for Korean retail firms. Research design, data, and methodology - We test empirical models that are some variants of model used in Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). The financial and accounting data are provided by WISEfn for the firms listed on the KOSPI during 1990 to 2013. Bond ratings are supplied by the Korea Investor Service (KIS). We take into account the heterogeneity in debt capacity; a firm's debt capacity is measured by using the method of Lemmon and Zender (2010) based on its bond ratings. Finally, we estimate empirical models suggested by Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), Frank and Goyal (2003), and Lemmon and Zender (2010). Results - First, we find that Shyam-Sunder and Myers' (1999) prediction fails to explain total debt changes of Korean firms. Second, we find a non-monotonic relationship between total debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. This contradicts the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010) that argues the pecking order theory survives with a monotonically increasing relationship. Third, we estimate a negative correlation coefficient between financial deficit and current debt changes. The result is the complete opposite of the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010). Finally, we also confirm the non-monotonic relationship between non-current debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. Yet, the slope of coefficient is smaller than that of total debt change case. Indeed, the results are, to some extent, consistent with the prediction of pecking order theory, if we exclude the mid-debt capacity firms. Conclusions - Our empirical results complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee (2015), a recent study focusing on capital structure in Korean retail firms; their paper suggests interesting topics regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics in Korean corporations. Contrary to Son and Lee (2015), our results show that total debt changes and current debt changes are inconsistent with the prediction of Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). However, similar to Son and Lee (2015), non-current debt changes are consistent with the pecking order prediction, in the case of excluding the mid-level debt capacity firms. This contrast allows us to infer that industry characteristics significantly affect the validity of the pecking order prediction. Further studies are needed to analyze the economics behind this phenomenon, which is beyond the scope of our paper. In addition, the estimation bias potentially matters regarding the firm-level debt capacity calculation. We also reserve this topic for future research.

질적 간호에 대한 환자와 가족의 지각 (Perceptions of Quality Nursing care of Patients and Families)

  • 지성애;권성복;박은희
    • 간호행정학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.247-275
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to offer the results of content analysis and qualitative study that explored the perceptions about quality nursing care of patients and families as consumers and to identify the implications of this study for quality nursing care management and research. The data was collected from 12 adult patients and 9 families who were admmitted at medical and surgical nursing unit of one university hospital in Seoul from October, 1996 to January, 1997. Research participants were asked to response "what do you think quality nursing care?" and similar questions during the interviews was performed. Data were analyzed using open coding and content analysis with frequencies and percents of attributes of quality nursing care. Attributes of quality nursing care and meaning of quality nursing care that patients and families perceived were explored. 1. The attributes of quality nursing care that patient and families perceived were categorized into 56 attributes. The highest response rate among the attributes was 'one's heart at ease' (76.2%), and the next high response rates were ranked in order 'consideration' , 'care about' (each 61.9% 'expert skill' (57.1%), 'deal with problem promptly' , 'information offer' (42.9%), 'intimate feeling' (38.1%), 'smile' 'service spirit' , 'do one's best' (each 33.3%), 'frequent visit' (23.8%), 'observe the time' (23.8%), 'direct nursing care' , 'speaking warmly' , give a hope' , 'address kindly' , 'a sense of duty' , 'good facilities' (each 19.0%), 'inquire after a patient health' , 'patient-centered nursing care' , 'showing an example' , 'professional knowledge' , 'careless moraly patient' , 'give encourage to patients' , 'good answer a question' (each 14.3%), 'do not imprudently' , 'do not disregard' , 'broad knowledge' , 'emergency treatment skill' , 'dependability' ,'consolation' giving a sense of security' , 'a self sacrificing spirit' , 'a sense of responsibility' 'hard - working', 'enough disposition of nursing staff (each 9.5%), 'improve patient's pride' and the rest attributes exhibited 4.7%, respectively. 2. The attributes that were identified in patients' data only were 8 categories, 'service sprit' (58.3 %) 'expert knowledge' , 'good answer a question' (each 25.0%), 'hard working' (16.7%), 'a warm character', 'professional attainments', 'do without reserve', 'satisfaction' (each 8.3%), 3. The attributes were identified to families' data only were 31 categories, 'speaking warmly' , 'direct nursing care', 'adress kindly', 'patientcentered nursing care', 'showing an example' (each 33.3%). 'do not imprudently' , 'do not disregard' , 'consolation', 'giving a sense of security', 'broad knowledge' , 'emergency treatment skill', 'dependability' ,'a self - sacrificing spirit', 'a sense of responsibility' (each 22.2%), 'improve patient's pride' , 'without discrimination' , 'show kindness' , 'individual nursing care', 'being with patient' , 'helping' , 'accuracy' , 'without any mistake' , 'love' , 'self - confidence', 'self possession', 'a self - denying spirit' , 'a sense of duty' , 'tighten discipline' , 'disposed room with similar patient to diagnosis', 'compensatory relationship between me dical team' , 'role of connection' (each 11.1 %). 4. The attributes of quality nursing care were integrated into 11 categories that they were 'patientcentered nursing care' (25.1%), 'expertise' (22.1%), 'caring'(18.1%), 'kindness'(11.1%L 'nurse attainments(10.1%), 'sincerity' (7.5%), 'good environment' (2.0%), 'effective organizational management', 'coordination', 'enough nursing staff' ( each 1.0%), 'satisfaction' (0.5%) were showed in the order of the highest rate. 5. The concept of quality nursing care were defined as 'give a satisfaction to patients by patientcentered care based on professional skill and caring with kindness and sincerity'. The description of the meaning of quality nursing care provided by this research participants, patients and families can provide important information for quality nursing care management, medical marketing, education and researches of this field. On the basis of the above findings the following recommendations are made: to suggest to utilize this results for patient care in practice setting, development of quality assessment tool in nursing care, repeat study by the same subjects and method, and to a comparative study by the same method to nurse.

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국방분야 민간자원의 효율적 활용방안 - 정비, 보급, 수송, 교육훈련분야를 중심으로 - (Efficient Utilization of Private Resources for the National Defense - Focused on maintenance, supply, transportation, training & education -)

  • 박균용
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권9호
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    • pp.313-340
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    • 2011
  • The National Defense Reformation bill of "National Defense Reformation 2020" which have been constantly disputed and reformed by the government went through various levels of complementary measures after the North Korean sinking on the Republic of Korea (ROK) Naval Vessel "Cheonan". The final outcome of this reform is also known as the 307 Plan and this was announced on the 8th March. The reformed National Defense Reformation is to reduce the number of units and military personnel under the military structure reformation. However, in order for us to undertake successful National Defense Reformation, the use of privatized civilian resources are essential. Therefore according to this theory, the ROK Ministry of National Defense (MND) have selected the usage of privatized resources as one of the main core agenda for the National Defense Reformation management procedures, and under this agenda the MND plans to further expand the usage of private Especially the MND plans to minimize the personnel resources applied in non-combat areas and in turn use these supplemented personnel with optimization. In order to do this, the MND have initiated necessary appropriate analysis over the whole national defense section by understanding various projects and acquisition requests required by each militaries and civilian research institutions. However for efficient management of privatized civilian resources, first of all, those possible efficient private resources which can achieve optimization will need to be identified, and secondly continuous systematic reinforcements will need to be made in private resource usage legislations. Furthermore, we would need to consider the possibility of labor disputes because of privatization expansion. Therefore, full legal and systematic complementary measures are required in all possible issue arising areas which can affect the combat readiness posture. There is another problem of huge increase in operational expenses as reduction of standby forces are only reducing the number of soldiers and filling these numbers with more cost expensive commissioned officers. However, to overcome this problem, we would need to reduce the number of positions available for active officers and fill these positions with military reserve personnel who previously had working experiences with the related positions (thereby guaranteeing active officers re-employment after completing active service). This would in tum maintain the standards of combat readiness posture and reduce necessary financial budgets which may newly arise. The area of maintenance, supply, transportation, training & education duties which are highly efficient when using privatized resources, will need to be transformed from military management based to civilian management based system. For maintenance, this can be processed by integrating National Maintenance Support System. In order for us to undertake this procedure, we would need to develop maintenance units which are possible to be privatized and this will in turn reduce the military personnel executing job duties, improve service quality and prevent duplicate investments etc. For supply area, we will need to establish Integrated Military Logistics Center in-connection with national and civilian logistics system. This will in turn reduce the logistics time frame as well as required personnel and equipments. In terms of transportation, we will need to further expand the renting and leasing system. This will need to be executed by integrating the National Defense Transportation Information System which will in turn reduce the required personnel and financial budgets. Finally for training and education, retired military personnel can be employed as training instructors and at the military academy, further expansion in the number of civilian professors can be employed in-connection with National Defense Reformation. In other words, more active privatized civilian resources will need to be managed and used for National Defense Reformation.

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울진 소광리 금강소나무림 식생구조 특성에 따른 관리방안 (A Study on the Management Method in Accordance with the Vegetation Structure of Geumgang Pine (Pinus densiflora) Forest in Sogwang-ri, Uljin)

  • 김동욱;한봉호;박석철;김종엽
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2022
  • 울진 소광리 금강소나무림은 전통적으로 목재생산 목적의 소나무 보호지역(봉산)이었으며, 현재는 산림청 산림유전 자원보호구역으로 지정·관리되고 있다. 본 연구는 지형 특성, 현존식생, 수령, 식물군집구조를 분석하여 임목생산을 목적으로 한 울진 소광리 금강소나무림의 지속가능한 관리방안을 제안하고자 하였다. 대상지 지형 특성은 능선 36.7%, 계곡 38.7%로 능선과 계곡의 비율이 유사하였으며, 사면은 전체 면적의 24.7%로 좁게 형성되어 있었다. 소나무림 군집 유형은 소나무림의 갱신 진행상태, 낙엽활엽수 등 타 수종과의 경쟁상태, 층위구조 형성 여부 등을 기준으로 6개 유형으로 구분되었다. 대경목 소나무(흉고직경 40~60cm)의 수령은 약 60~70년 내외로 비교적 수령이 낮은 것으로 확인되었다. 상대우점치 및 층위구조를 분석한 결과, 소나무림 갱신 사업의 진행 정도에 따라 차이를 보이고 있었고, 소나무림의 유지뿐만 아니라 소나무 후계림의 조성, 소나무의 밀도 조절, 경쟁수목에 대한 적극적 관리를 실시하고 있었다. 군집별 평균 흉고단면적은 400m2 방형구를 기준으로 교목층은 12,642.1~25,424.4cm2, 아교목층은 1.8~1,956.5cm2이었다. 흉고단 면적의 차이는 교목층을 형성하는 수목의 규격과 개체수, 소나무림의 갱신 정도(소나무 간벌 후 시간경과 정도)에 따라 차이가 나타났다. 군집별 평균 출현 종수는 8.7~20.3종으로 계곡부에 위치하고 있는 유형과 관리가 이루어지지 않아 낙엽활엽수와의 경쟁이 진행 중인 유형에서 출현 종수가 많았다. 종다양도는 0.6915~1.0942로 온대중부지역 소나무군집과 비교하여 낮은 것으로 평가되었다. 울진 소광리 금강소나무림의 관리목표는 경제적 가치가 높은 목재생산으로 설정하였으며, 지속적인 조림 및 목재생산 체계 구축, 목재생산량 증진을 위한 효율적 식생관리를 관리방향으로 제시하였다.

국민건강보험 발전방향 (Future Direction of National Health Insurance)

  • 박은철
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.273-275
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    • 2017
  • It has been forty years since the implementation of National Health Insurance (NHI) in South Korea. Following the 1977 legislature mandating medical insurance for employees and dependents in firms with more than 500 employees, South Korea expanded its health insurance to urban residents in 1989. Resultantly, total expenses of the National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) have greatly increased from 4.5 billion won in 1977 to 50.89 trillion won in 2016. With multiple insurers merging into the NHI system in 2000, a single-payer healthcare system emerged, along with separation policy of prescribing and dispensing. Following such reform, an emerging financial crisis required injections from the National Health Promotion Fund. Forty years following the introduction of the NHI system, both praise and criticism have been drawn. In just 12 years, the NHI achieved the fastest health population coverage in the world. Current medical expenditure is not high relative to the rest of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. The quality of acute care in Korea is one of the best in the world. There is no sign of delayed diagnosis and/or treatment for most diseases. However, the NHI has been under-insured, requiring high-levels of out-of-pocket money from patients and often causing catastrophic medical expenses. Furthermore, the current environmental circumstances of the NHI are threatening its sustainability. Low birth rate decline, as well as slow economic growth, will make sustainment of the current healthcare system difficult in the near future. An aging population will increase the amount of medical expenditure required, especially with the baby-boomer generation of those born between 1955 and 1965. Meanwhile, there is always the problem of unification for the Korean Peninsula, and what role the health insurance system will have to play when it occurs. In the presidential election, health insurance is a main issue; however, there is greater focus on expansion and expenditure than revenue. Many aspects of Korea's NHI system (1977) were modeled after the German (1883) and Japanese (1922) systems. Such systems were created during an era where infections disease control was most urgent and thus, in the current non-communicable disease (NCD) era, must be redesigned. The Korean system, which is already forty years old, must be redesigned completely. Although health insurance benefit expansion is necessary, financial measures, as well as moral hazard control measures, must also be considered. Ultimately, there are three aspects that we must consider when attempting redesign of the system. First, the health security system must be reformed. NHI and Medical Aid must be amalgamated into one system for increased effectiveness and efficiency of the system. Within the single insurer system of the NHI must be an internal market for maximum efficiency. The NHIS must be separated into regions so that regional organizers have greater responsibility over their actions. Although insurance must continue to be imposed nationally, risk-adjustment must be distributed regionally and assessed by different regional systems. Second, as a solution for the decreasing flow of insurance revenue, low premium level must be increased to an appropriate level. Likewise, the national reserve fund (No. 36, National Health Insurance Act) must be enlarged for re-unification preparation. Third, there must be revolutionary reform of benefit package. The current system built a focus on communicable diseases which is inappropriate in this NCD era. Medical benefits must not be one-time events but provide chronic disease management. Chronic care models, accountable care organization, patient-centered medical homes, and other systems that introduce various benefit packages for beneficiaries must be implemented. The reimbursement system of medical costs should be introduced to various systems for different types of care, as is the case with part C (Medicare Advantage Program) of America's Medicare system that substitutes part A and part B. Pay for performance must be expanded so that there is not only improvement in quality of care but also medical costs. Moreover, beneficiaries of the NHI system must be aware of the amount of their expenditure through a deductible payment system so that spending can be profiled and monitored. The Moon Jae-in Government has announced its plans to expand the NHI system; however, it is important that a discussion forum is created so that more accurate analysis of the NHI, its environments, and current status of health care system, can take place for reforming NHI.

해사대학 여학생 특화 교육과정 설계를 위한 기초연구 - 목포해양대학교를 중심으로 (Basic Research for Designing a Specialized Curriculum for Women Students at the Maritime College - Focusing on Mokpo National Maritime University)

  • 김승연;박준모;정대득
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.346-352
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    • 2020
  • 국내 여성 해기사 양성을 위하여 목포해양대학교와 한국해양대학교의 해사대학에 여학생이 입학한지 약 30년이 되었다. 해사대학 여학생은 승선근무예비역제도와 관련없이 해사대학을 선택하고 있으므로, 여학생의 입학 동기, 승선 선호도, 희망 진로 등에 대한 연구가 지속적으로 수행되어야 다른 대학과 해사대학의 차별화 및 비전을 도출할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 목포해양대학교 해사대학에 재학 중인 여학생 93명을 대상으로 해사대학 입학 동기 및 만족도, 전반적인 승선 인식과 선호도 및 그 이유, 여성의 승선에 대한 주위 인식과 영향, 졸업 후 희망 진로와 학부 교육과정 만족도 등에 대해 설문조사를 실시하였다. 해사대학 입학 이유로는 응답자의 35.5 %가 해양 관련 공무원 및 전문직에 종사하기 위해, 30.1 %는 해기사가 되기 위하여 입학하였다고 응답하여 현재의 해기사 양성을 위한 교육과 더불어 해양 전문가 양성을 위한 추가적인 교과목 편성이 요구된다. 여학생의 승선에 대한 인식으로는 응답자의 88.2 %가 여성의 승선이 보통 이상으로 힘들다고 생각하는 것으로 조사되어, 학교 및 선사에서 직무 외 여성 해기사의 승선 생활을 위한 체계적인 교육 프로그램이 필요할 것으로 사료된다. 여학생의 승선 선호도는 응답자의 69.6 %가 졸업 후에 해기사로 승선을 보통 이상 희망하는 것으로 분석되었다. 여학생의 졸업 후 희망 진로는 응답자의 32.3 %가 항해사 또는 기관사를 선호하는 것으로 조사되었으며, 해양 관련 공무원·공기업 전문직 24.7 %, 해양경찰 18.3 % 등으로 83.9 %가 해양 관련 분야의 진로를 희망하는 것으로 조사되었다. 이에 따라 해기 과목 이외의 여학생의 입학 동기 및 선호 직업군에 따른 교과목 편성 및 심화 교육이 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

쿤밍-몬트리올 글로벌 생물다양성 보전목표 성취를 위한 우리나라 OECM 발굴방향 연구 - 개념 고찰 및 전문가 인식을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Identifying OECMs in Korea for Achieving the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework - Focusing on the Concept and Experts' Perception -)

  • 허학영;박선주
    • 한국환경생태학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.302-314
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구에서는 생물다양성협약(CBD) 글로벌 보전목표(K-M GBF)의 핵심이라고 할 수 있는 실천목표 3(30by30)에 대한 우리나라의 효과적 대응 방향을 모색하기 위한 것으로, OECM에 대한 글로벌 개념 고찰 및 전문가 인식조사를 통해 국가 차원의 체계적인 OECM 발굴방향을 모색하고자 하였다. 글로벌 표준을 준수하되 한국적 맥락을 반영한 국가 차원의 체계적인 OECM 발굴방향을 모색을 위해 본 연구에서는 ①OECM 관련 한국적 용어 사용, ②글로벌 표준을 반영한 결정인자(criteria) 도출, ③우리나라 잠재 OECM 후보 유형 도출, ④OECM 발굴‧보고 시 고려사항 등을 검토하였다. 먼저 OECM의 단순 번역어 사용이 아닌 이의 개념을 잘 반영한 '한국적 용어' 사용에 대한 공감대 형성이 있었으며, 가장 선호되는 용어이자 '자연과 조화로운 삶'이라는 생물다양성협약(CBD) 2050 비전과도 그 맥락을 같이하는 '자연공존지역(12명)'이 타당한 것으로 나타났다. 글로벌 표준을 반영한 주요 결정인자로는, 1단계 선별과정에서 OECM 핵심 특성을 반영한 4개 결정인자(1. 보호지역 여부, 2. 지리적 경계, 3. 거버넌스‧관리, 4. 생물다양성 가치)를 활용하고, 개별지역 심층진단을 수행하기 전에 관리‧관할기관 등과의 공감대형성(2단계) 과정을 거친 후 3단계(발굴‧보고단계)에서 2가지 결정인자(3-1 거버넌스와 관리의 효과성과 지속성, 4-1의 생물다양성 가치의 장기적 보전성과)를 추가하여 심층 진단을 수행하는 방향을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 살펴본 28개 유형은 대체적으로 OECM 부합성이 높은 것으로 나타났으며(4.45~6.21점/7점, 평균 5.24점), 특히 자연환경국민신탁의 보전재산(6.21점) 및 보전협약지(6.07점)가 OECM 개념에 가장 잘 부합할 것으로 나타났다. 이어 세계자연유산 완충구역(5.77점), 사찰림(5.73점), 개발제한구역(5.63점), 비무장지대(5.60점), 생물권보전지역 완충구역(5.50점) 등이 잠재성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 절대보전무인도서의 경우 보호지역에 부합한다는 응답(5.83/7점)이 OECM 부합성(5.52/7점) 보다 더 높게 나타나, 향후 절대보전무인도는 그 주변해역(1km)과 더불어 한국보호지역데이터베이스(KDPA)에 등재를 추진하는 것이 바람직할 것으로 판단된다. OECM 관련 글로벌 표준 검토 및 전문가 인식조사 결과를 토대로, 한국적 맥락의 OECM 발굴시 고려사항으로 10가지를 제시하였다. 향후 이러한 고려사항을 참고하여 단계적인 발굴사업을 통해 OECM을 목록화하고 기존 보호지역과의 연계를 통한 국가 차원의 현지-내 보전체계 정립을 위한 지속적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

한국전쟁의 교훈과 대비 -병력수(兵力數) 및 부대수(部隊數)를 중심으로- (The lesson From Korean War)

  • 윤일영
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권8호
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    • pp.49-168
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    • 2010
  • Just before the Korean War, the total number of the North Korean troops was 198,380, while that of the ROK(Republic of Korea) army troops 105,752. That is, the total number of the ROK army troops at that time was 53.3% of the total number of the North Korean army. As of December 2008, the total number of the North Korean troops is estimated to be 1,190,000, while that of the ROK troops is 655,000, so the ROK army maintains 55.04% of the total number of the North Korean troops. If the ROK army continues to reduce its troops according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the total number of its troops will be 517,000 m 2020. If North Korea maintains the current status(l,190,000 troops), the number of the ROK troops will be 43.4% of the North Korean army. In terms of units, just before the Korean War, the number of the ROK army divisions and regiments was 80% and 44.8% of North Korean army. As of December 2008, North Korea maintains 86 divisions and 69 regiments. Compared to the North Korean army, the ROK army maintains 46 Divisions (53.4% of North Korean army) and 15 regiments (21.3% of North Korean army). If the ROK army continue to reduce the military units according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of ROK army divisions will be 28(13 Active Division, 4 Mobilization Divisions and 11 Local Reserve Divisions), while that of the North Korean army will be 86 in 2020. In that case, the number of divisions of the ROK army will be 32.5% of North Korean army. During the Korean war, North Korea suddenly invaded the Republic of Korea and occupied its capital 3 days after the war began. At that time, the ROK army maintained 80% of army divisions, compared to the North Korean army. The lesson to be learned from this is that, if the ROK army is forced to disperse its divisions because of the simultaneous invasion of North Korea and attack of guerrillas in home front areas, the Republic of Korea can be in a serious military danger, even though it maintains 80% of military divisions of North Korea. If the ROK army promotes the plans in [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of military units of the ROK army will be 32.5% of that of the North Korean army. This ratio is 2.4 times lower than that of the time when the Korean war began, and in this case, 90% of total military power should be placed in the DMZ area. If 90% of military power is placed in the DMZ area, few troops will be left for the defense of home front. In addition, if the ROK army continues to reduce the troops, it can allow North Korea to have asymmetrical superiority in military force and it will eventually exert negative influence on the stability and peace of the Korean peninsular. On the other hand, it should be reminded that, during the Korean War, the Republic of Korea was attacked by North Korea, though it kept 53.3% of troops, compared to North Korea. It should also be reminded that, as of 2008, the ROK army is defending its territory with the troops 55.04% of North Korea. Moreover, the national defense is assisted by 25,120 troops of the US Forces in Korea. In case the total number of the ROK troops falls below 43.4% of the North Korean army, it may cause social unrest about the national security and may lead North Korea's misjudgement. Besides, according to Lanchester strategy, the party with weaker military power (60% compared to the party with stronger military power) has the 4.1% of winning possibility. Therefore, if we consider the fact that the total number of the ROK army troops is 55.04% of that of the North Korean army, the winning possibility of the ROK army is not higher than 4.1%. If the total number of ROK troops is reduced to 43.4% of that of North Korea, the winning possibility will be lower and the military operations will be in critically difficult situation. [Military Reform Plan 2020] rums at the reduction of troops and units of the ground forces under the policy of 'select few'. However, the problem is that the financial support to achieve this goal is not secured. Therefore, the promotion of [Military Reform Plan 2020] may cause the weakening of military defence power in 2020. Some advanced countries such as Japan, UK, Germany, and France have promoted the policy of 'select few'. However, what is to be noted is that the national security situation of those countries is much different from that of Korea. With the collapse of the Soviet Unions and European communist countries, the military threat of those European advanced countries has almost disappeared. In addition, the threats those advanced countries are facing are not wars in national level, but terrorism in international level. To cope with the threats like terrorism, large scaled army trops would not be necessary. So those advanced European countries can promote the policy of 'select few'. In line with this, those European countries put their focuses on the development of military sections that deal with non-military operations and protection from unspecified enemies. That is, those countries are promoting the policy of 'select few', because they found that the policy is suitable for their national security environment. Moreover, since they are pursuing common interest under the European Union(EU) and they can form an allied force under NATO, it is natural that they are pursing the 'select few' policy. At present, NATO maintains the larger number of troops(2,446,000) than Russia(l,027,000) to prepare for the potential threat of Russia. The situation of japan is also much different from that of Korea. As a country composed of islands, its prime military focus is put on the maritime defense. Accordingly, the development of ground force is given secondary focus. The japanese government promotes the policy to develop technology-concentrated small size navy and air-forces, instead of maintaining large-scaled ground force. In addition, because of the 'Peace Constitution' that was enacted just after the end of World War II, japan cannot maintain troops more than 240,000. With the limited number of troops (240,000), japan has no choice but to promote the policy of 'select few'. However, the situation of Korea is much different from the situations of those countries. The Republic of Korea is facing the threat of the North Korean Army that aims at keeping a large-scale military force. In addition, the countries surrounding Korea are also super powers containing strong military forces. Therefore, to cope with the actual threat of present and unspecified threat of future, the importance of maintaining a carefully calculated large-scale military force cannot be denied. Furthermore, when considering the fact that Korea is in a peninsular, the Republic of Korea must take it into consideration the tradition of continental countries' to maintain large-scale military powers. Since the Korean War, the ROK army has developed the technology-force combined military system, maintaining proper number of troops and units and pursuing 'select few' policy at the same time. This has been promoted with the consideration of military situation in the Koran peninsular and the cooperation of ROK-US combined forces. This kind of unique military system that cannot be found in other countries can be said to be an insightful one for the preparation for the actual threat of North Korea and the conflicts between continental countries and maritime countries. In addition, this kind of technology-force combined military system has enabled us to keep peace in Korea. Therefore, it would be desirable to maintain this technology-force combined military system until the reunification of the Korean peninsular. Furthermore, it is to be pointed out that blindly following the 'select few' policy of advanced countries is not a good option, because it is ignoring the military strategic situation of the Korean peninsular. If the Republic of Korea pursues the reduction of troops and units radically without consideration of the threat of North Korea and surrounding countries, it could be a significant strategic mistake. In addition, the ROK army should keep an eye on the fact the European advanced countries and Japan that are not facing direct military threats are spending more defense expenditures than Korea. If the ROK army reduces military power without proper alternatives, it would exert a negative effect on the stable economic development of Korea and peaceful reunification of the Korean peninsular. Therefore, the desirable option would be to focus on the development of quality of forces, maintaining proper size and number of troops and units under the technology-force combined military system. The tableau above shows that the advanced countries like the UK, Germany, Italy, and Austria spend more defense expenditure per person than the Republic of Korea, although they do not face actual military threats, and that they keep achieving better economic progress than the countries that spend less defense expenditure. Therefore, it would be necessary to adopt the merits of the defense systems of those advanced countries. As we have examined, it would be desirable to maintain the current size and number of troops and units, to promote 'select few' policy with increased defense expenditure, and to strengthen the technology-force combined military system. On the basis of firm national security, the Republic of Korea can develop efficient policies for reunification and prosperity, and jump into the status of advanced countries. Therefore, the plans to reduce troops and units in [Military Reform Plan 2020] should be reexamined. If it is difficult for the ROK army to maintain its size of 655,000 troops because of low birth rate, the plans to establish the prompt mobilization force or to adopt drafting system should be considered for the maintenance of proper number of troops and units. From now on, the Republic of Korean government should develop plans to keep peace as well as to prepare unexpected changes in the Korean peninsular. For the achievement of these missions, some options can be considered. The first one is to maintain the same size of military troops and units as North Korea. The second one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea in terms of military force index. The third one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea, with the combination of the prompt mobilization force and the troops in active service under the system of technology-force combined military system. At present, it would be not possible for the ROK army to maintain such a large-size military force as North Korea (1,190,000 troops and 86 units). So it would be rational to maintain almost the same level of military force as North Korea with the combination of the troops on the active list and the prompt mobilization forces. In other words, with the combination of the troops in active service (60%) and the prompt mobilization force (40%), the ROK army should develop the strategies to harmonize technology and forces. The Korean government should also be prepared for the strategic flexibility of USFK, the possibility of American policy change about the location of foreign army, radical unexpected changes in North Korea, the emergence of potential threat, surrounding countries' demand for Korean force for the maintenance of regional stability, and demand for international cooperation against terrorism. For this, it is necessary to develop new approaches toward the proper number and size of troops and units. For instance, to prepare for radical unexpected political or military changes in North Korea, the Republic of Korea should have plans to protect a large number of refugees, to control arms and people, to maintain social security, and to keep orders in North Korea. From the experiences of other countries, it is estimated that 115,000 to 230,000 troops, plus ten thousands of police are required to stabilize the North Korean society, in the case radical unexpected military or political change happens in North Korea. In addition, if the Republic of Korea should perform the release of hostages, control of mass destruction weapons, and suppress the internal wars in North Korea, it should send 460,000 troops to North Korea. Moreover, if the Republic of Korea wants to stop the attack of North Korea and flow of refugees in DMZ area, at least 600,000 troops would be required. In sum, even if the ROK army maintains 600,000 troops, it may need additional 460,000 troops to prepare for unexpected radical changes in North Korea. For this, it is necessary to establish the prompt mobilization force whose size and number are almost the same as the troops in active service. In case the ROK army keeps 650,000 troops, the proper number of the prompt mobilization force would be 460,000 to 500,000.

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